EURO Journal on Decision Processes最新文献

{"title":"A review of cost–benefit analysis and multicriteria decision analysis from the perspective of sustainable transport in project evaluation","authors":"Francis Marleau Donais ,&nbsp;Irène Abi-Zeid ,&nbsp;E.OwenD. Waygood ,&nbsp;Roxane Lavoie","doi":"10.1007/s40070-019-00098-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40070-019-00098-1","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Transport decision processes have traditionally applied cost–benefit analysis (CBA) with benefits mainly relating to time-savings, and costs relating to infrastructure and maintenance costs. However, a shift toward more sustainable practices was initiated over the last decades to remedy the many negative impacts of automobility. As a result, decision processes related to transport projects have become more complex due to the multidimensional aspects and to the variety of stakeholders involved, often with conflicting points of view. To support rigourous decision-making, multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) is, in addition to CBA, often used by governments and cities. However, there is still no consensus in the transport field regarding a preferred method that can integrate sustainability principles. This paper presents a descriptive literature review related to MCDA and CBA in the field of transport. Among the 66 considered papers, we identified the perceived strengths and weaknesses of CBA and MCDA, the different ways to combine them and the ability of each method to support sustainable transport decision processes. We further analysed the results based on four types of rationality (objectivist, conformist, adjustive, and reflexive). Our results show that both methods can help improve the decision processes and that, depending on the rationality adopted, the perceived strengths and weaknesses of MCDA and CBA can vary. Nonetheless, we observe that by adopting a more global and holistic perspective and by facilitating the inclusion of a participative process, MCDA, or a combination of both methods, emerge as the more promising appraisal methods for sustainable transport.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":44104,"journal":{"name":"EURO Journal on Decision Processes","volume":"7 3","pages":"Pages 327-358"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2019-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s40070-019-00098-1","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46041486","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Editorial featured papers on environmental decisions","authors":"Judit Lienert ,&nbsp;Igor Linkov","doi":"10.1007/s40070-019-00108-2","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40070-019-00108-2","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Our society is facing serious environmental challenges related to climate change, pollution, diminishing resources, and biodiversity loss. Such problems are often ill-defined and are characterized by high uncertainty. Environmental decisions have strong impacts on society and demand clear and transparent trade-offs across values and priorities of stakeholder groups. This Feature Issue on Environmental Decisions includes papers focused on important environmental applications approached through various disciplinary backgrounds. The papers highlight advanced–often interdisciplinary–methodological approaches and include the perspectives of different stakeholders in the process of environmental decision-making. A wide range of methods are explored, ranging from a comprehensive review (for sustainable transport by Marleau Donais et al.) to an opinion paper proposing the use of Records of Engagement and Decision-making (RoED; by Cockerill et al.). Stakeholder engagement and preference elicitation required the development of new aggregation models for Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA; by Reichert et al.). The integration of Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) with MCDA was found to be necessary in practice (by Liu et al.; Marleau Donais et al.). MCDA was extended to include the spatial dimension by integrating Geographic Information Systems (GIS; by Guay et al.; Schito et al.). The importance of considering the resilience of systems to better respond to and recover from unpredictable risks was emphasized (by Leyerer et al.; Mustajoki and Marttunen). These papers demonstrate the richness of approaches to environmental decision-making. Environmental issues offer ample exciting research opportunities to a broader scientific community. We encourage the readers of this Feature Issue—and of EJDP—to engage in environmental decision-making projects to support emerging societal needs.