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Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1.最新文献

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Health of The Population of the Russian far East as a Factor in the Demographic Security of the Macro-Region 俄罗斯远东地区人口健康状况在宏观区域人口安全中的作用
Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1. Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/udf-2021-2-6
M. Khramova, D. Zorin
{"title":"Health of The Population of the Russian far East as a Factor in the Demographic Security of the Macro-Region","authors":"M. Khramova, D. Zorin","doi":"10.17059/udf-2021-2-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17059/udf-2021-2-6","url":null,"abstract":"The study aims to assess the current trends in the development of healthcare and medicine in the Russian Far East. The living conditions of the population and its well-being have a serious impact on the demographic situation in individual countries and regions of the world. This statement is relevant for both Russia as a whole and its constituent entities. Thus, the current demographic situation in most regions of the Russian Federation shows negative trends, and the processes of population ageing are highly pronounced. The greatest concern is caused by the Far Eastern Federal District that is characterized by the migration outflow persisting throughout the post-Soviet period, as well as by healthcare and infrastructure development issues. The research identifies the strengths and weaknesses of the development of medicine and healthcare in the Far East and assesses their impact on the demographic security of the macro-region. Empirical and theoretical research methods, along with the analysis of the results obtained by statistical processing, were used. The main conclusions are formulated, the most serious problems of the development of the transport and social infrastructure of the macro-region are described, and ways to solve the accumulated problems are proposed.","PeriodicalId":448106,"journal":{"name":"Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1.","volume":"39 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121505821","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
On Monetary Incentives for Fertility: Sociological Survey Results 论生育的货币激励:社会学调查结果
Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1. Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/udf-2021-2-9
{"title":"On Monetary Incentives for Fertility: Sociological Survey Results","authors":"","doi":"10.17059/udf-2021-2-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17059/udf-2021-2-9","url":null,"abstract":"The article presents the results of a sociological survey conducted by the author on the importance of monetary measures for women making decisions regarding their reproductive behaviour. The study supplements the estimates available in the literature based on statistical information or data from surveys conducted by the Federal State Statistics Service. The described survey was conducted in all federal districts in July 2020 using a quota sampling method. The survey results showed that maternity (family) capital remains an important incentive in the decision-making process for women regarding childbirth, and not only for low-income families. It is especially important in rural areas and small towns. Social benefits for families with children is an equally significant factor. Financial assistance from grandparents is also important, but to a somewhat lesser extent.","PeriodicalId":448106,"journal":{"name":"Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1.","volume":"52 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125292958","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Forecasting the Number of Grandparents in Sverdlovsk Oblast 斯维尔德洛夫斯克州祖父母数量的预测
Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1. Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/udf-2021-2-20
{"title":"Forecasting the Number of Grandparents in Sverdlovsk Oblast","authors":"","doi":"10.17059/udf-2021-2-20","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17059/udf-2021-2-20","url":null,"abstract":"An increase in the participation of grandparents in the life of their grandchildren has demographic, social, and economic effects. In this regard, one of the main indicators of the demography of grandparenthood is the number of grandparents in society. Using the authors’ approach developed based on the methodology for forecasting the number of grandparents in the country as a whole, the present research forecasts the number of grandmothers in Sverdlovsk oblast for 2021–2025. Calculations show that, in Sverdlovsk oblast, this indicator is unlikely to change in the 5-year perspective; the share of grandmothers in the population of the region is also stable. Understanding of the perspective quantitative trends can prompt the executive bodies of Russian regions responsible for demographic policy to make decisions aimed at improving the qualitative characteristics of grandparents, namely, increasing the share of grandparents actively involved in the life of grandchildren in the number of all grandparents in the region.","PeriodicalId":448106,"journal":{"name":"Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1.","volume":"18 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130248247","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Reproductive Behaviour: Methodological Issues of Research and Accounting in Demographic Policy 生殖行为:人口政策研究和会计的方法问题
Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1. Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/udf-2021-2-1
{"title":"Reproductive Behaviour: Methodological Issues of Research and Accounting in Demographic Policy","authors":"","doi":"10.17059/udf-2021-2-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17059/udf-2021-2-1","url":null,"abstract":"The article examines some aspects of the determination of reproductive behaviour, whose research results open up great opportunities for their ambiguous interpretation. New methodological approaches are necessary in order to improve the correctness of such studies. This applies to the analysis of the relationship between the age at birth of the first child and planned number of children, the effect of living standards on reproductive behaviour, self-assessment of obstacles associated with the birth of children. Particular attention is paid to a barely explored issue of the impact of value systems on reproductive intentions in the context of combined motives for the birth of children and self-assessment of relevant obstacles. Value systems play a significant role in determining reproductive behaviour, which should be taken into account in demographic policy.","PeriodicalId":448106,"journal":{"name":"Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1.","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130852734","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Demographic Potential of Neo-Industrial Development of the EAEU Countries 欧亚经济联盟国家新工业发展的人口潜力
Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1. Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/udf-2021-2-13
{"title":"Demographic Potential of Neo-Industrial Development of the EAEU Countries","authors":"","doi":"10.17059/udf-2021-2-13","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17059/udf-2021-2-13","url":null,"abstract":"The article analyses the dynamics of population migration in the members of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), which directly correlates with the indicators of labour potential in these countries. The dynamics of the population movement and migration in the EAEU member states was clearly shown, the migration balance was calculated based on statistical data. It is concluded that, in regards to the demographic development of the EAEU, a significant increase in the population is observed in Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan, ensuring the maintenance of the total population, while Belarus, Armenia, and the Russian Federation show a population decline. The general analysis demonstrates a synergistic effect in the EAEU population system, indicating how some EAEU member states are replaced by others in terms of population size.","PeriodicalId":448106,"journal":{"name":"Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1.","volume":"21 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130146638","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Features of Demographic Processes in an Industrial Region (on the Example of Chelyabinsk Oblast) 工业地区人口发展过程的特征(以车里雅宾斯克州为例)
Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1. Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/udf-2021-2-2
{"title":"Features of Demographic Processes in an Industrial Region (on the Example of Chelyabinsk Oblast)","authors":"","doi":"10.17059/udf-2021-2-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17059/udf-2021-2-2","url":null,"abstract":"Overcoming depopulation and unfavourable demographic dynamics is a strategic task for federal and regional authorities. The solution to this problem ensures the preservation of the population, a growth of life expectancy, and active development of regional economy by increasing the number of able-bodied population. The demographic situation in industrial regions of the Russian Federation, such as Chelyabinsk oblast, is characterised by negative values (a decrease in the birth rate, an increase in mortality and, as a result, a decrease in the population), it is necessary to develop and implement an effective demographic policy in the region.","PeriodicalId":448106,"journal":{"name":"Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1.","volume":"28 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131619714","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Ural Urban Family in the All-Union Census of 1959 1959年全国人口普查中的乌拉尔城市家庭
Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1. Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/udf-2021-1-17
{"title":"Ural Urban Family in the All-Union Census of 1959","authors":"","doi":"10.17059/udf-2021-1-17","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17059/udf-2021-1-17","url":null,"abstract":"Analysis of the Russian urban family in the second half of the 20th century is important for assessing the consequences of the demographic transition of the 1930s–1980s. The use of official census materials, in particular, the All-Union Census of 1959, is limited due to both the census form and the selective publication of the obtained results. In part, this problem is solved by using fragmentary census forms. The article aims to clarify the possibility of using, along with the published data, the primary materials of the 1959 census to study urban family in the city of Sverdlovsk. To systematize the information of the census forms, the database “Family of the city of Sverdlovsk. 1959” was created. It combines the principles of individual and family registration. Based on the analysis of the obtained data, the Ural urban family was examined from the point of view of the second demographic transition, which significantly influenced the size of the family, the distribution of intra-family roles, and the strategies of marriage behaviour.","PeriodicalId":448106,"journal":{"name":"Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1.","volume":"33 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126553377","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Еransformation of Marriage and Family Relations in the first half of the XX Century: the Example of Orenburg Oblast 20世纪上半叶的婚姻与家庭关系:以奥伦堡州为例Еransformation
Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1. Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/udf-2021-1-5
{"title":"Еransformation of Marriage and Family Relations in the first half of the XX Century: the Example of Orenburg Oblast","authors":"","doi":"10.17059/udf-2021-1-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17059/udf-2021-1-5","url":null,"abstract":"Events of the first half of the 20th century led to fundamental shifts not only in the state structure, but also in all spheres of life of Russian society, causing economic, social and cultural changes. The most unshakeable institution — family, which for a long time represented the age-old traditions — has also undergone transformations. The idea of universal equality widespread in Russia in that time assumed equality in all spheres of society, including in the family. Now the divorce procedure, which could be initiated by a woman, was significantly simplified, the age of marriage changed, there were no restrictions for representatives of different nationalities and religions. Indeed, the new decrees concerning the family and marriage represented the most modern, most fashionable trends of the 20th century.","PeriodicalId":448106,"journal":{"name":"Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1.","volume":"42 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121563953","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Demographic Development of Territories (Regional Aspect) 全港人口发展(区域方面)
Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1. Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/udf-2021-2-11
{"title":"Demographic Development of Territories (Regional Aspect)","authors":"","doi":"10.17059/udf-2021-2-11","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17059/udf-2021-2-11","url":null,"abstract":"The article examines the problems of demographic development and natural population decline in Russian regions, leading to an imbalance in the structure of the population and socio-economic instability. Statistical data on the indicators of the total fertility rate, natural increase, life expectancy, infant mortality were considered. The article presents theoretical approaches to substantiating the concept of demographic development, proposes a model for assessing the integral index of demographic development, calculates the indicator in a number of Russian regions, analyses socio-economic factors influencing the change in the indicator, and draws relevant conclusions. An assumption is made about the possibility of using this assessment model in managing the processes of demographic development in regions.","PeriodicalId":448106,"journal":{"name":"Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1.","volume":"74 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115005899","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assessment of the Dynamics of the Main Indicators of Population Reproduction in the Republic of Khakassia in the Context of Siberian and All-Russian Trends in the Post-Soviet Period 后苏联时期西伯利亚和全俄趋势背景下哈卡斯共和国人口再生产主要指标动态评估
Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1. Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/udf-2021-2-17
{"title":"Assessment of the Dynamics of the Main Indicators of Population Reproduction in the Republic of Khakassia in the Context of Siberian and All-Russian Trends in the Post-Soviet Period","authors":"","doi":"10.17059/udf-2021-2-17","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17059/udf-2021-2-17","url":null,"abstract":"The article presents the dynamics of population reproduction processes in the Republic of Khakassia, comparing the data of the last census conducted in the USSR in 1989 and similar indicators of the Siberian Federal District and Russia as a whole. It is shown that after the rapid deterioration of both components of population reproduction in the 1990s, the demographic situation in the country has been significantly improving since 2006, including due to targeted demographic policy measures. However, in the last years, negative trends in demographic processes have formed, primarily because of a decrease in the number of births. As a result, after 10 years of positive natural growth in the Republic of Khakassia (2007–2016), the population decline resumed with a negative trend that continues to the present. The age structure, which has changed dramatically in comparison with the Soviet period, will determine further negative prospects in the demographic sphere. The research results can be used to improve demographic policy, including at the regional level.","PeriodicalId":448106,"journal":{"name":"Paradigms and models of demographic development. Volume 1.","volume":"96 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133178845","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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