Structural Change and Economic Dynamics最新文献

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More technology, more loans? How advanced digital technologies influence firms’ financing conditions 更多的技术,更多的贷款?先进的数字技术如何影响企业的融资状况
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-12-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.11.011
Raffaello Bronzini , Anna Giunta , Eleonora Pierucci , Marco Sforza
{"title":"More technology, more loans? How advanced digital technologies influence firms’ financing conditions","authors":"Raffaello Bronzini ,&nbsp;Anna Giunta ,&nbsp;Eleonora Pierucci ,&nbsp;Marco Sforza","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.11.011","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.11.011","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The paper investigates the effects of the adoption of advanced digital technologies (i.e., Industry 4.0) on firms’ credit conditions through a signaling effect. The empirical analysis exploits microdata from the Bank of Italy’s “Survey on Manufacturing and Service Firms” available for the period 2015–2019, integrated with balance sheet information provided by Cerved. We use a binary endogenous treatment effect model and IV estimation strategy to determine the average effect of digital technology adoption on firms’ financing variables. The results can be summarized as follows: (i) the adoption of digital technologies (DT) lowers the likelihood of being credit rationed; (ii) the adoption of DT is associated with a higher level of leverage but with a lower cost of debt; (iii) the increased firm’s debt is associated with a composition effect resulting in an expansion of bank debt and a reduction in financial debt. These results, which are robust to a number of checks, suggest that digital technology adoption improves firms’ financial conditions, with lower constraints and lower costs, and also influences the relationship between the firm and the financial institutions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"72 ","pages":"Pages 47-66"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143326161","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Diverging paths: AI exposure and employment across European regions 不同的路径:人工智能在欧洲地区的暴露和就业
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.010
Dario Guarascio , Jelena Reljic , Roman Stöllinger
{"title":"Diverging paths: AI exposure and employment across European regions","authors":"Dario Guarascio ,&nbsp;Jelena Reljic ,&nbsp;Roman Stöllinger","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.010","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.010","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study explores exposure to artificial intelligence (AI) technologies and employment patterns in Europe. First, we provide a thorough mapping of European regions focusing on the structural factors—such as sectoral specialisation, R&amp;D capacity, productivity and workforce skills—that may shape diffusion as well as economic and employment effects of AI. To capture these differences, we conduct a cluster analysis which group EU regions in four distinct clusters: high-tech service and capital centres, advanced manufacturing core, southern and eastern periphery. We then discuss potential employment implications of AI in these regions, arguing that while regions with strong innovation systems may experience employment gains as AI complements existing capabilities and production systems, others are likely to face structural barriers that could eventually exacerbate regional disparities in the EU, with peripheral areas losing further ground.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"73 ","pages":"Pages 11-24"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143346026","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The rise and fall of inflation in the Euro Area (2021-2024): A heterodox perspective 欧元区通胀的上升和下降(2021-2024):一个非正统的观点
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.004
Vicente Ferreira , Alexandre Abreu , Francisco Louçã
{"title":"The rise and fall of inflation in the Euro Area (2021-2024): A heterodox perspective","authors":"Vicente Ferreira ,&nbsp;Alexandre Abreu ,&nbsp;Francisco Louçã","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Over the period of 2021–2024, inflation has resurged and then retreated in most industrialized countries. Economists were divided into two main camps: team transitory, which argued that inflationary pressures were primarily cost-push and would tend to fade away as supply disruptions eased, and team permanent, which viewed it as a predominantly demand-pull process and warned about the risks of persistent second-round effects associated with an overheated labor market. This paper covers this theoretical debate on the origins of inflation and contrasts it to the available empirical evidence for the Euro Area, laying out several inconsistencies in the New Keynesian argument proposed by team permanent. Since that was, nevertheless, the predominant interpretation among central bankers, including the ECB, this paper also discusses the impacts of monetary policy decisions informed by the New Keynesian view, arguing that there is good reason to believe that it has had regressive consequences in terms of the functional distribution of income as well as differentiated impacts across Euro Area core and periphery countries.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"72 ","pages":"Pages 103-110"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143326157","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The impact of green finance on energy transition and carbon emission targets: Exploring the double threshold and spatial spillover effects among the regions 绿色金融对能源转型和碳排放目标的影响:区域间的双门槛效应和空间溢出效应
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.012
Chonghui Zhang , Cong Wang , Huanhuan Jin , Mo Xu , Tomas Balezentis , Leonardo Agnusdei
