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International crash risk premium 国际碰撞风险溢价
IF 4 2区 经济学
Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money Pub Date : 2024-06-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102014
Steven Shu-Hsiu Chen
{"title":"International crash risk premium","authors":"Steven Shu-Hsiu Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102014","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102014","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper investigates the international crash risk and the cross-section of stock index returns. We use the ex-ante model-free negative skewness measured by country-specific index options, proposed in Bakshi et al. (2003), as a proxy of the crash risk. We find that a country’s stock index with a high crash risk relates to a higher stock return as a risk premium across countries. The international crash risk premium exists robustly after controlling for volatility risk, macroeconomic variables, sensitivities to the international risk factors, and realized return moments. In contrast, other international risk premiums do not exist based on the exposure of such control variables. Based on the crash risk premium, we construct international stock trading strategies by sorting option-implied skewness across countries that outperform benchmark strategies by sorting the above control variables.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":"94 ","pages":"Article 102014"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-06-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141405254","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Blockchain factors 区块链因素
IF 4 2区 经济学
Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money Pub Date : 2024-06-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102012
Athanasios Sakkas , Andrew Urquhart
{"title":"Blockchain factors","authors":"Athanasios Sakkas ,&nbsp;Andrew Urquhart","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102012","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102012","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Identifying factors to explain cryptocurrency returns is challenging given the lack of fundamental information, however there exists a plethora of data from public blockchains. We use these on-chain data with the recent methodology of Harvey and Liu (2021) and show that a parsimonious two-factor model comprised of the value-weighted cryptocurrency market factor and the network distribution factor can explain the cross-section of individual cryptocurrency returns.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":"94 ","pages":"Article 102012"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-06-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042443124000787/pdfft?md5=21139b01677da8c2e15a1ea802474fcf&pid=1-s2.0-S1042443124000787-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141314086","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Comparative dynamics of housing finance: A cross-country analysis 住房融资的比较动态：跨国分析
IF 4 2区 经济学
Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102010
Jongseok Rim
{"title":"Comparative dynamics of housing finance: A cross-country analysis","authors":"Jongseok Rim","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102010","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102010","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper conducts a comparative analysis of housing finance markets in the United States, United Kingdom, and Germany, focusing on their responses to market changes and significant external shocks like the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the COVID-19 pandemic. It aims to clarify the complex relationship between market dynamics and housing finance structures, as well as the impact of major market shocks on these systems. The study uncovers subtle differences in responses, underscored by governmental interventions, levels of securitisation, and diverse funding models of mortgage originators. It also highlights how regulatory interventions influence variations across markets in specific circumstances such as the GFC and the pandemic. This research contributes valuable insights into the adaptability and resilience of housing finance systems against external shocks, enhancing our understanding of their strengths and vulnerabilities.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":"94 ","pages":"Article 102010"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042443124000763/pdfft?md5=de30170d84a95025c910c3d1f8f3af27&pid=1-s2.0-S1042443124000763-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141274289","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Do infectious diseases explain Bitcoin price Fluctuations? 传染病能解释比特币价格波动吗？
IF 4 2区 经济学
Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102011
Florin Aliu
{"title":"Do infectious diseases explain Bitcoin price Fluctuations?","authors":"Florin Aliu","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102011","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102011","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study examines Bitcoin price movements from an infectious disease perspective. The author compares the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic with the Bitcoin price explosion and adopts the SIR epidemiological model. The SIR model operates by categorizing the population of individuals into susceptible (S), infected (I), and removed (R). In the case of Bitcoin, open wallets represent the susceptible population, and the infection starts with a single individual. After conducting four estimation trials, the model that uses the recovery rate derived from the Bitcoin price downtrend and the infection rate from the upward trend has the highest accuracy. The estimation deviates from the Bitcoin price explosions by only three days. Previous studies commonly use faster-than-exponential growth or stationarity tests to identify bubble formations. This paper introduces a novel approach that employs epidemiological models to analyze Bitcoin’s explosive price behavior.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":"93 ","pages":"Article 102011"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141286511","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Confidence in the world bank and IMF: Alignment of individual beliefs and institutional policies 对世界银行和国际货币基金组织的信心：个人信念与机构政策的一致性
IF 4 2区 经济学
Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money Pub Date : 2024-05-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102003
John E. Anderson
{"title":"Confidence in the world bank and IMF: Alignment of individual beliefs and institutional policies","authors":"John E. Anderson","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study examines individual expressions of confidence in the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund using the World Values Survey-Wave 7 data to determine whether alignment of individual beliefs with institutional policies supports confidence and whether national borrowing from these institutions with attendant conditionalities erodes confidence. The main hypothesis tested is that confidence in each organization is positively associated with alignment of survey respondents’ economic beliefs and the policies of the organizations. Results indicate that closer alignment of beliefs with organization policies is positively associated with greater confidence but greater national borrowing from either organization erodes confidence. Conditionalities for assistance are resented by citizens in recipient countries.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":"93 ","pages":"Article 102003"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141164516","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Unleashing Fintech’s potential: A catalyst for green bonds issuance 释放金融科技的潜力：绿色债券发行的催化剂
IF 4 2区 经济学
Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102009
Jin Huang , Ruiqi Liu , Wenting Wang , Zi'ang Wang , Congwei Wang , Yong (Jimmy) Jin
