Guiwen Liu, Jia Wang, Pengpeng Xu, Rundong Chen, Haona Yao
{"title":"Did transportation electrification help to reduce transportation sector CO2 emissions? A study considering the dynamic electricity carbon emission factor","authors":"Guiwen Liu, Jia Wang, Pengpeng Xu, Rundong Chen, Haona Yao","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101698","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101698","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Transportation electrification is a key strategy for achieving carbon neutrality goals. However, the contributions of transportation electrification to carbon emissions (CRE) depend on the degree of power grid decarbonization. This study employed the Kaya Identity, the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) model, and Moran's Index to examine CRE and its spatial clustering characteristics across China's seven power grid regions from 2004 to 2022, covering 30 provinces. Results indicated that the transportation electrification rate (EE) remained stable in the early years but increased gradually after 2016, reaching 12.35 % by 2022. Transportation electrification primarily impacts carbon emissions through three aspects: electricity substitution, electricity decarbonization, and energy efficiency improvement. Transportation electrification resulted in an additional 9.94 Mt of carbon emissions from 2004 to 2022, with the electricity substitution effect being the primary contributing factor. Most provinces have not achieved carbon reductions through transportation electrification. This outcome is mainly because these provinces have placed greater emphasis on the quantity of transportation electrification (rapid EE increase) rather than its quality (lagging grid decarbonization). Furthermore, regarding spatial distribution, CRE exhibits a clear pattern of “high in the north and low in the south”, indicating spatial clustering. This study provides valuable insights for advancing transportation electrification strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 101698"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145840227","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Security perceptions in ride-sharing services: Influencing factors and effective solutions","authors":"Marzieh Afsari, Salar Salehi, Lory Michelle Bresciani Miristice, Guido Gentile","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101689","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101689","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Ride-sharing offers flexibility and cost-efficiency, but presents security challenges, especially in developing countries. In Iran, a country with a longstanding tradition of ride-sharing, this study investigates how users perceive security, and which measures they consider effective. We collected survey data from 270 participants and applied factor analysis to identify latent dimensions influencing perceived security, including experiences, social influences, family norm, and religion. These factors and demographics were included in an ordered logit model to assess their impact on perceived security. Results show gender is the strongest predictor, with women reporting lower security than men. However, men also feel insecure, especially at night or outside urban areas. These findings underscore the need to combine gender-neutral and gender-sensitive strategies to ensure fairness while addressing the diverse security needs. Other significant variables include age, past harassment experience, media exposure, and family norms. Those with very low perceived security are less responsive to interventions than those with moderate or higher security. We also evaluated user preferences for a range of proposed measures. Cameras and tracking received strong support, with many expressing a willingness to pay for increased security. Security apps showed promise, but users stressed the need for better privacy, preventive functions, and real-time response.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 101689"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145685061","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The impact of intra-regional road networks on small business dynamics in China","authors":"Lanlan Wang, Jianmei Zhao","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101729","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101729","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study extends existing literature, which primarily addresses the economic impact of inter-regional transport infrastructure, by examining the role of four types of intra-regional roads on small business formation, closure, and net growth. Using a county-level panel dataset from China spanning 2014 to 2019 and a fixed-effects instrumental variable (FE-IV) approach, we find that tertiary roads, characterized by pedestrian-friendly designs, significantly promote small business registrations and reduce closures, fostering sustained entrepreneurial growth. In contrast, primary, secondary, or branch roads are either associated with fewer new firm establishments, higher business closures, or negative net business growth. Heterogeneity analyses highlight sector-specific and regional variations. By integrating multiple intra-regional road types into a unified empirical framework to analyze their distinct impact on small business dynamics, this study fills critical gaps in the literature and provides actionable insights for policymakers aiming to optimize local infrastructure for small business development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 101729"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146189267","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Exploratory analysis of periodic patterns in passenger aircraft orders and their associations with macroeconomic trends","authors":"Kazuaki Katagiri , Toshio Takiya","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101715","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101715","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Since the mid-20th century, global demand for air passenger transport has consistently increased, however, passenger aircraft orders have exhibited significant fluctuations. These fluctuations have imposed burdens on manufacturers, leading to instability and inefficiencies across globally integrated supply chains. This study applies Discrete Fourier Analysis and Cross-Correlation Analysis to passenger aircraft order data and global economic growth rates (1960–2020) to explore periodicity and macroeconomic associations. The results reveal a dominant cycle of approximately 8–10 years, consistent across aircraft types, and suggest synchronization with global economic growth patterns. These findings provide insights for long-term strategic planning in the passenger aircraft industries.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 101715"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146039270","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ke Wang , Jing Zhao , Hongcheng Gan , Zhen Wang , Yutong Li , Xin Ye