{"title":"The impact of green finance on energy transition and carbon emission targets: Exploring the double threshold and spatial spillover effects among the regions","authors":"Chonghui Zhang ,&nbsp;Cong Wang ,&nbsp;Huanhuan Jin ,&nbsp;Mo Xu ,&nbsp;Tomas Balezentis ,&nbsp;Leonardo Agnusdei","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.012","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.012","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Green finance, by adding environmental considerations into financial products, guides industries toward low-carbon transformation and quickens the decline of carbon emissions across society. However, existing studies fail to identify the spatial correlation effects and the driving mechanisms of their impact, so in order to further clarify the causal pathways of the impact of green finance on carbon emissions, this paper investigates the influence of green finance on carbon emissions through the application of the double threshold model and the spatial Durbin model. By drawing on provincial-level data from China covering 2012 to 2021, this paper uncovers regional heterogeneity in the influence of green finance on carbon emissions. Particularly, while green finance in the eastern and western regions substantially limits carbon emissions, it ironically fuels carbon emissions in the central region. Based on this finding, the double threshold model is used to investigate further the abrupt process of green finance on carbon emissions from “nonsignificant inhibition - significant promotion - significant inhibition.” In addition, this work verifies that green finance employs a spatial inhibitory influence on carbon emissions, where an improvement in the level of green finance in the vicinity controls carbon emissions within the region. Through mechanism testing, this paper recognizes the upgrade of the industrial structure in the region as an intermediary factor favorable to attaining carbon emission reduction. By supplying empirical evidence, this paper facilitates a more accurate assessment of the influence of green finance on carbon emissions and provides a quantitative basis for green finance policies to help China meet its dual carbon goals.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"73 ","pages":"Pages 1-10"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143346025","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
IT liberalization, trade expansion, and firm innovation: Evidence from China 信息技术自由化、贸易扩张与企业创新:来自中国的证据
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-12-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.011
Chao Fang , Peng Wu , Xiaoyan Yu , Chao Zhang
{"title":"IT liberalization, trade expansion, and firm innovation: Evidence from China","authors":"Chao Fang ,&nbsp;Peng Wu ,&nbsp;Xiaoyan Yu ,&nbsp;Chao Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.011","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.011","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Trade liberalization is often a contentious policy for developing countries. This paper investigates how China successfully integrated into global IT production and fostered innovation through trade liberalization under the Information Technology Agreement. Empirical results indicate that the reduction in tariffs on IT products had an asymmetric impact on China's trade, significantly increasing imports of capital and intermediate goods while modestly boosting exports, primarily of consumer goods. Firms in the IT sector, as well as those in upstream and downstream sectors, have increased their R&amp;D intensity following the liberalization of IT products. Further analysis indicates that the growth in R&amp;D intensity stems from high-productivity firms, followed by medium-productivity firms.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"73 ","pages":"Pages 25-36"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143346352","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Structural change in Morocco: Rethinking industrial policies 摩洛哥的结构变化:重新思考产业政策
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-12-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.008
Wissal Sahel, Idriss El Abbassi
{"title":"Structural change in Morocco: Rethinking industrial policies","authors":"Wissal Sahel,&nbsp;Idriss El Abbassi","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.008","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.008","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This article examines Morocco's structural transformation from 1960 to 2018, utilizing a longer time frame and a more detailed sectoral breakdown than previous studies. Our methodology combines the decomposition of labor productivity growth and structural decomposition analysis to assess the intensity and efficiency of sectoral shifts. Our findings indicate a significant increase in productivity from 2000 onward, primarily driven by within-sector productivity, unlike earlier decades where between-sector changes played a larger role. Since 2010, the manufacturing sector has emerged as the main driver of structural change. Additionally, both approaches highlight the overall slow pace of structural transformation in Morocco, predominantly due to the negative impact of foreign trade. In contrast, domestic demand and technological change have positively impacted sectoral growth. While sectors like automotive, aerospace, and service subsectors have shown growth potential, industries such as textiles, and agriculture remain vulnerable to external shocks and global competition.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"72 ","pages":"Pages 412-426"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143326283","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Structural change and its discontents 结构变化及其不满
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-12-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.009
Marco Rodolfo Di Tommaso , Elena Prodi , Dante Di Matteo , Elisa Barbieri
