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Examination of the impacts of the immediate interest rate of the United States and the VIX on the Dow Jones Islamic Market Index 研究美国即时利率和波动率指数对道琼斯伊斯兰市场指数的影响
IF 0.8 4区 经济学
Bulletin of Economic Research Pub Date : 2023-04-25 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12399
Oguzhan Ozcelebi, José A. Pérez-Montiel
{"title":"Examination of the impacts of the immediate interest rate of the United States and the VIX on the Dow Jones Islamic Market Index","authors":"Oguzhan Ozcelebi,&nbsp;José A. Pérez-Montiel","doi":"10.1111/boer.12399","DOIUrl":"10.1111/boer.12399","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study examines the effects of the market volatility index of the Chicago Board Options Exchange (VIX) and the immediate interest rate of the United States on the Dow Jones Islamic Market Index (DJIMI) using quantile-based techniques and wavelet coherence (WTC) analysis with monthly data for the period January 2010to May 2021. A quantile cointegration model indicated that the relationship between the VIX and the DJIMI can be valid in the long term since the estimated coefficients are negative and statistically significant across the quantiles 0.05 and 0.50, while a quantile autoregressive model revealed that large negative and positive changes in the VIX and the immediate interest rate of the United States do not have a significant impact on the DJIMI in the short term. Allowing the role of regime changes, it was found by the quantile regression model that an increase in the VIX lowers the performance in the DJIMI, supported by the WTC. It was also underlined that the DJIMI may not benefit from the positive financial conditions. According to the quantile regression models, the immediate interest rate of the US has asymmetrical effects, and the stabilizing effect of the increase/decrease is valid during bearish/bullish market conditions in the DJIMI.</p>","PeriodicalId":46233,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Economic Research","volume":"75 4","pages":"1157-1180"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2023-04-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49105927","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Graduate employment: Does the type of higher education institution matter? 毕业生就业：高等教育机构的类型重要吗？
IF 0.8 4区 经济学
Bulletin of Economic Research Pub Date : 2023-04-19 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12400
Orlanda Tavares, Cristina Sin, Carla Sá, Francisco Pereira, Alberto Amaral
{"title":"Graduate employment: Does the type of higher education institution matter?","authors":"Orlanda Tavares,&nbsp;Cristina Sin,&nbsp;Carla Sá,&nbsp;Francisco Pereira,&nbsp;Alberto Amaral","doi":"10.1111/boer.12400","DOIUrl":"10.1111/boer.12400","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The paper analyses whether the type of institution from which students graduate has an impact on their unemployment propensity. It uses official data on the Portuguese higher education system, for 2018, at the program/institution level, which provides information on graduate unemployment, as well as demographic and socioeconomic background information. A fractional probit model on graduates’ propensity for unemployment is estimated. Results suggest that polytechnic graduates face higher unemployment propensity than university graduates, maintaining inequalities present in students’ previous trajectories. Policies targeting socioeconomic segregation need to address not only access to higher education but also the transition to the labor market.</p>","PeriodicalId":46233,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Economic Research","volume":"75 4","pages":"1140-1156"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2023-04-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/boer.12400","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48242420","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Suicide mortality, long-term unemployment, and labor-market policies: Evidence from European countries 自杀死亡率、长期失业和劳动力市场政策：来自欧洲国家的证据
IF 0.8 4区 经济学
Bulletin of Economic Research Pub Date : 2023-04-11 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12397
Eleftherios Goulas, Athina Zervoyianni
{"title":"Suicide mortality, long-term unemployment, and labor-market policies: Evidence from European countries","authors":"Eleftherios Goulas,&nbsp;Athina Zervoyianni","doi":"10.1111/boer.12397","DOIUrl":"10.1111/boer.12397","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Using data from 25 EU countries spanning the period 1999–2017, this paper examines the relationship between working-age suicides and changes in long-term unemployment and tests for mitigating effects through the implementation of labor-market policies. The estimates suggest higher suicide risks following a rising rate of long-term unemployment. Passive support policies have a suicide-decreasing impact. Among active policies, a significant suicide-decreasing effect is found for training and direct job creation. The results have important policy implications in that they suggest that strong commitment of governments to passive or to certain types of active labor-market policies can, on average, contribute to social stability and the welfare of populations.</p>","PeriodicalId":46233,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Economic Research","volume":"75 4","pages":"1112-1139"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2023-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/boer.12397","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44278730","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
R&D contribution in TFP growth of Greek industry: A limited information likelihood approach 研发对希腊工业全要素生产率增长的贡献：有限信息似然法
IF 0.8 4区 经济学
Bulletin of Economic Research Pub Date : 2023-04-03 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12391
Emmanuel Mamatzakis, Panagiotis Pegkas, Christos Staikouras, Constantinos Tsamadias
