Population Research and Policy Review最新文献_第3页

Modelling and Forecasting Interregional Migration for Multiregional Population Projections 为多区域人口预测建立区域间移民模型并进行预测

IF 2.4 3区社会学

Population Research and Policy Review Pub Date : 2024-07-12 DOI: 10.1007/s11113-024-09892-5

Michael P. Cameron, Jacques Poot

{"title":"Modelling and Forecasting Interregional Migration for Multiregional Population Projections","authors":"Michael P. Cameron, Jacques Poot","doi":"10.1007/s11113-024-09892-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-024-09892-5","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper we focus on modelling and forecasting gross interregional migration in a way that can be embedded within multiregional population projections. We revisit, and apply, a family of spatial interaction models first formulated during the 1970s. The classic gravity model—in which migration is positively related to the populations of sending and receiving areas, but inversely related to various types of spatial friction associated with migrating between them—is a special case that is nested within this family of models. We investigate which member of the family of models gives the best fit when modelling five-year migration flows between the 66 Territorial Authorities (TAs) of Aotearoa New Zealand, using 2013 and 2018 census data. We find that predicting migration between two TAs can be improved by taking into account, firstly, an index of the ‘draw’ from all other TAs when modelling out-migration of any TA and, secondly, an index of the ‘competitiveness’ of a TA vis-à-vis all other TAs when modelling in-migration of any TA. We highlight the properties of the statistically-preferred model by simulating the impact on internal migration of an exogenous increase in Auckland’s population. In this model, such a population change affects not only migration flows from and to Auckland, but also migration between other TAs. The usefulness of this approach for population projections is assessed by forecasting the 2013–18 migration matrix by means of 2013 census data only. In this specific case, the model outperforms the classic gravity model in terms of forecasting gross migration, but not net migration.","PeriodicalId":47633,"journal":{"name":"Population Research and Policy Review","volume":"30 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141609756","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Housing Attainment of Interracial Couples in the United States 美国跨种族夫妇的住房获得情况

IF 2.4 3区社会学

Population Research and Policy Review Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1007/s11113-024-09900-8

Kate H. Choi, Arabella Soave

{"title":"Housing Attainment of Interracial Couples in the United States","authors":"Kate H. Choi, Arabella Soave","doi":"10.1007/s11113-024-09900-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-024-09900-8","url":null,"abstract":"Over the past few decades, interracial and interethnic marriages have increased significantly. The rise in intermarriages has been celebrated for their potential to reduce ethnoracial distinctions and ethnoracial inequality. Whether the increase in interracial and interethnic unions can reduce disparities in homeownership across ethnoracial groups is unknown. Using data on the 2008–2021 American Community Survey (ACS), we compare the homeownership rates of Millennials in intermarriages with those of couples in endogamous unions and identify the factors contributing to differences in homeownership rates between interracial and couples in ethnoracial endogamy. Our results show that the homeownership rates of interracial couples fall somewhere between those of endogamous couples belonging to the husband’s or wife’s ethnoracial groups. These differences emerge primarily due to variations in nativity composition, educational attainment, family income, average value of homes, and proportion of rentals. The intermediary homeownership rates of interracial couples suggest that the rise in intermarriages will reduce ethnoracial inequality in homeownership rates. Nonetheless, couples in marriages involving an ethnoracial minority spouse have lower homeownership rates than endogamous White couples. This White/non-White divide in homeownership rates highlights the need for a housing policy that enhances opportunities for homeownership among interracial and endogamous minority couples.","PeriodicalId":47633,"journal":{"name":"Population Research and Policy Review","volume":"48 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141566807","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Unequal Access to Primary Care Providers at the Intersection of Race/Ethnicity, Sexual Orientation, and Gender 在种族/族裔、性取向和性别交叉点上获得初级保健提供者服务的不平等现象

IF 2.4 3区社会学

Population Research and Policy Review Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1007/s11113-024-09898-z

