Estudios De Economia最新文献

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A Sustentabilidade do Endividamento Externo Brasileiro no Período 1963-72: uma análise empírica 1963-72年巴西外债的可持续性:实证分析
IF 0.6 4区 经济学
Estudios De Economia Pub Date : 2017-05-30 DOI: 10.1590/0101-416147253EFB
Eduardo F. Bastian
{"title":"A Sustentabilidade do Endividamento Externo Brasileiro no Período 1963-72: uma análise empírica","authors":"Eduardo F. Bastian","doi":"10.1590/0101-416147253EFB","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-416147253EFB","url":null,"abstract":"O presente artigo analisa o grau de vulnerabilidade externa a que estava sujeita a economia brasileira no inicio do governo presidencialista de Joao Goulart (1963-64). Para tanto, utiliza-se um modelo simples que permite avaliar o grau de solvencia externa de um pais ao longo do tempo a partir de projecoes para o indicador passivo externo liquido sobre exportacoes de bens e servicos. As projecoes para o periodo 1963-72 sinalizam que o pais estava em uma situacao de vulnerabilidade externa naquele momento, mas que esta condicao poderia ser contornada atraves de uma taxa adequada de crescimento das exportacoes de bens e servicos. Estas projecoes sao contrastadas com o comportamento efetivo da economia brasileira no periodo 1963-72. Observa-se que o forte crescimento das exportacoes de bens e servicos neste periodo reduziu o grau de vulnerabilidade externa do pais, mas que, ainda assim, evidencias de vulnerabilidade externa persistiam.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"1 1","pages":"365-394"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2017-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"88469778","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
O fluxo de capital para as economias emergentes e o grau de desenvolvimento do sistema financeiro 资本流向新兴经济体和金融体系的发展程度
IF 0.6 4区 经济学
Estudios De Economia Pub Date : 2017-05-30 DOI: 10.1590/0101-416147212KAM
K. Rocha, A. Moreira, M. D. Silveira
{"title":"O fluxo de capital para as economias emergentes e o grau de desenvolvimento do sistema financeiro","authors":"K. Rocha, A. Moreira, M. D. Silveira","doi":"10.1590/0101-416147212KAM","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-416147212KAM","url":null,"abstract":"The objective of this is study is to assert the role of domestic financial system as mitigating of sudden stops episodes and driver of capital flows in a group of 14 emerging economies in the period of 1999-2013, especially in face of unfavorable external environment such as high international interest rate or global risk aversion. The countries analyzed – Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Philippines, Russia, South Africa, Thailand, Turkey and Ukraine, represented in August 2014 roughly 80% of the EMBIPLUS and 60% of EMBIGLOBAL. We work with distinct types of capital flows: Inflow of Foreign Direct Investment, Inflow of Portfolio and Net Capital, and conduct robustness check considering data since 1990 and increasing the number of emerging countries. The result supports evidence that improvement of domestic financial system allows an increase of capital flow and a decrease of sudden stops probability. Estimates also indicate that domestic fundamentals are as important as global factors in explaining capital flows and sudden stops episodes. This fact supports public policies that improve the development and strength of domestic financial system in emerging economies and stress the government role in attracting external capital.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"10 1","pages":"235-257"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2017-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"83575464","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Ignácio Rangel, a correção monetária e o PAEG: recontando a história 伊格纳西奥·兰格尔,货币修正和PAEG:重述历史
IF 0.6 4区 经济学
Estudios De Economia Pub Date : 2017-05-30 DOI: 10.1590/0101-416147273FSDP
Fabian Scholze Domingues, P. Fonseca
{"title":"Ignácio Rangel, a correção monetária e o PAEG: recontando a história","authors":"Fabian Scholze Domingues, P. Fonseca","doi":"10.1590/0101-416147273FSDP","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-416147273FSDP","url":null,"abstract":"The introduction of indexed government bonds and the monetary correction are usually attributed to the PAEG period of Brazilian economic policy history. In contrast with this historical memory, this paper aims at revisiting the fact that both were part of Ignacio Rangel’s proposal, which was rejected by the National Congress during Goulart term. Thus, the research is based on primary sources such as the legislative debates and interviews, in order to show Rangel’s pioneering role in regard to these important institutional measures that would impact Brazilian economy in the following decades.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"42 1","pages":"429-458"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2017-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77335054","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Crescimento econômico e pressão sobre recursos hídricos 经济增长和水资源压力
IF 0.6 4区 经济学
Estudios De Economia Pub Date : 2017-05-30 DOI: 10.1590/0101-416147243ASM
Arno Paulo Schmitz, M. V. L. Bittencourt
