{"title":"The impact of financial sanctions on economic policy uncertainty: Global evidence","authors":"Xue-Ying Liu , Wei He , Hai-Peng Duan , Rui Fan","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102558","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102558","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Based on panel data from 20 countries from 1991 to 2020, this study uses the difference-in-differences method to empirically test the impact of financial sanctions on economic policy uncertainty in sanctioned countries. The study shows that financial sanctions have significantly increased the economic policy uncertainty of sanctioned countries. This impact is mainly achieved through mechanisms such as increasing the national risk of sanctioned countries, reducing their exchange rate stability, and restricting their international trade. The study also shows that the impact of financial sanctions on economic policy uncertainty is more significant in countries with a high degree of financial globalization and a heavy foreign debt burden. The effect of multilateral sanctions is also more significant than unilateral sanctions. This study provides useful inspiration for policy responses to financial sanctions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102558"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142423907","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The role of financial flexibility in corporate cash donations","authors":"Chien-Lin Lu , Hsuan-Hua Yang , Chia-Wei Yeh","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102559","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102559","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The research on finance has established that firms with greater financial flexibility can navigate the financial crises caused by negative external factors. In this study, we investigate how financial flexibility influences a firm's cash donations. Our findings show that financially flexible firms are not only more likely to make cash donations but also tend to donate more. The positive effect of the firm's financial flexibility on cash donations is weakened when firms have higher R&D expenditures, as they tend to prioritize saving cash over making donations due to the increased uncertainty about the future. Our results further indicate that donations made by financially flexible firms tend to shrink the positive impact of donations on ESG performance. The results show that charity-related expenses may crowd out other expenses within the ESG activities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102559"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142526399","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Investor sentiment and stock market anomalies: Evidence from Islamic countries","authors":"Muhammad A. Cheema , Bayu Arie Fianto","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102557","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102557","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Studies of the Ramadan effect argue that higher stock returns in Muslim countries during Ramadan relate to higher investor sentiment. However, Islamic countries rank low on the Hofstede Individualism Index, a proxy for investor overconfidence. Therefore, this study examines the impact of investor sentiment on stock market anomalies in two advanced Islamic finance jurisdictions: Malaysia and Indonesia. It hypothesizes that stock market anomalies are stronger following high sentiment if investors in Malaysia and Indonesia are overconfident. The results show that the long and short legs of the stock market anomalies earn relatively low returns following high investor sentiment, indicating overpricing during high sentiment. Moreover, the short leg earns relatively lower returns than the long leg following high sentiment because the short leg is more overpriced than the long leg when sentiment is high. Therefore, consistent with the hypothesis, the long-short returns of anomalies are stronger following high investor sentiment because of the relatively lower returns of the short leg than the long leg.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102557"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142423905","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Banking uncertainty and cash conversion cycle","authors":"Japan Huynh","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102552","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102552","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates whether and how firms adjust the cash conversion cycle in response to uncertainty in the banking sector. Using micro data from 621 non-financial firms and 40 commercial banks in Vietnam during 2007–2022, we find that firms reduce cash cycles during periods of increased uncertainty within the banking sector. Multiple robustness checks, involving alternative measures of banking uncertainty and subsamples categorized by distinct time spans and firm listing locations, and even employing analytical tools for endogeneity control, justify the consistency of this link. For deeper insights, we decompose the cash cycle into three components and realize that in times of high uncertainty, while days receivable tend to rise, an increase in days payable and a decrease in days inventory are the main drivers of the shorter cash conversion cycle. In further analysis, we observe that the impact of banking uncertainty on cash cycles is more pronounced in non-state-owned companies or during macroeconomic shocks brought about by events of the global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. As evidence for potential mechanisms, we also reveal that uncertainty yields a more substantial reduction in cash cycles for firms burdened with higher levels of indebtedness and greater financial constraints. Finally, in an effort to gauge the marginal effect of cash cycles on firm valuation, we find that cash conversion cycles can enhance shareholder value amid elevated uncertainty. Collectively, our research could offer implications for bank-based emerging countries to manage working capital more effectively in uncertain times.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102552"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142423903","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The impact of mandatory CSR regulation on corporate financial policy: Evidence from India","authors":"Nemiraja Jadiyappa , Mrunal Prabhudas Chavda , P.J. Jijo Lukose","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102553","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102553","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines how mandatory CSR spending regulation implemented in India in 2014 impacted the financial policy of corporate firms in a quasi-natural experiment setup. The analysis shows that the debt level of treated firms decreased significantly following the CSR regulation; however, no corresponding change was observed in control firms. We attribute this decrease to the greater value that the equity of such firms commanded in capital markets following the regulation. Further, we show that this positive change in the relative importance of equity compared to debt in the post-regulation period helped firms move toward their target capital structure faster. These results remain robust for various model specifications, estimators, and sample selection procedures. Overall, these results conform to the predictions of the stakeholder and legitimacy based theories on CSR.