Research in Transportation Economics最新文献_第2页

Behavioral differences between young adults and elderly travelers concerning the crowding effect on public transit after the COVID-19 pandemic COVID-19 大流行后，青壮年和老年旅行者在公共交通拥挤效应方面的行为差异

IF 4.6 3区工程技术

Research in Transportation Economics Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101463

Seo-Young Hong , Shin-Hyung Cho , Ho-Chul Park

{"title":"Behavioral differences between young adults and elderly travelers concerning the crowding effect on public transit after the COVID-19 pandemic","authors":"Seo-Young Hong , Shin-Hyung Cho , Ho-Chul Park","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101463","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101463","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>After the COVID-19 pandemic, passengers' concerns about crowding on public transit vehicles has increased due to their fear of being infected. Since WHO has announced that the elderly are the most vulnerable to COVID-19, it is important to understand the impact of crowding on the elderly and provide policy implications on public transit vehicles. The aim of this study is to analyze the behavioral differences between young adults and the elderly concerning the crowded conditions on public transit with a stated preference survey in Seoul metropolitan area. Crowding multipliers are estimated to quantify the impedance on crowding based on the mixed logit model. The results indicate that the elderly are more sensitive to crowding on public transit vehicles than younger people, and subway passengers are affected more by crowding than passengers who are using other modes of transit. In addition, it is confirmed that the preference of the elderly for public transit varies according to gender, income, and the purpose of travel. These analysis results can provide implications for setting new policy directions to improve the public hygiene and comfort of elderly people when they use public transit in the post-COVID-19 world.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"106 ","pages":"Article 101463"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-06-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141485096","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Financial subsidy, government audit and new transportation technology: Evidence from the new energy vehicle pilot city program in China 财政补贴、政府审计与新交通技术：来自中国新能源汽车试点城市项目的证据

IF 3.8 3区工程技术

Research in Transportation Economics Pub Date : 2024-06-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101447

Xi Li , Ziyan Wang , Siming Jiang , Chongyi Li , Huanxiu Guo

{"title":"Financial subsidy, government audit and new transportation technology: Evidence from the new energy vehicle pilot city program in China","authors":"Xi Li , Ziyan Wang , Siming Jiang , Chongyi Li , Huanxiu Guo","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101447","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101447","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>As the global transportation sector grapples with challenges related to the energy crisis and climate change, New Energy Vehicles (NEVs) have emerged as a promising solution. In order to promote this new transportation technology, China has implemented strategic policies, such as the two-round NEV demonstration and pilot city program. Using a novel firm-month level panel data and the Difference-in-Difference (DID) strategy, this paper assesses the impact of the NEV pilot city program on NEV production from 2009 to 2016. Our findings reveal a significant increase in the production of Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) by 37.0% and Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs) by 6.7%, primarily driven by financial subsidies in the private sector. The impact of the financial subsidy in both private and public sectors was further enhanced by government audit. Heterogeneous analysis shows the effect of the program was more pronounced in eastern regions, medium and small cities, and key cities for air pollution control. Based on the empirical findings, we discuss policy options for fostering new transportation technology in developing countries.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"106 ","pages":"Article 101447"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-06-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141313126","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Fare revenue forecast in public transport: A comparative case study 公共交通票价收入预测：比较案例研究

IF 3.8 3区工程技术

Research in Transportation Economics Pub Date : 2024-05-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101445

Jonas Krembsler , Sandra Spiegelberg , Richard Hasenfelder , Nicki Lena Kämpf , Thomas Winter , Nicola Winter , Robert Knappe

