Structural Change and Economic Dynamics最新文献_第3页

Long-term analysis of Kaldor's law applied to Brazil (1909-2020) 卡尔多定律在巴西应用的长期分析（1909-2020）

IF 5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2025-03-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.004

Natalia I. Doré , Eliane Araújo

引用次数: 0

Assessing virtual water trade and inequalities in household water footprints across California’s counties 评估虚拟水交易和加州各县家庭水足迹的不平等

IF 5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2025-03-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.02.008

Baobao Liu , Kuishuang Feng , Laixiang Sun , Giovanni Baiocchi , Daoping Wang , Fernando Miralles-Wilhelm

{"title":"Assessing virtual water trade and inequalities in household water footprints across California’s counties","authors":"Baobao Liu , Kuishuang Feng , Laixiang Sun , Giovanni Baiocchi , Daoping Wang , Fernando Miralles-Wilhelm","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.02.008","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.02.008","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The concept of virtual water trade suggests water flows from water-rich to water-scarce regions, but local disparities are often overlooked. This study uses a multi-regional input-output (MRIO) model to assess virtual water transfers among California’s 58 counties and the rest of the conterminous U.S. in 2017. Results show the Central Valley exported large volumes of virtual water via water-intensive crops (e.g., fruits and vegetables) but imported water embodied in industrial, mining, and thermoelectric processes. These imports eased water stress in the Central and South Coast but left Central Valley scarcity unresolved. Linking household consumption with MRIO reveals the highest-income group (over US$200k) had per capita water footprints 1.8 times larger than the lowest-income group (below US$15k). Although household size and consumption patterns mitigated this gap, Central Valley’s high water intensity fueled excessive footprints. The study underscores the need for targeted, equitable water management policies, promoting more effective water conservation strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"74 ","pages":"Pages 175-185"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143685200","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Structural breaks, institutional quality and productivity growth in Sub-Saharan Africa 撒哈拉以南非洲的结构性突破、制度质量和生产率增长

IF 5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2025-03-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.003

Eunice Adu-Darko , Kefei You

{"title":"Structural breaks, institutional quality and productivity growth in Sub-Saharan Africa","authors":"Eunice Adu-Darko , Kefei You","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the effect of institutional quality on total factor productivity (TFP) growth in 31 Sub-Saharan African economies during 1986–2019. Institutional quality, based on Rodrik's (2000) concept of market-supporting institutions aligned with the African Union's Agenda 2063, influences TFP growth alongside exogenous technological progress. We account for multiple structural breaks adopting the Karavias et al. (2022) method. Incorporating the three significant structural breaks identified in 1993, 2002, and 2007, institutional quality consistently contributed to TFP growth during 1986–1993, 1994–2002, and 2003–2007. It had no impact during 2008–2019. Despite institutional quality's support, regional TFP declined during 1986–1993 due to negative technological progress. It grew slowly in 1994–2002 and accelerated its pace during 2003–2007, both powered entirely by enhancements in institutional quality. In 2008–2019, driven by the final ignition of positive technological progress, TFP continued to grow but at a slower rate due to the absence of contribution from institutional quality.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"74 ","pages":"Pages 40-60"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143580266","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Visible prices and their influence on inflation expectations of Russian households 可见价格及其对俄罗斯家庭通胀预期的影响

IF 5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2025-03-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.02.015

Vadim Grishchenko , Diana Gasanova , Egor Fomin

{"title":"Visible prices and their influence on inflation expectations of Russian households","authors":"Vadim Grishchenko , Diana Gasanova , Egor Fomin","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.02.015","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.02.015","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Currently, the Russian economy is undergoing a structural transformation followed by rising inflation and inflation expectations. In these circumstances, the mechanisms of inflation expectations formation is of utmost relevance. A multitude of recent research shows that the inflation expectations of households are far from rational. In making inflation forecasts, people tend to focus on the prices of particular goods and services, which they can observe every day – ‘visible prices’. In this paper, we propose a new method for the identification of such items. Our novel ‘brute force’ algorithm automatically sorts through the full array of prices of goods and services given by Rosstat and constructs consumer baskets. It then selects the best baskets based on their ability to forecast the inflation expectations of Russian households from the FOM Survey. In the end, we get a decomposition of various metrics of inflation expectations for visible prices which also demonstrates good forecasting performance (as compared to the AR(1) process as a benchmark). To ensure robustness, we use an alternative method (optimisation with regularisation) and a variety of metrics of inflation expectations. As a result, we get lists of ‘robust visible items’ which include not only foodstuffs but mainly durable goods and services. Surprisingly enough, gasoline, which is typically labelled ‘a visible good’ in research, does not fall into this category for Russia.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"74 ","pages":"Pages 107-115"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143610021","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Energy prices, inflation, and distribution: A simulation model and policy analysis for Italy 能源价格、通货膨胀和分配：意大利的模拟模型和政策分析

IF 5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2025-03-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.002

Guilherme Spinato Morlin , Marco Stamegna , Simone D'Alessandro

引用次数: 0

A path towards China's energy justice: Is government intervention absolutely necessary? 中国能源公平之路：政府干预是否绝对必要？

