{"title":"Economic uncertainty and innovation capability: Corruption as a barrier to innovation output","authors":"Yunpeng Sun , Yaman Omer Erzurumlu , Giray Gozgor","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102855","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102855","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Economic uncertainty reduces National Innovation Capability (NIC), primarily by suppressing creative output as firms defer investment. Analysing 107 economies from 2013 to 2023, we find that corruption independently undermines knowledge output, compounding the effects of uncertainty. Business and market sophistication mitigate uncertainty, robust innovation linkages, and deep domestic markets sustain innovation activity. This study contributes by isolating the distinct harm of corruption to knowledge production (as opposed to uncertainty's broader impact on NIC) and identifying institutional and market safeguards. Policymakers must combat corruption to protect innovation systems while fostering sophisticated business ecosystems to buffer uncertainty.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"93 ","pages":"Article 102855"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144510873","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Power of decomposition in volatility forecasting for Bitcoins","authors":"Prakash Raj, Koushik Bera, N. Selvaraju","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102839","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102839","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This article aims to show the power of decomposition techniques in estimating Bitcoin returns volatility with a time series volatility model. The realized generalized autoregressive heteroscedasticity (RGARCH) model, employing high-frequency data in the form of realized measures, is integrated with empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and variational mode decomposition (VMD) to estimate volatility. The high fluctuations in Bitcoin prices suggest using jump-robust estimators. The superior forecasting accuracy of proposed models compared to RGARCH and GARCH models across various metrics underscores the utility of decomposition in the volatility modeling of Bitcoin returns. VMD reigns supreme over EMD as it preserves the estimators’ ranking. In particular, the RGARCH-VMD model estimated using jump-robust estimators, namely realized tri-power variation and realized bi-power variation, outperforms all competing models. Since the Chicago Mercantile Exchange officially offers Bitcoin options, the strong performance of our models can be valuable for option pricing and risk management.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"93 ","pages":"Article 102839"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144481808","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The liquidity effect of media coverage: International evidence1","authors":"Thi Hong Hanh Huynh, Tung Lam Dang","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102852","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102852","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We examine the media coverage–stock liquidity relation and its variation across country-level institutional environments. We utilize a comprehensive data set of firm-level media coverage across 44 countries for the period 2000–2020, and identify that media coverage is positively associated with stock liquidity. Additionally, the positive association between media coverage and stock liquidity is more pronounced among firms with less transparent information environment and lower firm visibility. Our cross-country analysis suggests that the liquidity-enhancing effect of media coverage is stronger for firms in countries with weaker institutional characteristics. These findings further elucidate the role of the media in international stock markets.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"93 ","pages":"Article 102852"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144364963","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Can digital finance foster green innovation in short-term debt for long-term investment firms?","authors":"Long Tang , Yanbing Wen , Yan Jiang","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102849","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102849","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Green innovation plays a crucial role in driving socio-economic green transformation and facilitating high-quality development. However, achieving this objective necessitates substantial long-term capital investment. Currently, many Chinese enterprises face the challenge of relying on short-term debt for long-term investment (SDFLI), which severely limits their capacity to enhance green innovation. Consequently, there is an urgent need to reform the enterprise financing system. This study utilizes data from listed companies in China and the digital finance index to examine the impact and mechanism of rapidly developing digital finance in recent years on the green innovation of enterprises engaged in SDFLI. The findings indicate that SDFLI will significantly impede the green innovation capacity of enterprises. Conversely, the advancement of digital finance enhances the green innovation capacity of such enterprises engaged in SDFLI through reducing corporate credit rents, promoting supply chain finance development, improving accessibility to financial services, alleviating financing constraints, upgrading human capital structure, and increasing investment in research and development. Notably, this impact varies depending on enterprise ownership, size, life cycle stage, and regional variations in environmental regulatory intensity. Further research reveals that digital finance significantly increases the proportion of credit borrowings in the debt structure of SDFLI enterprises. Hence, it is crucial for regions to fully leverage digital finance to empower enterprise development. By enhancing capital allocation efficiency and catering to diverse financial needs, regions can deepen the concept of green development, raise awareness of social environmental protection and supervision, and continuously promote green innovation. This integration of green innovation and sustainable development will provide robust support for the green transformation and high-quality development of the social economy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"93 ","pages":"Article 102849"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144481807","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Muhammad Abubakr Naeem , Raazia Gul , Nadia Arfaoui , Walid Bakry , Muhammad Ishaq Bhatti
{"title":"Riding the storm: AI-driven spillover effects across technology, commodities, and conventional markets","authors":"Muhammad Abubakr Naeem , Raazia Gul , Nadia Arfaoui , Walid Bakry , Muhammad Ishaq Bhatti","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102845","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102845","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The rising prevalence of artificial intelligence emphasizes the need to understand the complex dynamics and risks within data-driven environments, particularly in light of the challenges related to the ‘black box’ nature of many AI systems. This study delves into the downside risk contagion between innovative technology assets (e.g., AI, Metaverse, Fintech), energy markets (e.g., oil, natural gas), gold, and conventional markets (e.g., stocks, bonds) from July 2018 to December 2023. Using advanced econometric techniques, the research uncovers critical insights into market behavior during turbulent times. The results reveal a significant increase in market connectedness during crises, particularly during the COVID-19 outbreak. Notably, strong connectedness is observed among innovative technology sectors, while weaker links are evident between bond and technology markets. Furthermore, natural gas exhibits weak connectivity with other markets, highlighting its potential for diversification. Another key finding shows that natural gas and Bitcoin emerge as the riskiest assets, while gold, AI, and Metaverse maintain more stable tail risk profiles over time. These findings offer valuable insights for investors, financial advisors, and portfolio managers navigating volatile market environments.