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":44104,"journal":{"name":"EURO Journal on Decision Processes","volume":"7 3","pages":"Pages 151-157"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2019-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s40070-019-00108-2","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42395839","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Records of engagement and decision making for environmental and socio-ecological challenges","authors":"Kristan Cockerill ,&nbsp;Pierre Glynn ,&nbsp;Ilan Chabay ,&nbsp;Mahmud Farooque ,&nbsp;RaimoP. Hämäläinen ,&nbsp;Ben Miyamoto ,&nbsp;Patricia McKay","doi":"10.1007/s40070-019-00104-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40070-019-00104-6","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We propose creating and maintaining records of engagement and decision-making (RoED) to help us and our communities better understand ourselves, our goals, our decisions, and the dynamic systems in which we all live. The purpose of RoED is to go well beyond noting that dialogue occurred or a decision was reached. The records should, in ways appropriate to the context and participants, document interactions and note biases, beliefs, emotions, behaviors, norms, and values. These crucial aspects are generally absent in academic papers and formal reports, yet they always play a role in decision-making processes. While not a panacea for addressing critical biophysical and social challenges, we propose that a comprehensive framework for promoting realistic, legitimate and inclusive engagement could enhance trust, establish institutional memory, and when and where appropriate, ensure greater transparency. The aim is to create and maintain RoED to collect significant information and share insights from multi-stakeholder decision-making processes from diverse institutions, contexts, and disciplinary domains. In the long-term RoED could promote more effective adaptive management or governance approaches. This paper describes an exploratory phase intended to catalyze collaborative efforts worldwide.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":44104,"journal":{"name":"EURO Journal on Decision Processes","volume":"7 3","pages":"Pages 243-265"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2019-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s40070-019-00104-6","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47922276","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A framework for integrating stakeholder preferences when deciding on power transmission line corridors","authors":"Joram Schito ,&nbsp;Joshu Jullier ,&nbsp;Martin Raubal","doi":"10.1007/s40070-019-00100-w","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40070-019-00100-w","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Decisions about urban space and especially regarding power transmission lines are of great public interest, because their visibility affects citizens for decades. With citizens’ increasing awareness, they expect to be transparently informed, their concerns to be taken seriously and that decision-makers base their decisions rationally on facts and laws. In this paper, we present a 3D Decision Support System (3D DSS) that tackles this issue and allows decision-makers to find an optimal transmission line corridor on such rational basis and by considering stakeholder’s preferences regarding multiple criteria. We examined its reliability regarding the ability of predicting transmission line corridors realistically—as stakeholders would expect them—by carrying out a study in central Switzerland with 10 grid planning experts and government representatives. Moreover, we investigated the extent to which graphic representations may support decision-makers firstly in evaluating a transmission line corridor modeled by the 3D DSS, secondly in considering and improving a human-defined scenario for transmission line planning, and thirdly in changing their opinion about a human-defined path. For this, a questionnaire was statistically evaluated by means of exploratory analysis, correlation analysis, and regression analysis. The results on the investigated visual analytics approach showed that it supports the evaluation of the corridor modeled by the 3D DSS as well as of the scenario defined by the stakeholders. As our new approach allows stakeholders to evaluate a transmission line path they consider to be optimal for land and population, it has a high potential for supporting rational group decision-making when considering different opinions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":44104,"journal":{"name":"EURO Journal on Decision Processes","volume":"7 3","pages":"Pages 159-195"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2019-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s40070-019-00100-w","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42588638","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The need for unconventional value aggregation techniques: experiences from eliciting stakeholder preferences in environmental management","authors":"Peter Reichert ,&nbsp;Klemens Niederberger ,&nbsp;Peter Rey ,&nbsp;Urs Helg ,&nbsp;Susanne Haertel-Borer","doi":"10.1007/s40070-019-00101-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40070-019-00101-9","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Despite the large literature about non-additive value aggregation techniques, in the large majority of applied decision support processes, additive value aggregation functions are used. The main reasons for this may be the simplicity of the approach, minimum elicitation requirements, software availability, and the appeal of the underlying preference independence concepts that may be strengthened by an adequate choice of sub-objectives and attributes. However, in an applied decision support process, the decision maker(s) or the stakeholders decide on the sub-objectives and attributes to characterize the state of a system and they have to provide information that allows the decision analyst to express their preferences as a value function of these attributes. It is the task of the decision analyst to find the parameterization and