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Why Join? How Civil Society Organizations’ Attributes Signal Congruence and Impact Community Engagement 为什么加入？民间社会组织的属性如何传递共识并影响社区参与
IF 3.6
Journal of Experimental Political Science Pub Date : 2021-10-19 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2021.27
Simon Hoellerbauer
{"title":"Why Join? How Civil Society Organizations’ Attributes Signal Congruence and Impact Community Engagement","authors":"Simon Hoellerbauer","doi":"10.1017/XPS.2021.27","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/XPS.2021.27","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Civil society organizations (CSOs) can facilitate collective action. This makes understanding what shapes whether people are likely to engage with CSOs critically important. This paper argues that whether an organization is perceived as congruent – similar to an individual in values – is a key determinant of whether individuals will engage with it. I use a conjoint survey experiment to test how organizational attributes signaling congruence influence respondents’ willingness to attend a hypothetical organization’s meetings. I find that individuals are more likely to choose organizations that are more likely to be congruent with them, except when it comes to funding. These findings imply that an individual’s level of comfort with a CSO matters for engagement; thus, CSOs need to consider how they match to their publics when reaching out to potential joiners. Furthermore, donors seeking to support CSOs need to pay attention to their impact on perceptions of congruence.","PeriodicalId":37558,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Experimental Political Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2021-10-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43648418","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Are Politicians More Responsive Towards Men’s or Women’s Service Delivery Requests? A Survey Experiment with Ugandan Politicians 政治家对男性和女性的服务要求反应更积极?对乌干达政治家的调查实验
IF 3.6
Journal of Experimental Political Science Pub Date : 2021-10-11 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2021.24
SangEun Kim, Kristin Michelitch
{"title":"Are Politicians More Responsive Towards Men’s or Women’s Service Delivery Requests? A Survey Experiment with Ugandan Politicians","authors":"SangEun Kim, Kristin Michelitch","doi":"10.1017/XPS.2021.24","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/XPS.2021.24","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This study examines whether politicians exhibit gender bias in responsiveness to constituents’ requests for public service delivery improvements in Uganda. We leverage an in-person survey experiment conducted with 333 subnational politicians, of which one-third are elected to women’s reserved seats. Politicians hear two constituents request improvements in staff absenteeism in their local school and health clinic and must decide how to allocate a fixed (hypothetical) budget between the two improvements. The voices of the citizens are randomly assigned to be (1) male-school, female-health or (2) female-school, male-health. We find no evidence of gender bias toward men versus women, or toward same-gender constituents. This study expands on the mixed results of prior studies examining gender bias in politician responsiveness (typically over email) by adding a critical new case: a low-income context with women’s reserved seats.","PeriodicalId":37558,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Experimental Political Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2021-10-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48093145","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Optimal Persuasion under Confirmation Bias: Theory and Evidence From a Registered Report 确认偏差下的最优说服:来自注册报告的理论和证据
IF 3.6
Journal of Experimental Political Science Pub Date : 2021-09-21 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2021.21
Love Christensen
{"title":"Optimal Persuasion under Confirmation Bias: Theory and Evidence From a Registered Report","authors":"Love Christensen","doi":"10.1017/XPS.2021.21","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/XPS.2021.21","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Political actors face a trade-off when they try to influence the beliefs of voters about the effects of policy proposals. They want to sway voters maximally, yet voters may discount predictions that are inconsistent with what they already hold to be true. Should political actors moderate or exaggerate their predictions to maximize persuasion? I extend the Bayesian learning model to account for confirmation bias and show that only under strong confirmation bias are predictions far from the priors of voters self-defeating. I use a preregistered survey experiment to determine whether and how voters discount predictions conditional on the distance between their prior beliefs and the predictions. I find that voters assess predictions far from their prior beliefs as less credible and, consequently, update less. The paper has important implications for strategic communication by showing theoretically and empirically that the prior beliefs of voters constrain political actors.","PeriodicalId":37558,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Experimental Political Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2021-09-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43381715","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Can Warm Behavior Mitigate the Negative Effect of Unfavorable Governmental Decisions on Citizens’ Trust? 温暖行为能否缓解政府不利决策对公民信任的负面影响?
