Crime SciencePub Date : 2021-06-16DOI: 10.1186/s40163-021-00149-6
Zoe Marchment, P. Gill
{"title":"Systematic review and meta-analysis of risk terrain modelling (RTM) as a spatial forecasting method","authors":"Zoe Marchment, P. Gill","doi":"10.1186/s40163-021-00149-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-021-00149-6","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":37844,"journal":{"name":"Crime Science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2021-06-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1186/s40163-021-00149-6","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43011970","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Crime SciencePub Date : 2021-06-05DOI: 10.1186/s40163-021-00144-x
James Hunter, Bethany Ward, Andromachi Tseloni, Ken Pease
{"title":"Where should police forces target their residential burglary reduction efforts? Using official victimisation data to predict burglary incidences at the neighbourhood level","authors":"James Hunter, Bethany Ward, Andromachi Tseloni, Ken Pease","doi":"10.1186/s40163-021-00144-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-021-00144-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Expected crime rates that enable police forces to contrast recorded and anticipated spatial patterns of crime victimisation offer a valuable tool in evaluating the under-reporting of crime and inform/guide crime reduction initiatives. Prior to this study, police forces had no access to expected burglary maps at the neighbourhood level covering all parts of England and Wales. Drawing on analysis of the Crime Survey for England and Wales and employing a population terrain modelling approach, this paper utilises household and area characteristics to predict the mean residential burglary incidences per 1000 population across all neighbourhoods in England and Wales. The analysis identifies distinct differences in recorded and expected neighbourhood burglary incidences at the Output Area level, providing a catalyst for stimulating further reflection by police officers and crime analysts.</p>","PeriodicalId":37844,"journal":{"name":"Crime Science","volume":"649 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2021-06-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138531299","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Crime SciencePub Date : 2021-05-19DOI: 10.1186/s40163-021-00146-9
C. Stacy, Yasemin Irvin-Erickson, E. Tiry
{"title":"The impact of gunshots on place-level business activity","authors":"C. Stacy, Yasemin Irvin-Erickson, E. Tiry","doi":"10.1186/s40163-021-00146-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-021-00146-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":37844,"journal":{"name":"Crime Science","volume":"10 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2021-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1186/s40163-021-00146-9","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"65836418","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Crime SciencePub Date : 2021-05-17DOI: 10.1186/s40163-021-00145-w
Damian Weekers, Gohar Petrossian, Lauric Thiault
{"title":"Illegal fishing and compliance management in marine protected areas: a situational approach","authors":"Damian Weekers, Gohar Petrossian, Lauric Thiault","doi":"10.1186/s40163-021-00145-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-021-00145-w","url":null,"abstract":"Protected Areas (PAs) are spatially representative management tools that impose various levels of protection for conservation purposes. As spatially regulated places, ensuring compliance with the rules represents a key element of effective management and positive conservation outcomes. Wildlife crime, and in particular poaching, is a serious global problem that undermines the success of PAs. This study applies a socio-ecological approach to understanding the opportunity structure of illegal recreational fishing (poaching) in no-take zones in Australia’s Great Barrier Reef Marine Park. We use Boosted Regression Trees to predict the spatio-temporal distribution of poaching risk within no-take Marine National Park zones. The results show that five risk factors account for nearly three quarters (73.6%) of the relative importance for poaching in no-take zones and that temporally varying conditions influence risk across space. We discuss these findings through the theoretical lens of Environmental Criminology and suggest that law enforcement strategies focus on reducing the negative outcomes associated with poaching by limiting the opportunity of would-be offenders to undertake illegal activity.","PeriodicalId":37844,"journal":{"name":"Crime Science","volume":"75 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2021-05-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138531296","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Crime SciencePub Date : 2021-04-28DOI: 10.1186/s40163-021-00143-y
Wim Bernasco, Remco van Dijke
{"title":"Retraction Note to: Do offenders avoid offending near home? A systematic review of the buffer zone hypothesis","authors":"Wim Bernasco, Remco van Dijke","doi":"10.1186/s40163-021-00143-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-021-00143-y","url":null,"abstract":"This article has been retracted. Please see the Retraction Notice for more detail: https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-021-00143-y","PeriodicalId":37844,"journal":{"name":"Crime Science","volume":"71 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2021-04-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138531249","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Crime SciencePub Date : 2021-04-13DOI: 10.1186/s40163-023-00185-4
P. Hartel, R. van Wegberg
{"title":"Going dark? Analysing the impact of end-to-end encryption on the outcome of Dutch criminal court cases","authors":"P. Hartel, R. van Wegberg","doi":"10.1186/s40163-023-00185-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-023-00185-4","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":37844,"journal":{"name":"Crime Science","volume":"12 1","pages":"1-8"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2021-04-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43619175","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Crime SciencePub Date : 2021-02-05DOI: 10.1186/s40163-021-00140-1
