Journal of Policy Analysis and Management最新文献_第6页

Estimating Self-Selection in Medicare Advantage 估计医疗保险优势中的自我选择

IF 2.4 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2026-03-11 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70090

Moiz Bhai, Danny R. Hughes

{"title":"Estimating Self-Selection in Medicare Advantage","authors":"Moiz Bhai, Danny R. Hughes","doi":"10.1002/pam.70090","DOIUrl":"10.1002/pam.70090","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>We explore the fundamental question of selection in Medicare Advantage by exploiting quasi-experimental variation from the Initial Enrollment Period for Medicare eligibility to evaluate and describe participation in Medicare Advantage. Using administrative claims data between 2007 and 2017, we investigate the transition from commercial insurance to Medicare Advantage for a comprehensive subset of commercially insured enrollees. We use the sharp cutoff at age 65 in one of the largest commercial and Medicare Advantage databases in the United States to implement a “positive correlation” test. Our findings using baseline characteristics at age 64 reveal that enrollees in Medicare Advantage are advantageously selected on multiple measures of health status such as Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) scores, out-of-pocket costs, utilization, while differentially selected on demographic characteristics. Furthermore, using predicted Medicare Advantage utilization based on observable characteristics, we find even stronger evidence of advantageous selection, suggesting that observable characteristics at age 64 systematically predict which enrollees would benefit most from Medicare Advantage's features, indicating forward-looking selection behavior.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":48105,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Policy Analysis and Management","volume":"45 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147384114","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Can Pollution Cause Poverty? The Effects of Pollution on Educational, Health, and Economic Outcomes 污染会导致贫困吗？污染对教育、健康和经济结果的影响

IF 2.4 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2026-03-10 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70091

Claudia Persico

引用次数: 0

Understanding High Schools’ Effects on Longer-Term Outcomes 了解高中对长期结果的影响

IF 2.4 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2026-03-10 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70093

Preeya P. Mbekeani, John P. Papay, Ann Mantil, Richard J. Murnane

引用次数: 0

Incentive-Based Compensation in Police Forces 警队的奖励性薪酬

IF 2.4 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2026-03-09 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70094

Sandro Cabral, Marcelo Marchesini da Costa, Sergio Firpo, Joana Monteiro, Leonardo T. Viotti

引用次数: 0

Transaction Costs and the Take-Up of Social Safety Net Programs: Evidence From the Combined Application Project 交易成本与社会安全网项目的吸收：来自联合应用项目的证据

IF 2.4 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2026-02-23 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70086

Rosa Kleinman

引用次数: 0

How Early Morning Classes Change Academic Trajectories: Evidence From a Natural Experiment 早起课程如何改变学习轨迹：来自自然实验的证据

IF 2.4 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2026-02-23 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70088

Anthony Yim

引用次数: 0

How Effective Are Building Codes at Reducing Residential Water Use? Evidence From California Billing Data 建筑规范在减少住宅用水方面的效果如何？来自加州账单数据的证据

IF 2.4 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2026-02-15 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70089

Mehdi Nemati

{"title":"How Effective Are Building Codes at Reducing Residential Water Use? Evidence From California Billing Data","authors":"Mehdi Nemati","doi":"10.1002/pam.70089","DOIUrl":"10.1002/pam.70089","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study examines the impact of residential water-efficiency standards on household water consumption, utilizing billing data from California. I examine both the short- and long-term impacts of the California Green Building Standards Code (CALGreen), comparing homes constructed just before and after its implementation in 2010. The findings show that, on average, CALGreen homes use 11.7% less water than comparable pre-code homes, with savings persisting over time at approximately 10.9%. Notably, engineering-based (ex ante) estimates of water savings are nearly twice as large as the realized reductions, likely reflecting the “offsetting behavior” effect. The analysis further reveals that most water savings occur during warmer months when outdoor water use peaks. In addition, CALGreen homes exhibit lower sensitivity to temperature fluctuations, with smaller increases in use during hotter months and smaller reductions during cooler months. Finally, when accounting for compliance costs and the opportunity cost of water, the results suggest that CALGreen policy passes a cost-effectiveness test. These findings highlight the effectiveness of building codes as a durable policy tool for achieving long-term water conservation in fast-growing, semi-arid regions.</p>","PeriodicalId":48105,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Policy Analysis and Management","volume":"45 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2026-02-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/pam.70089","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146198770","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Award given by the Vernon Prize Committee for Volume 44 of JPAM 由弗农奖委员会颁发的《JPAM》第44卷奖