IF 3.6
Journal of Experimental Political Science Pub Date : 2021-08-31 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2021.23
Frederik Godt Hansen
{"title":"Can Warm Behavior Mitigate the Negative Effect of Unfavorable Governmental Decisions on Citizens’ Trust?","authors":"Frederik Godt Hansen","doi":"10.1017/XPS.2021.23","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/XPS.2021.23","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract For decades, scholars have discussed how to build greater citizen trust in government. I hypothesize that to increase trust in government, we should consider whether decisions made in bureaucrat–citizen encounters (e.g. applications for welfare benefits) are favorable to citizens. Building on insights from social psychology, I argue that in cases where citizens are presented with unfavorable decisions (e.g. rejection of applications), public employees can mitigate the negative impact on trust in government by appearing warm and friendly in the decision-making process. The argument is tested in a large-scale randomized survey experiment on a representative sample of Danish citizens, where I manipulate decision favorability and warmth. The findings reveal that outcome favorability and warmth strongly influence citizens’ trust in government.","PeriodicalId":37558,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Experimental Political Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2021-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44716050","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Effects of Unsubstantiated Claims of Voter Fraud on Confidence in Elections 未经证实的选民舞弊指控对选举信心的影响
IF 3.6
Journal of Experimental Political Science Pub Date : 2021-06-28 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2021.18
N. Berlinski, M. Doyle, A. Guess, Gabrielle Levy, Benjamin A. Lyons, J. Montgomery, B. Nyhan, Jason Reifler
{"title":"The Effects of Unsubstantiated Claims of Voter Fraud on Confidence in Elections","authors":"N. Berlinski, M. Doyle, A. Guess, Gabrielle Levy, Benjamin A. Lyons, J. Montgomery, B. Nyhan, Jason Reifler","doi":"10.1017/XPS.2021.18","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/XPS.2021.18","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Political elites sometimes seek to delegitimize election results using unsubstantiated claims of fraud. Most recently, Donald Trump sought to overturn his loss in the 2020 US presidential election by falsely alleging widespread fraud. Our study provides new evidence demonstrating the corrosive effect of fraud claims like these on trust in the election system. Using a nationwide survey experiment conducted after the 2018 midterm elections – a time when many prominent Republicans also made unsubstantiated fraud claims – we show that exposure to claims of voter fraud reduces confidence in electoral integrity, though not support for democracy itself. The effects are concentrated among Republicans and Trump approvers. Worryingly, corrective messages from mainstream sources do not measurably reduce the damage these accusations inflict. These results suggest that unsubstantiated voter-fraud claims undermine confidence in elections, particularly when the claims are politically congenial, and that their effects cannot easily be mitigated by fact-checking.","PeriodicalId":37558,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Experimental Political Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2021-06-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1017/XPS.2021.18","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49074327","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 38
Estimating the Persistence of Party Cue Influence in a Panel Survey Experiment 在面板调查实验中估计政党线索影响的持久性
IF 3.6
Journal of Experimental Political Science Pub Date : 2021-06-23 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2021.22
Ben M. Tappin, Luke B. Hewitt
{"title":"Estimating the Persistence of Party Cue Influence in a Panel Survey Experiment","authors":"Ben M. Tappin, Luke B. Hewitt","doi":"10.1017/XPS.2021.22","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/XPS.2021.22","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Perhaps hundreds of survey experiments have shown that political party cues influence people’s policy opinions. However, we know little about the persistence of this influence: is it a transient priming effect, dissipating moments after the survey is over, or does influence persist for longer, indicating learning? We report the results of a panel survey experiment in which US adults were randomly exposed to party cues on five contemporary US policy issues in an initial survey and gave their opinions. A follow-up survey 3 days later polled their opinions again. We find that the influence of the party cues persists at ∼50% its original magnitude at follow-up. Notably, our design rules out that people simply remembered how they previously answered. Our findings have implications for understanding the scope and mechanism of party cue influence as it occurs in the real world and provide a benchmark for future research on this topic.","PeriodicalId":37558,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Experimental Political Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2021-06-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42829481","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
The Face of the Problem: How Subordinates Shield Executives from Blame 直面问题:下属如何保护主管不受指责
IF 3.6
Journal of Experimental Political Science Pub Date : 2021-06-16 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2021.16
Sarah E. Croco, J. McDonald, Candace Turitto
{"title":"The Face of the Problem: How Subordinates Shield Executives from Blame","authors":"Sarah E. Croco, J. McDonald, Candace Turitto","doi":"10.1017/XPS.2021.16","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/XPS.2021.16","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Though avoiding blame is often a goal of elected officials, there are relatively few empirical examinations of how citizens assign blame during controversies. We are particularly interested in how this process works when an executive has been caught in a lie. Using two survey experiments, we examine whether subordinates can shield executives when they act as the face of a crisis. We first leverage a real-life situation involving the family separation crisis at the US–Mexico border in 2018. Respondents who read that Donald Trump falsely claimed he could not end the practice of family separation disapprove of his dishonesty. Yet this cost disappears when Trump’s then-Secretary of Homeland Security, Kirstjen Nielsen, is the primary official discussed in news stories. We then replicate these findings in a fictional scenario involving a city mayor, showing that the mayor is partially shielded from negative appraisals when the city manager lies on his behalf.","PeriodicalId":37558,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Experimental Political Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2021-06-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1017/XPS.2021.16","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43291544","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Education and Social Capital – Corrigendum 教育与社会资本——勘误表
