Journal of Policy Analysis and Management最新文献_第7页

Couch-Locked With the Munchies: Effects of Recreational Marijuana Laws on Exercise and Nutrition 与零食锁在沙发上：娱乐性大麻法律对运动和营养的影响

IF 2.4 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70080

Thomas Wilk, Monica Deza, Timothy R. Hodge, Shooshan Danagoulian

引用次数: 0

Insurance coverage and provision of opioid disorder treatment: Evidence from Medicare. 保险覆盖范围和阿片类疾病治疗的提供：来自医疗保险的证据。

IF 2.8 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2026-05-05 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70106

Denis Agniel, Jonathan Cantor, Johanna Catherine Maclean, Erin A Taylor, Kosali Simon

引用次数: 0

Do “Evidence-Based Policy” Clearinghouses Provide Good Advice for Local Policymakers? “基于证据的政策”信息交换所能为地方决策者提供好的建议吗？

IF 2.4 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2025-12-29 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70077

Larry L. Orr

{"title":"Do “Evidence-Based Policy” Clearinghouses Provide Good Advice for Local Policymakers?","authors":"Larry L. Orr","doi":"10.1002/pam.70077","DOIUrl":"10.1002/pam.70077","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Policymakers are often urged to rely on “evidence-based policy” (EBP)—adopting only interventions proven effective (i.e., positive and statistically significant in multisite impact evaluations). EBP clearinghouses chronicle and rate tests of social policy interventions. But EBP clearinghouse standards are based almost entirely on internal validity. They largely ignore whether research findings from multisite trials apply to individual localities, where much of social policy is formulated. We develop a Bayesian model of the probability that the EBP rule is sound advice to local policymakers. The model allows a direct test of the probability of a correct policy decision under the EBP rule, its positive predictive value (PPV), and its negative predictive value (NPV)—the probabilities that an intervention deemed effective by that rule will in fact be effective in a particular site (PPV), and that an intervention deemed ineffective will not be effective in a particular site (NPV), given the true impact of the intervention. These intuitive, easily calculated probabilities are major contributions of this paper. In our illustrative analysis of six multisite randomized trials, we find that under the EBP clearinghouse rule the probability of a correct policy decision, PPV, and NPV are all unacceptably low unless the cross-site impact heterogeneity is quite low.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":48105,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Policy Analysis and Management","volume":"45 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145847248","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Cobots as Workforce Partners: Overcoming Barriers Through Policy Opportunities 作为劳动力伙伴的协作机器人：通过政策机会克服障碍

IF 2.4 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2025-12-28 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70083

Lindsay Jacobs, Bilge Mutlu, Robert Radwin, Timothy Smeeding

{"title":"Cobots as Workforce Partners: Overcoming Barriers Through Policy Opportunities","authors":"Lindsay Jacobs, Bilge Mutlu, Robert Radwin, Timothy Smeeding","doi":"10.1002/pam.70083","DOIUrl":"10.1002/pam.70083","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Substitution of capital in the form of automation and robotics has displaced many American manufacturing workers, especially those without college degrees. However, this need not be the path forward. We argue that now is an opportune time for greater policy emphasis on collaborative robots, or “cobots,” which are designed to complement rather than replace manual labor while raising productivity. To realize this potential, policies must properly align incentives, support training, and address often overlooked issues such as monitoring and privacy. Through an interdisciplinary lens, we examine the current state of cobot deployment and describe how well-designed job tasks, paired with carefully integrated cobots, can preserve employment opportunities while improving ergonomics and enhancing productivity. Strategic policy measures aimed at redirecting investments can balance manufacturers' needs while ensuring stable employment, higher wages, and safer workplaces. With informed and deliberate policy, the adoption of cobots can mark a new phase of technological progress while averting the costly dislocations that accompanied past automation and offshoring.</p>","PeriodicalId":48105,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Policy Analysis and Management","volume":"45 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/pam.70083","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145847167","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Apprenticeships in the United States: Emerging Opportunities and Evidence Gaps 美国学徒制：新出现的机会和证据差距

IF 2.4 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2025-12-28 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70082

Rajeev Darolia, Julia Turner

引用次数: 0

Unanticipated Effects of Electronic Benefits Transfer on WIC Stores and Redemptions: Evidence From Administrative Data on Vendors 电子利益转移对WIC商店和赎回的意外影响：来自供应商管理数据的证据

IF 2.4 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2025-12-25 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70072

Charlotte E. Ambrozek, Timothy K. M. Beatty, Marianne P. Bitler, Xinzhe H. Cheng, Matthew P. Rabbitt

