{"title":"Spot Prices Modeling Changes on the Wholesale Electricity Market in Russia with the Introduction of Carbon Payments as an Economic Incentive for the Power Industry Decarbonization","authors":"F. Veselov, I. Erokhina, E. Nikulina","doi":"10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600236","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600236","url":null,"abstract":"The article looks at the scale of changes in the electricity spot price at the wholesale market due to the application of carbon payments as an economic incentive for the power generation low-carbon restructuring. The carbon payments impact on the production costs and inter-fuel competition is also evaluated. Dispatching model was used as a spot market simulator to evaluate hourly and seasonal supply curve profile deviations and spot prices.","PeriodicalId":428017,"journal":{"name":"2021 14th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"9 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126423019","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Probabilistic Modeling of Traffic Flows through Signalized Intersection with Branching Routes","authors":"A. Valuev","doi":"10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600117","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600117","url":null,"abstract":"A probabilistic model of traffic at a signalized intersection with branching routes is proposed, that is built in the form of a hybrid dynamic system and takes into account the scatter of static and dynamic parameters and driving of individual cars as well as the stochastic nature of the choice of the direction of passage of the intersection. The model can serve as a tool for forecasting and managing the traffic situation.","PeriodicalId":428017,"journal":{"name":"2021 14th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"4 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126914636","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
V. Livchits, I. Mironova, T. Tischenko, M. Frolova, A. Shvetsov
{"title":"Risk Accounting in Calculations of Public Efficiency of Large-scale Infrastructure Projects","authors":"V. Livchits, I. Mironova, T. Tischenko, M. Frolova, A. Shvetsov","doi":"10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600112","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600112","url":null,"abstract":"The article introduces the concept of a socially significant investment project, and examines special features of the “risk” concept in relation to such projects. A method is proposed for taking into account the risk of large-scale projects for the development of network transport infrastructure, based on analysis and assessment of each specific risk of a unique socially significant project. The foreign practice of evaluating megaprojects' efficiency is analyzed, from the point of taking into account uncertainty and risks, as well.","PeriodicalId":428017,"journal":{"name":"2021 14th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"6 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128247087","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Large-scale Organizational and Technical Systems Sustainable Development Concept","authors":"I. Stepanovskaya","doi":"10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600176","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600176","url":null,"abstract":"This article's subject is socio-cyber-physical self-organization based on the Internet of things, mobile systems, cognitive technologies, and wireless switching of new generations 4G, 5G, and higher. The purpose of the research is to use the socio-cyber-physical self-organization strategy for methodological and instrumental support of network technologies for remote interdisciplinary controlling the functioning and development of large-scale organizational and technical systems. The study's relevance is due to the increased requirements for indicators of fault tolerance, survivability, information security, and warranty periods for the operation of digital organizational and technical systems.","PeriodicalId":428017,"journal":{"name":"2021 14th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"25 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131816830","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Transformation of Big Terminological Text into a Binary Homogeneous Oriented Network of Terms","authors":"I. S. Pavlovskiy","doi":"10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600167","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600167","url":null,"abstract":"The article considers the problem of integrity representation of the terminological text. As a first step towards the solution of this problem, a method for integrating definitions of notions into a binary homogeneous oriented network of terms is proposed. The implementation of the method is based on the use of the notion definition model as a system of terms. An example of method implementation is given. The conclusion is made about the need to automate the construction of a binary homogeneous oriented network for big terminological texts.","PeriodicalId":428017,"journal":{"name":"2021 14th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"89 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133106275","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Impulse Disturbance Filtration at Digital Substations","authors":"D. V. Zhmatov","doi":"10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600257","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600257","url":null,"abstract":"The work presents a one-part model of the transition process in the electricity system. Laplace transform applies mathematical models of signals on digital substations. The author offers a spectral representation of analysis methods on the Laplace transform. The synchronized phasor measurement methods are for determining and filtering the carrier frequency. The results of the frequency analysis are input data for the diagnostics of digital substation devices. We present the developed software of a frequency diagnostic process using FIR-filter and choose an adequate model structure of simulated electrotechnical objects of synchronized phasor measurements. Finally, the article discusses the prospects of applying the proposed approach to solve the problems