{"title":"An adaptive gamma process based model for residual useful life prediction","authors":"Wenjia Xu, Wenbin Wang","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2012.6228785","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2012.6228785","url":null,"abstract":"This paper proposes a model to predict the residual useful life of a component by condition monitoring. An adaptive gamma process is used to describe the deteriorating nature of the observed condition indicator but one of the parameters of the gamma model is updated whenever a new observation of the indicator becomes available. The updating is performed by means of a state space model where the parameter is the hidden state variable and the observations are the condition monitoring information. Other unknown model parameters are estimated using the expectation maximization algorithm. We apply the model developed to a case study involving a data set of crack growths and demonstrate the validity of this modeling approach.","PeriodicalId":444815,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the IEEE 2012 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-2012 Beijing)","volume":"35 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121639599","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The calculating PHM cluster: CH&P mathematical models and algorithms of early prognosis of failure","authors":"A. Kirillov, S. Kirillov, Michael G. Pecht","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2012.6228771","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2012.6228771","url":null,"abstract":"This work describes mathematical models and computing cluster for early failure prognosis and accurate estimates of remaining useful life (RUL) for technical objects: internal combustion engines, gas turbine, hydroelectric turbines, wind turbines, etc. The hierarchy of mathematical models for prognosis (CH&P) is based on a hierarchy of degrees of developed failure, and solves the problem of accurate assessment of RUL; determines the required physical parameters for the prediction and risk assessment; classifies the signs and their evolution at all stages of development. In the absence of early incipient fault the mathematical model identifies incipient of fault cause, the time evolution of which leads to the appearance of early incipient fault. In the absence of incipient of fault cause the hierarchical mathematical model analyzes the state of the system using the methods of symbolic and topological dynamics to identify the evolution of symbolic hidden trajectories of the observed signals, which leads to Incipient of hidden fault cause. Thus, the hierarchical mathematical model provides the earliest prognosis of occurrence of failure causes. It is also noted that in the analysis stage of hidden trajectories (preventive prognosis) is possible a physical reversibility in the technical system. There is a legitimate question about the implementation of the automatic stochastic management by system in real time in order to avoid failure at the stage of the appearance of their hidden causes.","PeriodicalId":444815,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the IEEE 2012 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-2012 Beijing)","volume":"6 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123797020","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Current status and future of testability assessment technology","authors":"Gang Li, Yanheng Ma, Weiwei Zhao, Yajun Xu","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2012.6228790","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2012.6228790","url":null,"abstract":"Current testability assessment technologies and methods are introduced in this paper first. Then the advantages, disadvantages and applicable occasions are analyzed carefully. This paper studies future trend based on the former analysis and puts forward two new testability assessment methods at last.","PeriodicalId":444815,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the IEEE 2012 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-2012 Beijing)","volume":"1237 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131558302","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Design of the BIT base on the structure of the radar system","authors":"Ye Zhang, Yanheng Ma","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2012.6228882","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2012.6228882","url":null,"abstract":"The Built-in Test (BIT) is an important technology that can great improve the testability and diagnosis capability of the system. It has been successfully applied in weapon equipment. As BIT design is made respectively by the product manufacture, there is not a unitive, normal and general standard. There is not a unique evaluation criterion for the fault diagnosis ability of radar BIT too. So this paper illustrates the structure from the system to describe structure function modeling. Analyze the failure effect, fault propagation and failure modes and effects analysis based on the structure model. Bringing forward the design rule and detect method of radar BIT, which can offer the method for analyzing system testability and the design rule of radar BIT, Improving the fault diagnosis ability and system reliability.","PeriodicalId":444815,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the IEEE 2012 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-2012 Beijing)","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125254529","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Availability model of complex equipment supported by multilevel maintenance agencies","authors":"Yang Ge, Qi Gao, Zhaoxie Huang","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2012.6228944","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2012.6228944","url":null,"abstract":"Targeting at the complex equipment which is supported by multilevel maintenance agencies, the maintenance strategy composed of failure maintenance, scheduled maintenance and opportunistic maintenance is adopted, we build the equipment mean availability model, and give a method to solve the model. At last, a case is given to show validity and sensitiveness of the model. The paper offers a scientific method for complex equipment maintenance decision-making.","PeriodicalId":444815,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the IEEE 2012 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-2012 Beijing)","volume":"8 1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125655954","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Aircraft fault diagnosis prognostics and health management based on flight recorder","authors":"Chaojiang Hu","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2012.6228934","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2012.6228934","url":null,"abstract":"A flight recorder is very important onboard flight safety equipment, ant it plays a very important role in aircraft fault diagnosis prognostics and health