Journal of Policy Modeling最新文献_第3页

The economy-wide impact of cooking oil subsidy reforms and compensation to the oil palm industry 食用油补贴改革对整个经济的影响以及对油棕榈树产业的补偿

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.05.008

Jing Jing Liu, Norlida Hanim Mohd Salleh, Nor Ghani Md Nor

{"title":"The economy-wide impact of cooking oil subsidy reforms and compensation to the oil palm industry","authors":"Jing Jing Liu, Norlida Hanim Mohd Salleh, Nor Ghani Md Nor","doi":"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.05.008","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.05.008","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div><span><span>This study analyses the economy-wide impact of cooking oil subsidy reforms using two simulations: complete subsidy removal and compensation for the oil palm industry. The study focuses on </span>macroeconomic variables<span>, industrial output, and employment. A Computable General Equilibrium model<span> is used for analysis. The study found that complete subsidy removal leads to negative impacts on the macroeconomy, causing a slight decrease in economic growth. It also results in negative impacts on industrial output and employment. On the other hand, reallocating the revenue to the oil palm industry investment could mitigate these adverse effects, and further leads to an increase in economic growth. The reallocation improves the output of the oil palm industry and reduces its </span></span></span>labour demand<span>. The impacts on other industries' output and employment vary. Removing cooking oil subsidy can be a viable option because of its marginal impacts. It's also recommended to compensate the oil palm industry, especially independent smallholders.</span></div></div>","PeriodicalId":48015,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Policy Modeling","volume":"46 6","pages":"Pages 1228-1242"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141134190","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Labour supply responses to a negative income tax in Spain 西班牙劳动力供应对负所得税的反应

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.02.007

Amadeo Fuenmayor, Rafael Granell, Teresa Savall

引用次数: 0

The economywide recovery measures in Rwanda during the COVID-19 pandemic: How useful a lesson? 卢旺达在 COVID-19 大流行期间采取的全经济复苏措施：有多大借鉴意义？

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.07.004

Emerta Aragie, Xinshen Diao, David J. Spielman, James Thurlow

{"title":"The economywide recovery measures in Rwanda during the COVID-19 pandemic: How useful a lesson?","authors":"Emerta Aragie, Xinshen Diao, David J. Spielman, James Thurlow","doi":"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.07.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.07.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, governments in many low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) immediately introduced strict public health measures to contain the spread of infection. The economic consequences of these measures were negative and often large in magnitude, necessitating the rapid introduction of economic relief and recovery measures to reinvigorate economic growth and safeguard affected households. Rwanda stands out among other LMICs both for its effective public health policy response and its adaptive economic policy response to COVID-19. Using a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of Rwanda, this paper assesses the economywide and welfare impacts of these policy measures and contextualizes results within the overall policy response to COVID-19. Modeling results generated at an early stage of Rwanda’s pandemic experience indicated that relief and recovery measures introduced in 2020 could mitigate COVID-19′s recessionary effects by about 0.8 % points of total GDP, help to recover about 115,000 jobs and, through cash transfers, significantly reduce income losses among poorer households, with total benefits from the measures exceeded their cost by a ratio of 2.2. These results demonstrate the widely replicable value of economywide modeling when used in a timely manner and when positioned within a policymaking process.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48015,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Policy Modeling","volume":"46 6","pages":"Pages 1103-1124"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141943901","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Health and growth in China: Greater investment in both soft- and hard-ware are needed 中国的健康与增长：需要加大软硬件投资

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.02.006

Fu Shuyong, Chen Shuyu, Zhai Jinlong

引用次数: 0

Fiscal stance role for ECB monetary policy 财政立场对欧洲央行货币政策的作用

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.06.008

Linas Jurkšas , Francisco Gomes Pereira

引用次数: 0

Harmonizing economic and environmental costs in the CAP to improve efficiency and effectiveness of policies 统一补充性追加计划的经济和环境成本，提高政策的效率和效果

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.05.011

引用次数: 0

How do carbon prices spill over along global supply chains? The impact on Europe and Germany 碳价格如何沿全球供应链蔓延？对欧洲和德国的影响

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.03.005

引用次数: 0

Immigration and the distribution of income, consumption and wealth in the euro area: Implications for economic policies 移民与欧元区的收入、消费和财富分配：对经济政策的影响

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.02.005

{"title":"Immigration and the distribution of income, consumption and wealth in the euro area: Implications for economic policies","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.02.005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.02.005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We use representative data from household surveys in the euro area to describe differences in wages, income, consumption, wealth<span> and liquid assets between households born in their country of residence (“natives”) and those born in other EU and non-EU countries (“immigrants”). The differences in wealth<span> and liquid assets are more substantial than the differences in wages, income and consumption: immigrants earn on average about 30% lower wages than natives and hold roughly 60% less net wealth. For all variables, only a small fraction of differences between natives and immigrants—around 30%—can be explained by differences in demographics (age, gender, marital status, education, occupation, sector of employment). Immigrants are more likely to be liquidity constrained: while we classify 17% of natives as “hand-to-mouth” (they hold liquid assets worth less than two weeks of their income), the corresponding share is 20% for households born in another EU country and 29% for those born outside the EU. Employment rates of immigrants are substantially more sensitive to fluctuations in aggregate employment. We discuss the implications of these findings for economic policies, including monetary, fiscal and pre-distribution policies.</span></span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":48015,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Policy Modeling","volume":"46 5","pages":"Pages 867-886"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139921013","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Is bribery a conscious, strategic and rational choice? Impact on firms’ growth in India 贿赂是一种有意识的、战略性的和理性的选择吗？对印度企业增长的影响

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.06.001

引用次数: 0

Fed and ECB reaction functions during quantitative easing: Three phases of monetary policy, both conventional and unconventional 量化宽松期间美联储和欧洲央行的反应功能：货币政策的三个阶段，包括常规和非常规阶段

IF 3.5 2区经济学

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.03.003

引用次数: 0