Review of Economic Dynamics最新文献

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On the black-white gaps in labor supply and earnings over the lifecycle in the US 关于美国生命周期中劳动力供给和收入的黑白差距
IF 2 3区 经济学
Review of Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-04-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2023.04.001
Christopher Rauh , Arnau Valladares-Esteban
{"title":"On the black-white gaps in labor supply and earnings over the lifecycle in the US","authors":"Christopher Rauh ,&nbsp;Arnau Valladares-Esteban","doi":"10.1016/j.red.2023.04.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.red.2023.04.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In the US economy, Black men, on average, receive lower wages than White men, and the difference increases over the working life. The employment rate and the number of hours worked are also lower for Blacks, but the gap is nearly constant. Together these facts suggest that on-the-job human capital accumulation might explain the diverging wages. However, the wage gap and its evolution over the lifecycle cannot be explained by differences in accumulated experience or educational attainment for the cohort we analyze. Instead, the combination of experience and test scores measured at ages 17-22 accounts for the wage gap and its growth. We propose an on-the-job human capital accumulation model with heterogeneity in the initial human capital endowment and the lifelong ability to accumulate human capital, and endogenous labor supply at the extensive and intensive margins to explain the evolution of the Black-White wage gap over the lifecycle. We discipline the distribution of the ability to accumulate human capital using the power of test scores to predict earnings growth in the data. We find that if the pre-market distributions were the same for Blacks and Whites, the racial gap in hourly earnings would be closed by 84%, with the remaining gap opening throughout life due to higher labor supply amongst White men. That is, the unequal conditions with which men in the two groups enter the labor market are likely to be the key determinant of the differences over the lifecycle.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47890,"journal":{"name":"Review of Economic Dynamics","volume":"51 ","pages":"Pages 424-449"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1094202523000169/pdfft?md5=c9541f67ea8262fab9dc2457245d2902&pid=1-s2.0-S1094202523000169-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135519227","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Global DSGE models 全球DSGE模型
IF 2 3区 经济学
Review of Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-01-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2023.01.001
Dan Cao , Wenlan Luo , Guangyu Nie
{"title":"Global DSGE models","authors":"Dan Cao ,&nbsp;Wenlan Luo ,&nbsp;Guangyu Nie","doi":"10.1016/j.red.2023.01.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.red.2023.01.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We introduce our GDSGE framework and a novel global solution method, called <em>simultaneous transition and policy function iterations (STPFIs)</em><span>, for solving dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models. The framework encompasses many well-known incomplete markets models with highly nonlinear dynamics such as models of financial crises and models with rare disasters including the current COVID-19 pandemic. Using </span><em>consistency equations</em><span>, our method is most effective at solving models featuring endogenous state variables with implicit laws of motion such as wealth or consumption shares. Finally, we incorporate this method in an automated and publicly available toolbox that solves many important models in the aforementioned topics, and in many cases, more efficiently and/or accurately than their original algorithms.</span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":47890,"journal":{"name":"Review of Economic Dynamics","volume":"51 ","pages":"Pages 199-225"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138542571","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Heterogeneous spillovers of housing credit policy 住房信贷政策的异质性溢出效应
IF 2 3区 经济学
Review of Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2022-11-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2022.11.005
Myroslav Pidkuyko
{"title":"Heterogeneous spillovers of housing credit policy","authors":"Myroslav Pidkuyko","doi":"10.1016/j.red.2022.11.005","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2022.11.005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span>We study the spillovers<span><span> from government intervention in the mortgage market on households' consumption. Expansionary </span>credit policy increases the consumption of homeowners with mortgage debt significantly, while the consumption response of homeowners without mortgage debt is small and insignificant. Non-homeowners also increase their consumption but less than mortgagors. We also find heterogeneous responses of households of different ages. We explain these facts through a life-cycle model with incomplete markets and endogenous housing choice. Downward pressure on the credit and </span></span>interest rates<span> creates extra wealth for the mortgagors via the refinancing channel.</span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":47890,"journal":{"name":"Review of Economic Dynamics","volume":"51 ","pages":"Pages 39-59"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138739246","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Marginal propensity to consume and unemployment: A meta-analysis 边际消费倾向与失业:元分析
IF 2 3区 经济学
Review of Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2023.08.005
Anna Sokolova
