Research in Transportation Economics最新文献

{"title":"Pandemic-induced uncertainty and maritime terrorism: A quantile-on-quantile analysis of major maritime economies","authors":"Muhammad Khalid Anser ,&nbsp;Sajid Ali ,&nbsp;Raima Nazar ,&nbsp;Hind Alofaysan","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101742","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101742","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Pandemic-induced uncertainty reshaped global dynamics, creating critical vulnerabilities in maritime security and intensifying terrorism threats at sea. Supply chain disruptions, weakened economies, and strained international cooperation further compounded the complexity and reach of maritime terrorism, amplifying its global implications. This study investigates the asymmetric impact of pandemic-induced uncertainty on maritime terrorism in 10 selected maritime nations (the USA, China, Somalia, Singapore, Brazil, India, Greece, Nigeria, Australia, and Russia). Unlike past investigations that focused entirely on COVID-19, the present study applies a comprehensive pandemic-related uncertainty index, integrating datasets from various pandemics, including Avian Flu, Ebola, MERS, COVID-19, SARS, and others. The Quantile-on-Quantile technique is applied instead of traditional panel data methods, which often overlook country-specific contexts. This advanced instrument enables an exhaustive analysis of the asymmetric linkage between variables within individual nations. Results reveal an inverse connection between pandemic uncertainty and maritime terrorism in the USA, China, Singapore, and Australia. Meanwhile, Somalia, Brazil, India, and Nigeria show a positive association. However, mixed findings emerge in Russia and Greece, reflecting complex and varied dynamics. These findings underscore the critical need for policymakers to formulate customized policies to monitor the evolving impact of pandemic uncertainty on maritime terrorism, which varies across different quantiles.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 101742"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147421737","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Sustainable transport governance: Exploring the use of participatory multi-criteria analysis for planning inclusive infrastructure","authors":"Lluis Martinez,&nbsp;Imre Keserü,&nbsp;Cathy Macharis","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101730","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101730","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Multi-criteria analysis (MCA) has traditionally been employed to evaluate transport projects. In recent years, participatory MCA approaches have presented a promising avenue for involving stakeholders in transport planning. However, the potential of participatory MCA to support the development of inclusive transport infrastructure, particularly digital and shared mobility services, remains underexplored. This study examines three applications of a specific participatory MCA method, the Multi-Actor Multi-Criteria Analysis (MAMCA), in Brussels (Belgium), The Hague (The Netherlands) and Vienna (Austria). These applications aimed to support the planning process for implementing mobility hubs, a type of transport infrastructure that integrates shared mobility services and public transport both physically and digitally.</div><div>The research draws on the qualitative data collected from the facilitators of three participatory MCA processes, which used workshops, interviews and questionnaires to capture stakeholder perspectives. The cases show that participatory MCA can support the development of inclusive infrastructure, including digital and shared mobility services. Yet challenges remain regarding stakeholder engagement, varying levels of participant expertise, and facilitation. The extent to which results inform decisions, however, depends less on methodological design than on the institutional capacity and political commitment of the actors involved. By identifying these barriers and proposing strategies to address them, this study provides key recommendations for policymakers and practitioners involved in planning and developing transport infrastructure.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 101730"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146189258","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Economic and logistics performance of heavy-duty trucks with alternative powertrains","authors":"Romeo Danielis ,&nbsp;Arsalan Muhammad Khan Niazi ,&nbsp;Mariangela Scorrano ,&nbsp;Manuela Masutti","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101727","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101727","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Logistics managers need to take decisions based on economic cost and logistics performance. In this paper, we complement the standard total cost of ownership (TCO) metrics with logistics metrics such as the number of completed orders and the charging time needed for a given period. The latter are computed via a hybrid simulation model that incorporates discrete event, system dynamics and agent-based modules. We apply the model to the shipments by heavy-duty trucks in Italy. We find that when battery electric trucks (BETs) are used extensively for long-distance shipments, their TCO is comparable with diesel trucks (DTs) but they have worse logistics performances under current fast charging conditions (up to 350 kW), with 6 %–28 % loss of order fulfilled, depending on the destination. The loss is reduced if ultrafast charging stations (about 1000 kW) are available. When used for short distances, their logistics performance is still much lower than DTs in terms of orders fulfilled, with the additional issue that the lower annual distance travelled affects the TCO metrics, resulting in higher TCO/km versus DTs. On the contrary, hydrogen-fuelled trucks (H₂Ts) have logistics performances similar to DTs but suffer from much higher TCO/km values in both cases.