Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy最新文献_第3页

Development of a Framework for Assessment of Urban Growth Dynamics in Indian Metropolitan City: A Multi-Scale Analysis 印度大城市城市增长动态评估框架的发展：多尺度分析

IF 1.9 4区社会学

Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-08-08 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09707-w

Gajender Kumar Sharma, Vidya V. Ghuge

{"title":"Development of a Framework for Assessment of Urban Growth Dynamics in Indian Metropolitan City: A Multi-Scale Analysis","authors":"Gajender Kumar Sharma, Vidya V. Ghuge","doi":"10.1007/s12061-025-09707-w","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12061-025-09707-w","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In developing nations, urban expansion is driven by industrialization, economic growth, and rural-to-urban migration. This study posits that urban growth is a complex phenomenon. The research employs spatial metrics to analyze urban expansion patterns in Delhi. Land cover and urban dynamics were evaluated using multi-temporal remote sensing and GHSL data from 1975 to 2020. Data analysis occurred at Landscape, Class, and Ring Buffer Zone levels. Findings reveal built-up areas increased by approximately 3.5% annually, while agricultural land and forest cover declined by 2.5% and 1.8%, respectively. The results underscore a nuanced interaction between urban expansion and land use types, highlighting agricultural conversion and non-agricultural shifts. Utilizing spatial metrics such as Shannon entropy, the study assesses urban density and growth, indicating concentrated development within 15 km of the city center. This study integrates scenario-based modeling and socio-economic indicators to assess future urban growth trajectories and their implications across Delhi NCR respectively. The findings reveal spatial disparities and socio-economic drivers of expansion, highlighting the need for equitable, sustainable urban policy interventions. This research contributes to the understanding of urbanization's ecological and social impacts, providing essential insights for sustainable urban planning in fast-growing cities.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46392,"journal":{"name":"Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145163303","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The Global Pharmaceutical Trade Network: Spatiotemporal Evolution, Driving Forces, and China’s Evolving Role 全球医药贸易网络：时空演变、驱动力与中国角色演变

IF 1.9 4区社会学

Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-08-07 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09706-x

Zhihui Lin, Hui Qi, Xiping Yang, Ying Chen, Xianfeng Liu

{"title":"The Global Pharmaceutical Trade Network: Spatiotemporal Evolution, Driving Forces, and China’s Evolving Role","authors":"Zhihui Lin, Hui Qi, Xiping Yang, Ying Chen, Xianfeng Liu","doi":"10.1007/s12061-025-09706-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12061-025-09706-x","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The trade in pharmaceutical products is critical for national health security and human health. However, the dynamics of the global trade in pharmaceutical products and their driving forces are yet to be clarified. Our study first analyzed the spatiotemporal characteristics of the global pharmaceutical trade network from 2000 to 2019. We then identify changes in the status of 187 countries (regions), especially China, in the trade network and investigate the factors influencing network evolution. The results show that global pharmaceutical trade is highly concentrated among a limited number of countries in both import and export trade, with relatively loose network connections mainly consisting of one-way trade. The results also indicated that the core and sub-core export countries are mainly Western Europe, North America, and India. Although China has become a sub-core country in the global trade network, the trade deficit is gradually widening and the concentration of importing countries is increasing annually, indicating a higher trade risk. Additionally, our results suggest that GDP differences and Free Trade Agreement have a significant positive impact on the formation of the pharmaceutical trade network. These findings highlight the importance of understanding the global network of pharmaceutical products and facilitating targeted strategies for pharmaceutical product development.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":46392,"journal":{"name":"Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145163055","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Subjective Perception and Spatial Equity: Geographic Characteristics of Educational Divergence in Guangdong Province 主观感知与空间公平：广东省教育差异的地理特征

IF 1.9 4区社会学

Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-08-07 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09704-z