{"title":"Structural change and its discontents","authors":"Marco Rodolfo Di Tommaso ,&nbsp;Elena Prodi ,&nbsp;Dante Di Matteo ,&nbsp;Elisa Barbieri","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.009","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.009","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper explores the relationship between social discontent and labour market dynamics, particularly with respect to the creation and destruction of stable jobs. By bridging studies on discontent with the literature on structural dynamics, the paper conceives the former as a signal that some countries or regions are experiencing a trajectory of structural change characterized by economic deprivation and social inequality, rooted into limited access to secure and quality jobs. If not properly addressed by policymakers to achieve greater cohesion, this trajectory may lead to irreversible economic decline. Focusing on Italy, results show that jobs destruction amplifies support for anti-elite parties while the creation of secure jobs mitigates social discontent. Policy implications highlight the need for labour market, welfare and education measures fostering structural change trajectories that are sustainable, i.e., where the interests of both vulnerable and well-off socio-economic groups are reconciled in the definition of societal policy goals.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"72 ","pages":"Pages 438-455"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143326276","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Roof or real estate? An agent-based model of housing affordability in The Netherlands 屋顶还是房地产?基于代理的荷兰住房负担能力模型
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.11.014
Ruben Tarne, Dirk Bezemer
{"title":"Roof or real estate? An agent-based model of housing affordability in The Netherlands","authors":"Ruben Tarne,&nbsp;Dirk Bezemer","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.11.014","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.11.014","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Housing shortages in monetary economies are defined by affordability, which is the balance between income, savings and borrowing to access housing on one hand and purchase prices and rents, providing access, on the other. Yet analysis often confuses (monetary) affordability with (real) supply shortages. In a heterogeneous-agent housing market model calibrated on survey data, we analyse the housing affordability crisis in the Netherlands since around 2015. We find trade-offs between shocks to the housing supply, to interest rates and to banks’ loan-to-value norms by estimating their effects on house prices. Financial and monetary policies are alternatives to supply responses in reducing cyclical house price peaks and average house prices and increasing affordability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"72 ","pages":"Pages 163-178"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143357452","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Is artificial intelligence leading to a new technological paradigm? 人工智能正在引领一种新的技术范式吗?
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.006
Giacomo Damioli , Vincent Van Roy , Daniel Vertesy , Marco Vivarelli
{"title":"Is artificial intelligence leading to a new technological paradigm?","authors":"Giacomo Damioli ,&nbsp;Vincent Van Roy ,&nbsp;Daniel Vertesy ,&nbsp;Marco Vivarelli","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Artificial intelligence (AI) is emerging as a transformative innovation with the potential to drive significant economic growth and productivity gains. This study examines whether AI is initiating a technological revolution, signifying a new technological paradigm, using the perspective of evolutionary neo-Schumpeterian economics. Using a global dataset combining information on AI patenting activities and their applicants between 2000 and 2016, our analysis reveals that AI patenting has accelerated and substantially evolved in terms of its pervasiveness, with AI innovators shifting from the ICT core industries to non-ICT service industries over the investigated period. Moreover, there has been a decrease in concentration of innovation activities and a reshuffling in the innovative hierarchies, with innovative entries and young and smaller applicants driving this change. Finally, we find that AI technologies play a role in generating and accelerating further innovations (so revealing to be “enabling technologies”, a distinctive feature of GPTs). All these features have characterised the emergence of major technological paradigms in the past and suggest that AI technologies may indeed generate a paradigmatic shift or, at least, a major radical transformation within the ICT paradigm.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"72 ","pages":"Pages 347-359"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143326285","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Higher prices in a more competitive market: The paradox in the retail electricity market in the United Kingdom 竞争更激烈的市场中更高的价格:英国零售电力市场的悖论
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.001
Huanhuan Chen , Jinke Li , Nigel O'Leary , Jing Shao
{"title":"Higher prices in a more competitive market: The paradox in the retail electricity market in the United Kingdom","authors":"Huanhuan Chen ,&nbsp;Jinke Li ,&nbsp;Nigel O'Leary ,&nbsp;Jing Shao","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The UK retail electricity market experienced a decline in market concentration as new suppliers (retailers) competed with traditional incumbents. Concurrently, consumer-funded schemes were implemented to support low-carbon electricity generation. To disentangle the effects of these two developments on the retail price, an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration model was applied to monthly data from 2010 to 2019. Results indicate that, while the costs of consumer-funded schemes contributed to the rising retail price, the declining market concentration unexpectedly pushed the retail price upward. Analysis of the six large suppliers shows that incumbents struggled to lower indirect costs as sales volumes fell, passing higher indirect costs per megawatt-hour to consumers. However, due to competitive pressure from new suppliers, incumbents were constrained from raising retail prices to fully cover these higher costs, resulting in lower profit margins. Thus, competition was evident not through lower retail prices but through its effect on incumbents' profitability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"72 ","pages":"Pages 374-390"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143326281","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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