{"title":"Marginal propensity to consume and unemployment: A meta-analysis","authors":"Anna Sokolova","doi":"10.1016/j.red.2023.08.005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.red.2023.08.005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper considers 1244 estimates of marginal propensities to consume (MPC) out of stimulus checks and other small transitory or predictable payments. The mean quarterly MPC estimate reported by the literature is .35, but estimates vary widely. I use meta-regressions to study sources of this variation. MPC estimates increase with the unemployment rate: at 4% unemployment MPC out of a $1200 stimulus check is about .22, while for unemployment of 8% it is around .4. MPC estimates decrease with the size of the payments. MPCs are lower for households holding ample liquidity. MPCs out of stimulus checks are higher than those out of some recurring payments. These results highlight the importance of considering state-dependent multipliers, liquidity constraints, two-asset models, near rationality, and mental accounting.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47890,"journal":{"name":"Review of Economic Dynamics","volume":"51 ","pages":"Pages 813-846"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73155619","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The preferential treatment of green bonds 绿色债券的优惠待遇
IF 2 3区 经济学
Review of Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2023.06.006
Francesco Giovanardi , Matthias Kaldorf , Lucas Radke , Florian Wicknig
{"title":"The preferential treatment of green bonds","authors":"Francesco Giovanardi ,&nbsp;Matthias Kaldorf ,&nbsp;Lucas Radke ,&nbsp;Florian Wicknig","doi":"10.1016/j.red.2023.06.006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.red.2023.06.006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span>We study the preferential treatment of green bonds in the central bank collateral framework as a climate policy instrument within a </span>DSGE model<span> with climate and financial frictions. In the model, green and carbon-emitting conventional firms issue defaultable corporate bonds to banks that use them as collateral, subject to haircuts determined by the central bank. A haircut reduction induces firms to increase bond issuance, investment, leverage, and default risk. Collateral policy solves a trade-off between increasing collateral supply, adverse effects on firm risk-taking, and subsidizing green investment. Optimal collateral policy is characterized by a haircut gap of 20 percentage points, which increases the green investment share and reduces emissions. However, welfare gains fall well short of what can be achieved with optimal carbon taxes. Moreover, due to elevated risk-taking of green firms, preferential treatment is a qualitatively imperfect substitute of Pigouvian taxation on emissions: if and only if the optimal emission tax can not be implemented, optimal collateral policy features a preferential treatment of green bonds.</span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":47890,"journal":{"name":"Review of Economic Dynamics","volume":"51 ","pages":"Pages 657-676"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136177143","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The fundamental surplus revisited 重新审视基本盈余
IF 2 3区 经济学
Review of Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2022-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2022.11.003
Bingsong Wang
{"title":"The fundamental surplus revisited","authors":"Bingsong Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.red.2022.11.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.red.2022.11.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>To generate large responses of unemployment to productivity changes requires a high elasticity of the fundamental surplus with respect to productivity. When all deductions that enter the fundamental surplus are acyclical, and the fundamental surplus does not involve endogenous variables, then the elasticity of the fundamental surplus coincides with the inverse of the fundamental surplus fraction.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47890,"journal":{"name":"Review of Economic Dynamics","volume":"51 ","pages":"Pages 1-15"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S109420252200059X/pdfft?md5=8a32d60db0d810ed1cce3fd7696a2b09&pid=1-s2.0-S109420252200059X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"75638745","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Trend inflation and evolving inflation dynamics: A Bayesian GMM analysis 趋势通胀和不断变化的通胀动态:贝叶斯 GMM 分析
IF 2 3区 经济学
Review of Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-06-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2023.05.003
Yasufumi Gemma , Takushi Kurozumi , Mototsugu Shintani
{"title":"Trend inflation and evolving inflation dynamics: A Bayesian GMM analysis","authors":"Yasufumi Gemma ,&nbsp;Takushi Kurozumi ,&nbsp;Mototsugu Shintani","doi":"10.1016/j.red.2023.05.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.red.2023.05.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Inflation<span> dynamics are investigated by estimating a generalized version of the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) of Galí and Gertler (1999) using Bayesian GMM. US macroeconomic data suggests that the generalized NKPC (GNKPC) performs best in terms of quasi-marginal likelihood among those considered both during and after the Great Inflation period. The estimated GNKPC indicates that when trend inflation fell after the Great Inflation period, the probability of price change decreased and the GNKPC flattened, which is in line with findings by previous studies.</span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":47890,"journal":{"name":"Review of Economic Dynamics","volume":"51 ","pages":"Pages 506-520"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72528752","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Low safe interest rates: A case for dynamic inefficiency? 低安全利率:动态低效的案例?
