Journal of Policy Modeling最新文献_第3页

Modelling global water policies 模拟全球水资源政策

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2025.01.010

Pasquale Lucio Scandizzo , Richard Damania

{"title":"Modelling global water policies","authors":"Pasquale Lucio Scandizzo , Richard Damania","doi":"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2025.01.010","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2025.01.010","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This article develops an analysis of evolving water availability through a novel global Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model that moves beyond existing approaches by incorporating both precipitation and total water storage (TWS)– a more comprehensive measure of water availability encompassing surface water, groundwater, and soil moisture. To this aim, the article first provides an overview of the problem of economic modelling of water in a general equilibrium context, through a review of CGE models that have attempted to deal with water as a key economic input and its direct and indirect influence on markets and well-being. Secondly, it includes the health effects of inadequate water supply and sanitation (WASH), capturing a key dimension of water availability and its distributional effects. Third, it provides a granular representation of how water enters in the different value chains, providing novel suggestions and a better understanding of how water widespread influence across sectors may contribute to a more significant impact of climate change than estimated by other studies. Simulations are employed to evaluate the costs associated with policy inaction under various water scenarios, including those influenced by climate change, offering crucial guidance for proactive policy interventions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48015,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Policy Modeling","volume":"47 2","pages":"Pages 407-427"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144138890","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The intractability of public debt in post-independent Zimbabwe: An international comparison 独立后津巴布韦棘手的公共债务：一个国际比较

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2025.01.009

Freeman Munisi Mateko , Barbra Maiwasha , Emmanuel Tsara

{"title":"The intractability of public debt in post-independent Zimbabwe: An international comparison","authors":"Freeman Munisi Mateko , Barbra Maiwasha , Emmanuel Tsara","doi":"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2025.01.009","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2025.01.009","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>How has public and publicly guaranteed debt in post-independent Zimbabwe relentlessly spiralled over time? The mixed method study aimed to determine the causes and effects that have triggered a debt crisis in Zimbabwe. Descriptive data on public debt was obtained from the World Bank portal for the period 1980–2022. The research used documentary evidence obtained from online repositories. Documentary analysis was used under the data analysis section. Research findings indicated that high public debt was a result of continuous borrowing from financial institutions, corruption, weak institutions, non-adherence to the available legal frameworks, unbudgeted expenditures, as well as a lack of transparency and accountability in public debt management. It was also established that unsustainable public debt in Zimbabwe led to slow economic growth and a loss of creditworthiness status. The novelty of the research is on the basis of examining the causes and effects of public debt as well as providing solutions. These research findings imply that Zimbabwe must reduce its public debt levels in order to improve its capacity to meet macro-economic objectives and attain sustainable development goals. In terms of policy recommendations, it was suggested that there is a need for implementing public debt policy, debt transparency, a strong commitment to deal with corruption, responsible and restrained government borrowing.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48015,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Policy Modeling","volume":"47 2","pages":"Pages 394-406"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144138889","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Discrimination based on employer preferences: The height premium in China 基于雇主偏好的歧视：中国的身高溢价

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.10.002

Fei Peng , Lili Kang , Xiaocong Yang , Sajid Anwar

{"title":"Discrimination based on employer preferences: The height premium in China","authors":"Fei Peng , Lili Kang , Xiaocong Yang , Sajid Anwar","doi":"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.10.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.10.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the policy issue of height-based discrimination in China's labour market using a comprehensive nationwide survey dataset spanning from 1989 to 2015. Employing a theoretical framework that considers statistical discrimination resulting from employer preferences for cognitive and non-cognitive skills associated with productivity, the research investigates the impact of height on hourly wages. The empirical analysis reveals a height premium of approximately 5.97 % per ten-centimetre increase and identifies educational attainment as a factor explaining about one-third of this premium. Furthermore, the study finds that female employees with higher education levels experience greater height premiums. Interestingly, the height premium is smaller in the public sector, senior technical occupations, in regions with a collectivist culture that centres around traditional rice-growing practices, and during the earlier transition period (before 2000) when cognitive skills held more significance. These findings suggest the widespread occurrence of height-based statistical discrimination in China’s labour market and underscore the necessity for the policy interventions of health care and nutrition intake in early life and the later effective anti-discrimination regulations in labour market.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48015,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Policy Modeling","volume":"47 2","pages":"Pages 276-297"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144137714","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Increasing taxes on ‘bads’ and reducing them on ‘goods’: A double dividend hypothesis of carbon taxation 增加对“坏”的征税，减少对“好”的征税：碳税的双重红利假设