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102553"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142423897","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Microstructure of the Chinese stock market: A historical review","authors":"Zhe Peng , Kainan Xiong , Yahui Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102551","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102551","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper provides a comprehensive review of extant studies on the microstructure of the stock market in Mainland China. We examine the price formation, trading protocols, and regulatory framework of this market and how these underpinnings affect the pricing, price patterns, and trading volume of stocks. Overall, the Chinese stock market is shaped not only by investors but also by frequent regulatory interventions and external shocks. We also describe available datasets and how the lack of granularity of data constrains high-frequency trading and studies thereon. To facilitate research in the future, we also suggest some topics for further research.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102551"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142423894","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Using machine learning to investigate the determinants of loan default in P2P lending: Are there differences between before and during COVID-19?","authors":"Qi Xu , Caixia Liu , Jing Luo , Feng Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102550","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102550","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has led to a persistent increase in the volatility of the credit market and triggered a series of financial distress and bankruptcy. To investigate whether there are differences in loan default determinants before and during COVID-19 and to identify the most effective predictors of loan default during COVID-19, this study employs machine learning methods to establish a comprehensive loan default prediction model for Peer-to-peer (P2P) lending based on four perspectives: loan characteristics, credit transaction history, personal information, and macroeconomic environment. The results show that the EXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) outperforms the other models and that credit transaction history plays a vital role in forecasting loan default over the two periods. We also find discrepancies between the effects of consumer price index, purchasing manager’ index, and the number of bidders on loan default before and during the pandemic. Our study contributes to related research fields on loan default prediction by identifying loan default determinants that are more applicable to unstable periods and investigating the impact of COVID-19 on default predictions. Meanwhile, our findings can provide P2P lending investors, platforms, and policymakers with practical implications to reduce uncertainty and losses that result from similar black swan events.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102550"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142423896","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Green fund investors and ESG performance: Evidence from China","authors":"Yumeng Zhang , Xiong Xiong , Ya Gao","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102546","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102546","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using the ESG scores from the Bloomberg Database and the manually filtered green fund investor data, we study the influence of green fund investors on the Chinese A-shares' ESG performance. As we have found, the holding of fund investors who pay attention to sustainable development can improve the firm's ESG performance, and this improvement is more pronounced in state-owned enterprises, heavily polluting industries, and after the green policy announcement. Our findings are robust after considering the reverse causality endogeneity concern and sample selection bias. In addition, the holdings of green fund investors favor the company's status as a green index constituent and its long-term financial performance. Further, the mechanism test reveals the influencing channel of this improvement and supports that it is long-term green fund investors themselves improving the firms' ESG performance and can improve a firm's ESG performance by attracting other long-term investors and new mutual fund investors, and increasing the level of media scrutiny pressure. Our paper contributes to figuring out the impact of institutional holding on ESG development and further points out the source of this influence.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102546"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142423901","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Scientific disclosure and corporate misconduct","authors":"Qifeng Zhao , Dongmin Kong , Qianfeng Luo","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102547","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102547","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the relationship between scientific disclosure and corporate misconduct. Through an analysis of comprehensive databases containing core journal publications and documented misconduct cases, we established a significant negative correlation between scientific disclosure and corporate misconduct. This association is particularly evident in firms with publications in English-language core journals. Our findings are corroborated by a series of rigorous robustness tests, including change analyses, instrumental variable estimation, Heckman's two-stage method, and the difference-in-differences approach. Moreover, our investigation into potential mechanisms reveals several pathways through which scientific disclosure may mitigate misconduct. These mechanisms include the attraction of high-quality talent, promotion of technological innovation, establishment of a positive reputation, acquisition of R&D subsidies, and deterrence of opportunistic corporate cultures. Ultimately, our results contribute to a more nuanced understanding of the role of corporate scientific disclosure in reducing misconduct and highlight the beneficial effects of corporate investment in scientific research.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102547"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142526403","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Is human capital risk lower in state-owned enterprises? — A textual analysis based on China's listed company annual reports","authors":"Haobo Tang , Huan Zhang , Yuzhen Guan , Hexuan Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102548","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102548","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Based on the annual reports of China's A-share listed companies from 2007 to 2020, this paper constructs a human capital risk index of China's listed companies through the methods of machine learning and explores the impact of state ownership on corporate human capital risk. The results show that compared with non-state-owned enterprises (non-SOEs), state-owned enterprises (SOEs) have lower human capital risk in China. Mechanism tests suggest that SOEs can offer higher compensation and benefits and maintain more stable employment relationships, which reduce human capital risk significantly. Additionally, this effect is more pronounced during periods of high economic policy uncertainty, in regions with weaker talent policies, and in areas with a lower proportion of aging labor force. The study also reveals that SOEs have lower human capital attraction and human capital retention risk than non-SOEs. Furthermore, SOEs have more educated and skilled employees, which contributes to higher human capital. Last, this study finds state ownership enhances innovation output, total factor productivity, and economic value added by mitigating human capital risk.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102548"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142423900","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}