parameter values of a value function that fits best the expressed preferences. We describe a value function elicitation process for the ideal morphological state of a lake shore, performed with stakeholders from federal and cantonal authorities and from environmental consulting companies in Switzerland. This process led to the elicitation of strongly non-additive and partly even non-concave value aggregation functions. The objective of this paper is to raise the awareness about the importance of carefully testing the assumptions underlying parameterized (often additive) value aggregation techniques during the preferences elicitation process and to be flexible regarding evaluating value functions that deviate from the often used additive aggregation scheme. This can lead to a higher confidence that additive aggregation is suitable for the specific decision problem or to the selection of alternative aggregation techniques that better represent the decision maker’s preferences in case additivity is violated.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":44104,"journal":{"name":"EURO Journal on Decision Processes","volume":"7 3","pages":"Pages 197-219"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2019-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s40070-019-00101-9","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49588425","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A cost-effective framework to prioritise stakeholder participation options","authors":"Shuang Liu ,&nbsp;Kirsten Maclean ,&nbsp;Cathy Robinson","doi":"10.1007/s40070-019-00103-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40070-019-00103-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Stakeholder participation is increasingly being embedded into decision-making processes from the local to the global scale. With limited resources to engage stakeholders, frameworks that allow decision-makers to make cost-effective choices are greatly needed. In this paper, we present a structured decision-making (SDM) framework that enables environmental decision-makers to prioritise different engagement options by assessing their relative cost-effectiveness. We demonstrate the application of this framework using a case study in biosecurity management. Drawing on a scenario of Panama Disease Tropical Race 4 (TR4) invasion in the Australian banana industry, we conducted 25 semi-structured interviews and held a workshop with key stakeholders to elicit their key concerns and convert them into four objectives-making more informed decisions, maximising buy-in, empowering people, and minimising the stress of biosecurity incidents. We also identified ten engagement alternatives at local, State/Territory, and National scales. Our results showed that options to engage local stakeholders and enable capacity to undertake adaptive approaches to biosecurity management are more cost-effective than engagement efforts that seek to build capacities at higher decision-making levels. More interestingly, using the weights provided by different stakeholder groups does not significantly affect the cost-effectiveness ranking of the ten options considered. Even though the results are contingent on the context of this biosecurity study, the SDM framework developed for maximising cost-effectiveness is transferable to other areas of environmental management. The efficient frontier generated by this framework allows decision-makers to examine the trade-offs between the costs and benefits and select the best portfolio for their investment. This approach provides a practical and transparent estimate of the return on investment for stakeholder engagement in highly complex or uncertain situations, as is usually the case for environmental issues.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":44104,"journal":{"name":"EURO Journal on Decision Processes","volume":"7 3","pages":"Pages 221-241"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2019-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s40070-019-00103-7","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41443839","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Decision support for sustainable and resilience-oriented urban parcel delivery","authors":"Max Leyerer ,&nbsp;Marc-Oliver Sonneberg ,&nbsp;Maximilian Heumann ,&nbsp;MichaelH. Breitner","doi":"10.1007/s40070-019-00105-5","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40070-019-00105-5","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The worldwide trend of urbanization, the rising needs of individuals, and the continuous growth of e-commerce lead to increasing urban delivery activities, which are a substantial driver of traffic and pollution in cities. Due to rising public pressure, emission-reducing measures are increasingly likely to be introduced. Such measures can cover diesel bans or even entire car-free zones, causing drastic effects on delivery networks in urban areas. As an option to reduce the risk of a regulation-induced shock, we present a resilience-oriented network and fleet optimization. We propose an innovative parcel delivery concept for last mile delivery (LMD) operations and develop an optimization model to support tactical planning decisions. Our model minimizes overall operating costs by determining optimal locations for micro depots and it allocates transport vehicles to them. An adjustable CO₂-threshold and external costs are included to consider potential regulatory restrictions by city authorities. We implement our model into a decision support system (DSS) that allows analyzing and comparing different scenarios. We provide a computational study by evaluating and discussing our DSS with an example of a mid-sized German city. Our results and findings demonstrate the trade-off between cost and emission minimization by quantifying the impacts of various fleet compositions. The proposed logistics concept represents an option to achieve environmentally friendly, cost-efficient, and resilient LMD of parcels.