IF 2 3区 经济学
Review of Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-06-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2023.06.005
Gaetano Bloise , Pietro Reichlin
{"title":"Low safe interest rates: A case for dynamic inefficiency?","authors":"Gaetano Bloise ,&nbsp;Pietro Reichlin","doi":"10.1016/j.red.2023.06.005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.red.2023.06.005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We reexamine the tests for dynamic inefficiency in productive overlapping-generations economies with stochastic growth. Contrary to certain claims in the recent literature, we argue that the size of real safe interest rates relative to average GDP growth is an inconclusive test for dynamic inefficiency. A more accurate test should take into account the correlation between growth and the marginal utility of wealth. We provide an exhaustive criterion based on the growth-adjusted <em>dominant root</em> of the stochastic discount factor emerging at the competitive equilibrium. Surprisingly, a preliminary rough empirical application of this criterion uncovers <em>dynamic inefficiency</em> of the US economy for any reasonable degree of risk aversion. We also distinguish capital overaccumulation from an inefficient distribution of consumption risk. The refined test for capital overaccumulation is rather stringent: Capital is not overaccumulated if the net dividend remains positive <em>with some probability</em>, as opposed to <em>always</em>, as in the original <span>Abel et al. (1989)</span>'s formulation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47890,"journal":{"name":"Review of Economic Dynamics","volume":"51 ","pages":"Pages 633-656"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1094202523000248/pdfft?md5=6f10123863de77e94b0658702911e07f&pid=1-s2.0-S1094202523000248-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136177898","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Business ownership and the secondary market 企业所有权和二级市场
IF 2 3区 经济学
Review of Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-10-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2023.10.002
Zachary Mahone
{"title":"Business ownership and the secondary market","authors":"Zachary Mahone","doi":"10.1016/j.red.2023.10.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.red.2023.10.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>I combine survey and transaction data to empirically characterize secondary markets for wholly owned businesses in the United States. While markets are active, with an estimated 2.9% of businesses sold annually, they are also frictional, with the median sale taking between 170 and 200 days. To quantify the impact of market frictions on business formation, ownership, continuation, and entrepreneurial welfare, I estimate a search and matching model of business ownership and resale using novel data from an online market. In the estimated model, removing secondary markets reduces output by almost 21%, while firm entry rates rise by 2.5 percentage points, highlighting a trade-off between firm entry and continuation that is absent in models without resale. I then characterize the planner's problem and show that buying and selling decisions will generally never be simultaneously efficient. A transaction tax used to finance a minimum income scheme for entrepreneurs raises welfare by 0.94%. Finally, I extend the model to include founding risk and find the risky economy is five times more responsive to frictions relative to the benchmark economy.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47890,"journal":{"name":"Review of Economic Dynamics","volume":"51 ","pages":"Pages 1114-1158"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135963843","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Revisiting capital-skill complementarity, inequality, and labor share 重新审视资本-技能互补性、不平等和劳动份额
IF 2 3区 经济学
Review of Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-05-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2023.05.002
Lee E. Ohanian , Musa Orak , Shihan Shen
{"title":"Revisiting capital-skill complementarity, inequality, and labor share","authors":"Lee E. Ohanian ,&nbsp;Musa Orak ,&nbsp;Shihan Shen","doi":"10.1016/j.red.2023.05.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.red.2023.05.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper analyzes the quantitative contribution of capital-skill complementarity in accounting for rising wage inequality<span>, as in Krusell, Ohanian, Rios-Rull, and Violante (KORV, 2000). We study how well the KORV framework accounts for more recent data, including the large changes in labor's share of income that occurred after the KORV estimation period ended. We also study how using information and communications technology (ICT) capital as the complementary capital stock affects the model's implications for inequality and overall model fit. We find significant evidence for continued capital-skill complementarity across all model permutations we analyze. Despite nearly 30 years of additional data, we find very little change to the original KORV estimates of substitution elasticities when the total stock of capital equipment is used as the complementary capital stock. We find much more capital-skill complementarity when ICT capital is used. The KORV framework continues to closely account for rising wage inequality through 2019, though it misses the three percentage points decline in labor's share of income that has occurred since 2000.</span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":47890,"journal":{"name":"Review of Economic Dynamics","volume":"51 ","pages":"Pages 479-505"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135338283","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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