Asian Politics & Policy最新文献

{"title":"Factors Influencing Minority Group Acceptance: Evidence From the 2021–2022 Korean National Human Rights Survey","authors":"Yuri Lee","doi":"10.1111/aspp.70097","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.70097","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Using data from the 2021–2022 Korean National Human Rights Survey (<i>N</i> = 33,741), this study examines how demographic, ideological, religious, and educational factors shape acceptance of six minority groups in South Korea. Logistic regression analyses show that women, individuals with higher education and income, and those exposed to human rights education are significantly more likely to express full acceptance (“not uncomfortable at all”). Older age is consistently associated with lower acceptance, while political conservatism generally predicts lower acceptance, except for refugees. Protestant affiliation shows modest, group-specific effects. Overall, the findings highlight the role of structural resources and experiential learning in fostering inclusive attitudes, while revealing generational and ideological divides. These results suggest that expanding human rights education may be an effective strategy to promote social inclusion in contemporary South Korea.</p>","PeriodicalId":44747,"journal":{"name":"Asian Politics & Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/aspp.70097","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148616406","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Assessing Gray Zone Risks in East Asia: A Threat Classification Framework Using Taiwan's ADIZ as a Case Study","authors":"Shih-Yin Liang,&nbsp;Hsuan-Lei Shao","doi":"10.1111/aspp.70098","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.70098","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Gray-zone activities have become a central feature of security competition in East Asia, particularly in the Taiwan Strait, where persistent military operations blur the boundary between coercion and armed conflict. This study develops a structured threat-assessment framework for evaluating the intensity of PLA aerial gray-zone pressure around Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone. Using principal component analysis, it constructs a four-quadrant classification model integrating aircraft capability, flight distance, angle of entry, and proximity to politically sensitive areas. The findings show that PLA aerial activities vary not only in frequency, but also in operational composition and spatial configuration. The framework distinguishes externally triggered power projection, low-capability spatial probing, routine low-intensity presence, and Taiwan-focused coercive pressure. Grounded in the Taiwan case, the approach offers a conditionally transferable framework for examining repeated and spatially observable gray-zone military activities in other regional contexts.</p>","PeriodicalId":44747,"journal":{"name":"Asian Politics & Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/aspp.70098","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148616408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"When to Test Missiles: How International Relations Shape North Korea's Ballistic Missile Launch Timing","authors":"Linggong Kong","doi":"10.1111/aspp.70096","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.70096","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Why does North Korea conduct ballistic missile tests at particular moments rather than others? While existing research emphasizes denuclearization strategies and technological advancement, less attention has been paid to the timing of tests. This study argues that missile launches reflect strategic calculations shaped by regional international dynamics rather than purely technological or domestic political factors. Drawing on a decision-theoretic framework, it models testing as a choice between launch and restraint, with expected utility determined by bilateral relations and the broader Northeast Asian environment. Using an original country–month dataset (1984–2023), the analysis examines test activation, intensity, and composition. Results show that lagged strategic utility increases the likelihood of testing, while testing scale is driven primarily by long-term trends. Strategic incentives are associated with mixed-model testing, whereas domestic holiday effects are not statistically significant. The findings suggest that technological development expands capacity, but strategic considerations shape timing and configuration decisions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":44747,"journal":{"name":"Asian Politics & Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148616407","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"An Age of Fragile Settlements: Asia Amid Overlapping Geopolitical Crises","authors":"Aries A. Arugay","doi":"10.1111/aspp.70099","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.70099","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;The second half of 2026 will likely find the international order suspended in a condition of precarious equilibrium—neither at war nor at peace, but caught in the uncertain interval between them. In June, after more than 3 months of a devastating conflict that had embroiled the Middle East and shaken the global economy, the United States and Iran signed the Islamabad Memorandum, a framework agreement that established a 60-day ceasefire, reopened the Strait of Hormuz, and committed both parties to negotiate the final terms of a durable settlement. The agreement, brokered with Pakistani mediation and announced amid a G7 summit in France, was hailed by the United Nations Secretary-General as a critical step toward peace. Yet its fragility is manifest: the text left unresolved the most consequential questions surrounding Iran's nuclear program, the status of its highly enriched uranium, and the disposition of Lebanon, where Israeli operations against Hezbollah continued even as the broader ceasefire took hold. For a journal dedicated to the study of Asian politics, these developments are not distant curiosities. They are constitutive features of the strategic environment within which Asian states must now navigate.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The Iran settlement, however tentative, offers a revealing lens through which to examine the shifting architecture of global power—and Asia's centrality to it. That the agreement was mediated by Pakistan, negotiated with reported Chinese involvement, and driven above all by the imperative of reopening an energy corridor upon which the economies of China, India, Japan, and South Korea overwhelmingly depend, underscores a theme this journal has long emphasized: that the Middle East and Asia are bound together by structural interdependencies that no analytical framework can afford to treat as separate. Beijing's posture throughout the conflict was instructive. As the largest purchaser of Iranian oil before the war, China possessed clear material stakes in the outcome, yet it declined direct intervention, preferring to protect its interests through diversified energy supplies and strategic ambiguity—a pattern consistent with what scholars have characterized as Chinese “strategic hedging” in the region (Salman et al. &lt;span&gt;2015&lt;/span&gt;). The limits of that approach were nonetheless exposed: Beijing proved unable to shield its partner from military defeat, even as the disruption of Hormuz threatened the very energy lifeline that Sino-Iranian ties were designed to secure.