{"title":"R&D contribution in TFP growth of Greek industry: A limited information likelihood approach","authors":"Emmanuel Mamatzakis,&nbsp;Panagiotis Pegkas,&nbsp;Christos Staikouras,&nbsp;Constantinos Tsamadias","doi":"10.1111/boer.12391","DOIUrl":"10.1111/boer.12391","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We provide a novel panel model to decompose total factor productivity (TFP) growth in the Greek industry at the firm level while we tackle the contribution of R&amp;D. We, therefore, opt for parametric methodology that provides statistical inference and would validate the results. Our modeling departs from prior strong assumptions such as error terms across firms being independent. In fact, we provide a novel limited information maximum likelihood (LIML) estimation method that adequately deals with the issue of endogeneity and model misspecification. We demonstrate that our model detects variability in terms of TFP growth components across industries and firms. Our results show that R&amp;D would enhance TFP of Greek firms, albeit the crisis has had a detrimental impact. Financial ratios such as liquidity and solvency ratios also affect TFP as we demonstrate that both would enhance TFP. The solvency ratio is important as it provides an estimate of whether the firm can cope with debt. We also note variability across small versus medium and large firms and report that small firms are more productive and spend more of their revenues on R&amp;D. In terms of policy, our evidence warrants higher R&amp;D spending to enhance TFP growth, though R&amp;D funding is a concern.</p>","PeriodicalId":46233,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Economic Research","volume":"75 4","pages":"1086-1111"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2023-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/boer.12391","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49644667","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Corruption, remittances, and public goods: A unified framework 腐败、汇款和公共产品：统一框架
IF 0.8 4区 经济学
Bulletin of Economic Research Pub Date : 2023-03-31 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12396
Luis Gautier, Puneet Vatsa
{"title":"Corruption, remittances, and public goods: A unified framework","authors":"Luis Gautier,&nbsp;Puneet Vatsa","doi":"10.1111/boer.12396","DOIUrl":"10.1111/boer.12396","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Remittances are an important source of income for the very countries afflicted by high levels of corruption. However, corruption undermines the development potential of remittances. With this in mind, we propose policy reforms that harness the potential of remittances while mitigating corruption. Unlike previous studies, we point to two channels: (1) the corrupt government's trade-off between its financial interests (corruption), the provision of a public good, and the gains from a higher inflow of remittances; and (2) the household's consumption of the public good relative to that of the privately obtained substitute of the public good.</p>","PeriodicalId":46233,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Economic Research","volume":"75 4","pages":"1078-1085"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2023-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/boer.12396","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48270140","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
New axioms for top trading cycles 顶级交易周期的新公理
IF 0.8 4区 经济学
Bulletin of Economic Research Pub Date : 2023-03-31 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12393
Siwei Chen, Yajing Chen, Chia-Ling Hsu
{"title":"New axioms for top trading cycles","authors":"Siwei Chen,&nbsp;Yajing Chen,&nbsp;Chia-Ling Hsu","doi":"10.1111/boer.12393","DOIUrl":"10.1111/boer.12393","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The school choice problem is of great importance both in theory and practice. This paper studies the (student-optimal) top trading cycles mechanism (TTCM) in an axiomatic way. We introduce two new axioms: MBG (mutual best group)-quota-rationality and MBG-robust efficiency. While stability implies MBG-quota rationality, MBG-robust efficiency is weaker than robust efficiency, which is stronger than the combination of efficiency and group strategy proofness. The TTCM is characterized by MBG-quota rationality and MBG-robust efficiency. Our results construct a new basis to compare the TTCM with the other school choice mechanisms, in terms of both fairness and incentive-related axioms.</p>","PeriodicalId":46233,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Economic Research","volume":"75 4","pages":"1064-1077"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2023-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41271364","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Decomposing the changes in poverty: Poverty line and distributional effects 分解贫困的变化：贫困线和分配效应
IF 0.8 4区 经济学
Bulletin of Economic Research Pub Date : 2023-03-29 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12394
Oihana Aristondo, Conchita D'Ambrosio, Casilda Lasso de la Vega