{"title":"Crescimento econômico e pressão sobre recursos hídricos","authors":"Arno Paulo Schmitz, M. V. L. Bittencourt","doi":"10.1590/0101-416147243ASM","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-416147243ASM","url":null,"abstract":"This paper aimed, through an inter-regional input-output matrix (estimated for 2004) in an ecological-economic model, simulate three scenarios of future demand (for 2020) for the use of water resources in river basins Piracicaba-Capivari-Jundiai (PCJ), Paraiba do Sul (PBS), Alto Tiete (AT) and Sorocaba and Mid Tiete (SMT). These simulations are based on the hypothetical expectations of changes in the final demand of goods in the economy, resulting in a comparison between estimates results of demand for water with the hypothetical water availability. The growing shortage of water resources motivates studies on analysis of the demand, especially with a view to proposing sparing strategies. The simulation results showed water amounts that depict important water shortage in AT and SMT basins, which is a problem that has been around for a few decades and can become even worse. In addition, water shortage was identified in the PCJ basin mainly due to water transpositions to other river basins, especially AT covering the entire metropolitan region of Sao Paulo.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"54 1","pages":"329-363"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2017-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"87607967","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
A progressividade do imposto de renda da pessoa física no Brasil 巴西个人所得税的累进性
IF 0.6 4区 经济学
Estudios De Economia Pub Date : 2017-05-30 DOI: 10.1590/0101-416147222FCM
F. Castro, M. Bugarin
{"title":"A progressividade do imposto de renda da pessoa física no Brasil","authors":"F. Castro, M. Bugarin","doi":"10.1590/0101-416147222FCM","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-416147222FCM","url":null,"abstract":"O presente trabalho tem como objetivo avaliar a progressividade do Imposto de Renda da Pessoa Fisica no Brasil, no periodo de 2006 a 2012, utilizando numeros indices que permitem sua comparacao com outros paises. Dentre as medidas de progressividade efetiva ou global, foram calculados os indices de desvio da proporcionalidade de Kakwani e Suits, alem dos indices de capacidade redistributiva de Reynolds-Smolensky, Musgrave-Thin e Pfahler. Mostra-se que o tributo brasileiro apresenta indices de progressividade bastante altos em comparacao a paises da America Latina e paises desenvolvidos. Entretanto, sua capacidade redistributiva e limitada pela baixa representatividade da arrecadacao do imposto em relacao a renda bruta total do pais, problema semelhante a muitos paises com renda per capita similar a do Brasil. Efetuou-se tambem a decomposicao da progressividade da estrutura do imposto, verificando-se que, no caso brasileiro, o efeito aliquota e responsavel por toda a progressividade, enquanto o efeito base e proporcional.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"17 1","pages":"259-293"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2017-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"88789822","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
Avaliação sistêmica do setor industrial brasileiro: 1995-2009 巴西工业部门的系统评估:1995-2009年
IF 0.6 4区 经济学
Estudios De Economia Pub Date : 2017-03-07 DOI: 10.1590/0101-416147151FSJ
F. S. Perobelli, S. Bastos, Juliana Carreiro de Oliveira
{"title":"Avaliação sistêmica do setor industrial brasileiro: 1995-2009","authors":"F. S. Perobelli, S. Bastos, Juliana Carreiro de Oliveira","doi":"10.1590/0101-416147151FSJ","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-416147151FSJ","url":null,"abstract":"This article aims to evaluate the industrial sector in a different perspective from the common view used when we analyze industrialization/deindustrialization. The goal is to analyze the systemic character of the industrial sector from the input-output method using indicators of direct intensity and indirect plus direct intensity of industry. By this measure, you can make clearer the article contribution, ie, provide a productive integration measure in the industrial sector with other sectors in order to check whether the industry has gained importance as a articulator sector of productive activities.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"70 1","pages":"125-152"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2017-03-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"75348554","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Heterogeneity of demand and product innovation 需求异质性与产品创新
IF 0.6 4区 经济学
Estudios De Economia Pub Date : 2017-03-07 DOI: 10.1590/0101-416147115TRM
T. Caliari, M. T. Valente, R. Ruiz
{"title":"Heterogeneity of demand and product innovation","authors":"T. Caliari, M. T. Valente, R. Ruiz","doi":"10.1590/0101-416147115TRM","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-416147115TRM","url":null,"abstract":"Este paper discute o relacionamento entre a heterogeneidade da demanda em relacao a criterios de escolha e a inovacao de produto. E proposto um modelo evolucionario que apresenta como consumidores com informacao imperfeita escolhem e selecionam bens diferenciados. O modelo conecta a informacao e os criterios de escolha e sua relacao com o processo inovativo das empresas. Como resultados, pode-se verificar que o preco apresenta uma importante funcao, mas a qualidade da informacao, os erros de tolerância dos agentes e criterios para ordenacao de preferencia sao importantes determinantes do desempenho das firmas em uma industria com inovacao de produtos.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"5 1","pages":"5-37"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2017-03-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"87819200","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
