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Re-assessment of sustainability of current account deficit in India: Insights from threshold cointegration and NARDL analysis
IF 1.2
Research in Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.rie.2025.101039
Lingaraj Mallick
{"title":"Re-assessment of sustainability of current account deficit in India: Insights from threshold cointegration and NARDL analysis","authors":"Lingaraj Mallick","doi":"10.1016/j.rie.2025.101039","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rie.2025.101039","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>I examine the sustainability of CAD by employing both linear and threshold cointegration (<span><span>Enders and Siklos, 2001</span></span>) and <span><span>Engle-Granger (1987)</span></span> from the period 1960 to 2019. Results of the threshold and Engle-Granger cointegration confirm long-run equilibrium association between exports and imports indicating strong presence of sustainability of CAD in India. This reveals that after certain threshold level of current account deficit i.e., 3%, both export and import have different speed of adjustment towards long-run and their adjustment is asymmetric in nature. These results reveal that after certain threshold level of current account deficit, there should be systematic policy to adjust short-run behaviour of imports to bring back to the long-run for sustainability of current account deficit in India. The policy makers should consider the nonlinear behaviour of current account deficit while formulating any policy prescription towards sustainability of current account deficit in India. The export sector has to be encouraged and the import sector has to be restricted by implementing tight import restricted policies. Further, based on the threshold cointegration and asymmetric error correction mechanism, after estimated threshold, both exports and imports react differently to short-run positive and negative shocks. However, sufficient condition of intertemporal budget constraint is not satisfied by NARDL method. Overall findings conclude that CAD in India is weakly sustainable. Following the empirical results some policy suggestions are suggested.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46094,"journal":{"name":"Research in Economics","volume":"79 2","pages":"Article 101039"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2025-01-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143264545","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Does free pre-kindergarten increase birth rates? Preliminary evidence from Vermont
IF 1.2
Research in Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.rie.2025.101040
Masanori Kuroki
{"title":"Does free pre-kindergarten increase birth rates? Preliminary evidence from Vermont","authors":"Masanori Kuroki","doi":"10.1016/j.rie.2025.101040","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rie.2025.101040","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the impact of Vermont's Act 166 of 2014, which established universal pre-kindergarten, on birth rates among women aged 20–44. Contrary to the expectation of increased fertility, no meaningful increase in total, first, or subsequent birth rates was observed after program implementation. This aligns with existing research suggesting limited effectiveness of pronatalist policies. However, subsequent birth rates in Vermont declined at a slower rate than first birth rates compared to a synthetic control group, hinting at a potential positive influence on existing parents' decisions to have additional children.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46094,"journal":{"name":"Research in Economics","volume":"79 1","pages":"Article 101040"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2025-01-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143103978","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Natural resources abundance and Income Inequality: Time series evidence from India
IF 1.2
Research in Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.rie.2025.101027
Nitish Kumar , Kundan Kumar
{"title":"Natural resources abundance and Income Inequality: Time series evidence from India","authors":"Nitish Kumar ,&nbsp;Kundan Kumar","doi":"10.1016/j.rie.2025.101027","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rie.2025.101027","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines how the abundance of natural resources influences income inequality in India for the period 1971 to 2020. The study employs the Lee and Strazicich unit root test to identify structural break in the data, the Bayer-Hanck test of Co-integration and, methods for example FMOLS, DOLS and CRR to estimate long run coefficient. Further, to determine the direction of causality among the variables, Pairwise Granger Causality Tests is used. The results of Bayer-Hanck test for Co-integration confirms the presence of long-run association among variables. Empirical results show that income inequality is positively and significantly related with natural resources, urbanization, digitalization and physical capital, while it is negatively associated with human capital. The Granger Causality test reveals a bidirectional causal relation between natural resources and digitalization, whereas a unidirectional causal relationship is observed from human capital and physical capital to income inequality. The result of this study recommends policymakers, addressing income inequality in India requires effective and equitable allocation of resources, ensuring digital inclusion of its citizens, economic integration, promoting sustainable urban development and investment in both human and physical capital.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46094,"journal":{"name":"Research in Economics","volume":"79 1","pages":"Article 101027"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2025-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143170457","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
From globalization to glocalization: Cultural interdependence as a source of FDI motivation
IF 1.2
Research in Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.rie.2025.101024
Suparna Chakraborty , Miao Grace Wang , M. C. Sunny Wong