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;If the Iranian theater illustrates the perils of energy interdependence, the continuing war in Ukraine demonstrates the durability of great-power conflict in an ostensibly interdependent world. Despite intensive diplomacy through the first half of 2026—including trilateral meetings in Geneva and a stated American ambition to end the war by mid-year—negotiations remained stalled over the intractable question of territorial concessions in the Donbas. The Iran war had","PeriodicalId":44747,"journal":{"name":"Asian Politics & Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/aspp.70099","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148616047","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Rakhine on the Edge: A Strategic Dilemma for Bangladesh","authors":"Md Sajjad Hosain","doi":"10.1111/aspp.70092","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.70092","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The escalating conflict in Myanmar's Rakhine State, driven by the rise of the Arakan Army and mounting humanitarian and geopolitical pressures, has left Bangladesh vulnerable. Hosting over 1.2 million Rohingya refugees, Bangladesh must manage instability while protecting its national interests. This paper examines the strategic implications of the crisis, the challenges posed by a proposed humanitarian corridor, and Bangladesh's policy options amid competing interests from China, India, and the United States. Drawing on existing literature, published infromation from 2023 to 2025, and three analytical approaches (offensive realism, balance-of-threat theory, and humanitarian diplomacy), the author argues that the proposed corridor presents both humanitarian potential and strategic risk. In addition, the paper introduces and operationalizes the concept of “strategic humanitarianism” where aid becomes a tool for negotiation, influence, and soft power. While internal divisions may hinder policy coherence, regional powers could also exploit the crisis, and Myanmar's fragmented authority may further restrict bilateral engagement and complicate diplomatic efforts. This paper reframes the Rakhine issue through a geopolitical lens, offering a multidimensional perspective on Bangladesh's evolving strategic calculus.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":44747,"journal":{"name":"Asian Politics & Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148467360","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Viet Nam in the New Era—Drivers and Expectations","authors":"Le Dinh Tinh,&nbsp;Hoang Hai Long","doi":"10.1111/aspp.70086","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.70086","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Policy change and reform happen due to internal and external factors. In light of the Theory of Change (ToC), Viet Nam has recently witnessed bold policy moves as motivations from within that might entail profound repercusions for the country's medium and long-term future. This paper is an attempt to inspect several resolutions as such by the Communist Party of Viet Nam in the areas of science and technology, international integration, law-making, and private economy. In applying TOC, the paper comes to the conclusion that Viet Nam though faces tremendous challenges ahead has conditions conducive to implement structural, meaningful reforms.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":44747,"journal":{"name":"Asian Politics & Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148466796","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Constructing the Voice of Chinese Rule of Law: A Critical Review of Theoretical Pathways and Global Aspirations A Review of Chinese Rule of Law Discourse System: Theoretical Basis, Innovative Pathways and Global Governance, By \u0000 Xiaobo Dong, \u0000 Meng Zhang, Singapore, Springer, 2026, 229 pp., eBook: €117.69, ISBN 978-981-95-6260-2","authors":"Zhuo Li","doi":"10.1111/aspp.70088","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.70088","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44747,"journal":{"name":"Asian Politics & Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148389187","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"How Pakistani Media Reported on the 2025 India-Pakistan Crisis (June-August 2025)","authors":"Saroj Kumar Aryal,&nbsp;Sania Muneer","doi":"10.1111/aspp.70091","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.70091","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44747,"journal":{"name":"Asian Politics & Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148389237","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"State Identity Politics and the Making of East Asia: Perspectives From China and Japan By \u0000 Minran Liu, London: Routledge, 2026, \u0000 192,  £155 (hardback). ISBN 978-1-03-293997-1","authors":"Peter Chai","doi":"10.1111/aspp.70094","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.70094","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44747,"journal":{"name":"Asian Politics & Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148389238","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Rail Project: Recognizing Chinese State Capitalism at Play","authors":"Dinna Prapto Raharja,&nbsp; Sthefanny","doi":"10.1111/aspp.70087","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.70087","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Rail (<i>Kereta Cepat Jakarta—Bandung</i>, KCJB), a joint Indonesia China project sparked controversy regarding its financing structure and Indonesia's growing dependence on China. What evidence of Chinese state capitalism can be observed in the KCJB? What does the project reveal about the key traits of Chinese state capitalism? Using a qualitative case study approach, this paper traces patterns in Chinese financing of the KCJB as part of Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and highlights the nature of such capitalism. The findings suggest that the collateral-backed financing, which depends on mutual trust in the credibility of business partners and the capacity to accurately assess risks within the joint venture, become part of the agreement. Such model, however, blurs the boundaries between commercial and state interests, complicating what is formally presented as a business-to-business (B2B) framework. Ultimately, the project reflects how state-driven strategies shape international financing practices.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":44747,"journal":{"name":"Asian Politics & Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148389240","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}