Douglas Uemura Nunes, Naercio Menezes-Filho, B. Komatsu
{"title":"Probabilidades de admissão e desligamento no mercado de trabalho brasileiro","authors":"Douglas Uemura Nunes, Naercio Menezes-Filho, B. Komatsu","doi":"10.1590/0101-416146222DNB","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-416146222DNB","url":null,"abstract":"This paper evaluates the probabilities of admission and dismissal in the Brazilian labor market, and measures its contribution to the variability of the unemployment rate in the country. It uses a new methodology, which allows obtaining the probabilities through stocks of employed and unemployed correcting the time aggregation bias. We found that for the period of 1983 to 2001, the oscillations of the rate of admission were responsible for 75% of the variability in the unemployment rate in major metropolitan areas of Brazil. Between 2004 and 2013 that rate explains 80% of those variations.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"12 1","pages":"311-341"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2016-06-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82929002","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Patrones de co-localización espacial de la industria aeroespacial en México","authors":"A. González, S. Sánchez, M. A. F. Segovia","doi":"10.24201/EE.V31I1.15","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24201/EE.V31I1.15","url":null,"abstract":"Mexico's aerospace industry (IA) is considered strategic due to the possibilities offered to national business to be inserted into supply chain; by its productive characteristics involves the development of suppliers by externalities, which requires business co-location. This document applies the Co-location Quotient (CLQ) statistic in five Mexican entities in order to detect spatial co-location patterns in clusters related to the IA. The results indicate its spatial attraction to aerospace business, as well as electronics, machinery and equipment. Additionally, it can be identified differences in regards co-location patters with respect to the productive capacities by entity; this suggests inputs for the design of industrial policy.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"49 1","pages":"169-211"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2016-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80030743","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"REMESAS, CRECIMIENTO Y CONVERGENCIA REGIONAL EN MÉXICO: APROXIMACIÓN CON UN MODELO PANEL-ESPACIAL","authors":"M. González, M. López","doi":"10.24201/EE.V31I1.14","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24201/EE.V31I1.14","url":null,"abstract":"Mexico receive flow of remittances similar to those depicted by the flow of foreign direct investment. The central purpose of this paper is to discuss weather remittances are a significant factor to promote regional economic growth. This research shows that remittances contribute to the growth of GDP per capita when heterogeneity and spatial dependence are taking into account. These two spatial components are introduced in the analysis by implementing a standard convergence growth model under spatial econometric methods of panel data at state level for the 2001-2010 period.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"10 1","pages":"125-167"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2016-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"86732496","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"ANÁLISIS DE DIFERENCIAS EN PUNTAJES EN LA PRUEBA ENLACE ENTRE NIÑOS Y NIÑAS EN EL SISTEMA ESCOLAR MEXICANO","authors":"Raymundo M. Campos Vázquez, A. S. S. Hernández","doi":"10.24201/EE.V31I1.13","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24201/EE.V31I1.13","url":null,"abstract":"This paper analyzes the gender gap in standardized test scores in Mexico. The data used comes from the ENLACE test for primary, junior high and high school. In primary and junior high school, girls perform better than boys in both spanish and math across the test score distribution, but in the top part of the math score distribution. In high school, across the test score distribution, girls perform better than boys in spanish and the opposite occurs in math.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"94 1","pages":"65-123"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2016-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"83568796","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Demanda por gastos públicos locais: evidências dos efeitos de ilusão fiscal no Brasil","authors":"Jevuks Matheus Araújo, Rozane Bezerra de Siqueira","doi":"10.1590/0101-416146116JAR","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-416146116JAR","url":null,"abstract":"In addition to the complexity and opacity of taxation, the strong reliance of Brazilian municipalities on federal and state transfers increases the chance of fiscal illusion. Under fiscal illusion, taxpayers tend to underestimate the costs of the goods and services provided by the government and, thus, to demand them in excess of what would be demanded in the absence of fiscal illusion. The purpose of this study is to estimate the effects of fiscal illusion on the demand for local public spending in Brazil. Based on a median voter model and using data from 2010 for 5249 municipalities, a demand function for local public goods that includes variables to capture fiscal illusion is estimated. The results indicate that fiscal illusion associated to the tax structure and to the fiscal transfers can help to understand the expansion of public spending in Brazil.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"4 1","pages":"189-219"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2016-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90496521","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Pelos serviços prestados: o perfil do escravo alforriado em Mariana no período 1840-1888","authors":"H. Teixeira","doi":"10.1590/0101-416146114HMT","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-416146114HMT","url":null,"abstract":"As cartas de alforria geralmente traziam prenome, idade, cor e naturalidade referentes aos escravos alforriados. Elas poderiam conter ainda informacoes sobre o estado civil, a filiacao, a ocupacao e o valor dos escravos. Atraves dessas informacoes e da analise quantitativa, tracamos o perfil do escravo libertado em Mariana (regiao economicamente voltada para a producao de alimentos) verificando se as caracteristicas do alforriado modificaram-se ao longo do tempo durante o periodo 1840-1888, buscando apreender as transformacoes na concessao da manumissao no contexto das leis abolicionistas.