{"title":"From globalization to glocalization: Cultural interdependence as a source of FDI motivation","authors":"Suparna Chakraborty ,&nbsp;Miao Grace Wang ,&nbsp;M. C. Sunny Wong","doi":"10.1016/j.rie.2025.101024","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rie.2025.101024","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this paper, we explore the agglomeration effect of culture on foreign direct investment (FDI). Using data on US FDI to 74 host countries from 1984 to 2017, our analysis shows a negative effect of bilateral cultural distance on US FDI to a host, consistent with previous studies. Central to our research is the application of a higher-order spatial model, which enables us to examine correlations of FDI across various hosts along both geographical and cultural dimensions. We find that US FDI across culturally similar host nations move together. Specifically, our results show that US FDI in a host may rise by 0.25% with every 1% increase in US FDI in other hosts that are culturally similar to the host of interest. Such results are robust to a battery of sensitivity checks, such as controlling for spatial correlation of geographically proximate hosts. Further, the agglomeration effects also display significant variations across industries.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46094,"journal":{"name":"Research in Economics","volume":"79 1","pages":"Article 101024"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2025-01-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143103975","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
On the return distributions of a basket of cryptocurrencies and subsequent implications
IF 1.2
Research in Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.rie.2025.101028
Christoph J. Börner, Ingo Hoffmann, Lars M. Kürzinger, Tim Schmitz
{"title":"On the return distributions of a basket of cryptocurrencies and subsequent implications","authors":"Christoph J. Börner,&nbsp;Ingo Hoffmann,&nbsp;Lars M. Kürzinger,&nbsp;Tim Schmitz","doi":"10.1016/j.rie.2025.101028","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rie.2025.101028","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study evaluates the risk associated with capital allocation in cryptocurrencies (CCs) using a basket of 27 CCs and the CC index EWCI-. We apply basic statistical tests to model the body distribution of CC returns. Consistent with prior research, the stable distribution (SDI) is the most suitable model for the body distribution. However, due to less favorable properties in the tail area for high quantiles, the generalized Pareto distribution is employed. A combination of both distributions is utilized to calculate Value at Risk and Conditional Value at Risk, revealing distinct risk characteristics in two subgroups of CCs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46094,"journal":{"name":"Research in Economics","volume":"79 1","pages":"Article 101028"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2025-01-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143103979","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Application of the estimation of multiple effect size to frontier efficiency meta-regression of agriculture in Ghana
IF 1.2
Research in Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.rie.2025.101026
Justice G. Djokoto , Akua Agyeiwaa-Afrane , Charlotte Badu-Prah , Ferguson K. Gidiglo , Francis Y. Srofenyoh , Kofi Aaron A-O. Agyei-Henaku
{"title":"Application of the estimation of multiple effect size to frontier efficiency meta-regression of agriculture in Ghana","authors":"Justice G. Djokoto ,&nbsp;Akua Agyeiwaa-Afrane ,&nbsp;Charlotte Badu-Prah ,&nbsp;Ferguson K. Gidiglo ,&nbsp;Francis Y. Srofenyoh ,&nbsp;Kofi Aaron A-O. Agyei-Henaku","doi":"10.1016/j.rie.2025.101026","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rie.2025.101026","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We applied a method of estimating multiple effect sizes to agricultural efficiency data in Ghana. We used multi-efficiency data from 195 publications and 345 observations and fitted it to ordinary least squares regression to illustrate how the model works. The data is unique in the meta-regression efficiency space, containing all efficiency measures. We depart from existing frontier efficiency meta-regression by estimating the combined effect sizes of technical efficiency and other dimensions of frontier efficiency. We extended the single effect size estimation model to a multiple effect size estimation model. The application of the data showed that the strongest differences related to profit efficiency, the meta-regression of which has never been published. The average of the arithmetic means should not be considered as the overall efficiency, rather, the combined effect size in frontier efficiency meta-regression models.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46094,"journal":{"name":"Research in Economics","volume":"79 1","pages":"Article 101026"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2025-01-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143103976","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The effects of entry in bilateral oligopoly
IF 1.2
Research in Economics Pub Date : 2024-11-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.rie.2024.101014
Robin Naylor, Christian Soegaard
{"title":"The effects of entry in bilateral oligopoly","authors":"Robin Naylor,&nbsp;Christian Soegaard","doi":"10.1016/j.rie.2024.101014","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rie.2024.101014","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We show that a firm’s profits under Cournot oligopoly can be increasing in the number of firms in the industry if wages are determined by (decentralised) bargaining in unionised bilateral oligopoly. The intuition for the result is that increased product market competition following an increase in the number of firms is mirrored by increased labour market rivalry which induces (profit-enhancing) wage moderation, a result which does not occur if unions can coordinate their wage demands under centralised bargaining. Whether the product or labour market effect dominates depends on the nature of union preferences, with a higher preference for wages making profit-raising entry more likely. We analyse how our results are sensitive to the curvature of the demand function, and the extent to which structural advantages due to incumbency enhance the benefits of entry. We also consider: (i) the impact of entry on a measure of social welfare comprising union utility, consumer surplus and firms’ profits, and (ii) a setting in which unionisation is determined endogenously through the decision of firms on whether or not to recognise unions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46094,"journal":{"name":"Research in Economics","volume":"79 1","pages":"Article 101014"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2024-11-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143103974","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Bulkiness of goods and the gravity of international trade: Differential impact of trade barriers 货物的体积和国际贸易的引力:贸易壁垒的不同影响
