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Structural Change and Economic Dynamics最新文献

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Can the digital economy facilitate the optimization of industrial structure in resource-based cities? 数字经济能否促进资源型城市产业结构的优化？
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-08-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.010
Qiming Zhang , Xuan Zhao
{"title":"Can the digital economy facilitate the optimization of industrial structure in resource-based cities?","authors":"Qiming Zhang ,&nbsp;Xuan Zhao","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.010","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.010","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>With the continuous development of economy, resource-based cities in China are in urgent need of transforming and upgrading their industrial structures. This article utilizes panel data of 114 resource-based cities from 2011 to 2021 to explore the impact and mechanism of digital economy on optimizing and upgrading industrial structure. The findings, demonstrating a nonlinear relationship, reveal that digital economy promotes the advancement of the industrial structure in resource-based regions significantly. Technological innovation and financial development serve as the intermediary channel of facilitating the advancement of industrial structure in digital economy through intermediary effect analysis. Moreover, in terms of regional heterogeneity, digital economy is more effective in assisting inland resource-based cities in achieving advanced industrial structure compared to coastal areas in China.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"71 ","pages":"Pages 405-416"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142089527","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Monitoring socioeconomic readiness for the demographic transition: Introducing the Senior Economy Tracker 监测人口结构转型的社会经济准备情况：老年经济跟踪系统介绍
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-08-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.007
David Roch-Dupré , Elisa Aracil , Pablo Calvo-Bascones
{"title":"Monitoring socioeconomic readiness for the demographic transition: Introducing the Senior Economy Tracker","authors":"David Roch-Dupré ,&nbsp;Elisa Aracil ,&nbsp;Pablo Calvo-Bascones","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.007","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.007","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Aging constitutes the dominant demographic challenge globally. The demographic transition entails a paradigm shift in the economic model to accommodate economic structures to life-expectancy gains. The socioeconomic implications from this transition remain largely undefined conceptually from an integrated perspective and unrecognized in official statistics. This study introduces a multidimensional and multi-actor reference framework, and a composite indicator, the Senior Economy Tracker (SET), to measure national readiness and progress in adapting to the demographic transition, over time and across countries. We apply our indicator to 27 European countries in 2010-2021. Our study reveals crucial differences in pathways and stages of maturity in addressing the socioeconomic impacts of aging. The proposed indicator aims to guide action to adapt economic structures to longer life spans, assist organizational and individual decision making, facilitate the development of effective policy interventions and raise awareness of the demographic transition.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"71 ","pages":"Pages 430-443"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0954349X24001206/pdfft?md5=8e952adca30f3d310025d9cea7346b39&pid=1-s2.0-S0954349X24001206-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142122224","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Export cost of air pollution: A regression discontinuity design 空气污染的出口成本：回归不连续设计
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-08-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.009
Jianhong Qi , Shanshan Wang , Zhitong Zhang
{"title":"Export cost of air pollution: A regression discontinuity design","authors":"Jianhong Qi ,&nbsp;Shanshan Wang ,&nbsp;Zhitong Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.009","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.009","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study examines the impact of air pollution on exports in China using a regression discontinuity design based on the Qinling Mountains-Huai River line. The findings show that air pollution harms firm exports, with a more pronounced impact on non-state-owned enterprises, heavily polluting industries, and densely populated regions. Specifically, a 1 % increase in air pollution correlates with an average reduction of 0.661 % in exports. These inhibitory effects are mainly caused by decreasing productivity, reducing markup rates, damaging regional quality reputations, causing labour resource misallocation and strengthening environmental regulations. Although air pollution spillovers from neighbouring cities may temporarily boost local firm exports and total production, they do not fully mitigate the overall negative impact of air pollution.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"71 ","pages":"Pages 337-353"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142020353","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Varieties of middle-income trap: Heterogeneous trajectories and common determinants 中等收入陷阱的多样性：不同的轨迹和共同的决定因素
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.008
Carlos Bianchi, Fernando Isabella, Anaclara Martinis, Santiago Picasso