{"title":"Fare revenue forecast in public transport: A comparative case study","authors":"Jonas Krembsler , Sandra Spiegelberg , Richard Hasenfelder , Nicki Lena Kämpf , Thomas Winter , Nicola Winter , Robert Knappe","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101445","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101445","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper presents results from a case study of fare revenue prediction in public transportation in Berlin using machine learning and time series analysis. Our work aims to aid in the implementation of automated revenue controlling and data-driven decision support within existing controlling processes.</p><p>We generate forecasts based on fare revenue data for different product segments aggregated on a monthly basis. Additionally, we model exogenous effects using data publicly available.</p><p>The results were obtained using a variety of methods including regression methods as well as autoregressive methods and exponential smoothing. Among others, SARIMAX, MLR, LASSO and Ridge were applied.</p><p>We evaluate the predictive quality of each method and compare them. Where appropriate, we apply automatic feature selection to improve performance.</p><p>Our findings, alongside a discussion of their interpretability, can serve as recommendations for practitioners, supporting them in choosing appropriate methods and suitable exogenous variables to reliably predict the fare revenues of different products.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 101445"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-05-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0739885924000404/pdfft?md5=43e14b927da40ca4f9e7ff08ba15814d&pid=1-s2.0-S0739885924000404-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141090077","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Behavioral optimization of US air travel taxes 美国航空旅行税的行为优化

IF 3.8 3区工程技术

Research in Transportation Economics Pub Date : 2024-05-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101443

Shih-Hsien Chuang

{"title":"Behavioral optimization of US air travel taxes","authors":"Shih-Hsien Chuang","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101443","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101443","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Recent literature has documented consumers’ imperfect optimization when facing taxes. Despite the rich literature in this area, little research has been conducted in the airline industry context. I exploit the variation of tax changes in the airline industry to analyze how US passengers react to tax and price changes. I show that passengers react more strongly to taxes than to price changes through the use of semi-elasticities. Baseline estimates suggest that the tax elasticity of demand is approximately 1.5 times as strong as the price elasticity of demand. This paper extends the literature by allowing for heterogeneous price and tax responses, and by providing a series of possible rationales that explain how overoptimization can arise in the airline industry. Tax aversion, media coverage, persistent tax increases, psychological factors, and non-standard preferences suggested in the literature could all contribute to explaining passengers’ overoptimization in the airline industry. The findings in this paper have profound contributions both to the economic literature, to the airline industry, and practitioners at both the local and federal levels.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 101443"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-05-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141072851","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Innovations in last mile logistics: Towards inclusivity, resilience and sustainability 最后一英里物流的创新：实现包容性、复原力和可持续性

IF 3.8 3区工程技术

Research in Transportation Economics Pub Date : 2024-05-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101446

Michela Le Pira , Carla de Oliveira Leite Nascimento , Nadia Giuffrida , Rodrigo J. Tapia , Francesco Pilla , Lóránt A. Tavasszy

引用次数: 0

Blind booking: The effects on passengers' purchase decision, airlines’ profitability, and tourist destinations 盲目订票：对乘客购买决策、航空公司盈利能力和旅游目的地的影响

IF 3.8 3区工程技术

Research in Transportation Economics Pub Date : 2024-05-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101444

Juana M. Alonso, M. Pilar Socorro

{"title":"Blind booking: The effects on passengers' purchase decision, airlines’ profitability, and tourist destinations","authors":"Juana M. Alonso, M. Pilar Socorro","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101444","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101444","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Blind booking consists of selling cheap surprise trips with a set of possible destinations, but without revealing the real destination until the payment is made. In this paper, we develop an economic model to analyse the social and private optimality of this pricing strategy in the airline industry. We perceive opaque products as a pricing strategy managed directly by airlines (without intermediaries) and simultaneously applied with other pricing strategies. Blind booking allows airlines to sell all their seats while maximising revenues and charging different prices in two parallel and independent markets: the transparent and the opaque market. Considering consumers’ risk attitude, airlines must optimally choose the number of seats of each destination to be sold in each market in order to maximise their profits and create an attractive blind product. Our findings suggest that, in general, selling tickets in both markets is optimal for airlines. We show that, even when it is not optimal, it may enhance social welfare. Thus, policymakers, especially those of low-demanded destinations, should encourage airlines to introduce blind tickets. In these destinations, blind tickets imply an additional source of demand, attracting new customers and generating positive economic impacts.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 101444"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-05-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0739885924000398/pdfft?md5=fd6583ca27f6d65bd81f507595dfa288&pid=1-s2.0-S0739885924000398-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140905763","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Editorial: The special issue on integrating e-commerce in urban mobility planning 社论：将电子商务纳入城市交通规划特刊

