Structural Change and Economic Dynamics最新文献_第3页

Towards technology-convergent cities: How does the low-carbon economy contribute? 迈向技术融合型城市：低碳经济有何贡献？

IF 5.5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2026.01.005

Henglong Zhang , Yeheng Zhang , Yongwei Yu , Liming Ge

{"title":"Towards technology-convergent cities: How does the low-carbon economy contribute?","authors":"Henglong Zhang , Yeheng Zhang , Yongwei Yu , Liming Ge","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2026.01.005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2026.01.005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper tests whether dual-purpose policy promotes digital–green technology convergence (DGTC) by expanding domain-specific technological stocks within a policy impetus–technological accumulation–technological convergence framework. We evaluate this mechanism in the context of China’s Low-Carbon City Pilot (LCCP). Using a city–year panel of 264 Chinese prefecture-level cities from 2008–2023, DGTC is measured with two classic patent-based indicators—co-classification and cross-domain direct citation. The mediating mechanism is captured as digital and green technology accumulation through patent stocks and counts of innovating entities in both domains. Heterogeneity is examined with respect to policy implementation conditions, focusing on city endowments and the digital–green ecosystem. The empirical results show that the LCCP significantly increases DGTC, with consistent effects across both indicators and robust to multiple checks. Mediation analyses indicate that the LCCP raises digital and green accumulation, with stronger effects on the digital side and similar but milder effects on the green side. Heterogeneity tests reveal stronger effects in eastern and mega/large cities, as well as in contexts where intellectual property protection is tighter, network infrastructure more advanced, and government or public attention to green goals higher. Taken together, the study reaffirms that policy is an important driver of technological convergence. Using a nationwide, long-span city-level dataset, it constructs and validates two co-primary city-level DGTC measures with novel scope and comprehensive urban coverage, providing actionable evidence for designing and implementing context-specific policy portfolios.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"77 ","pages":"Pages 185-206"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146038550","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Tracking global industry relocation and its economic and environmental impacts 1997–2023 1997-2023年全球产业转移及其经济环境影响追踪

IF 5.5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2026.01.015

Yu Zhang , Kailan Tian , Zhibiao Liu

引用次数: 0

Kuznets at 70: The enduring significance of a curve and a hypothesis 70岁时的库兹涅茨：曲线和假设的持久意义

IF 5.5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.12.015

James Galbraith , Ravi Kanbur , Kunal Sen , Andy Sumner

引用次数: 0

An international comparison of the association between construction industry development and urbanization 建筑业发展与城市化关系的国际比较

IF 5.5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.12.009

Jinyan Han , Qinhan Tian , Rongrong Chen , Jun Sun

{"title":"An international comparison of the association between construction industry development and urbanization","authors":"Jinyan Han , Qinhan Tian , Rongrong Chen , Jun Sun","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.12.009","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.12.009","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In recent years, the construction industry and urbanization in developing countries, particularly China, have entered a phase characterized by slowing growth rates and an increasing emphasis on sustainable development. This study examines construction industry development using data from China and four developed countries (the United Kingdom, the United States, Japan, and South Korea) covering the period 1970–2022. Employing the Granger causality test, this study first identifies the causal links among construction industry, population urbanization and economic development. It then conducts an international comparative analysis, employs panel threshold regression and panel fixed-effects models with interaction terms to reveal the characteristics of the non-linear relationship between construction industry and urbanization in the third stage of urbanization. The results indicate that when the urbanization ratio approaches 80 % and GDP per capita reaches US$30,000, construction industry development will likely to stagnate for a considerable period. Economic crises are identified as factors contributing to this stagnation, particularly in countries within the third stage of urbanization. Nevertheless, recovery remains possible, depending on the construction industry's ability to adapt growth strategies to evolving urban needs. The conclusions, supported by the quantitative evidence, provide policy implications for China and other developing countries.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"76 ","pages":"Pages 195-208"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145790695","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Structural changes and trend evolution of China’s integration into global value chains under heterogeneous trade modes 异质性贸易模式下中国融入全球价值链的结构变迁与趋势演变

IF 5.5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.12.004

Qiuping Li , Sanmang Wu , Jianchun Fang , Quanwen Liu , Shantong Li

{"title":"Structural changes and trend evolution of China’s integration into global value chains under heterogeneous trade modes","authors":"Qiuping Li , Sanmang Wu , Jianchun Fang , Quanwen Liu , Shantong Li","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.12.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.12.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Global Value Chains (GVCs) division of labor has become a crucial link connecting global economies. The increasing fragmentation and specialization of GVCs necessitate a precise evaluation of countries’ participation in international production networks. As structural changes in GVCs intensify, China’s integration into global production, in terms of both participation and position, has undergone profound transformation. This study examines the structural characteristics and temporal evolution of China’s GVC integration from the heterogeneous perspective of general trade and processing trade. It explores inter-industry production linkages and China’s value chain relationships with upstream and downstream trading partners. The key findings are as follows. First, most Chinese manufacturing sectors engage in GVCs primarily through backward linkages, relying on foreign-sourced intermediate inputs in export production, thus remaining in relatively downstream segments of the value chain. Nonetheless, there is a notable upward trend in China’s GVC position, indicating gradual structural upgrading. Second, China’s manufacturing GVC trade is increasingly diversified. The production network has evolved from regional concentration toward broader global diffusion, with deepening interdependence, particularly between China and other developing economies. Third, there has been a marked shift from processing trade to general trade, accompanied by distinct sectoral composition and GVC integration patterns across trade modes. This transformation is reshaping China’s trade regime and the depth of its international cooperation within GVCs. These results provide important policy implications for China’s efforts to optimize its trade structure, enhance its position in global production networks, and promote industrial upgrading through strategic integration into GVCs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"76 ","pages":"Pages 139-151"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145737277","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Tracking Detroit business activity with the Yellow Pages 1920–1957 用黄页追踪1920-1957年底特律的商业活动