management(AFDPAHM). It is thought that there are three methods when a flight recorder is applied in AFDPAHM after the composition and characteristics of flight reorder information have been studied: the first is analytical redundancy ones, the second is parameter trend forecasting ones, and the third is fault tree ones etc. The application of the three methods in AFDPAHM has been discussed in detail in this paper. These three methods have their advantages and disadvantages respectively. When the mathematical model of a subsystem or device is easy to be set up, the analytical redundancy method can be applied. When the failure mechanism of the subsystem or device is very complicated and it is very difficult to set up its mathematical model, the parameter trend predication can be used. When the logic relationship of internal structure of the subsystem or device is very clear and the failure probability of every component can be obtained, then the fault tree method is available.","PeriodicalId":444815,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the IEEE 2012 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-2012 Beijing)","volume":"23 2","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"120849870","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Reliability prediction based on degradation measure distribution and wavelet neural network","authors":"Xiangjun Dang, T. Jiang","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2012.6228782","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2012.6228782","url":null,"abstract":"To avoid the errors caused by pseudo life prediction in degradation testing, this paper proposes a reliability prediction method based on degradation measure distribution and wavelet neural network. The style of degradation measure distribution is assumed to be unchangeable during degradation procedure, while the character parameters, such as location and scale parameters, are time-dependent covariates. Therefore, the evaluations of character parameters are critical factors for prediction results. To predict the character parameters, different wavelet neural network prediction models are established. The learning algorithm of wavelet neural network is Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm combining the advantages of both Gauss-Newton algorithm and fast gradient descent algorithm. Practical degradation data are utilized to verify the proposed method. Considering that data may not be intact in engineering, reliability prediction of partial degradation data is also implemented and the result is acceptable.","PeriodicalId":444815,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the IEEE 2012 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-2012 Beijing)","volume":"3 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129558295","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The specific methods In ATS development based on IEEE 1641 STD","authors":"Cuihong Huang, Zhaoyang Zeng, Dandan Liu, Fan Li","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2012.6228922","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2012.6228922","url":null,"abstract":"Traditionally, the only method to capture, describe and program test requirements in signal-oriented way is using ATLAS (Abbreviated Test Language for All System) language. The IEEE 1641 (Signal and Test Definition) STD Standard provides a new way to define test requirements independently of the language and test station platform. With this approach, instrument-independent test descriptions is no longer simply represented by a special formatted test language, but any languages which build on a framework for component libraries of signal descriptions. This paper studies specific method to implement ATS(Automatic Test System) based on IEEE 1641 STD, including the signal library creation, STD test statements mapping to the methods and attributes of BSCs(Basic Signal Component) and TSF(Test Signal Framework) signals, signal objects creation for particular TPL statements, signal-oriented test descriptions conversion to instrument setting etc.","PeriodicalId":444815,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the IEEE 2012 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-2012 Beijing)","volume":"13 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131629601","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A pre-processing method for degradation parameter","authors":"Lizhi Wang, T. Jiang, Xiaoyang Li, Xiaohong Wang","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2012.6228780","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2012.6228780","url":null,"abstract":"In the application of lifetime prediction, sometimes the degradation parameter would be disturbed due to the unstable environment. This phenomenon is negative to the prediction of the lifetime and reliability. So we take Super-luminescent Diode (SLD) as an example, to research the method of degradation parameter pre-processing method under the temperature stress. Firstly, analyze the relationship between degradation variable and unstable environment variable of the parameter. Secondly, remove the unstable environment variable by modeling method based on Support Vector Machines (SVM) and filtering method based on wavelet analysis. Finally, the pre-processing of the degradation parameter is finished, and then the accuracy of the lifetime prediction is improved.","PeriodicalId":444815,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the IEEE 2012 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-2012 Beijing)","volume":"5 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133867352","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Gear incipient fault prognosis using Density-adjustable Spectral Clustering and Transductive SVM","authors":"Hua-kui Yin, Weihua Li","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2012.6228905","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2012.6228905","url":null,"abstract":"A novel method is presented in this paper, which using Density-adjustable Spectral Clustering and Transductive Support Vector Machine, called DSTSVM, to accomplish feature extraction and fault detection. Firstly, the features are extracted via Density-adjustable Spectral clustering, and the Kernel function of TSVM (Transductive Support Vector Machine) is also constructed. Then the TSVM is trained by gradient descent learning and applied in gear failure detection. Gear fault experiments were conducted on an automobile transmission tests platform, and the proposed method were compared with those using TSVM, CKSVM (Cluster Kernel). Experiments results indicated that the proposed approach can reflect the data structure well, and has high classification accuracy with few labeled data.","PeriodicalId":444815,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the IEEE 2012 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-2012 Beijing)","volume":"32 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133869093","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}