{"title":"How shared autonomous vehicle services affect commuters’ value of travel time in Shanghai, China","authors":"Ke Wang , Jing Zhao , Hongcheng Gan , Zhen Wang , Yutong Li , Xin Ye","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101704","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101704","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Shared autonomous vehicles (SAVs), a combination of shared mobility service and autonomous vehicle technology, are widely regarded as a promising pathway toward more sustainable, efficient, and equitable urban transportation systems. The impact of SAVs on commuters' value of travel time (VOTT) is critical for transportation planning authorities but remains insufficiently understood. Since the high uncertainty in the VOTT often arises from substantial preference heterogeneity across individuals, this paper developed a mixed multinomial Probit model with correlated error terms to analyze the impact of SAV service on commuters’ mode choice and the VOTT in Shanghai, China. The results show that, relative to the VOTT derived from revealed preference data, the VOTT for private cars based on stated preference data after the introduction of SAV services shows a slight increase, while the VOTTs for taxis and public transit remain largely unchanged. The results further indicate a reduction of nearly one-half in the VOTT for SAV relative to private cars. Policy implications are also discussed to promote the development and sustainability of urban mobilities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 101704"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145981502","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Evaluating supporting policies for an urban consolidation center considering retailer adoption","authors":"Yahui Yao , Rong Zhang , Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101719","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101719","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Urban Consolidation Centers (UCCs) have emerged as a promising solution to urban distribution challenges, but success depends on policy support and stakeholder adoption. To address gaps in current research, this paper assesses the impact of supporting policies and dynamic adoption of UCCs by stakeholders. An agent-based simulation model is developed to replicate retailers' selection of carriers based on generalized logistics costs (GLCs), and carriers' scheduling of truck operations in response to delivery demands. Three policy categories — operational subsidies, traffic regulations, and parking management — are evaluated. With an UCC serving clothing retailers in Shanghai's Wujiaochang CBD as the study case, data from various sources is used to model the agents. Results indicate that standalone UCCs implementation yields limited effectiveness. Operational subsidies exert the most significant impact, whereas traffic and parking policies provide moderate benefits. The optimal policy package includes a substantial, evenly distributed subsidy over the subsidy period, a delayed traffic restriction start time, and a 25 % parking fee discount for UCC trucks. This policy package produces a synergistic effect, significantly reducing vehicle kilometers traveled (by 21.19 %) and implicit logistics costs (by 50.38 %). These insights inform effective policy design and offer a valuable decision-support tool for cities considering UCCs implementations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 101719"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146189260","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Beyond direct effects: Socioeconomic and accessibility factors as moderators in the relationship between railway inequality dimensions and usage barriers in intercity train services","authors":"Natcha Limpasirisuwan , Thanapong Champahom , Rattanaporn Kasemsri , Sajjakaj Jomnonkwao , Vatanavongs Ratanavaraha","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101733","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101733","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines how socioeconomic and accessibility factors moderate the relationship between multidimensional railway inequality and usage barriers in developing country contexts. While extensive research has documented direct relationships between railway infrastructure development and accessibility outcomes, limited attention has been given to understanding how these relationships vary across different population segments and accessibility conditions. Using structural equation modeling and multi-group analysis of data from 1677 intercity railway users across Thailand's seven regions, this research investigates the moderating roles of transport modes, station location, age, gender, and income level in shaping how railway inequality dimensions influence accessibility barriers, safety concerns, and affordability challenges. The findings confirm that railway inequality significantly affects usage barriers through seven interconnected dimensions, with economic inequality emerging as the dominant factor. These findings challenge traditional approaches to transport equity that emphasize demographic targeting, instead advocating for universal improvements in multimodal transport integration and first-and-last-mile connectivity. The research provides critical insights for policymakers in developing countries, suggesting that investments in comprehensive feeder transport systems and age-sensitive accessibility programs may more effectively reduce railway inequality than conventional income-based subsidies or gender-specific interventions alone.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 101733"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146189261","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yanling Li , Yingjie Zheng , Sheng Cao , Yijin Song , Ruoyang Du