IF 3.8 3区工程技术

Research in Transportation Economics Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101439

Astrid Bjørgen, Svein Bråthen, Lisa Hansson, Kristin Ystmark Bjerkan

引用次数: 0

Projections of the costs of light-duty battery-electric and fuel cell vehicles (2020–2040) and related economic issues 轻型电池电动汽车和燃料电池汽车成本预测（2020-2040 年）及相关经济问题

IF 3.8 3区工程技术

Research in Transportation Economics Pub Date : 2024-04-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101440

Andrew F. Burke , Jingyuan Zhao , Lewis M. Fulton

{"title":"Projections of the costs of light-duty battery-electric and fuel cell vehicles (2020–2040) and related economic issues","authors":"Andrew F. Burke , Jingyuan Zhao , Lewis M. Fulton","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101440","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101440","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the initial costs and total cost of ownership (TCO) for light-duty battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) from 2020 to 2040, covering cars, SUVs, and light trucks, alongside the infrastructure requirements. Key findings indicate that by 2040, the initial costs for BEVs will align with those of gasoline vehicles if battery costs can reach cell-level $70/kWh (or pack-level $84/kWh). For FCVs, achieving cost parity with gasoline cars before 2040 will be challenging unless the cost of fuel cells decreases to about $40/kW through high-volume production (>500000 units). Regarding 5-year TCOs, both BEVs and FCVs are expected to be close to or slightly lower than those of gasoline vehicles by 2040 across all LDV market segments. Investment analysis for large fleets suggests that by 2040, public fast charging for BEVs could cost $2000/vehicle, and hydrogen refueling for FCVs $1100/vehicle. Additionally, the study assesses the impact of low carbon fuel standard (LCFS) credits on the profitability of refueling stations, concluding that these credits are essential for transforming potentially unprofitable stations into profitable ventures with returns of 5% or higher. This highlights the critical role of LCFS in financing BEVs and FCVs infrastructure.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 101440"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-04-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140813109","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Statistical power and productivity effects of transport investments: A critical review 运输投资的统计能力和生产率效应：批判性评论

IF 3.8 3区工程技术

Research in Transportation Economics Pub Date : 2024-04-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101430

Eivind Tveter, Johan Holmgren

引用次数: 0

Unraveling the inconsistency in captive riders’ behaviors and attitudes within public transportation service usage: An integrated modeling approach 揭示乘客在使用公共交通服务过程中行为和态度的不一致性：综合建模方法

IF 3.8 3区工程技术

Research in Transportation Economics Pub Date : 2024-04-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101431

Shichao Sun, Linlin Zhou, Pingye Wang, Hui Zhang

{"title":"Unraveling the inconsistency in captive riders’ behaviors and attitudes within public transportation service usage: An integrated modeling approach","authors":"Shichao Sun, Linlin Zhou, Pingye Wang, Hui Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101431","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101431","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Fostering enduring patronage among passengers for public transportation (PT) services is crucial for sustaining ridership. However, a significant concern arises from the inconsistency between passengers' negative attitudes and their robust patronage behaviors toward PT services, particularly evident among the captive riders. This paradox entails the risk of these passengers potentially shifting to alternative transport modes in the future, thereby diminishing ridership. To unravel the intricate dynamics inherent in the relationship between captive riders' attitudes and behaviors, this study introduces a novel integrated model merging Satisfaction-Loyalty Theory (SLT) with Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB). The integrated model seeks to enhance the comprehension of the mechanisms that drive captive riders' ongoing utilization of PT services, specifically within the context of attitude-behavior inconsistency. Evident in a case study involving 637 samples collected in Dalian, China, the integrated model not only shows excellent goodness-of-fit but also outperforms both the conventional SLT and TPB frameworks. It excels in explaining why captive riders may persist in their behaviors towards the service even in the face of dissatisfaction and highlights how the perceived service quality shapes their attitudes and behaviors. This substantially contributes to the development of targeted service improvement strategies for sustaining captive riders’ continued patronage.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 101431"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140639403","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0