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":44104,"journal":{"name":"EURO Journal on Decision Processes","volume":"7 3","pages":"Pages 267-300"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2019-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s40070-019-00105-5","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47439779","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"SOMERSET-P: a GIS-based/MCDA platform for strategic planning scenarios’ ranking and decision-making in conflictual socioecosystem","authors":"Jean-Francois Guay ,&nbsp;Jean-Philippe Waaub","doi":"10.1007/s40070-019-00106-4","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40070-019-00106-4","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This contribution proposes an application of the SOMERSET-P platform for strategic environmental assessment of regional planning scenarios related to the municipality of Ste-Claire (Quebec, Canada). The platform combines spatial analysis and multicriteria decision-aid support and is supplied with data from several stakeholder expectations and planning issues. Stakeholders are modeled according to the following five groups: “Owners” (civil administration representatives), Farmers, Foresters, Environmentalists, and Neo-rural dwellers. Each scenario was built according to a hierarchy of planning objectives. Scenarios were assessed in accordance with 12 decision criteria and related indicators of performance. The spatial translation and spatial analysis of the territorial impacts of the scenarios are performed within the ArcGIS geographic information system. These scenarios were integrated into multicriteria and multi-stakeholders analysis software implementing the PROMETHEE/GAIA methodology. Four elements were computed to support the stakeholder negotiations and decision analysis: scenario strengths and weaknesses, individual and multi-stakeholder scenario rankings, and visual analysis of conflicts and synergies between criteria, and between stakeholders. Results suggest that a potential compromise is located in-between the full economic growth and the ecological scenarios. Since regional planning processes are becoming increasingly complex with time due to the group polarization and the emergence of conflictual societal value schemes among stakeholders hierarchical and networked relations approaches involving multiple stakeholders like this one are fully justified in the future.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":44104,"journal":{"name":"EURO Journal on Decision Processes","volume":"7 3","pages":"Pages 301-325"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2019-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s40070-019-00106-4","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47256379","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Multiple local optima in Zeuthen–Hicks bargaining: an analysis of different preference models","authors":"LuisC. Dias ,&nbsp;Rudolf Vetschera","doi":"10.1007/s40070-018-0089-0","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40070-018-0089-0","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Zeuthen–Hicks bargaining provides a dynamic model that explains how two parties in a negotiation make concessions to reach the Nash bargaining solution. However, it is not clear whether this process will always reach the global optimum corresponding to the Nash bargaining solution, or could end at a local optimum, or even in disagreement. In this paper, we analyze different types of utility functions, both analytically and in a computational study, to determine under which circumstances convergence to the Nash bargaining solution will be achieved. We show that non-standard preferences, involving, e.g., reference point effects, might indeed lead to multiple local optima of the Nash bargaining objective function and thus failure of the bargaining process. This occurs more often if expectations of parties are mutually incompatible.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":44104,"journal":{"name":"EURO Journal on Decision Processes","volume":"7 1","pages":"Pages 33-53"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2019-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s40070-018-0089-0","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44464307","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Special issue on negotiations: introduction","authors":"D.Marc Kilgour ,&nbsp;Rudolf Vetschera","doi":"10.1007/s40070-018-0090-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40070-018-0090-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44104,"journal":{"name":"EURO Journal on Decision Processes","volume":"7 1","pages":"Pages 1-2"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2019-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s40070-018-0090-7","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43097211","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}