Ning Hsieh, Deirdre Shires, Hui Liu, Sam Safford, Kryssia J. Campos

{"title":"Unequal Access to Primary Care Providers at the Intersection of Race/Ethnicity, Sexual Orientation, and Gender","authors":"Ning Hsieh, Deirdre Shires, Hui Liu, Sam Safford, Kryssia J. Campos","doi":"10.1007/s11113-024-09898-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-024-09898-z","url":null,"abstract":"Not all U.S. populations have equal access to a primary care provider (PCP). This study presents one of the first population-based evidence of inequities in access to PCPs at the intersection of race/ethnicity, sexual orientation, and gender. We analyzed pooled data from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System from 2016 to 2021 across 42 states and 1 territory in the United States. The final sample encompassed 1,142,344 respondents aged 18 and older. Logistic regression models, stratified by gender spectrum, were estimated to compare predicted probabilities of having a PCP across 20 sexual and racial/ethnic identity groups. Among those on the feminine spectrum, most sexual minorities of color exhibited lower rates of having a PCP compared to heterosexual White individuals. Even when sociodemographic and health factors were accounted for, PCP access disadvantages remained significant in some groups of Native and Hispanic sexual minorities. Among sexual minorities of color on the masculine spectrum, inequities were less prominent, and sociodemographic and health factors nearly explained all their disadvantages. Sexual orientation, gender, and race/ethnicity intersect to shape the access to PCPs. Future research, policy designs, and clinical practices should adopt an intersectional approach to achieve a better understanding of healthcare inequities and to reduce inequities.","PeriodicalId":47633,"journal":{"name":"Population Research and Policy Review","volume":"63 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141566799","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Patrilocality and Child Sex Ratios in India 印度的父权制和儿童性别比

IF 2.4 3区社会学

Population Research and Policy Review Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1007/s11113-024-09897-0

Srinivas Goli, Somya Arora, Neha Jain, Sekher T. V.

{"title":"Patrilocality and Child Sex Ratios in India","authors":"Srinivas Goli, Somya Arora, Neha Jain, Sekher T. V.","doi":"10.1007/s11113-024-09897-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-024-09897-0","url":null,"abstract":"In multi-level and multi-layered foundations of gendered approaches for understanding the kinship system, family-building behavior, son preference, and male-skewed child sex ratios in India; patriarchy and patrilineality have received greater attention than patrilocality. To fill this gap, we construct a measure of patrilocality and hypothesize that households practice sex selection and daughter discrimination because of patrilocality norms that dictate the later life co-residence between parents and sons. Our findings reveal that the child sex ratio, sex ratio at birth, and sex ratio at last birth are negatively correlated with patrilocality rates across states and districts of India. The robustness of these findings is verified by using alternative definitions of patrilocality, examining the association between patrilocality and patrilineality, and assessing the relationship between patrilocality and child sex ratios across states and by urbanization levels. We conclude that, in the absence of strong social security measures and a lack of preference for old-age homes, amidst the accepted practice of patrilocality coupled with increasingly lower fertility norms, the dependency on sons will continue, leading to the continuation of sex selection in India.","PeriodicalId":47633,"journal":{"name":"Population Research and Policy Review","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141513167","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Application of the Extended Log Quad Model to Municipal Life Tables 扩展对数四边形模型在市政生命表中的应用

IF 2.4 3区社会学

Population Research and Policy Review Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1007/s11113-024-09899-y

Yu Horiguchi

引用次数: 0

Fertility in the Heart of the COVID-19 Storm COVID-19 风暴中心的生育能力

IF 2.4 3区社会学

Population Research and Policy Review Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1007/s11113-024-09893-4

Daniel Dench, Wenhui Li, Theodore Joyce, Howard Minkoff, Gretchen Van Wye

引用次数: 0

The Role of Salience and Memory in Fertility Decisions: Experimental Evidence 显著性和记忆在生育决策中的作用：实验证据

IF 2.4 3区社会学

Population Research and Policy Review Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1007/s11113-024-09895-2

Vincenzo Galasso

引用次数: 0

Parental Loss and Mental Health in Post-Khmer-Rouge Cambodia 后红色高棉时期柬埔寨的父母丧亡与心理健康

IF 2.4 3区社会学

Population Research and Policy Review Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1007/s11113-024-09894-3