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 101727"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146189264","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Bi-objective set covering location model for two-tier shopping centers based on two-level consumer demand","authors":"Fei Wang,&nbsp;Jianyu Chen,&nbsp;Houlong Zhang,&nbsp;Ke Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101696","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101696","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The strategic location of shopping centers is crucial to the economic interests of commercial investors and significantly influences urban residents' welfare and the spatial configuration of urban commercial systems. This study applies an optimization model to the shopping center location problem by constructing a bi-objective set-covering location model for two-tier shopping centers based on two -level consumer demand. The model simultaneously considers the interests of both investors and consumers, aiming to trade-off facility construction costs and consumer travel costs with limited capacity constraints. To efficiently solve the problem, an improved <em>NSGA-II</em> algorithm incorporating a chromosome-archiving mechanism is proposed, and its performance is validated against a reference frontier generated by the <span><math><mrow><mi>ε</mi></mrow></math></span>-constraint method. Empirical analysis based on Xi'an's metro network (163 stations) demonstrates the cost ratio parameter (<span><math><mrow><mi>α</mi></mrow></math></span>) and service radius ratio parameter (<span><math><mrow><mi>γ</mi></mrow></math></span>) exhibit high sensitivity, whereas the capacity ratio parameter (<span><math><mrow><mi>β</mi></mrow></math></span>) has a relatively minor effect on the optimization outcomes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 101696"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145790450","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Stated car choices in Norway and Italy: a comparison based on the integrated choice and latent variable model","authors":"Mariangela Scorrano ,&nbsp;Terje Andreas Mathisen ,&nbsp;Romeo Danielis ,&nbsp;Ozlem Simsekoglu ,&nbsp;Giuseppe Marinelli","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101695","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101695","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The study investigates whether the large difference in battery electric vehicle (BEV) uptake between Norway and Italy could be explained by differences in car buyers' preference structures, either in terms of their evaluation of the vehicles' characteristics or in terms of their perceptionsattitudes towards BEVs. Based on stated preference data collected in the two countries, we find that car drivers evaluate vehicle attributes very similarly. Norwegians value BEV driving range slightly more and are more sensitive to fuelelectricity costs. <em>Ceteris paribus</em>, Italian respondents, in contrast to Norwegian ones, still prefer petrol cars to BEVs. The results of the integrated choice and latent variable (ICLV) model indicate that respondents’ perceptionsattitudes influence car choice in both countries. In Norway, BEVs are preferred by those who view them as economically, environmentally, technically, and morally superior. In Italy, the evidence is similar but for the environmental aspects, which are not decisive for BEV choice. Such perceptionsattitudes are correlated with age, sex, and BEV density.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 101695"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145840225","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Environmental and social assessment of transport and cooling systems in last-mile cold-chain vaccine distribution: A case study in Flanders, Belgium","authors":"Rafael Arevalo-Ascanio ,&nbsp;Elena Prozorova ,&nbsp;Annelies De Meyer ,&nbsp;Roel Gevaers ,&nbsp;Ruben Guisson ,&nbsp;Wouter Dewulf","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101693","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101693","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Although the discussions on the sustainability of transport and logistics have been a focus of research in recent years, the impacts of the choice of cooling systems within cold chains have not received the same attention. This paper assesses the environmental and social implications of cold-chain vaccine distribution in the last mile, in terms of CO₂ emissions from cooling systems and transport, as well as the external costs of transport. The last-mile vaccine distribution is modelled using a strategic approach to perform multi-scenario analyses. An application within the Flemish immunisation programme in Belgium compares the performance of active (ACS) and passive (PCS) cooling systems during last-mile vaccine distribution. The CO₂ emissions results indicate that PCS are the most efficient for multi-stop distribution, while ACS emissions rise sharply with more stops along the route. An illustrative example explores the potential environmental benefits of using cargo bikes and PCS for deliveries in the densest regions. Regarding social impacts, the urban distribution of vaccines presents the highest effects on the external costs categories of accidents, air pollution, and congestion. The findings are relevant to cold-chain planning for logistics operators, as the efficient implementation of cooling systems can enhance all dimensions of sustainability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 101693"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145685060","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Shipping, carbon pricing, and inflation pass-through: The Silent Absorber hypothesis","authors":"Konstantinos D. Melas ,&nbsp;Nektarios A. Michail ,&nbsp;Prodromos Tsinaslanidis","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101726","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101726","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study explores whether the recent introduction of CO₂ emission pricing in maritime transport has affected freight rates and inflation in the euro area. Focusing on the regulatory shift implemented in 2023, we examine whether the additional costs for shipowners have been passed on to shippers and consumers. Using a Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) model, we analyze the dynamic interactions between CO₂ allowance prices, freight rates, oil prices, inflation, and macro-financial variables from January 2023 to August 2024. The BVAR framework, suitable for small-sample analysis, allows us to trace impulse responses and uncover potential pass-through effects. Our findings challenge the common assumption that environmental taxation leads to inflationary pressures. Specifically, we find no significant increase in freight rates or inflation following a rise in CO₂ prices. Instead, the data indicate a slight drop in oil prices and a modest gain in shipowners’ revenues, suggesting that much of the regulatory cost has been absorbed within the sector. This implies that the short-term (1–2 years) inflationary impact of maritime decarbonization was limited. As the first empirical analysis of its kind using real-time data and a macro-shipping lens, this study provides timely insights for policymakers assessing the economic neutrality of green regulation in maritime transport.