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.11.002

Gurleen Kaur Malhotra , Amlendu Dubey

引用次数: 0

Lowering trade barriers improves income distribution and economic resiliency 降低贸易壁垒可以改善收入分配和经济弹性

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.09.004

Maksym Chepeliev , Maryla Maliszewska , Israel Osorio-Rodarte , Maria Filipa Seara e Pereira , Dominique van der Mensbrugghe

{"title":"Lowering trade barriers improves income distribution and economic resiliency","authors":"Maksym Chepeliev , Maryla Maliszewska , Israel Osorio-Rodarte , Maria Filipa Seara e Pereira , Dominique van der Mensbrugghe","doi":"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.09.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.09.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The U.S.-China trade war, COVID-19 pandemic and Russian invasion of Ukraine contributed to calls for greater economic self-sufficiency by exposing gaps in international collaboration and the uncertainty of global supply chains. In this study, we apply a comprehensive global modeling framework to enhance understanding of the potential impacts of fragmentation of global value chains. Supporting the general argument toward economic benefits from open markets our analysis contributes to the policy debate in two important dimensions of this phenomenon—distributional impacts and economic resiliency. We find that tariff liberalization and trade facilitation measures implemented by developing countries could not only reduce between-country inequality but also result in progressive within-country income distribution primarily through lowering food prices, as well as increasing unskilled wages. In addition, using a case study of disruption to Thailand’s electronics industry, we find higher resiliency of developing countries to external shocks in the globalized (as opposed to a localized) world.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48015,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Policy Modeling","volume":"47 1","pages":"Pages 30-48"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143519779","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Is there worldwide convergence toward the SDGs? 世界范围内是否存在可持续发展目标的趋同？

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.12.002

Simona Bigerna, Silvia Micheli

引用次数: 0

The short-run displacement of EU cohesion funds in Italy: Has reprogramming a positive impact on regional growth? 欧盟凝聚力基金在意大利的短期转移：重新规划对地区增长有积极影响吗？

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.09.003

Fabio Mazzola, Debora Gambina

引用次数: 0

Exploring policy responses to labour-saving technologies: An assessment of basic income, job guarantee, and working time reduction 探索对节省劳力技术的政策回应：对基本收入、工作保障和减少工作时间的评估

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2025.01.001

Simone D’Alessandro , Tiziano Distefano , Guilherme Spinato Morlin , Davide Villani

引用次数: 0

Inflation's dual impact on European banks' profitability 通货膨胀对欧洲银行盈利能力的双重影响

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.11.004

Renata Karkowska , Zbigniew Korzeb , Paweł Niedziółka

引用次数: 0

New rules, new game? The effects of the away goals rule removal and video assistant referee adoption on game dynamics in UEFA Champions League ties 新规则，新游戏？取消客场进球规则和采用视频助理裁判对欧冠比赛动态的影响

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.12.003

Mustafa Yildirim , Mustafa Erhan Bilman

{"title":"New rules, new game? The effects of the away goals rule removal and video assistant referee adoption on game dynamics in UEFA Champions League ties","authors":"Mustafa Yildirim , Mustafa Erhan Bilman","doi":"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.12.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.12.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the impact of two recent rule changes in European soccer: the abolition of the away goals rule (AGR) and the introduction of the Video Assistant Referee (VAR) system. Specifically, it examines how these changes affect game dynamics, focusing on playing style indicators and disciplinary outcomes within the UEFA Champions League. We collect data on 1244 two-legged ties (2488 individual matches), spanning the seasons from the start of 2000/01 to the play-off stage of 2023/24. By analyzing the data at both the aggregate tie and individual leg levels and controlling for an extensive array of confounding variables, we challenge UEFA’s rationale for discontinuing the AGR. Contrary to UEFA’s justification for its removal, our findings reveal that the AGR promotes offensive rather than defensive play. Our findings regarding the VAR accord with the predominant view in the literature: less referee bias against away teams and increased aversion to risky tackles, hence, fewer disciplinary infractions. Given that the ties played under the AGR are found to be more competitive and thus more entertaining, our key policy implication is that UEFA should consider reinstating the AGR. Our results also suggest that the VAR should remain in place as it stimulates fairness and rule-abiding play.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48015,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Policy Modeling","volume":"47 1","pages":"Pages 78-96"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143519781","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0