{"title":"Kumbh Mela 2025: A perfect storm for Zika, Nipah, and Mpox in India?","authors":"Manvinder Brar, Sanjit Sah, Prakriti Pokhrel, Rachana Mehta, Ganesh Bushi, Ashok Kumar Balaraman, Sakshi Pandey, Amogh Verma","doi":"10.1016/j.nmni.2024.101537","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.nmni.2024.101537","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":38074,"journal":{"name":"New Microbes and New Infections","volume":"62 ","pages":"Article 101537"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142704869","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Time series modelling and forecasting of Monkeypox outbreak trends Africa's in most affected countries","authors":"Diptismita Jena , Sathvik Belagodu Sridhar , Javedh Shareef , Sirajunisa Talath , Suhas Ballal , Sanjay Kumar , Mahakshit Bhat , Shilpa Sharma , M Ravi Kumar , Ashish Singh Chauhan , Abhay M. Gaidhane , Neha Agarwal , Ganesh Bushi , Muhammed Shabil , Quazi Syed Zahiruddin , Aroop Mohanty , Jaffar A. Al-Tawfiq , Ranjit Sah","doi":"10.1016/j.nmni.2024.101526","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.nmni.2024.101526","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>The recent outbreak of Monkeypox (Mpox), particularly the clade 1b variant, have shifted the epidemiological landscape, making it a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. Africa remains a hotspot with significant ongoing outbreaks, necessitating a focused study on outbreak trends and forecasting to guide health interventions.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>This study utilizes a comprehensive dataset from the four most affected African countries, covering weekly and cumulative Mpox cases from August 6, 2023, to August 18, 2024. Time series analysis techniques, including ARIMA models and Join Point Regression, were employed to forecast Mpox trends and analyse the annual percentage change in new cases.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Descriptive statistics highlighted significant variability in Mpox cases across the studied regions with the mean cases in Africa at 72.55 and a high standard deviation of 60.885. Forecasting models suggest a continued increase in Mpox cases, with cumulative cases expected to reach 6922.95 by the 65th week (95 % CI: 6158.62 to 7687.27) and new cases projected at 45.93 (95 % CI: −88.17 to 180.04).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>The study underscores the persistent nature of Mpox outbreaks in Africa and the critical need for continuous surveillance and adaptive public health strategies. The forecasts generated offer valuable insights into potential future trends, aiding in the allocation of resources and the implementation of targeted health interventions to curb the spread of the disease.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":38074,"journal":{"name":"New Microbes and New Infections","volume":"62 ","pages":"Article 101526"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142704868","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Zambia's first Mpox case: An emerging challenge in Southern Africa amid a global health crisis","authors":"Rodrigue Ndabashinze, Benjamin Wafula Simiyu, Sanjit Sah, Rachana Mehta, Ganesh Bushi, Ashok Kumar Balaraman, Sakshi Pandey, Manvinder Brar, Amogh Verma","doi":"10.1016/j.nmni.2024.101536","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.nmni.2024.101536","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":38074,"journal":{"name":"New Microbes and New Infections","volume":"62 ","pages":"Article 101536"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142704863","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Towards safer practices: A spotlight on foodborne botulism following the recent outbreak in Saudi Arabia in 2024","authors":"Muna Horabi, Dalia Zayed, Ala'a B. Al-Tammemi","doi":"10.1016/j.nmni.2024.101534","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.nmni.2024.101534","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":38074,"journal":{"name":"New Microbes and New Infections","volume":"62 ","pages":"Article 101534"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142663750","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Md. Amir Hossain, Md. Abdul Monem, Asma Akther Rina
{"title":"The growing risk of avian influenza (H5N1) in dairy cows: Clinical, economic, and public health consequences","authors":"Md. Amir Hossain, Md. Abdul Monem, Asma Akther Rina","doi":"10.1016/j.nmni.2024.101531","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.nmni.2024.101531","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":38074,"journal":{"name":"New Microbes and New Infections","volume":"62 ","pages":"Article 101531"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142663748","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"First clade 1b mpox variant case outside Africa detected in Germany: A global health alert","authors":"Victor Abiola Adepoju, Safayet Jamil","doi":"10.1016/j.nmni.2024.101528","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.nmni.2024.101528","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":38074,"journal":{"name":"New Microbes and New Infections","volume":"62 ","pages":"Article 101528"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142663817","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The World Health Organization's declaration of Egypt as malaria free will boost malaria control efforts in the region","authors":"Abdul Hafiz, Rowaida Bakri, Mohammad Alsaad","doi":"10.1016/j.nmni.2024.101529","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.nmni.2024.101529","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":38074,"journal":{"name":"New Microbes and New Infections","volume":"62 ","pages":"Article 101529"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142663818","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Laurent Blairon , Johnatan Everaert , Bruno Baillon , Sophie Collignon , François Coenen , Roberto Cupaiolo , Ingrid Beukinga , Marie Tré-Hardy
{"title":"Mixta calida, not only an environmental bacterium, but a potential opportunistic threat: Case report of an osteitis with skin necrosis and mini review of the literature","authors":"Laurent Blairon , Johnatan Everaert , Bruno Baillon , Sophie Collignon , François Coenen , Roberto Cupaiolo , Ingrid Beukinga , Marie Tré-Hardy","doi":"10.1016/j.nmni.2024.101524","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.nmni.2024.101524","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div><em>Mixta calida</em>, previously known as <em>Pantoea calida</em>, is an environmental bacterium rarely associated with human pathologies. Rare case reports mention sepsis, meningitis and implantable defibrillator infection.</div></div><div><h3>Case presentation</h3><div>A 67-year-old female with multiple comorbidities was referred to the emergency room for a comminuted fracture of both right tibial plateaus secondary to a fall and for which she benefited from an external fixator. After removal of the fixator, failure of osteosynthesis and placement of a new fixator, a skin necrosis appeared and a propeller distal anteromedial thigh perforator flap was performed. After 6 weeks, she presented a necrosis of the flap and an osteitis. The bone biopsy was positive with pure <em>M. calida</em>. The patient underwent an above-knee amputation, but 6 weeks later the wound was dehiscent and again positive with pure <em>M. calida</em>.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>Serious infections due to <em>M. calida</em> are uncommon but can occur in immunocompromised patients. This case illustrates the first reported osteitis and skin necrosis due to <em>M. calida</em>.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":38074,"journal":{"name":"New Microbes and New Infections","volume":"62 ","pages":"Article 101524"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142586511","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}