IF 1.2
Research in Economics Pub Date : 2024-10-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.rie.2024.101013
Xuebing Yang
{"title":"Bulkiness of goods and the gravity of international trade: Differential impact of trade barriers","authors":"Xuebing Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.rie.2024.101013","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rie.2024.101013","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates how the trade elasticity to trade barriers, or the lack thereof, varies with the bulkiness of goods, measured as the value-to-weight ratio (V/W ratio). The empirical analysis presented herein offers compelling evidence that lighter goods, characterized by higher V/W ratios, demonstrate reduced trade elasticity to distance, contiguity, and colonial relationships but heightened trade sensitivity to language. These findings emphasize the importance of accounting for the variations in V/W ratios when applying gravity models and reveal noteworthy heterogeneity in trade elasticity at the country and trade-pair levels.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46094,"journal":{"name":"Research in Economics","volume":"78 4","pages":"Article 101013"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2024-10-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142586570","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Oil Price and Long-run Economic Growth in Oil-importing Developing Countries 石油进口发展中国家的石油价格与长期经济增长
IF 1.2
Research in Economics Pub Date : 2024-10-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.rie.2024.101009
Samuel F. Gamtessa, Harminder Guliani
{"title":"Oil Price and Long-run Economic Growth in Oil-importing Developing Countries","authors":"Samuel F. Gamtessa,&nbsp;Harminder Guliani","doi":"10.1016/j.rie.2024.101009","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rie.2024.101009","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The recent spikes in oil prices are a significant setback for the world economy, which has already faced multiple challenges due to the COVID-19 pandemic. This is particularly concerning for developing countries as maintaining a sustained growth in real GDP is crucial for lifting their population out of poverty. While the short-run negative macroeconomic effects of a spike in oil prices are well established in the context of the developed world, the long-run growth effect has received little attention, especially in developing countries. Using the World Bank's development indicators database covering the period 1990 to 2020, this study aims to investigate the oil price-growth nexus in low and middle-income net oil-importing countries to shed light on how oil price increases could be a challenge for sustainable development. Specifically, we first set up a theoretical model to establish the relationship between growth in output per capita and oil price. Following the traditional growth regression approaches, we empirically estimate the causal effect of growth in oil prices on the economic growth of 65 net oil-importing developing countries using fixed effect panel IV regression methods. The empirical results confirm statistically significant negative effects of oil prices, indicating that a higher oil price reduces long-run economic growth in oil-importing developing countries. Our results on the other determinants of growth are consistent with the existing empirical growth literature. Oil-importing developing countries, therefore, must allocate resources towards alternative domestic energy sources, in addition to pursuing fuel efficiency and conservation strategies, to mitigate the negative effects of oil price fluctuations on their long-run economic output and uphold sustainable development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46094,"journal":{"name":"Research in Economics","volume":"78 4","pages":"Article 101009"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2024-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142445854","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Foreign aid and inequality: Do conflicts matter? 外国援助与不平等:冲突重要吗?
IF 1.2
Research in Economics Pub Date : 2024-10-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.rie.2024.101008
Martin Ambassa , Itchoko Motande Mondjeli Mwa Ndjokou , Pierre Christian Tsopmo
{"title":"Foreign aid and inequality: Do conflicts matter?","authors":"Martin Ambassa ,&nbsp;Itchoko Motande Mondjeli Mwa Ndjokou ,&nbsp;Pierre Christian Tsopmo","doi":"10.1016/j.rie.2024.101008","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rie.2024.101008","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Existing literature on the relationship between foreign aid and income inequality (inequality) is inconclusive and the role of conflict has been underexplored. Yet, the frequency and severity of conflicts in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) have increased sharply in recent years. This study investigates the impact of foreign aid on inequality in SSA, focusing on the moderating role of conflicts. Using a sample of 41 SSA countries from 1989 to 2022, we employ fixed-effects and System GMM to explore the complex interplay between foreign aid, conflicts and inequality. The results suggest that foreign aid reduces inequality, but that its effectiveness is considerably reduced in conflict-ridden countries. The results confirm the harmful effect of conflict in the foreign aid-inequality nexus in SSA. Results are robust to many robustness checks, such as the alternative strategy, which combines alternative inequality and conflict measures. Our results suggest that promoting good governance by fighting corruption and preventing conflict can enable foreign aid to significantly reduce inequality in SSA.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46094,"journal":{"name":"Research in Economics","volume":"78 4","pages":"Article 101008"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2024-10-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142535468","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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