Zhengyu Huang, Shiying Huang, Haoyuan Ling, Yi Lin, Hai Liu, Min Wang

{"title":"Subjective Perception and Spatial Equity: Geographic Characteristics of Educational Divergence in Guangdong Province","authors":"Zhengyu Huang, Shiying Huang, Haoyuan Ling, Yi Lin, Hai Liu, Min Wang","doi":"10.1007/s12061-025-09704-z","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12061-025-09704-z","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study investigates the spatial patterns of educational differentiation in Guangdong Province and their alignment with objective indicators from a spatial equity perspective. Guangdong, despite its economic development, faces notable internal disparities in education quality. Using 18,296 qualitative evaluations from school administrators (2023), subjective assessments were quantified and spatially analyzed. A Z-Score coordination model was developed to identify Educational Cost-Effective Areas (ECEA), based on 2022 per capita compulsory education expenditure. Results reveal significant funding imbalances between the Pearl River Delta (PRD) core and non-PRD areas, reinforcing inter-regional inequality. ECEAs are concentrated near developed regions but have limited impact in closing broader education gaps. The PRD core generally performs well but contains localized low-value zones, while non-PRD areas show widespread low-quality clusters with internal variation. At the city level, patterns such as center aggregation and boundary effects reflect complex urban resource distribution and spatial equity challenges. The study emphasizes the importance of integrating stakeholders’ subjective experiences with quantitative data. By combining qualitative and quantitative approaches, it identifies spatial imbalances and provides a scientific basis for optimizing educational resource allocation. These findings have significant policy implications for promoting spatial equity and guiding equitable development in rapidly urbanizing regions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46392,"journal":{"name":"Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145163102","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Inequality and Future Trends in Agricultural Net Primary Productivity Across Chinese Cities Based on Satellite Data 基于卫星数据的中国城市农业净初级生产力差异及未来趋势

IF 1.9 4区社会学

Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-08-07 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09700-3

Chong Xu, Zhiwen Li, Jiafu An, Jiandong Chen

{"title":"Inequality and Future Trends in Agricultural Net Primary Productivity Across Chinese Cities Based on Satellite Data","authors":"Chong Xu, Zhiwen Li, Jiafu An, Jiandong Chen","doi":"10.1007/s12061-025-09700-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12061-025-09700-3","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Accurate assessment of agricultural net primary productivity (NPP) is critical for carbon–neutral policies, yet the spatial heterogeneity and long-term dynamics of NPP across diverse ecosystems remain poorly quantified. This study evaluates the spatiotemporal inequality and future trajectories of cropland, forest, grassland, and water-body NPP in Chinese cities (2001–2020) using satellite observations. The results suggest that the economic output of specific agricultural lands and the intensity of agricultural productivity relative to economic output are the main positive and negative drivers of changes in agricultural NPP, respectively. Moreover, different types of NPP inequality show distinct trends, which are predominantly attributed to regional variations in productivity intensity. Multi-model projections suggest overall NPP growth by 2030, yet caution is warranted given threshold effects of human activities and nonlinear climate responses. This study highlights the importance of reducing inequality in NPP and carefully considering multi-model-based policy formulations for carbon neutrality.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46392,"journal":{"name":"Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145163101","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Spatiotemporal and Sentiment Analysis of Tourist Sources in Distinctive Pedestrian Street Using Social Media Data 基于社交媒体数据的特色步行街客源时空情感分析

IF 1.9 4区社会学

Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-08-06 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09695-x

