Structural Change and Economic Dynamics最新文献

{"title":"Better late than never: The impact of hukou conversion experience on employment quality with urban residents in China","authors":"Jing Zhao ,&nbsp;Yiwen Shangguan ,&nbsp;Qinghai Li","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.016","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.016","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Individual employment quality has been a key topic of concern for both government department and academia in recent years, but there are few studies that account for hukou conversion from rural to urban environments. Based on the China Family Panel Survey (CFPS) 2014–2020 data, this paper uses an entropy weight method to comprehensively evaluate employment quality, and then uses a panel econometric model to examine the impact, heterogeneity and mechanism of the experience with household registration converted from rural hukou to urban hukou (RTUE) on the employment quality of urban residents in China. For clarity, urban residents include migrant workers (rural hukou working in urban area), phoenix urban residents (urban hukou with RTUE), and urban indigenous residents (urban hukou without RTUE). The study found that: (1) RTUE has a positive impact on the employment quality of phoenix urban residents, when compared to migrant workers, but has an insignificant impact when compared to urban indigenous residents. (2) In the subdimension of employment quality, compared with migrant workers, phoenix urban residents have lower wages and labor intensity, and higher labor contract signing rates and insurance participation rates; compared with urban indigenous residents, phoenix urban residents have lower wages and insurance participation rate, but higher job satisfaction. (3) Heterogeneity analysis found that the advantage of phoenix urban residents in employment quality compared to migrant workers is most prominent in male, rich work experience, working in low-tech industries, working in economically underdeveloped areas and “local RTUE” groups, and the disadvantage of which compared to urban indigenous residents is most prominent in economically developed regions and among non-local RTU group. (4) Mechanism research found that compared with migrant workers, RTUE improves the employment quality of phoenix urban residents by enhancing their social capital and non-cognitive abilities, rather than their cognitive abilities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"74 ","pages":"Pages 286-302"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143760920","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Firm scale, market share, and total factor productivity: Novel evidence from China's iron and steel firms","authors":"Hongqi Ma ,&nbsp;Qiang He","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.011","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.011","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Based on micro-data provided by the China Industrial Enterprises Database, this paper examines the mechanism through which the expansion of China's iron and steel firms affects total factor productivity via market share. The novel findings are as follows: (i) The \"scale competitive advantage\" formed by iron and steel firms expanding their scale to gain market share is not sustainable. \"Making it bigger first\" does not necessarily facilitate \"making it stronger\". (ii) During the institutional transition, administrative intervention is a crucial factor for local governments to help local firms gain market share. This factor significantly alters the nonlinear path through which expansion affects total factor productivity via market share, causing total factor productivity to decline earlier.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"74 ","pages":"Pages 252-261"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143697335","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Suppress or let go? The time-varying roles of automation towards labor market","authors":"Jingting Zhang ,&nbsp;Zhiru Shi","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.007","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.007","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>It has been widely concerned that automation advancements may have imbalanced effects on the labor market, with the excessive unemployment of low-skill workers. To investigate the issue, we design and construct a general equilibrium model, embedded with different types of capital and labor, and a robot tax. The research suggests that it is effective to implement a robot tax to reasonably regulate the development of automation. However, further research shows a negative robot tax or an automation subsidy may be necessary in the long run, especially when considering the low birth rates and aging population. Empirical evidence proves the crowding out effect of automation on the employment of low- and middle-skilled labor, as well as the promotion effect of aging population on automation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"74 ","pages":"Pages 158-174"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143684700","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The formation mechanism of China's energy transition pattern based on the analysis of the “dynamics-efficiency-quality” ternary system","authors":"Dong Li ,&nbsp;Bin He ,&nbsp;Qingyu Yao ,&nbsp;Wanping Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.013","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.013","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper introduces the \"E-DEQ\" theoretical framework for analyzing energy transition patterns and establishes an evaluation system to assess the dynamics, efficiency, and quality of energy transitions. It examines the evolving trends within this \"dynamics-efficiency-quality\" ternary system across various provinces in China from 2000 to 2019. We employ the coordinated development model and the panel vector error correction model to investigate the coordinated evolution of energy transition patterns. The findings reveal that energy transition system exhibits a phased and fluctuating growth trend characterized by significant regional disparities; the eastern region displays the strongest performance, while the central and western regions lag. The coordinated development of this system is reinforced by a consistently rising development effect, with dynamics serving as the primary driving factor, reflecting a trend of \"virtuous resonance and highly coordinated.