IF 3.6
Journal of Experimental Political Science Pub Date : 2021-06-11 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2021.14
B. Apfeld, E. Coman, J. Gerring, S. Jessee
{"title":"Education and Social Capital – Corrigendum","authors":"B. Apfeld, E. Coman, J. Gerring, S. Jessee","doi":"10.1017/XPS.2021.14","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/XPS.2021.14","url":null,"abstract":"In the original publication of Apfeld et al (2021), a coding mistake caused the results plotted in Figure 4, which separately estimates the effect of university attendance on social capital by respondents’ year of high school graduation, to be incorrect. The corrected figure appears below. The corrected results, while somewhat different, do not change the overall inconclusive nature of these findings. As stated in the original article, it would appear that once the data are broken into subsamples there is inadequate power to estimate each subgroup effect precisely enough to learn which are larger and which are smaller. Note that the point estimates are not generally centered inside the confidence intervals because the confidence intervals use a robust bias correction while the point estimates do not, both following the standard options in the function used for these analyses (see original paper for further description).","PeriodicalId":37558,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Experimental Political Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2021-06-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1017/XPS.2021.14","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49027188","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Labor Market Volatility, Gender, and Trade Preferences 劳动力市场波动、性别和贸易偏好
IF 3.6
Journal of Experimental Political Science Pub Date : 2021-05-28 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2021.9
Ryan Brutger, Alexandra Guisinger
{"title":"Labor Market Volatility, Gender, and Trade Preferences","authors":"Ryan Brutger, Alexandra Guisinger","doi":"10.1017/XPS.2021.9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/XPS.2021.9","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract What explains divides in the public’s support for trade protection? Traditional economic arguments primarily focus on individuals’ expectations for increased or decreased wages in the face of greater economic openness, yet studies testing such wage-based concerns identify a different divide as well: even after accounting for wage effects, women are typically more supportive of trade protection. We argue that trade-induced employment volatility and the resulting concerns for employment stability are overlooked factors that help explain the gender divide in attitudes. Due to both structural discrimination and societal norms, we theorize that working women are more responsive to the threat of trade-related employment instability than male counterparts. Using an experiment fielded on national samples in the USA and Canada, we find that most respondents have weak reactions to volatility, but volatility has a significant effect on women who are the most vulnerable to trade’s disruptive effects – those working in import-competing industries and those with limited education.","PeriodicalId":37558,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Experimental Political Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2021-05-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1017/XPS.2021.9","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43608253","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6
Individualized Text Messages about Public Services Fail to Sway Voters: Evidence from a Field Experiment on Ugandan Elections 关于公共服务的个性化短信无法动摇选民：来自乌干达选举实地实验的证据
IF 3.6
Journal of Experimental Political Science Pub Date : 2021-05-20 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2021.15
Ryan S. Jablonski, Mark T. Buntaine, D. Nielson, Paula M. Pickering
{"title":"Individualized Text Messages about Public Services Fail to Sway Voters: Evidence from a Field Experiment on Ugandan Elections","authors":"Ryan S. Jablonski, Mark T. Buntaine, D. Nielson, Paula M. Pickering","doi":"10.1017/XPS.2021.15","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/XPS.2021.15","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Mobile communication technologies can provide citizens access to information that is tailored to their specific circumstances. Such technologies may therefore increase citizens’ ability to vote in line with their interests and hold politicians accountable. In a large-scale randomized controlled trial in Uganda (n = 16,083), we investigated whether citizens who receive private, timely, and individualized text messages by mobile phone about public services in their community punished or rewarded incumbents in local elections in line with the information. Respondents claimed to find the messages valuable and there is evidence that they briefly updated their beliefs based on the messages; however, the treatment did not cause increased votes for incumbents where public services were better than expected nor decreased votes where public services were worse than anticipated. The considerable knowledge gaps among citizens identified in this study indicate potential for communication technologies to effectively share civic information. Yet the findings imply that when the attribution of public service outcomes is difficult, even individualized information is unlikely to affect voting behavior.","PeriodicalId":37558,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Experimental Political Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2021-05-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1017/XPS.2021.15","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46384590","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
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