Fen Gou, Zhigang Chen, Xiping Yang, Yali Yang

{"title":"Spatiotemporal and Sentiment Analysis of Tourist Sources in Distinctive Pedestrian Street Using Social Media Data","authors":"Fen Gou, Zhigang Chen, Xiping Yang, Yali Yang","doi":"10.1007/s12061-025-09695-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12061-025-09695-x","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Tourism development plays a critical role in enhancing urban competitiveness and driving economic growth. However, research on pedestrian streets, which are important urban tourism destinations, continues to face challenges, such as limited data availability and insufficient attention to the dynamics of tourist sentiment. This study focuses on the Datang pedestrian street in Xi'an, using location-based social media data to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of tourist source market and the evolution of tourist sentiment. The results indicated that the sources of tourists evolved from predominantly local and high-GDP city business travelers to a nationwide dispersion, with the center of gravity shifting southeastward. The source structure exhibited three distinct states: discrete distribution, expanded distribution, and contracted distribution. Local tourists primarily engaged in leisure activities, while tourists from other regions emphasized participation. Sentiment analysis showed an annual increase in positive emotions from 2010 to 2017, followed by a decline from 2018 to 2023. The primary factors contributing to this decline include rising tourist numbers paired with diminished experiential quality, shifts in the tourism market alongside rising tourist expectations, external environmental factors, and developmental bottlenecks within the pedestrian street. Socioeconomic and regional demographic factors significantly impact the development of pedestrian streets. This study provides valuable insights for the reproduction of urban pedestrian street, promoting urban tourism and regional economic growth, enhancing urban renewal quality and efficiency, and shaping urban identity.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46392,"journal":{"name":"Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145162609","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Spatial Analysis of the Land Suitability for Sustainable Urban Construction in the Mountainous Regions of the Eastern Mediterranean: A Case Study 东地中海山区可持续城市建设用地适宜性空间分析——以地中海东部山区为例

IF 1.9 4区社会学

Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-08-04 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09701-2

Hazem Ghassan Abdo, Ayed Taran, Taghreed Hamdi Aljohani, Roula Maya, Hussein Almohamad, Malay Pramanik, Raj Kumar Bhattacharya, Sk Ajim Ali, Narayan Kayet, Abu Reza Md Towfiqul Islam, Karam Alsafadi

{"title":"Spatial Analysis of the Land Suitability for Sustainable Urban Construction in the Mountainous Regions of the Eastern Mediterranean: A Case Study","authors":"Hazem Ghassan Abdo, Ayed Taran, Taghreed Hamdi Aljohani, Roula Maya, Hussein Almohamad, Malay Pramanik, Raj Kumar Bhattacharya, Sk Ajim Ali, Narayan Kayet, Abu Reza Md Towfiqul Islam, Karam Alsafadi","doi":"10.1007/s12061-025-09701-2","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12061-025-09701-2","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Investigations on Land Suitability for urban construction (LSUC) remain limited in the mountainous regions of the eastern Mediterranean, despite increasing urbanisation pressures. This study provides a comprehensive assessment of LSUC in the mountain-plateau district of Al-Shiakhbader, Tartous Governorate, Syria, using nine spatial data layers that encompass physical, environmental, and socio-economic factors. The analytic hierarchy process (AHP) was applied within a Geographic Information System (GIS) framework to generate a weighted suitability map. Results reveal that approximately 12% of the study area is very highly suitable for urban construction, predominantly due to favorable terrain slope (average 8°), flat curvature, moderate aspect, and proximity to existing infrastructure such as roads and built-up areas. Conversely, 50% are classified as low to very low suitability, mainly in the north-eastern and south-eastern zones characterized by steep slopes (above 20°), convex curvature, dense vegetation cover, and proximity to geological faults, highlighting critical areas for ecological protection. These findings emphasize the potential for sustainable urban expansion in Al-Shiakhbader, while safeguarding environmentally sensitive zones. We recommend that regional planners prioritize development in highly suitable zones to reduce the risks of landslides and ecological degradation, and implement strict land-use controls in unsuitable areas. This research fills a vital gap in mountainous LSUC studies, offering a replicable GIS-AHP methodology for regional land management and contributing to balanced socio-economic development in mountainous Mediterranean landscapes.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46392,"journal":{"name":"Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145161737","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Did the Pandemic Accelerate Spatio-Temporal Shifts in the Role of Urban Open Spaces in South China? Evidence from Social Media 大流行是否加速了华南城市开放空间作用的时空变化？来自社交媒体的证据