\" This system reveals short-term interactive enhancement, a notable long-term equilibrium trend, and a distinct circular cumulative causal effect. This paper methodically constructs the \"E-DEQ\" theoretical framework for energy transition from the evolutionary economics perspective, with China serving as a case study. The framework is designed to offer decision-making support for developing economies aiming to regulate dynamics, enhance efficiency, and improve the quality of their energy transition.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"74 ","pages":"Pages 225-239"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143684697","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Distribution dynamics of alternative productivity measures: An empirical analysis","authors":"Gabriel Brondino ,&nbsp;Facund Fora-Alcalde ,&nbsp;Miguel Ángel Casaú-Guirao","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.008","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.008","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper revisits the productivity convergence debate from the perspective of Structural Economic Dynamics. Building on a novel indicator of total labour productivity, we provide a comprehensive analysis of productivity convergence across 61 economies over the period 1995–2019. Instead of using regression methods, we make use of the distribution dynamics approach which captures the full evolution of productivity distributions over time. Our results reveal contrasting patterns of convergence depending on the measure chosen. While total factor productivity suggests reduced dispersion and a tendency toward homogeneity, apparent labour productivity and our measure indicate persistent polarisation, with countries clustering into high- and low-productivity groups.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"74 ","pages":"Pages 240-251"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143696731","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Structural change, vertical integration and KIBS: Does “fighting” for manufacturing matter?","authors":"Adilson Giovanini ,&nbsp;Henrique Morrone ,&nbsp;Wallace Marcelino Pereira","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.009","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.009","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates how shifts in the manufacturing workforce and value-added influence the integration of KIBS. Using a subsystem approach alongside econometric analysis, we examine the relationship between vertical integration and the contribution of manufacturing to value-added between 2000 and 2014. The findings reveal that a decline in manufacturing in the United States, Japan, and EU15 correlates with reduced KIBS inputs. In response to growing competition from China, these regions have adopted vertical integration strategies, emphasizing Specialized, Scale-Intensive, and Science-Based Supplier subsystems. This study finds that while vertical integration benefits the Supplier-Dominated, Specialized Suppliers, and Science-Based subsystems, it detrimentally impacts the Scale-Intensive subsystem. European countries have more effectively countered China's influence by leveraging vertical integration within the Supplier-Dominated and Specialized Suppliers subsystems rather than by integrating KIBS. Conversely, the US, with its dependence on large-scale production, has struggled with the rise of China's manufacturing sector, rendering vertical integration less effective.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"74 ","pages":"Pages 274-285"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143705488","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The world is different because of you: Global warming, technological progress and economic development","authors":"Mengjie Li,&nbsp;Qianwen Bai,&nbsp;Weijian Du","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.012","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.012","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Prior research often overlooks microlevel temperature impacts on labor productivity or oversimplifies climate‒economy relations. In contrast, this study innovatively incorporates physiological assumptions into a labor economics model. Using geospatial data integration and panel regression on multinational data, this study explores the inverted U-shaped link between temperature and a country's economic development. The findings revealed that a rise in temperature can suppress economic activity in countries with high temperatures and promote economic activity to a certain extent in the few countries with low temperatures. The mechanism analysis revealed that changes in agricultural development, industrial development and employment are important channels through which temperature affects growth. When technological progress is factored in expansion analysis, the inflection point of the inverted U-shaped curve shifts right. This study provides a scientific basis and empirical evidence for dynamic regulations to address global warming and support economic growth.