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"6 1","pages":"127-159"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2016-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80863946","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Moeda, crédito e ciclos econômicos em Marshall","authors":"Sérgio Fornazier Meyrelles Filho, R. Arthmar","doi":"10.1590/0101-416146127SFR","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-416146127SFR","url":null,"abstract":"This paper reviews Alfred Marshall's analysis of commercial cycles and the role of both speculation and credit in the different phases of this process. After a brief introduction to the subject, Marshall's concepts of normal and banking interest rates, as well as his restatement of the Quantity Theory of Money, are discussed. Next, comes his explanation of the business cycles, where the theoretical elements seen in the previous sections are articulated in a single structure. Lastly, Marshall's monetary theory is compared with the contributions by Irving Fisher and Knut Wicksell, highlighting the points of convergence, as well as the ones of disagreement, among these prominent neoclassical monetary theorists. A formal dynamic version of the Marshallian model of business cycles is presented in appendix.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"6 1","pages":"221-251"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2016-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89992241","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Aversão à desigualdade e preferências por redistribuição: A percepção de mobilidade econômica as afeta no Brasil?","authors":"Yasmín Salazar Méndez, Fábio Waltenberg","doi":"10.1590/0101-416146193YMF","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-416146193YMF","url":null,"abstract":"The notion that redistribution is from the rich to the poor a priori could lead to the conclusion that the poor are the main supporters of redistributive policies, since they are the potential beneficiaries. Nevertheless, evidence for developed countries suggests that inequality aversion and preferences for redistribution are shaped by factors beyond pecuniary concerns. This paper analyzes the effect of subjective economic mobility on inequality aversion and on the demand for redistribution, employing a unique dataset collected in 2012, which is representative of the Brazilian population. In contrast with theoretical predictions and empirical evidence for developed countries, results suggest that even people who aspire to ascend socially in the future dislike inequality and support redistributive policies. Individuals who perceived a decline in their social situation have also shown support for redistribution, which is a more standard result. Both sets of results are confirmed by estimations undertaken on subsamples defined according to family income. Some hypotheses are raised attempting to explain the unexpected results.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"12 1","pages":"91-125"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2016-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79981905","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Efeitos do gasto do governo sobre o consumo privado: Evidências de países desenvolvidos e em desenvolvimento","authors":"G. Soave, F. A. Gomes, Sérgio Naruhiko Sakurai","doi":"10.1590/0101-416146151GFS","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-416146151GFS","url":null,"abstract":"Recently, the effects of government spending on private consumption have been analyzed through macroeconomic models in which a fraction of agents smooth their intertemporal consumption while the others, the credit constrained ones, consume based on its disposable income. Under this approach, we argue that there is a cointegration relation between private consumption, government spending, and disposable income that allows us to analyze whether government spending crowds in or crowds out private consumption. We estimated this relation for 48 countries using panel error-correction models accounting for common factors and, under the hypothesis that the developing countries have a higher fraction of non-optimizing agents, we analyzed the existence of different effects on developed and developing countries. The results show that government spending crowds in the private consumption in the long run and that the effects are larger in developing countries relatively to developed countries.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"223 1","pages":"5-41"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2016-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79982993","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Custo de vida comparativo das regiões metropolitanas brasileiras: 1996-2014","authors":"Alexandre Almeida, C. Azzoni","doi":"10.1590/0101-416146128AAA","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-416146128AAA","url":null,"abstract":"We compute cost of living levels for 11 Brazilian metropolitan regions in the period 1996-2014. We apply the Country Product Dummy (CPD) method to data from the household expenditure surveys of 1996, 2003 and 2009. We calculate the levels for these years, and use data from regional price indexes to interpolate the results for years in-between. The results indicate that Brasilia, Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro are the most expensive metropolitan areas, and Goiânia presented the largest growth.","PeriodicalId":43766,"journal":{"name":"Estudios De Economia","volume":"22 1","pages":"253-276"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2016-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"84956263","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}