IF 1.9 4区社会学

Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-08-02 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09696-w

Chupeng Wu, Yuliang Wang

{"title":"Did the Pandemic Accelerate Spatio-Temporal Shifts in the Role of Urban Open Spaces in South China? Evidence from Social Media","authors":"Chupeng Wu, Yuliang Wang","doi":"10.1007/s12061-025-09696-w","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12061-025-09696-w","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The COVID-19 pandemic has had profound effects on daily life, even long after its initial outbreak. Numerous studies have examined the role of urban open spaces (UOS) in supporting human well-being and urban resilience during and after the pandemic. However, few studies have explored the spatio-temporal shifts in the role of UOS over the long term since the pandemic began. Focusing on South China, a region severely affected by the crisis, we captured the spatial and temporal dynamics of public interactions with and perceptions of UOS in the region before, during, and after the pandemic. Based on systematically processed 232930 geo-tagged Sina Weibo posts posted by residents in 42 UOS, we conducted sentiment analysis and UOS-related cultural ecosystem services (CES) analysis. Our findings revealed a significant decline in UOS visitation level during the pandemic with slight public sentiment fluctuations, underscoring its disruptive impact. Post-pandemic, UOS visitation level rebounded sharply, due to pent-up travel demand and compensatory behaviors. Additionally, public demand for CES tends to diversify, with growing recognition of spiritual and inspirational services. The spatial analysis showed that UOS played a more prominent role in enhancing urban resilience in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration. This research confirms that the pandemic accelerated the spatio-temporal evolution of the role of UOS in South China, highlighting their enhanced importance for crisis response and well-being. It offers actionable insights for urban governance to better prepare for future crises.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46392,"journal":{"name":"Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145160737","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

China’s Cross-City Consumption: Regional Preference and Mutual Benefits 中国跨城市消费：区域偏好与互惠互利

IF 1.9 4区社会学

Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-08-02 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09702-1

Yonghong Xu, An Jiang, Bingjie Su, Shucheng Liu

{"title":"China’s Cross-City Consumption: Regional Preference and Mutual Benefits","authors":"Yonghong Xu, An Jiang, Bingjie Su, Shucheng Liu","doi":"10.1007/s12061-025-09702-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12061-025-09702-1","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In China, intercity consumption exhibits segmented market characteristics shaped by geographical proximity and psychological affinity within the same province. This study constructs an intercity consumption network encompassing 295 prefecture-level cities using 14.4 billion intercity consumption records from UnionPay Business. First, we apply social network analysis to examine the network’s evolution over the sample period. Building on this framework, the Temporal Exponential Random Graph Model (TERGM) is employed to investigate the determinants and formation mechanisms of intercity consumption relationships. The findings reveal that the overall connectivity of China’s consumption network has increased over the sample period, with a consumption structure centered on provincial capitals and municipalities directly under the central government. According to the TERGM results, cities with higher levels of economic development, larger populations, and greater income disparities are more likely to attract intercity consumption flows. Additionally, significant “provincial clustering effects,” “provincial capital effects,” and “geographical effects” are observed. Specifically, cities within the same province are more inclined to establish intercity consumption ties, while provincial capitals and centrally administered municipalities demonstrate a greater capacity to attract consumption. Moreover, geographical proximity, particularly between neighboring cities, fosters stronger intercity consumption linkages. Furthermore, evidence suggests the presence of reciprocity within the intercity consumption network, indicating a mutual reinforcement effect that enhances the overall connectivity of cities. The insights drawn from this study provide valuable reference for understanding and leveraging the advantages of China’s large-scale market.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46392,"journal":{"name":"Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145160741","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Modelling of Traffic Collisions at Road Intersections in Cape Town, South Africa: A Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Approach 南非开普敦十字路口交通碰撞建模：贝叶斯时空方法

