Forecasting the Number of Grandparents in Sverdlovsk Oblast

An increase in the participation of grandparents in the life of their grandchildren has demographic, social, and economic effects. In this regard, one of the main indicators of the demography of grandparenthood is the number of grandparents in society. Using the authors’ approach developed based on the methodology for forecasting the number of grandparents in the country as a whole, the present research forecasts the number of grandmothers in Sverdlovsk oblast for 2021–2025. Calculations show that, in Sverdlovsk oblast, this indicator is unlikely to change in the 5-year perspective; the share of grandmothers in the population of the region is also stable. Understanding of the perspective quantitative trends can prompt the executive bodies of Russian regions responsible for demographic policy to make decisions aimed at improving the qualitative characteristics of grandparents, namely, increasing the share of grandparents actively involved in the life of grandchildren in the number of all grandparents in the region.