Patrick Heuveline, Angela K. Clague

{"title":"Parental Loss and Mental Health in Post-Khmer-Rouge Cambodia","authors":"Patrick Heuveline, Angela K. Clague","doi":"10.1007/s11113-024-09894-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-024-09894-3","url":null,"abstract":"Adverse childhood events (ACE) may have lasting consequences throughout the life course. We focus on one particular type of ACE, parental loss in Cambodia—a country that lost nearly 25% of its population during the 1975-79 Khmer-Rouge regime—and on mental health disorders, one of the potential mechanisms through which ACE may have long-term consequences. Self-reports of symptoms that map on to the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Health Disorders (DSM) criteria for anxiety, depression, and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) were collected from 4,405 adults aged 20 and over. We first assess exposure to traumatic events and the prevalence of anxiety, depression, and PTSD using the DSM and alternative criteria. Based on the DSM criteria and previously validated Likert-scale thresholds, we find a high prevalence of anxiety (56.0%), depression (42.8%), and PTSD (2.3%), and even higher levels even among KRR survivors. We then use logit models to analyze the effect of parental loss before age 20 on the likelihood of having experienced traumatic events and experiencing mental health disorders. We find the loss of one parent increases the likelihood of full-PTSD symptoms, but the loss of both parents does not. These findings may result from positive selection into better-off households for orphans whose parents have both died but may also reflect the grief-related difficulties faced by the surviving parent of paternal or maternal orphans. While alternative thresholds for PTSD produced higher prevalence estimates, these measures did not perform better for assessing the effect of parental loss on mental health.","PeriodicalId":47633,"journal":{"name":"Population Research and Policy Review","volume":"37 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2024-06-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141547584","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Does Twitter Data Mirror the European North–South Family Ties Divide? A Comparative Analysis of Tweets About Family 推特数据是否反映了欧洲南北家庭纽带的鸿沟？关于家庭的推文比较分析

IF 2.4 3区社会学

Population Research and Policy Review Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1007/s11113-024-09891-6

Sofia Gil-Clavel, Clara H. Mulder

{"title":"Does Twitter Data Mirror the European North–South Family Ties Divide? A Comparative Analysis of Tweets About Family","authors":"Sofia Gil-Clavel, Clara H. Mulder","doi":"10.1007/s11113-024-09891-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-024-09891-6","url":null,"abstract":"Previous research on the relationship between geographical distance and the frequency of contact between family members has shown that the strength of family ties differs between Northern and Southern Europe. However, little is known about how family ties are reflected in peoples’ conversations on social media, despite research showing the relevance of social media data for understanding users’ daily expressions of emotions and thoughts based on their immediate experiences. This work investigates the question of whether Twitter use patterns in Europe mirror the North–South divide in the strength of family ties by analyzing potential differences in family-related tweets between users in Northern and Southern European countries. This study relies on a longitudinal database derived from Twitter collected between January 2012 and December 2016. We perform a comparative analysis of Southern and Northern European users’ tweets using Bayesian generalized multilevel models together with the Linguistic Inquiry and Word Count software. We analyze the association between regional differences in the strength of family ties and patterns of tweeting about family. Results show that the North–South divide is reflected in the frequency of tweets that are about family, that refer to family in the past versus in the present tense, and that are about close versus extended family.","PeriodicalId":47633,"journal":{"name":"Population Research and Policy Review","volume":"27 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2024-06-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141547581","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Perceptions of the Size of the Foreign-Born Population: Do Changes in Multicultural Policies Shape Beliefs? 对外国出生人口规模的看法：多元文化政策的变化会影响人们的看法吗？

IF 2.4 3区社会学

Population Research and Policy Review Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1007/s11113-024-09896-1

Ronald Kwon, Phoebe Ho, Mehr Mumtaz

{"title":"Perceptions of the Size of the Foreign-Born Population: Do Changes in Multicultural Policies Shape Beliefs?","authors":"Ronald Kwon, Phoebe Ho, Mehr Mumtaz","doi":"10.1007/s11113-024-09896-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-024-09896-1","url":null,"abstract":"Research has linked individual estimations of the size of the foreign-born population to attitudes about immigration. However, most studies focus on the accuracy of estimations rather than on perceptions of group size, even though perceptions on their own are an important predictor of attitudes. Studies examining the determinants of the perceptions of foreign-born population size emphasize individual-level factors and overlook the role of national-level contexts, such as policy changes. Changes in multicultural policies may contribute to various cognitive biases that inform how individuals perceive the size of the foreign-born population. In this study, we examine the association between changes in multiculturalist policies and individuals’ quantitative perceptions of the foreign-born population size in 14 European countries, using the 2002 and 2014 waves of data from the European Social Survey (ESS). Results from fixed effects models show a positive association between multicultural policies and estimates of the foreign-born population, net of individual-level measures and the actual size of the foreign-born population.","PeriodicalId":47633,"journal":{"name":"Population Research and Policy Review","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2024-06-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141547582","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0