IF 1.9 4区社会学

Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-07-31 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09703-0

Sebnem Er, Álvaro Briz-Redon, Sulaiman Salau, Robin Lovelace

{"title":"Modelling of Traffic Collisions at Road Intersections in Cape Town, South Africa: A Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Approach","authors":"Sebnem Er, Álvaro Briz-Redon, Sulaiman Salau, Robin Lovelace","doi":"10.1007/s12061-025-09703-0","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12061-025-09703-0","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper models road traffic collision counts recorded between 2015 and 2019 in a ward located in the central part of Cape Town in South Africa, using a Bayesian spatio-temporal zero-inflated Negative Binomial approach. The method accounted for the excess zeros present in collision data by separately modeling zero and non-zero collision counts, while also capturing spatial and temporal dependencies through prior distributions. Road-level information was used as fixed-effects covariates, including speed limits, presence of traffic calming measures, traffic signals, road class, number of lanes, whether the intersection is on “Main Road”, and whether a public transport route passes through the intersection. The results reveal that among the covariates included in the selected model, node degree (used as a proxy for traffic flow), the presence of traffic signals, having any major road around the intersection (road class), location along “Main Road”, and the presence of a taxi route at the intersection were all associated with an increase in traffic collision counts at the intersections. The years 2018 and 2019 were associated with higher collision counts compared to the reference year, 2015. For the probability component of the model, the existence of traffic signals at the intersection and location along “Main Road”were both associated with an increase in the chances of at least one collision being observed at the intersection, whereas having any high-speed road around the intersection decreased this chance.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46392,"journal":{"name":"Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2025-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12061-025-09703-0.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145171729","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

An Integrated Land-Use, Population, and Transport Model for Strategic Regional Planning: From Research to Operational Practice 战略性区域规划的土地利用、人口和交通综合模型：从研究到操作实践

IF 1.9 4区社会学

Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-07-31 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09691-1

Svitlana Pyrohova, Bao Hoang Nguyen, Alicia N. Rambaldi, Pia Wohland, Aude Bernard, Scott Lieske, Jonathan Corcoran

{"title":"An Integrated Land-Use, Population, and Transport Model for Strategic Regional Planning: From Research to Operational Practice","authors":"Svitlana Pyrohova, Bao Hoang Nguyen, Alicia N. Rambaldi, Pia Wohland, Aude Bernard, Scott Lieske, Jonathan Corcoran","doi":"10.1007/s12061-025-09691-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12061-025-09691-1","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Land-Use and Transport Interaction (LUTI) models have long been regarded as important tools for urban modelling and planning. Despite methodological advances, LUTI models remain underutilised in practice. Practitioners are often reluctant to use complex models that typically demand extensive data requirements, long processing times and call for highly trained and specialised staff. To mitigate these issues and strike a balance between parsimony and comprehensiveness, the current study develops one of the first operational LUTI models in Australia, POPulation and Dwelling Allocation Modelling (POPDAM), achieved via an academic-government collaborative co-design process. POPDAM comprises two integrated modules. The econometric module uses a demand–supply model of dwelling allocation and is grounded in hedonic price and equilibrium theories. The demographic module employs a cohort progression model to produce age-sex scenarios. In contrast to popular micro-level modelling, POPDAM operates at a higher level of spatial granularity allowing simpler implementation but without compromising its practical utility. This meso spatial scale was proven sufficient for policy testing while capturing higher-level economic and demographic trends that may be obscured in individual-based models. This trade-off between simplicity and accuracy yields an optimal computational performance streamlined to mere minutes for scenario execution. Moreover, the co-design project-orientated process bridging academia and government has resulted in a successful implementation of POPDAM alongside an effective transfer of knowledge. The conceptual design of POPDAM provides a level of abstraction that can be easily re-deployed to other situational contexts in Australia and beyond.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46392,"journal":{"name":"Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2025-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12061-025-09691-1.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145171900","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0