Post-2008 Brazilian fiscal policy: an interpretation through the analysis of fiscal multipliers 2008年后巴西财政政策:基于财政乘数分析的解读
IF 0.6 4区 经济学
Estudios De Economia Pub Date : 2017-03-07 DOI: 10.1590/0101-416147149CAA
Celso Júnior, Alejandro C. García Cintado, Armando Vaz Sampaio
{"title":"Post-2008 Brazilian fiscal policy: an interpretation through the analysis of fiscal multipliers","authors":"Celso Júnior, Alejandro C. García Cintado, Armando Vaz Sampaio","doi":"10.1590/0101-416147149CAA","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-416147149CAA","url":null,"abstract":"The global crisis that erupted in 2007 led many countries to embark on countercyclical fiscal policies as a way to cushion the blow of a depressed aggregate demand. Advocates of discretionary measures emphasize that fiscal policy can indeed stimulate the economy. The main goal of this work is to assess whether the fiscal policies pursued by the Brazilian government in the aftermath of the 2008 crisis, succeeded in bringing the economy back on track in a sustainable fashion. To this end, the fiscal multipliers of five different shocks are studied in a small open-economy New Keynesian framework. Our results point to the government spending and public investment as the most effective fiscal tools for combating the crisis. However, the highest fiscal multiplier turned out to be the one associated with excise tax reductions.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"144 1","pages":"93-124"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2017-03-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85606144","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 7
NAIRU, inflação e curva de phillips no Brasil: novas evidências a partir de um modelo tempo-variante 巴西的NAIRU通货膨胀和菲利普斯曲线:来自时间变模型的新证据
IF 0.6 4区 经济学
Estudios De Economia Pub Date : 2017-03-07 DOI: 10.1590/0101-416147123APD
Andreza Aparecida Palma, Diego Ferreira
{"title":"NAIRU, inflação e curva de phillips no Brasil: novas evidências a partir de um modelo tempo-variante","authors":"Andreza Aparecida Palma, Diego Ferreira","doi":"10.1590/0101-416147123APD","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-416147123APD","url":null,"abstract":"O objetivo do presente trabalho e estimar a NAIRU ( non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment ) para o Brasil utilizando um modelo bivariado de componentes nao observados conforme proposto por Chan, Koop e Potter (2015), que diferencia-se da literatura existente por considerar passeios aleatorios restritos para as variaveis nao-observadas. As variaveis latentes do modelo sao a NAIRU, a tendencia inflacionaria, persistencia da inflacao e inclinacao da Curva de Phillips. Os resultados obtidos apontam para uma tendencia de queda da NAIRU, que tem sido revertida no periodo recente. Alem disso, o hiato do desemprego foi predominantemente positivo ate 2010, fato consistente com a diminuicao da inflacao e tem sido predominantemente negativo no periodo recente, o que implica em aumento da inflacao. Tal comportamento e consistente com a trajetoria observada da inflacao no periodo. Dessa forma, o presente trabalho contribui com a literatura empirica a respeito da NAIRU no Brasil, fornecendo novas estimativas para o periodo recente, o que pode vir a aumentar o grau de confiabilidade das estimativas fornecidas.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"5 1","pages":"39-63"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2017-03-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"75669292","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
O EFEITO DAS EXPORTAÇÕES NO CRESCIMENTO ECONÔMICO DAS MICRORREGIÕES BRASILEIRAS: UMA ANÁLISE ESPACIAL COM DADOS EM PAINEL 出口对巴西微观区域经济增长的影响:面板数据的空间分析
IF 0.6 4区 经济学
Estudios De Economia Pub Date : 2017-03-07 DOI: 10.1590/0101-416147161AAA
Alex Sander Souza do Carmo, A. P. Raiher, A. Stege
{"title":"O EFEITO DAS EXPORTAÇÕES NO CRESCIMENTO ECONÔMICO DAS MICRORREGIÕES BRASILEIRAS: UMA ANÁLISE ESPACIAL COM DADOS EM PAINEL","authors":"Alex Sander Souza do Carmo, A. P. Raiher, A. Stege","doi":"10.1590/0101-416147161AAA","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-416147161AAA","url":null,"abstract":"The aim of this study is to analyze the effects of exports on the economic growth of Brazilian micro-regions, during the period 2000-2010, in the light of Feder model (1982). According to Feder model, exports increases economic growth because of productivity difference existing between the export sector and the non-exporter sector and because of the positive externality generated by the export sector on the non-export sector. Estimating the empirical model by the technique of spatial panel data, with fixed effect, the assumptions of the Feder model were confirmed, showing that exports have indirect effects on economic growth of the Brazilians micro-regions.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"3 1","pages":"153-183"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2017-03-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"76936501","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 9
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