determining the primary frequency in a digital substation.","PeriodicalId":428017,"journal":{"name":"2021 14th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"9 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123858540","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Regional Migration in Russia: Dynamics, Features, Expectations","authors":"Ludmila R. Borisova, Galina V. Zhukova","doi":"10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600231","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600231","url":null,"abstract":"The paper examines the new features and dynamics of internal migration processes in the Russian Federation at the present time (2015–2020). The results of a comparative statistical study on the regions of Russia are presented. In the context of global integration, citizens of all countries, including Russia, have the opportunity to study and analyze in more detail issues related to the financial, economic, social, labor and other policies of various regions and states, and other aspects of life. Therefore, there was a desire, and sometimes a need to change the place of their further residence (both within the country and abroad). At present, internal migration should be considered as a global social phenomenon, a powerful source of demographic improvement. Various aspects of migration processes that are currently observed are studied by many authors. This is understandable: in the life of any state, population migration plays an important role, affecting all spheres of life of the peoples of the countries. Migration processes for Russia are one of the main factors that determine the socio-economic development of modern Russian society, its demographic well-being. Internal migration of the population affects the socio-economic relations in the country, solves the issues of labor and employment of the population, as it allows millions of Russians to find new jobs. Issues of population migration should be regularly monitored and analyzed in order to correctly determine the reserves and plan the growth of the country's population on this basis, and to rationally and responsibly conduct the state's migration policy. The paper examines the new features and dynamics of internal migration processes in the Russian Federation at the present time (2015–2020). The results of a comparative statistical study on the regions of Russia are presented.","PeriodicalId":428017,"journal":{"name":"2021 14th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"14 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116114232","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Forecasting Models for Passengers Evacuation's Characteristics from an Airplane in Emergencies on the Ground","authors":"L. Filimonyuk","doi":"10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600111","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600111","url":null,"abstract":"The article presents the results of the research devoted to the development of a model for predicting the characteristics of the evacuation process of passengers and crew members from an airplane in emergency situations on the ground. The model is based on a system-dynamic approach. On the basis of a system analysis, the main characteristics of this process are chosen and the cause-and-effect relationships between them are identified. These characteristics and links are used to build a formalized model, which is presented as a system of differential equations. Using the developed model at various time intervals, computational experiments were carried out to determine the values of the characteristics of the process of evacuating passengers and crew members from an airplane in emergencies on the ground. The research results are supposed to be applied in information systems at some stages of the life cycle of aviation systems, for example, for making decisions in the design of advanced airplanes.","PeriodicalId":428017,"journal":{"name":"2021 14th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"24 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123591373","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Opportunities and Challenges of Initiative-Innovative Cluster Structures within Large-Scale Systems of the Medical Industry and Healthcare","authors":"Yury Gertsik, I. Omelchenko","doi":"10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600178","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600178","url":null,"abstract":"The article deals with the concept of initiative-innovative cluster development in the large-scale systems of the medical industry and healthcare. Risk management based on various criteria is also essential for ranking medical enterprises considering internal and external environmental conditions. We researched the possibility of medical industry enterprises and healthcare institutions participating effectively in innovative cluster structures. The authors proposed a model for identifying the compliance of the input indicators of the economic system with a specified output using the Kohonen neural network to estimate the initiative cluster effectiveness and sustainable development.","PeriodicalId":428017,"journal":{"name":"2021 14th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"45 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122426981","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Intellectualization of Models for Monitoring Objects as Part of Complexes of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles: Integration of Analysis Methods","authors":"A. Poltavsky, E. Rusyaeva","doi":"10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600127","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/mlsd52249.2021.9600127","url":null,"abstract":"Mathematical information models have been developed to support managerial decision-making to ensure the necessary technical characteristics of monitoring objects in multifunctional complexes with unmanned aerial vehicles. The integration of methods for modelling stochastic dynamic objects and methods of expert assessments at the initial stage of their life cycle is proposed.","PeriodicalId":428017,"journal":{"name":"2021 14th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"74 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124771797","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}