IF 2.4 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2026-02-10 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70087

引用次数: 0

Increasing Take-Up of Social Benefits: A Meta-Analysis of Field Experiments 提高社会效益：田间试验的元分析

IF 2.4 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70085

Karl-Emil Bendtsen

{"title":"Increasing Take-Up of Social Benefits: A Meta-Analysis of Field Experiments","authors":"Karl-Emil Bendtsen","doi":"10.1002/pam.70085","DOIUrl":"10.1002/pam.70085","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Can reducing administrative burdens increase the take-up of social benefits? This meta-analysis reviews 51 field experimental studies reporting 187 treatment effect sizes. Using the administrative burden framework to compare interventions, I reclassify each intervention by the stage it measures on (application vs. final receipt) and whether it reduces the learning demands by providing information or the compliance demands by providing assistance. The results indicate that it is significantly easier to increase application rates than actual take-up rates. On average, estimated treatment effects are about twice as large when outcomes are measured at the application stage as when they are measured on final benefit receipt. The most effective interventions are the ones reducing compliance demands, as these are estimated to increase actual take-up by 8.31 percentage points on average. Interventions reducing learning demands are estimated to increase actual take-up by 3.39 percentage points on average. These findings consolidate the field experimental evidence on how to improve take-up rates and highlight the need for further research on application stages, treatment compliance, and variation across welfare regimes.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48105,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Policy Analysis and Management","volume":"45 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146056182","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Localized Teacher Recruitment Through “Grow-Your-Own”: Impacts of the High School Teacher Academy of Maryland Program 通过“自我成长”的本土化教师招聘：马里兰州高中教师学院项目的影响

IF 2.4 3区管理学

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1002/pam.70084

David Blazar, Wenjing Gao, Seth Gershenson, Ramon Goings, Francisco Lagos

{"title":"Localized Teacher Recruitment Through “Grow-Your-Own”: Impacts of the High School Teacher Academy of Maryland Program","authors":"David Blazar, Wenjing Gao, Seth Gershenson, Ramon Goings, Francisco Lagos","doi":"10.1002/pam.70084","DOIUrl":"10.1002/pam.70084","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Recruiting teachers via “grow-your-own” (GYO) programs is a popular, yet rarely evaluated, strategy for addressing local workforce shortages and ensuring that incoming teachers resemble, understand, and have strong connections to their communities. We provide novel evidence on the impacts of one such GYO program by exploiting the staggered rollout of the Teacher Academy of Maryland (TAM) Career and Technical Education (CTE) program across public high schools. Exposed students were more likely to become teachers a decade later by 0.6 percentage points (pp), or 45%. Effects were concentrated among White girls (1.4pp/39%) and Black girls (0.7pp/82%), though boys benefitted too (0.2pp/59%). Although White girls induced by the program to become teachers often did so in the same district they attended as students (0.9pp/43%)—a key goal of GYO and localized teacher recruitment programs—this was less common for Black girls. Rather, Black girls induced by the program to become teachers did so in districts with more Black teachers than their home district (0.4pp/143%) and in districts with higher starting salaries (0.5pp/239%). Access to the program also increased wages (5% on average/18% for Black girls), challenging the narrative that such programs cause students to forego more lucrative professions.</p>","PeriodicalId":48105,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Policy Analysis and Management","volume":"45 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/pam.70084","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145968454","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0