Oliver K. Hutt, Kate Bowers, Shane D. Johnson
{"title":"The effect of GPS refresh rate on measuring police patrol in micro-places","authors":"Oliver K. Hutt, Kate Bowers, Shane D. Johnson","doi":"10.1186/s40163-021-00140-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-021-00140-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p>With the increasing prevalence of police interventions implemented in micro hot-spots of crime, the accuracy with which officer foot patrols can be measured is increasingly important for the robust evaluation of such strategies. However, it is currently unknown how the accuracy of GPS traces impact upon our understanding of where officers are at a given time and how this varies for different GPS refresh rates. Most existing studies that use GPS data fail to acknowledge this. This study uses GPS data from police officer radios and ground truth data to estimate how accurate GPS data are for different GPS refresh rates. The similarity of the assumed paths are quantitatively evaluated and the analysis shows that different refresh rates lead to diverging estimations of where officers have patrolled. These results have significant implications for the measurement of police patrols in micro-places and evaluations of micro-place based interventions.</p>","PeriodicalId":37844,"journal":{"name":"Crime Science","volume":"121 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2021-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138531295","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Crime SciencePub Date : 2021-01-29DOI: 10.1186/s40163-021-00139-8
Sabine E. M. van Sleeuwen, S. Ruiter, W. Steenbeek
{"title":"Right place, right time? Making crime pattern theory time-specific","authors":"Sabine E. M. van Sleeuwen, S. Ruiter, W. Steenbeek","doi":"10.1186/s40163-021-00139-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-021-00139-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":37844,"journal":{"name":"Crime Science","volume":"10 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2021-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1186/s40163-021-00139-8","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"65836738","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Crime SciencePub Date : 2021-01-06DOI: 10.1186/s40163-020-00138-1
Dorothea Delpech, Herve Borrion, Shane Johnson
{"title":"Systematic review of situational prevention methods for crime against species","authors":"Dorothea Delpech, Herve Borrion, Shane Johnson","doi":"10.1186/s40163-020-00138-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-020-00138-1","url":null,"abstract":"Illegal activities concerning terrestrial species (TS) are responsible for a variety of health, environmental, economic and security issues. The majority of academic research associated with species relates to conservation, with few publications specifically investigating the scale of crimes impacting species or how they can be prevented. This article systematically reviews the available evidence about what works to prevent crime against terrestrial species. Of over 29,000 documents that were returned in the first stage of the review, these were filtered to just over 100. The remaining documents were partially or fully read to identify the most relevant documents to include in the final qualitative synthesis. The review results show there is a significant lack of primary research in this area, as only five articles were found that met the study inclusion criteria. The identified articles focus on the effects of two types of situational crime prevention interventions: community outreach and ranger patrol frequency. Community outreach was shown to have a significant impact on local poaching levels, while for patrolling the evidence suggests a positive impact on the discovery of poachers, animal carcasses and poaching paraphernalia, however, the quality of these studies varied greatly. To prevent the further decline of species numbers internationally, more effort should be invested in publicising existing research into the effectiveness of prevention strategies that have not reached the wider scientific audience, as well as the funding and promotion of research into alternate methods of crime prevention.","PeriodicalId":37844,"journal":{"name":"Crime Science","volume":"16 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2021-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140882441","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Crime SciencePub Date : 2021-01-01Epub Date: 2021-03-04DOI: 10.1186/s40163-021-00142-z
Samuel Langton, Anthony Dixon, Graham Farrell
{"title":"Six months in: pandemic crime trends in England and Wales.","authors":"Samuel Langton, Anthony Dixon, Graham Farrell","doi":"10.1186/s40163-021-00142-z","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40163-021-00142-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Governments around the world have enforced strict guidelines on social interaction and mobility to control the spread of the COVID-19 virus. Evidence has begun to emerge which suggests that such dramatic changes in people's routine activities have yielded similarly dramatic changes in criminal behavior. This study represents the first 'look back' on six months of the nationwide lockdown in England and Wales. Using open police-recorded crime trends, we provide a comparison between expected and observed crime rates for fourteen different offence categories between March and August, 2020. We find that most crime types experienced sharp, short-term declines during the first full month of lockdown. This was followed by a gradual resurgence as restrictions were relaxed. Major exceptions include anti-social behavior and drug crimes. Findings shed light on the opportunity structures for crime and the nuances of using police records to study crime during the pandemic.</p><p><strong>Supplementary information: </strong>The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40163-021-00142-z.</p>","PeriodicalId":37844,"journal":{"name":"Crime Science","volume":"10 1","pages":"6"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7931172/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10262346","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}