{"title":"Decomposing the changes in poverty: Poverty line and distributional effects","authors":"Oihana Aristondo,&nbsp;Conchita D'Ambrosio,&nbsp;Casilda Lasso de la Vega","doi":"10.1111/boer.12394","DOIUrl":"10.1111/boer.12394","url":null,"abstract":"<p>When measuring poverty in developed countries, the poverty line used to identify the poor is usually relative and set as a percentage of the median (or of the mean) of the total income. In consequence, when poverty is analyzed over a period of time, changes in the poverty level depend on the impact of evolving standards. To eliminate this effect, sometimes, an anchored poverty line is used. Furthermore, changes in the mean of the distribution and in the inequality among the poor may also affect the poverty levels. This note proposes a decomposition of the changes in poverty as the sum of four terms. The first two reflect the impact in poverty of changes in living standards and the other two measure the effect of the distributional growth and redistribution. This decomposition will help policymakers in the implementation of a more specific antipoverty agenda. An application with data from the European Union Survey on Income and Living Conditions shows the potential of the decomposition proposed.</p>","PeriodicalId":46233,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Economic Research","volume":"75 4","pages":"1048-1063"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2023-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/boer.12394","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49555195","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Predicting stock realized variance based on an asymmetric robust regression approach 基于非对称稳健回归方法的股票实现方差预测
IF 0.8 4区 经济学
Bulletin of Economic Research Pub Date : 2023-03-29 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12392
Yaojie Zhang, Mengxi He, Yuqi Zhao, Xianfeng Hao
{"title":"Predicting stock realized variance based on an asymmetric robust regression approach","authors":"Yaojie Zhang,&nbsp;Mengxi He,&nbsp;Yuqi Zhao,&nbsp;Xianfeng Hao","doi":"10.1111/boer.12392","DOIUrl":"10.1111/boer.12392","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper introduces an asymmetric robust weighted least squares (ARLS) approach to improve the forecasting performance of the heterogeneous autoregressive model for realized volatility. The ARLS approach down-weights extreme observations to limit the bad influence of outliers on the estimated parameters. Compared with existing robust regression methods, our model further takes into account the asymmetry of outliers using a class of kernel functions. Out-of-sample results show the ARLS approach can generate more accurate forecasts of the S&amp;P 500 index realized volatility in the statistical and economic senses. The model that considers the asymmetry of outliers gains superior performance among various robust regression competitors. The forecasting improvements also hold in other international stock markets. More importantly, the source of the predictive ability of the ARLS model comes from the less biased and more efficient parameter estimation.</p>","PeriodicalId":46233,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Economic Research","volume":"75 4","pages":"1022-1047"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2023-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48849671","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Arithmetics of research specialization 研究专业化算法
IF 0.8 4区 经济学
Bulletin of Economic Research Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12395
Sergey V. Popov
{"title":"Arithmetics of research specialization","authors":"Sergey V. Popov","doi":"10.1111/boer.12395","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/boer.12395","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In hiring decisions, universities explicitly reward focusing on a specific field. I model the use of research specialization (focusing) in hiring as a signal of ability. Without explicit reward for focusing, candidates who focus are more likely to be able. However, if job market rewards focusing, less able candidates who would otherwise be indifferent between focusing or not, start focusing, which leads to <i>smaller</i> likelihood of observing an able candidate among those who focus than among those who do not. Specialization works as an effective ability signal only when generation of good ideas is highly likely for all ability levels.</p>","PeriodicalId":46233,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Economic Research","volume":"75 4","pages":"1013-1021"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2023-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/boer.12395","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50146284","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Investment subsidies and redistributive capital income taxation in a neoclassical growth model 新古典增长模型中的投资补贴和再分配资本所得税
IF 0.8 4区 经济学
Bulletin of Economic Research Pub Date : 2023-03-07 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12383
Günther Rehme
{"title":"Investment subsidies and redistributive capital income taxation in a neoclassical growth model","authors":"Günther Rehme","doi":"10.1111/boer.12383","DOIUrl":"10.1111/boer.12383","url":null,"abstract":"<p>How do investment subsidies bear on pure redistribution when coupled with capital income taxes? In a heterogeneous agent, neoclassical growth framework it is found that on impact, with no optimizing behavior, investment subsidies are good for growth but bad for redistribution. The opposite holds for capital income taxes. But when the government acts as a Stackelberg leader vis-à-vis the private sector (the follower), the optimal feedback policy is by construction time-consistent and implies that in a long-run optimum the tax scheme does not distort accumulation. This holds regardless of social preferences. For the feedback Stackelberg equilibrium I find that (pure) redistribution can go either way and capital income taxes are nonzero in the long-run, time-consistent optimum, depending on the social weight of those who receive redistributive transfers, the distribution of pretax factor incomes, and the intertemporal elasticity of substitution. It is argued that investment subsidies may be an important indirect tool for redistribution, and may allow for the separation of “efficiency” and “equity” concerns.</p>","PeriodicalId":46233,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Economic Research","volume":"75 4","pages":"988-1012"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2023-03-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41848714","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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