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 101726"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146189706","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Shaping air taxi adoption: Unraveling the interplay of travel patterns and attitudes","authors":"Junbiao Su ,&nbsp;Doosun Hong ,&nbsp;Meng Guo ,&nbsp;Eunhyang Lee ,&nbsp;Sunghoon Jang","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101724","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101724","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study underscores the central role of travel patterns in shaping air taxi adoption by segmenting potential users and examining how habitual behavior pattern conditions their intentions. Using a latent class ordered logit model on 625 valid in-person survey data from Seoul, South Korea, we identify two policy-relevant segments: established travel patterns and flexible travel patterns. Travel patterns strength consistently moderates the effects of pro-environmental self-identity, perceptions of autonomous technology, and safety concerns. Individuals with established travel patterns show stronger sensitivity to safety, reliability, and integration with existing routines, while those with flexible travel patterns respond more to environmental appeals, perceived convenience, and autonomous features. These results suggest that travel patterns should be explicitly incorporated into acceptance models, regulatory planning, and marketing strategies. For established users, priorities include rigorous safety certification, transparent risk communication, and seamless multimodal integration to reduce disruption to routines. For flexible users, emphasize time savings, environmental benefits, user-friendly digital services, and incentives. By foregrounding travel patterns, the study offers a replicable analytical framework and practical guidance for policymakers and industry to design targeted interventions that enhance public acceptance and facilitate integration of air taxis into urban transport.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 101724"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146189266","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Formalizing the informal in public transportation: The case of motorcycle taxis transport network service in the Philippines","authors":"Marie Danielle V. Guillen ,&nbsp;Sandy Mae Gaspay ,&nbsp;Iderlina Mateo-Babiano ,&nbsp;Justine Alexandra T. Schneck","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101681","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101681","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This article explores the use of smartphone applications in motorcycle (MC) taxi operation in the Philippines. Adopting the informal-formal dichotomy, and using a qualitative approach, the paper: (1) reviews the development of MC taxis from the livelihood, service, and institutional viewpoints; and (2) explores the evolving forms of MC taxi regulation, including the role of technology, competition, ownership, and agreements. The article confirms the Philippine's long history with motorcycles. It reinforces the role of motorcycles in filling the public transport gap. Ideally, a good public transport system meets the “formal” service standards. However, the policy response has persistently been reactive. Transport network companies used technology to advocate for drivers' livelihoods and legitimize their operations. Unfortunately, this is also symptomatic of the bigger issue that needs to be tackled, the need for a modern or formal urban public transport system that meets commuters' service quality expectations. These expectations include comfort, access, reliability, and environment-friendliness, as well as fair income and benefits for the MC drivers. While app-based technology can improve mobility management, it should also be consistent with the national policy and service quality expectations of commuters and contribute towards more secure livelihoods or income needs of drivers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 101681"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145617375","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A Stated choice analysis of passenger's willingness to pay for service attributes of nonstop, direct, and connected itineraries in Indian domestic aviation market","authors":"Mustansir Farooq,&nbsp;M. Manoj,&nbsp;K. Ramachandra Rao","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101736","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101736","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>With the growing competition in the aviation market, airline service attributes (ancillary services) have gained importance and become a key revenue source for airlines. Therefore, it is essential to understand the expectations of passengers and offer personalized travel experiences. This paper investigates the airline itinerary choice behavior of passengers among three different types of airline itineraries (nonstop, direct and connected) while accounting for systematic (considering the interaction between demographics and itinerary attributes) and random preference heterogeneities. The results reveal significant heterogeneity in passenger preferences regarding connection time and fare. While some passengers prefer nonstop itineraries despite higher fares, others are willing to accept longer connections in exchange for cost savings. Further, this study investigates the willingness to pay (WTP) for the service attributes like seat width, legroom, meals, and on-time-performance (OTP) for the three different itineraries. Results indicate that for extra legroom on nonstop itineraries, respondents are willing to pay between 10.5 and 18.6 USD; for wider seats between 8.8 USD to 12.7 USD; and for free meals, 10.8 to 20.5 USD. Moreover, this study highlights the importance of OTP in itineraries. The findings report a WTP ranging between 16 USD to 21 USD for an improvement from 60% OTP. Direct and cross elasticities for fare and connection time are also investigated and a strong substitution effect in direct itineraries, compared to nonstop and connected itineraries, is observed due to fare and connection time. A percent increase in fare of direct itineraries leads to a 4.79% increase in the share of nonstop itineraries and a 3.30% rise in connected itineraries, highlighting passengers' sensitivity to price changes. Similarly, a percent increase in connection time of direct itineraries results in a 2.95% and 2.02% shift to nonstop and connected itineraries, respectively. Finally, the findings highlight that with age longer connection times become less appealing and sensitivity to fare increases. These insights may provide important inputs to the airline industry.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 101736"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146189257","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}