{"title":"AI-driven unemployment risk and household financial decision: Evidence from China","authors":"Qianyi Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101963","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101963","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines unemployment risk driven by artificial intelligence (AI) on household risky asset investment, focusing on how labour market risk affected by AI influences financial decisions in Chinese household. Using 2016, 2018, and 2020 data from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS), we analyze the relationship between unemployment risk, qualified by the probability of AI replacing occupations and household decisions in financial risky asset investment, constructing the Probit and Tobit models. After several methods dealing with endogeneity issues, we find a positive effect of unemployment risk on household decisions, especially among highincome households, who are more likely to invest in risky assets to hedge against potential work loss. Furthermore, we also find that material aspiration is essential in moderating these investment behaviours. This study provides the first empirical evidence of unemployment risk as a determinant of household risky asset investment in China, utilizing forward-looking data to measure labour market uncertainty across occupations and complementing the 'participation puzzle' explanation for emerging economies. Additionally, it pioneers micro-level analysis of AI-induced unemployment risk, revealing its influence on household financial decisions and introducing the unemployment risk--material aspiration--risky asset investment framework, which expands the understanding of AI's microeconomic effects.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"99 ","pages":"Article 101963"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144139139","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"How broadband internet access shapes fertility decisions: Evidence and mechanisms","authors":"Chunxiao Si , Dihai Wang , Maohua Wu","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101962","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101962","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The rapid expansion of internet infrastructure has substantially transformed various dimensions of daily life. In the context of China’s declining fertility rate, this study investigates the causal impact of broadband adoption on fertility behavior by employing a difference-in-differences (DID) strategy that exploits the Broadband China initiative as an exogenous policy shock. The empirical results indicate that broadband expansion significantly increases fertility rates among women of reproductive age, and the findings remain robust across multiple sensitivity checks. Further heterogeneity analysis shows that the effects are particularly pronounced among younger women, rural residents, individuals with higher educational attainment, and those with younger spouses or co-residing parents. Mechanism analysis suggests that broadband promotes fertility by enhancing access to healthcare services, facilitating flexible employment arrangements, and improving household financial resilience. These findings underscore the demographic consequences of digital infrastructure development and offer policy-relevant insights for mitigating fertility decline in the digital era.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"99 ","pages":"Article 101962"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144139029","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"From conflict to coordination: A new framework to measure the synergy level of pollution-carbon-growth","authors":"Zhengge Tu , Jingyu Mao , Xinlei Xiao , Gang Ma","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101961","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101961","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper proposes a new framework for measuring the synergy degree of pollution reduction and carbon mitigation, using the optimal direction as the benchmark and the proximity between the actual direction and this benchmark as the principle for synergy degree measurement. This measurement framework considers both the actual and optimal directions, quantifies the degree of proximity through the cosine function, and thus intuitively presents the synergy level, effectively addressing the limitation of existing research that predominantly focuses on the actual direction alone. Additionally, it offers differentiated synergy directions based on the actual development stages of different regions. Based on this framework, the paper explores the overall characteristics, evolving trends, and influencing factors of the synergy level of pollution and carbon reduction in China's cities. The results show that the synergy level of pollution and carbon reduction exhibits a fluctuating upward trend, and reducing carbon intensity should be the main focus for improving the synergy level. The synergy levels in the eastern, central, and western regions are relatively lower during their respective periods of rapid economic growth. By employing a simple empirical model to analyze the influencing factors, this paper finds that enhancing economic development levels, promoting green technology innovation, and increasing government attention to ecological environment protection are effective measures to improve the synergy level of pollution and carbon reduction. Conversely, an excessively high proportion of secondary industry and higher economic growth targets will adversely affect the synergy level.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"99 ","pages":"Article 101961"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144123928","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Educational expansion and attitudes toward son preference in China","authors":"Jie Zhang, Chenyu Meng","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101960","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101960","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Education significantly shapes a society’s cultural characteristics. Based on this perspective, we investigate the influence of educational attainment on son preference attitudes in China utilizing extensive data from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS). Leveraging the 1999 college admissions policy expansion to mitigate endogeneity, we reveal a 4.4 % reduction in preferences for sons with each additional year of education. Heterogeneity analysis further shows that educational attainment has a substantial and positive impact only on women’s gender attitudes. Notably, this effect is substantially significant among urban, educated women. Individuals with higher education levels are inclined to pursue employment in non-agricultural sectors and possess significant access to information; these are potential mechanisms of changes in gender preferences. Additionally, elevated female education levels positively correlate with the proportion of women providing care for aging parents. This indicates a weakening of the ‘raising sons to support parents in old age’ concept.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"99 ","pages":"Article 101960"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144134320","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Market access and firms’ energy intensity: Evidence from China’s highway construction","authors":"Weijie Jiang , Mengke Ye , Xingzhe Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101958","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101958","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Reducing energy intensity (EI) is crucial to sustainable development. Recently, with the continuous improvement of transportation infrastructure, China has experienced a rapid decline in EI. Based on this, we utilize micro firm data from 2007 to 2016 to empirically examine the relationship between market access and firms’ EI. Our results indicate that the improvement of market access significantly reduces firms’ EI, and this conclusion holds after a series of robustness checks. The mechanism analysis suggest that the enhancement of market access can reduce firms’ EI through avenues such as optimizing energy structure, expanding firm production scale, and optimizing resource allocation. The results of heterogeneity analysis reveal that in the manufacturing industry, industries with high road dependence, and in the eastern and central regions, the impact of market access on firms’ EI is more pronounced.