{"title":"Varieties of middle-income trap: Heterogeneous trajectories and common determinants","authors":"Carlos Bianchi,&nbsp;Fernando Isabella,&nbsp;Anaclara Martinis,&nbsp;Santiago Picasso","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.008","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.008","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This work provides new evidence on the structural change processes undertaken by countries trapped in the middle-income trap (MIT) by applying a comprehensive approach, from both the supply and the demand sides. First, it provides evidence that there is a regular trapping mechanism, determined by the interaction between external demand constraints and the level of complexity of the economies. External constraint operates since MIT countries depend on exogenous prices to grow. Meanwhile, that constraint relaxes as the complexity of production increases. Second, it presents a novel identification of the MIT countries trajectories using indicators of economic complexity. A typology of the varieties of MIT is built according to the level of complexity of national economies and the relatedness between their current productive structure and more complex goods. It shows that having reached certain levels, further increases in supply complexity require a deepening of structural change through unrelated diversification.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"71 ","pages":"Pages 320-336"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142020352","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Does the high-tech foreign investment spark robot adoption in the developing world? Evidence from China 高科技外商投资是否引发了发展中国家对机器人的采用？来自中国的证据
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.005
Bo Yuan , Pengbo Sun
{"title":"Does the high-tech foreign investment spark robot adoption in the developing world? Evidence from China","authors":"Bo Yuan ,&nbsp;Pengbo Sun","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>With the intensification of transnational economic activities, industrial robots have been making inroads into developing countries. However, few studies have analyzed how foreign direct investment (FDI) affects the diffusion of industrial robots among domestic enterprises in developing countries. To bridge the gap, we combine several datasets to empirically examine the causal relationship between high-tech FDI and the robot adoption by domestic manufacturers in China. We discover a significantly positive impact of high-tech FDI on the adoption of industrial robots by domestic manufacturers, evidenced by the expansion in both stock and flow, as well as an increase in the variety of robots. Mechanism tests indicate that this effect can be achieved through both proactive learning and absorption of external technology, as well as through passive participation in more intense market competition. Moreover, the impact of high-tech FDI on robot adoption is more salient among enterprises with stronger absorptive capacity as well as those characterized by lower labor intensity and higher energy intensity.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"71 ","pages":"Pages 302-314"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142002213","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modernization and underemployment in a dual agrarian sector: The case of Brazil (1950–1980) 二元农业部门的现代化与就业不足：巴西的案例（1950-1980 年）
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-08-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.07.010
Joao Paulo A. de Souza
{"title":"Modernization and underemployment in a dual agrarian sector: The case of Brazil (1950–1980)","authors":"Joao Paulo A. de Souza","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.07.010","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.07.010","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper presents a case study of employment trends in Brazilian agriculture between 1950 and 1980. Using primary data, I document the displacement of workers from large and mid-sized establishments and the expansion of self-employment in an increasingly fragmented smallholding sector. I compute novel measures of rural population and find significant corresponding trends in employment-to-population ratios, thus contributing new evidence of the persistence of rural underemployment in a period of fast industrialization and growth. I conclude by examining the main rural development policies adopted in the period within a coherent framework for understanding the adoption of technical innovations. I argue, in particular, that the State concentrated price and credit subsidies on large and mid-sized producers and neglected investments in research, extension, and rural infrastructure. This policy mix interacted with Brazil’s dual agrarian structure and enhanced the incentives for the adoption of labor-saving innovations.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"71 ","pages":"Pages 444-464"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142122177","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of monetary policy shocks in the Peruvian economy over time 货币政策冲击对秘鲁经济的长期影响
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.003
Flavio Pérez Rojo , Gabriel Rodríguez
{"title":"Impact of monetary policy shocks in the Peruvian economy over time","authors":"Flavio Pérez Rojo ,&nbsp;Gabriel Rodríguez","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We investigate the evolution of the impact of monetary policy (MP) shocks in Peru in 1996Q1-2018Q2 using a set of time-varying parameter VAR models with stochastic volatility (TVP-VAR-SV), as proposed by <span><span>Chan and Eisenstat (2018)</span></span>. The main results are: (i) the volatility of MP shocks falls during the Inflation Targeting (IT) regime; (ii) a contractionary MP shock decreases both GDP growth and inflation within a five quarters time span; (iii) the interest rate reacts faster to aggregate supply shocks than to both aggregate demand shocks and exchange rate shocks; (iv) under the pre-IT regime, MP shocks explain 20%, 10%, and 85% of the uncertainty in GDP growth, inflation, and the interest rate, respectively; and under the IT regime, all these percentages shrink to 1%–2%. The sensitivity analysis confirms the robustness of the main results. In general, the results show that MP has contributed to diminishing macroeconomic volatility in Peru.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"71 ","pages":"Pages 270-288"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141993272","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Institutional change and ecological structural change 制度变革和生态结构变革