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"93 ","pages":"Article 102845"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144331117","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Greenwashing and ESG: Bibliometric analysis and future research agenda","authors":"Pritpal Singh Bhullar , Mahesh Joshi , Sharad Sharma , Amanpreet Kaur , Duc Phan","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102846","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102846","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The current paper aims to explore key issues from a qualitative perspective to understand the determinants and potential impacts of greenwashing on ongoing ESG practices within the business community. The systematic literature review and bibliographic coupling analysis classify and examine research on ESG and greenwashing from 2017 to 2024. PRISMA framework was employed to scrutinise the relevant literature. VOSviewer and RStudio were employed to conduct thematic clustering, factorial analysis, and keyword citation analysis, leading to the identification of seven distinct research clusters. The study identifies key trends and emerging topics, offering valuable insights into lesser-known dimensions of greenwashing and ESG. The study emphasises capital market efficiency and the role of ESG disclosures in minimising information asymmetry and mispricing in equity markets. The study suggests enabling ESG auditing as a mechanism to address greenwashing, with a focus on improving transparency and accountability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"93 ","pages":"Article 102846"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144501142","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Generative AI: The transformative impact of ChatGPT on systemic financial risk in Chinese banks","authors":"Yikai Zhao, Runyu Dai , Jun Nagayasu","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102829","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102829","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We investigate the impact of ChatGPT, a generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) application, on the systemic financial risk of Chinese banks. Using a sample of 42 publicly traded banks and employing regression discontinuity (RD) and regression discontinuity difference-in-differences (RD-DID) methodologies, we assess the immediate effects following the launch of ChatGPT on November 30, 2022. Our findings reveal an immediate and significant increase in systemic financial risk, measured by <span><math><mrow><mi>Δ</mi><mi>C</mi><mi>o</mi><mi>V</mi><mi>a</mi><mi>R</mi></mrow></math></span>. Robustness checks, including placebo tests, alternative risk measures, and varying sample windows, confirm the reliability of these results. Mechanism analysis highlights that transitional challenges during GenAI adoption exacerbate systemic vulnerabilities. Smaller banks, rural commercial banks, and banks with higher nonperforming loan ratios (NPL) face heightened risks, while large state-owned banks remain relatively insulated. These findings underscore the double-edged nature of disruptive innovations such that GenAI integration poses short-term risks to financial stability even if GenAI has transformative potential.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"93 ","pages":"Article 102829"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144313638","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"An empirical investigation of ESG dimensions and bank performance: Evidence from the COVID-19 crisis","authors":"An-Chi Liu , Yung-Chih Lien , Yang Li","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102851","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102851","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The Paris Agreement, signed at the end of 2015, aims to align financial flows with a path to low greenhouse gas emissions and climate-resilient development, guiding financial markets to directly participate in sustainable development via environmental, social, and governance (ESG) activities. As the COVID-19 pandemic provides an excellent opportunity to evaluate how exogenous shocks influence the functioning of the economic system, this research extends the double bootstrap truncated regression model proposed by Simar and Wilson (2007) by incorporating undesirable outputs to analyze how the pandemic affects the relationship between ESG dimensions and commercial bank performance.</div><div>The data come from the 2018–2022 annual reports of Taiwanese commercial banks and their corresponding annual sustainability reports, covering 30 commercial banks with a total of 120 observations. The empirical results show that although ESG dimensions may not directly benefit Taiwan's commercial banks, they do play an important role in cushioning the effects of external disturbances. Moreover, environmental sustainability offers greater benefits to non-financial holding banks than to financial holding banks, while social and governance sustainabilities have a greater impact on banks established before the 1991 deregulation than on those founded afterward.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"93 ","pages":"Article 102851"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144331360","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"ESG rating disagreement and dynamic capital structure adjustment","authors":"Yifan Yang, Yi Deng","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102844","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102844","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the impact of ESG rating disagreement on the speed of corporate capital structure adjustment. Our findings reveal that a one standard deviation increase in ESG rating disagreement leads to a 7.8 % reduction in the average rate of capital structure adjustment. This hindering effect is particularly pronounced in companies with downward deviations from their target capital structure. The analysis identifies financing constraints, financial resource allocation efficiency, and investor confidence are the main mechanisms that reduce the speed of adjustment. Furthermore, higher ESG performance would help reduce the dampening effect of ESG rating disagreement on the speed of adjustment. According to different rating agency sources, we also find that the average domestic ESG disagreement is a greater impediment to the speed of adjustment. Finally, improving the quality of corporate information disclosure effectively reduces this negative impact.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"93 ","pages":"Article 102844"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144307349","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The green governance effect of retail investor attention: Evidence from China's investor interactive platforms","authors":"Zhenyi Yang , Rijing Lu , Rui Lu , Qi Yan","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102848","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102848","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As the climate issues intensify, corporate environmental performance has garnered greater attention globally. Beyond environmental regulations, a market-oriented approach to govern corporate environmental behavior is urgently needed. Based on account-level data from China's two investor interactive platforms, namely the “eHuDong” and “HuDongYi” of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges, we empirically find that retail investor attention can exert a significant green governance effect by curbing corporate greenwashing behavior. This effect operates through enhancing minority shareholder activism and drawing attention of other stakeholders. Moreover, we find that the green governance effect of retail investors complements the effect of local environmental regulations but is less evident in companies under great financial pressure. Further research reveals that retail investor attention not only reduces environmental information disclosure but also increases corporate environmental investment and green patents, thereby elevating the overall ESG ratings. This paper provides both theoretical support and empirical evidence for leveraging the green governance effect of retail investors to foster sustainable development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"93 ","pages":"Article 102848"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144313639","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}