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"99 ","pages":"Article 101958"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144123927","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Institutional quality and macrofinancial resilience in Asia","authors":"John Beirne , Pradeep Panthi","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101957","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101957","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the effect of institutions on macrofinancial resilience in Asia. Focusing on a panel of 12 Asian economies from 1996Q1 to 2020Q4, we find that institutions for economies with high levels of institutional quality support the resilience of real GDP per capita and net FDI inflows during periods of elevated financial stress. In addition, our results suggest resilience due to institutions for these economies regarding net equity and debt inflows in crisis times, also reflecting portfolio rebalancing effects. For economies with lower levels of institutional quality, institutions may help to stabilize portfolio debt during crisis times, although the magnitudes of the effects are small. As well as pointing towards resilience thresholds in institutional quality, our paper provides insights on critical sub-components of overall institutional quality, notably rule of law, political stability, and regulatory quality. The findings help to inform the direction of policy efforts towards strengthening institutional capacity and structural reforms for enhancing economic development and resilience to shocks.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"99 ","pages":"Article 101957"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144099346","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Service sector liberalization and firms’ carbon emission intensity reduction: Evidence from China","authors":"Jiaxuan Gao , Yanling Wang , Hongjun Xie","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101956","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101956","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the impact of service sector liberalization on downstream manufacturing firms’ carbon emission intensity in China. We quantify China’s service sector liberalization through its policy changes towards foreign direct investment (FDI) and build a composite index of manufacturing firms’ exposure to service sector liberalization as a weighted average of service sectors’ liberalization with their respective input shares. We find that service sector liberalization significantly reduces manufacturing firms’ CO<sub>2</sub> emission intensity through inter-industry economic linkages. Our results are robust with two other measures of pollution emission intensities, two alternative measures of service sector liberalization and after correcting endogeneity. We also find that greater productivity enhances the reduction effect. Further, firms’ response is heterogeneous: the impact of service sector liberalization on firms’ CO<sub>2</sub> emission intensity reduction is 81 % larger for state-owned enterprises (SOEs) than for non-SOEs; and 105 % larger for large firms than for small- and medium-sized firms.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"99 ","pages":"Article 101956"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144099345","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Spatial mobility of China’s population in the digital economy","authors":"Huiyong Zhong , Xiaobin Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101941","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101941","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The digital economy has emerged as a transformative force in China, reshaping labor markets and spatial population dynamics through advanced technologies and connectivity. This study examines how digital economic development influences population mobility across 289 prefecture-level cities from 2011 to 2018. Our findings reveal that digitalization significantly drives population inflows. This effect is primarily channeled through the service sector’s expansion—particularly life-oriented services—which generates substantial employment. Heterogeneity analysis shows stronger effects in larger, denser cities, highlighting agglomeration economies’ role in amplifying digital impacts. Examining the Hu Line—a historical divide separating the populous southeast from the sparse northwest—we find that digitalization enhances southeast inflows but has no significant effect in the northwest. Contrary to expectations of spatial rebalancing, digital growth reinforces China’s urban concentration. These results challenge the “death of distance” hypothesis, offering insights for urban policy and regional development strategies amid digital transformation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"99 ","pages":"Article 101941"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144090136","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Research productivity of scientists in Asia for the growth of nations","authors":"Jang C. Jin","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101953","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101953","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study aims to evaluate the research productivity of universities and institutions in Asia, based on publications in the two premier journals <em>Science</em> and <em>Nature</em>. Chinese universities dominate the league. The recent rise of scientific publications in Chinese universities is largely attributed to international collaborations with prominent U.S. and European universities and with renowned global institutions. The instrumental variable (IV) estimation further suggests that scientific publications promote economic growth through the development of advanced technologies. It should also be noted that the research contribution of universities is, in general, greater than that of research institutions in Asia. The paper concludes with policy implications.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"99 ","pages":"Article 101953"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143946672","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The effectiveness of financial industry in promoting the high-quality development of energy industry","authors":"Zhenpeng Tang , Xinyi Lin , Houyin Long","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101945","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.101945","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The energy sector is central to global decarbonization, and the effective allocation of financial resources is vital to its development. However, the impact of financial resources on energy development remains ambiguous in existing literature. This study bridges this gap by theoretically and empirically analyzing the role of the financial resources allocated to the energy industry. We develop a novel theoretical model that integrates the energy and financial sectors, subsequently deriving an inverted U-shaped relationship between financial resources and energy development. Empirically, we use an energy-related indicator to capture financial resources directed towards the energy sector and validate the hypothesis using panel data from 30 Chinese provinces from 2006 to 2019. The result remains robust after addressing endogeneity concerns and a series of robustness tests. Heterogeneity analysis further shows that the inverted U-shaped relationship is more pronounced in regions with abundant energy resources and high financial development, while the effect in those characterized by underdeveloped financial systems is insignificant. Mechanism analysis reveals that financial resources influence energy development through financing constraints and investment efficiency. This study advances our understanding of the role of finance in energy sector development, offering key policy implications for optimizing financial allocation. Financial institutions should establish appropriate support thresholds to ensure optimal financial resource allocation to the energy sector, while addressing financing constraints and improving investment efficiency. Support strategies should be tailored to regional conditions, such as energy endowments and financial development levels.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"99 ","pages":"Article 101945"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143942174","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}