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"74 ","pages":"Pages 202-211"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143684698","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Real effective exchange rate shocks and job quality by gender in Latin America","authors":"Débora Nunes ,&nbsp;Diksha Arora ,&nbsp;Elissa Braunstein","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.010","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.010","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Despite significant improvements in women's education, labor force participation, and health outcomes, labor market segregation by gender persists in Latin America, with negative consequences for gender equality. Our paper analyzes demand-side explanations for this phenomenon, focusing on the impact of real effective exchange rates (REER) on job quality by gender in the region. Gender segregation is central to the gender distribution of job quality, which is defined in terms of an occupation's wage relative to the national median wage. Combining a panel of micro-level surveys with macroeconomic data from 15 Latin American countries between 1991–2018, we use a generalized difference-in-difference model to map how REER shocks impact the availability of good jobs for women and men. We argue that REER shocks change the sectoral composition of GDP, which impacts gender equality due to high vertical and horizontal segregation. Results indicate that medium appreciation shocks are associated with a decline in men's good job share, raising gender equality but through a “race-to-the-bottom” dynamic rather than as a manifestation of women's climb to the top. Despite the adoption of macroeconomic policies associated with appreciated real exchange rates throughout the region, larger appreciation shocks are rare and tend to increase women's good job share. Very large depreciation shocks are associated with an increase in women's good job share and a greater-than-proportional decrease in men's good job share, resulting in a rise in women's relative share of good jobs. These results point to new policy challenges and the need for gender-aware macroeconomic policy analysis.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"74 ","pages":"Pages 262-273"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143697336","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Is the increasing carbon pressure an incentive or obstacle to corporate creativity? Evidence from Chinese listed firms","authors":"Zhenni Chen ,&nbsp;Bin Li ,&nbsp;Xinna Lou ,&nbsp;Yilan Liang ,&nbsp;Tong Feng","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In the context of addressing climate change, innovation is crucial for fostering low-carbon development. This study examines the relationship between carbon pressure and corporate innovation using a sample of Chinese listed firms. The results show a positive association between carbon pressure and corporate innovation, a relationship that remains robust across various tests. The impact of carbon pressure on corporate innovation is particularly strong in firms with younger executives, executives have financial backgrounds, firms that attract high levels of analyst and media attention, and those in the non-high- and new- technology and manufacturing industries. Additionally, we find that carbon pressure promotes corporate innovation by increasing government innovation subsidies and reducing corporate tax burdens. Furthermore, carbon pressure stimulates corporate green innovation and improves innovation quality. Notably, carbon pressure primarily enhances incremental innovation rather than radical innovation. Confronted with carbon pressure, firms are increasing seeking competitive advantages through innovation activities. This study contributes to the literature on the economic consequences of climate change, and provides deeper insights into the factors influencing corporate innovation. Our findings provide valuable practical insights for managers and policymakers seeking to promote innovation in response to carbon pressure.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"74 ","pages":"Pages 186-201"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143684695","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Inequality of environmental tax pressures along value chains within China","authors":"Yi Wang ,&nbsp;Yanqi Liu ,&nbsp;Ludi Liu ,&nbsp;Ailin Kang ,&nbsp;Yiling Xiong ,&nbsp;Xin Tian","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Understanding the environmental tax inequality along the domestic value chain is essential to promote the sustainable implementation of environmental tax policy. However, how the environmental tax flows along the value chain and how the inequality of environmental tax formulated across regions of China are still elusive. Here we developed an analysis framework to trace the generation of environmental tax of different production roles with aid of Value Chain theory and Multi-Region Input-Output model. Around 44% - 95% of environmental taxes stemmed from production processes involving two or more regions, with the environmental taxes triggered by intermediate products surpassing those levied by final products. We identified significant disparities and concentration patterns in environmental tax burdens. The North Central bears a greater burden of environmental taxes as crucial suppliers of resources and energy intermediate products to Coastal areas, which carry lower environmental tax burdens with more equipment manufacturing and service sectors.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"74 ","pages":"Pages 212-224"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143684696","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}