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.004
Chiara Grazini , Giulio Guarini , Jose Gabriel Porcile
{"title":"Institutional change and ecological structural change","authors":"Chiara Grazini ,&nbsp;Giulio Guarini ,&nbsp;Jose Gabriel Porcile","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The paper presents a model discussing the political economy dimension of the green transition. There are brown sectors whose share in value-added and employment should contract and green sectors whose share should increase. Green technological changes require more skilled workers, potentially exacerbating inequalities between them and unskilled workers. Trade unions advocate for a “Just Transition”, ensuring income protection and creating new “green jobs”. However, the green restructuring of the economy demands highly subsidized investments in the short run. A political economy problem arises: how to regulate brown capitalists, support green capitalists, and prevent unskilled workers from joining forces with brown capitalists to block the green transition. The solution can be positive feedback between green technical change, non-price competitiveness, and employment. The BOPCG model allows for highlighting the role of catching up in green technologies in non-price competitiveness and endogenous institutional change to give rise to a growth path consistent with the idea of a “just green transition”.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"71 ","pages":"Pages 354-368"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0954349X24001115/pdfft?md5=61fae46d7945ca0d10ad40e48c88b9fe&pid=1-s2.0-S0954349X24001115-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142049549","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The wall between urban and rural: How does the urban-rural electricity gap inhibit the human development index 城乡之间的墙：城乡电力差距如何抑制人类发展指数
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.002
Congyu Zhao , Qingyang Wu
{"title":"The wall between urban and rural: How does the urban-rural electricity gap inhibit the human development index","authors":"Congyu Zhao ,&nbsp;Qingyang Wu","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Based on the Instrumental Variables - Generalized Method of Moments (IV-GMM) model, this paper explores the relationship, heterogeneity, and mechanisms between the urban-rural electricity gap and the human development index for 176 countries during 2000–2020. The key findings are as follows: (1) Urban-rural electricity gap is harmful to the improvement of the human development index; an enlarged gap in electricity accessibility between urban and rural is detrimental to sustainable human development. (2) Urban-rural electricity gap is more harmful to the increase of human development index in low-income countries and low governance efficiency countries. Also, the heterogeneity exists in different quantiles, and their nexus is closer in countries with lower levels of human development index. (3) Income inequality and energy poverty act as mechanisms, which means that the urban-rural electricity gap inhibits the human development index by exacerbating income inequality and energy poverty.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"71 ","pages":"Pages 289-301"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141997252","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Uncovering the key features of iron metabolism in Pakistan from 2005 to 2020: A dynamic material flow analysis 揭示 2005 至 2020 年巴基斯坦铁代谢的主要特征：动态物质流分析
IF 5 2区 经济学
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.001
Nida Rabab , Yong Geng , Wenqiu Cai , Wang Gu , Ziyan Gao , Junting Shi
{"title":"Uncovering the key features of iron metabolism in Pakistan from 2005 to 2020: A dynamic material flow analysis","authors":"Nida Rabab ,&nbsp;Yong Geng ,&nbsp;Wenqiu Cai ,&nbsp;Wang Gu ,&nbsp;Ziyan Gao ,&nbsp;Junting Shi","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2024.08.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Iron is a crucial metal for Pakistan's growth, especially in its infrastructure and industrial sectors. However, the key features of iron metabolism are still unclear in this country, which makes it difficult to prepare appropriate iron management policies. In order to fill this knowledge gap, we employ a dynamic material flow analysis method to uncover the key features of iron metabolism in Pakistan for the period of 2005–2020. The result shows that a total of 2.057 Mt of iron ore was extracted during this study period. Pakistan heavily relied on importing iron resources to meet its demand, mainly from China (13.14 %), Japan (6.86 %), the United Arab Emirates (6.24 %), and the United Kingdom (6.27 %). Meanwhile, China (43.5 %) and the United Arab Emirates (19.82 %) are the top two buyers of Pakistan's iron-related products. In addition, our results indicate that iron recycling was insufficient in Pakistan, with a recycling rate of only 15 %. Finally, several policy recommendations are proposed by considering the Pakistan's reality in order to enhance the overall iron resource efficiency.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"71 ","pages":"Pages 261-269"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141979621","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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