IF 5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.02.018

Lei Chen, Nana Jiang

{"title":"A path towards China's energy justice: Is government intervention absolutely necessary?","authors":"Lei Chen, Nana Jiang","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.02.018","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.02.018","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>With the accelerated pace of the global energy transition, energy justice has become a focus of international attention. However, the greatest challenge to achieving energy justice may be the absence of comprehension of energy governance in other countries. To address this gap in the literature, this paper initially uses the improved entropy method to measure and analyze the level of energy justice in 30 provinces in China from 2004 to 2017. Then, using panel OLS, the mediating effect model, and the Spatial Durbin Model, the paper examines the impact and mechanism of government intervention on energy justice in China. The findings indicate that: (1) Government intervention has a significant positive impact on energy justice. The result remains robust following the application of IV-2SLS, System GMM, and placebo tests to address endogeneity. (2) The mechanism analysis indicates that the government can indirectly promote energy justice by adjusting credit allocation. (3) Due to the inter-provincial competition effect, demonstration effect, and the externalities of energy itself, the increase in the degree of local government intervention will have a positive impact on energy justice in spatially adjacent regions. (4) Heterogeneity analysis shows that the impact of government intervention on energy justice is more pronounced in northern regions due to differences in resource endowments and economic structures; the contribution of government intervention to energy justice is mainly reflected in improving energy accessibility. Finally, the article suggests that the government should create a comprehensive energy governance system, focus on credit allocation, and establish a regional coordination mechanism for energy governance to promote the ultimate realization of energy justice.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"74 ","pages":"Pages 92-106"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143610020","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Two- and half-centuries of equilibrium economics: Adam Smith and the evisceration of the spatial dimension from the theory of production 两个半世纪的均衡经济学：亚当·斯密与从生产理论中剔除空间维度

IF 5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2025-02-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.02.016

Elias L. Khalil

{"title":"Two- and half-centuries of equilibrium economics: Adam Smith and the evisceration of the spatial dimension from the theory of production","authors":"Elias L. Khalil","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.02.016","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.02.016","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Two concepts of Smith sealed off the relevance of the mercantilist and physiocratic traditions. Both concepts involve, although in different ways, the evisceration of the spatial dimension from the theory of production. The first, the division of labor, identifies the source of productivity and wealth while disregarding temporal heterogeneity across regions. This disregard produced an equilibrium economics that is, at first approximation, ill-equipped to explain the necessity of the state to protect its region, i.e., the ubiquity of protectionism. The second concept, the productive/unproductive labor distinction, specifies the source of steady growth while disregarding the environmental degradation arising from such growth. This disregard generated an equilibrium economics that is, at first approximation, ill-equipped to explain the necessity of technological and institutional innovations, i.e., the ubiquity of entrepreneurship. To account for both phenomena—i.e., the ubiquity of protectionism and entrepreneurship—we need to incorporate the spatial dimension into production theory.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"74 ","pages":"Pages 85-91"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143601408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Do low-carbon city pilots promote carbon equality? From the perspective of regional fairness 低碳城市试点是否促进了碳平等？从区域公平的角度来看

IF 5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2025-02-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.02.017

Tong Feng , Xiaomin Wang , Nan Wang , Jie Ma , Zhenni Chen , Qiang Tu , Qun Li

{"title":"Do low-carbon city pilots promote carbon equality? From the perspective of regional fairness","authors":"Tong Feng , Xiaomin Wang , Nan Wang , Jie Ma , Zhenni Chen , Qiang Tu , Qun Li","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.02.017","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.02.017","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The Low-Carbon City Pilot (LCCP) policy is central to China's strategy for reducing carbon emissions and promoting sustainable development. This study introduces a dual-framework approach to carbon equality, distinguishing between economic and ecological dimensions. Using a difference-in-differences (DID) methodology, the analysis covers prefecture-level cities in China from 2006 to 2019. Results indicate that the LCCP significantly enhanced economic and ecological carbon equality by 9.2 % and 8.4 %, respectively. Mechanism analysis identifies technological innovation, energy consumption, and renewable energy as key moderating factors, in line with the Porter hypothesis. Green patents and renewable energy enhance the LCCP's effects on carbon sequestration, economic growth, and emissions reduction. High energy consumption limits the policy's impact, but the LCCP improves energy efficiency, especially in energy-intensive cities. Heterogeneity analysis reveals stronger effects in economically developed cities and eastern China. This study offers valuable insights into how LCCP can promote regional fairness across economic and ecological contexts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"74 ","pages":"Pages 1-13"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143552155","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Cross-border R&D, absorptive capacity and innovation performance 跨境研发、吸收能力与创新绩效

IF 5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2025-02-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.02.010

Tingzhu Li , Debin Du

{"title":"Cross-border R&D, absorptive capacity and innovation performance","authors":"Tingzhu Li , Debin Du","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.02.010","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.02.010","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In the process of innovation, the importance of utilizing external knowledge by countries has gradually been recognized. Against the backdrop of economic globalization, accessing and absorbing external knowledge through cross-border R&D has become a significant means for both countries and enterprises to enhance innovation performance. Within the increasingly frequent global network structure formed by cross-border R&D investments, national innovation performance is jointly influenced by external network relations and absorptive capacity. Combining network theory and absorptive capacity theory, this paper portrays the global cross-border R&D investment network structure, empirically examines the relationship between network position, absorptive capacity, and innovation performance using panel data consisting of 16060 cross-border R&D investment projects spanning from 2003 to 2020. The results indicate that global cross-border R&D investments have formed a complete topological network structure characterized by a core-periphery feature, indicating heterogeneous distribution of countries’ positions in the network. Countries in different positions exhibit varying impacts of cross-border R&D on innovation performance. Countries with higher node strength and richer structural holes tend to have higher innovation output. Additionally, absorptive capacity plays a positive moderating role between network position and innovation performance, although this role varies heterogeneously between developed and developing countries. This research serves as a valuable theoretical resource for guiding the design of cross-border R&D and innovation policies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"73 ","pages":"Pages 460-471"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143548583","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Structural change, income distribution and unemployment related to Covid-19: An agent-based model 与 Covid-19 有关的结构变化、收入分配和失业：基于代理的模型

IF 5 2区经济学

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2025-02-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.02.013

Bernhard Schütz , Oliver Reiter , Michael Landesmann , Branimir Jovanović

引用次数: 0