IF 5.5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.12.001

Robert Warren Anderson

引用次数: 0

Exploring the relationship between urban polycentric structure and green total factor productivity in China: Insights from urban development patterns and scale borrowing 中国城市多中心结构与绿色全要素生产率的关系研究：基于城市发展模式和规模借贷的视角

IF 5.5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.12.006

Youlin Chen , Peiheng Yu , Lei Wang

{"title":"Exploring the relationship between urban polycentric structure and green total factor productivity in China: Insights from urban development patterns and scale borrowing","authors":"Youlin Chen , Peiheng Yu , Lei Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.12.006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.12.006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Rapid urbanization has driven urban structure transformation and posed both opportunities and challenges for achieving high-quality economic growth. This study investigates the impact of urban polycentric structures (POLY) on green total factor productivity (GTFP) in China, innovatively highlights the mediating effect of scale borrowing and the moderating effect of urban development patterns. Results show that POLY has positive impacts on GTFP, and such promotion effect grows as GTFP increases. Scale borrowing plays a mediating role and different urban development patterns have various moderating effects. Specifically, urban expansion strengthens the positive moderating role of scale borrowing, whereas urban shrinkage weakens it. The threshold effect and heterogeneity analysis reveal that the positive impact of POLY on GTFP becomes more pronounced in cities with abundant land and population resources. In addition, POLY has positive spatial spillover effects, as its influence extends beyond individual cities and benefits neighboring areas. By integrating spatial structure, scale borrowing, and urban development patterns into one framework of economic growth, this study contributes to a novel understanding of high-quality economic development and sustainable urban structural transformation for policymakers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"76 ","pages":"Pages 237-250"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145840057","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Trade liberalization of IT products and domestic value-added ratio of service exports: A quasi-natural experiment based on the ITA expansion 信息技术产品贸易自由化与服务出口国内增值比率：基于ITA扩展的准自然实验

IF 5.5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.12.002

Jiayang Zou , Ming Zhang , Xiangfei Kong

{"title":"Trade liberalization of IT products and domestic value-added ratio of service exports: A quasi-natural experiment based on the ITA expansion","authors":"Jiayang Zou , Ming Zhang , Xiangfei Kong","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.12.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.12.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Trade in services is rapidly expanding its influence around the world and has become an important link for economic cooperation and structural change among countries. Countries are increasingly integrated into the service global value chain (GVC), and how to absorb trade gains more efficiently in the process of exporting services has become the focus of their attention. The expansion of the Information Technology Agreement (ITA-2) promotes trade liberalization of information technology (IT) products among participating countries, which could impact service value chains. The theoretical analysis of this paper shows that the trade liberalization of IT products was conducive to increasing the domestic value-added ratio (DVAR) of service exports. The improvement in productivity and the localization of information service procurement constituted the specific mechanism of this connection. Based on the quasi-natural experiment of ITA-2, this paper employs empirical analysis of data from 74 countries (or regions) between 2009 and 2020 to validate the theoretical hypothesis. The heterogeneity analysis reveals that the policy effects were significant in low- and middle-income countries and Asian and European countries. Sectors including transportation, professional activities and education etc. were affected by the policy. The moderating effect reveals that the ICT development level and downstreamness of the value chain of countries positively moderated the policy effect. The research in this paper can provide a reference for developing countries to explore how to occupy a favourable position in the distribution of service GVC by opening up to the outside world.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"76 ","pages":"Pages 262-281"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145883586","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

U.S. Trade policy and the restructuring of global production networks: A case study of industrial relocation from China to India 美国贸易政策与全球生产网络重组：以中国向印度产业转移为例

IF 5.5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.11.009

Xiaoxu Zhang , Jiale Li , Yuze Li , Kunfu Zhu , Jian Xu , Shouyang Wang

{"title":"U.S. Trade policy and the restructuring of global production networks: A case study of industrial relocation from China to India","authors":"Xiaoxu Zhang , Jiale Li , Yuze Li , Kunfu Zhu , Jian Xu , Shouyang Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.11.009","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.11.009","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Trade policy uncertainty under the Trump administration has triggered structural shifts in global production networks, with uneven effects across emerging economies. Using U.S.China reciprocal tariffs as a case, we apply a global multi-regional input-output model coupled with trade network analysis to assess short-term disruptions and medium-term relocation trends. Our findings highlight three key patterns: (1) Short-term reciprocal tariffs cause uneven shocks, with economies more integrated into U.S.centered networks experiencing milder impacts than China-linked ones; (2) Medium-term restructuring benefits countries closer to advanced economies, with India gaining prominence as a manufacturing and supply chain participant; (3) Sectoral shifts show India's growth in technology-intensive sectors alongside contraction in traditional East Asian hubs. These findings indicate that trade policy uncertainty serves as a structural catalyst for reconfiguring global production, driven not solely by cost but also by alignment, resilience, and institutional capacity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"76 ","pages":"Pages 66-79"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145691789","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Do indebtedness, income inequality and asset dynamics affect household consumption? Evidence from 11 OECD countries 负债、收入不平等和资产动态会影响家庭消费吗？来自11个经合组织国家的证据

IF 5.5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.11.007

Ján Boháčik

引用次数: 0