{"title":"Unleashing Fintech’s potential: A catalyst for green bonds issuance","authors":"Jin Huang ,&nbsp;Ruiqi Liu ,&nbsp;Wenting Wang ,&nbsp;Zi'ang Wang ,&nbsp;Congwei Wang ,&nbsp;Yong (Jimmy) Jin","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102009","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102009","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Financial technology, also known as fintech, is transforming daily lives and revolutionising the financial industry. However, there is currently no consensus regarding the effect of fintech on the green bond market. Using novel Chinese data, this study provides robust evidence that fintech development can significantly boost green bond issuance. Further analysis suggests that this promotional effect occurs by empowering intermediary institutions and increasing social environmental awareness. Additionally, we investigate the heterogeneous effect and find that the positive relationship is more pronounced for bonds without high ratings and whose proceeds are not used for refinancing. This effect is also stronger for non-state-owned issuers and in cities connected with High-Speed Railway networks or located in the eastern region of China. These results call for attention from policymakers and security managers to take further notice of fintech utilisation in green finance products.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":"93 ","pages":"Article 102009"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042443124000751/pdfft?md5=a6e8a0811f72248aab5fa75c96f76980&pid=1-s2.0-S1042443124000751-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141077950","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Macro fundamentals and the resurgence of the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle in Europe 欧洲宏观基本面与费尔德斯坦-堀冈之谜的重现
IF 4 2区 经济学
Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money Pub Date : 2024-05-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102006
António Martins
{"title":"Macro fundamentals and the resurgence of the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle in Europe","authors":"António Martins","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102006","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper discusses the resurgence of the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle after the global financial crisis within the European space. Revisiting the theory of intertemporal choice, this paper suggests that the deterioration of macroeconomic fundamentals that favor capital flows from richer to poorer economies can lead investment and savings to correlate across countries even without frictions to capital mobility. I test this hypothesis against a data set of 12 European economies spanning since the inception of the Maastricht treaty and ending immediately before the start of the Covid-19 pandemic. I find that the investment-savings correlation is generally low both across and within open economies, aligning with the theoretical stylized fact. However, this can be jeopardized when low-income economies accumulate large net stocks of foreign liabilities coupled with sluggish prospects for productivity growth. Ultimately, if investment and savings are not managed in line with macro fundamentals, foreign investors eventually impose a premium on new liabilities, raising the cost of financing investment with foreign funds and leading the correlation between investment and savings to rise both across and within countries.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":"93 ","pages":"Article 102006"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042443124000726/pdfft?md5=a2fa9b49c597dac81be85dd3f3b5735a&pid=1-s2.0-S1042443124000726-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141090146","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Exchange market pressure in interest rate rules 利率规则中的外汇市场压力
IF 4 2区 经济学
Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money Pub Date : 2024-05-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102005
Franc Klaassen , Kostas Mavromatis
{"title":"Exchange market pressure in interest rate rules","authors":"Franc Klaassen ,&nbsp;Kostas Mavromatis","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102005","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Many central banks pursue some kind of exchange rate objective. We derive what variables the central bank should look at when setting the interest rate to implement a given objective. Exchange market pressure (EMP), the tendency of the exchange rate to change, emerges as the key variable. This yields a policy rule for the interest rate where EMP is added to, say, a Taylor rule. The coefficient for EMP depends on two structural parameters, namely the effectiveness of the interest rate to ward off depreciation, and the degree of exchange rate management. The rule can implement many regimes, from floating to intermediate to fixed rates. It can be applied to many models, and we illustrate it in a New Keynesian model for a small open economy.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":"93 ","pages":"Article 102005"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042443124000714/pdfft?md5=25cf74dd671b25309c24424c3752d780&pid=1-s2.0-S1042443124000714-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141067258","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Clustering asset markets based on volatility connectedness to political news 根据波动与政治新闻的关联性对资产市场进行分类
IF 4 2区 经济学
Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money Pub Date : 2024-05-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102004
Hooman Abdollahi , Juha-Pekka Junttila , Heikki Lehkonen
{"title":"Clustering asset markets based on volatility connectedness to political news","authors":"Hooman Abdollahi ,&nbsp;Juha-Pekka Junttila ,&nbsp;Heikki Lehkonen","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>To assess similarities in international asset markets’ responses to political news, we construct a political news index using advanced natural language processing. We then examine how the volatility across international asset markets is connected to the development of our political news index by measuring the daily directional connectedness using a VAR-based framework. Finally, we apply an unsupervised algorithm to cluster markets based on their volatility connectedness to political news. Our analysis reveals eight distinct clusters that reflect the markets’ sensitivities to political dynamics. This data-driven analysis offers insights into the influence of political developments on market volatility.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":"93 ","pages":"Article 102004"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042443124000702/pdfft?md5=0390d1bdd291a45bd0d186f3fef5824a&pid=1-s2.0-S1042443124000702-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140913748","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Electricity markets regulations: The financial impact of the global energy crisis 电力市场法规：全球能源危机的财务影响
IF 4 2区 经济学
Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money Pub Date : 2024-05-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102008
Ignacio Segarra , Christina Atanasova , Isabel Figuerola-Ferretti
{"title":"Electricity markets regulations: The financial impact of the global energy crisis","authors":"Ignacio Segarra ,&nbsp;Christina Atanasova ,&nbsp;Isabel Figuerola-Ferretti","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102008","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102008","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Amid the global energy crisis, we examine the impact of electricity market regulations in the European Union (EU). Pursuing an integrated EU electricity market inadvertently heightened the interdependence between gas and electricity prices. The EU energy crisis, triggered by the gas supply shock, amplified power prices and their volatility. These volatility spikes led to substantial margin increases on power futures contracts crucial for mitigating electricity price risks. The increase in margins placed a substantial financial burden on EU power utilities. We document an almost eight-fold surge in required collateral for long positions in front-month EU power futures contracts during the one-year duration of the crisis. Throughout the crisis, EU utilities experienced lower sales and profitability compared to their US counterparts, and a portfolio of EU power utilities significantly underperformed a counterfactual portfolio of US power utilities.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":"93 ","pages":"Article 102008"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141048125","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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