{"title":"Unanticipated Effects of Electronic Benefits Transfer on WIC Stores and Redemptions: Evidence From Administrative Data on Vendors","authors":"Charlotte E. Ambrozek, Timothy K. M. Beatty, Marianne P. Bitler, Xinzhe H. Cheng, Matthew P. Rabbitt","doi":"10.1002/pam.70072","DOIUrl":"10.1002/pam.70072","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>We evaluate the effects of the nationwide transition in the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) from paper vouchers to Electronic Benefit Transfer (EBT) cards on store decisions to seek authorization to accept WIC benefits. We combine novel administrative data from “The Integrity Profile” (USDA administrative data on stores participating in WIC and their WIC reimbursements) with new nationwide policy data on WIC EBT implementation. Using a staggered adoption difference-in-differences approach, we find that the transition had heterogeneous and occasionally unanticipated effects across states. The number of WIC-authorized independent vendors declined 10% following WIC EBT implementation. We find no significant effect of WIC EBT implementation on WIC redemptions in a subset of ZIP codes with sufficient vendors for data sharing. Vendors in states that were early adopters of WIC EBT have more negative effects on the probability of WIC authorization, which may be due to learning effects or improvements in technology over time. Past experience with EBT implementation by financial services providers hired by states to help them implement WIC EBT processing (processors) reduces the magnitude of these negative effects of EBT implementation on store participation in WIC.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48105,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Policy Analysis and Management","volume":"45 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-12-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145830248","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Can Machine Learning Target Health Care Fraud? Evidence From Medicare Hospitalizations 机器学习可以打击医疗欺诈吗？来自医疗保险住院的证据

IF 2.4 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2025-12-25 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70078

Shubhranshu Shekhar, Jetson Leder-Luis, Leman Akoglu

{"title":"Can Machine Learning Target Health Care Fraud? Evidence From Medicare Hospitalizations","authors":"Shubhranshu Shekhar, Jetson Leder-Luis, Leman Akoglu","doi":"10.1002/pam.70078","DOIUrl":"10.1002/pam.70078","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The United States spends more than $4 trillion per year on health care, largely conducted by private providers and reimbursed by insurers. A major concern in this system is overbilling and fraud by hospitals, who face incentives to misreport their claims to receive higher payments. In this work, we develop novel machine learning tools to identify hospitals that overbill insurers, which can be used to guide investigations and auditing of suspicious hospitals for both public and private health insurance systems. Using large-scale claims data from Medicare, the US federal health insurance program for the elderly and disabled, we identify patterns consistent with fraud among inpatient hospitalizations. Our proposed approach for fraud detection is fully unsupervised, not relying on any labeled training data, and is explainable to end users, providing interpretations for which diagnosis, procedure, and billing codes lead to hospitals being labeled suspicious. Using newly collected data from the Department of Justice on hospitals facing anti-fraud lawsuits, and case studies of suspicious hospitals, we validate our approach and findings. Our method provides a nearly fivefold lift over random targeting of hospitals. We also perform a postanalysis to understand which hospital characteristics, not used for detection, are associated with suspiciousness.</p>","PeriodicalId":48105,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Policy Analysis and Management","volume":"45 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-12-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145830245","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Schedule-Driven Productivity: Evidence From Nontraditional School Calendars 时间表驱动的生产力：来自非传统校历的证据

IF 2.4 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70075

Taylor J. Landon, Nolan G. Pope

{"title":"Schedule-Driven Productivity: Evidence From Nontraditional School Calendars","authors":"Taylor J. Landon, Nolan G. Pope","doi":"10.1002/pam.70075","DOIUrl":"10.1002/pam.70075","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Schools often overlook how structuring student and teacher schedules may impact educational outcomes. We analyze the impact of nontraditional school calendars on student and teacher productivity. These calendars differentially allocate mandated instructional time by choosing (1) the number of hours in the school day, (2) the number of school days each year, and (3) the distribution of school days throughout the year. To do this, we use administrative data on over 2 million students and exploit the staggered elimination of nontraditional school calendars that vary on these three dimensions. We find that while school schedules have little impact on younger children's learning, school schedules with longer and fewer school days have large negative effects on older students that are equivalent to decreasing teacher quality by nearly one standard deviation. Our results appear to be driven by changes in at-home study behavior and school start times rather than how school days are distributed throughout the year. In addition, school schedules with longer and fewer school days increase teacher turnover. Our results suggest an important role of daily schedules on school productivity.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48105,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Policy Analysis and Management","volume":"45 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-12-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145759707","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Officials’ Early Life Experience and Policymaking: The Enduring Impact of China's Great Famine on Government Objectives 官员的早期生活经历与政策制定：中国大饥荒对政府目标的持久影响

IF 2.4 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70076

Caiwen Hu, Zhenyu Wang

引用次数: 0

IF 2.4 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2025-12-13 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70079

引用次数: 0