{"title":"The impact of top managers with diverse backgrounds on the operational efficiency of Chinese state-owned toll road companies","authors":"Yanling Li , Yingjie Zheng , Sheng Cao , Yijin Song , Ruoyang Du","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101731","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101731","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates whether and how top managers with diverse backgrounds influence the operational efficiency of Chinese state-owned toll road companies (CSTRCs). Using panel data from CSTRCs between 2011 and 2021, we examine the impact of top managers' diverse background characteristics on operational efficiency, and focus on the moderating role of external supervisory environments. The results indicate that top managers with diverse backgrounds significantly improve operational efficiency, particularly for companies in western China. Further mechanism analysis reveals that local government supervision strengthens the positive effect, and that this moderating role is further enhanced when public supervision is present. Our findings offer new insights into the endogenous drivers of operational efficiency and provide practical implications for promoting efficiency improvements in state-owned companies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 101731"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146189262","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Towards a revitalization of passenger rail services in South African cities: Lessons from international institutional reforms","authors":"Roger Behrens , Pieter Onderwater , Kavita Shah","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101692","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101692","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>For over a century passenger rail services in South Africa have been provided by one or other form of national public monopoly. Over the past decade these services have been in steep decline, effectively collapsing when COVID-19 lockdown regulations were imposed. Current policy attention is focussed on reviving operations and installing an institutional structure capable of providing ‘safe, reliable, effective, efficient and fully integrated’ rail transport. Key to this is a commitment to devolve functions to capable lower spheres of government. The aim of this paper is to explore lessons from international experiences in institutional reforms centred around devolution. To qualify for inclusion, cases needed to have experienced a deliberate policy action to devolve passenger rail functions from a national to a lower sphere of government. A literature search revealed 11 such cases. Case reviews focussed on: the circumstances of the devolution; any associated vertical separation and privatisation; impacts; and any subsequent policy reversals. Key lessons included: devolved operations should be accompanied by financial resourcing; vertical separation requires independent institutions capable of adjudicating competing interests; private sector participation in operations is less risky than private infrastructure ownership; and the devolution of both train and bus services can enhance modal integration.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 101692"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145685062","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The unintended consequences of monitoring technologies: Evidence from the Electronic Logging Device mandate","authors":"Dario Salcedo , Wesley Zebrowski , Shellye Suttles","doi":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101714","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101714","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The electronic logging device (ELD) final rule was passed in 2015 and implemented in phases over the course of four years. The mandate required that most commercial motor vehicles be fitted with an ELD by December 2019. The primary purpose of the transportation safety policy is to better enforce existing hours-of-service (HOS) regulations. HOS rules seek to limit the amount of driving time commercial drivers are on the road each day to avoid fatigued driving that may cause accidents and fatalities. Prior to the ELD mandate, commercial long-haul drivers cited that they regularly violated daily and weekly HOS rules when paper driving logs could be easily manipulated.</div><div>Using data from the Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) on traffic fatalities, we run two sets of difference-in-differences analyses exploiting the introduction of the ELD mandate: one predicting the change in fatal truck accidents as well as fatalities and injuries in these accidents and one showing the possible aggressive driving mechanisms (e.g., speeding, drunk driving) behind the main effects. Our first model finds that the ELD mandate led to an increase in fatal truck accidents by 8 %, an increase in truck fatalities by 11 %, and an increase in the number of surviving passengers with severe injuries experienced by 17 %. Our second model finds that fatal crashes with aggressive driving behaviors by truck drivers increased by 12 % in the post period, supporting the first model's results. Additionally, and as placebo exercises, we find no change in the average fatality and injury rates once we modify the timing of the policy (post-ELD period to the years before the phased-in compliance of 2017), the presence of outliers or the composition of the treated group.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47810,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Economics","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 101714"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147421741","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}