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An Integrated Framework to Assess the Environmental and Economic Impact of Fertilizer Restrictions in a Nitrate-Contaminated Aquifer 评估硝酸盐污染含水层施肥限制的环境和经济影响的综合框架
IF 3.2
Hydrology Pub Date : 2024-01-04 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology11010008
I. Siarkos, Zisis Mallios, Pericles Latinopoulos
{"title":"An Integrated Framework to Assess the Environmental and Economic Impact of Fertilizer Restrictions in a Nitrate-Contaminated Aquifer","authors":"I. Siarkos, Zisis Mallios, Pericles Latinopoulos","doi":"10.3390/hydrology11010008","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology11010008","url":null,"abstract":"Groundwater nitrate contamination caused by the excessive use of nitrogen-based fertilizers has been widely recognized as an issue of significant concern in numerous rural areas worldwide. To mitigate nitrate contamination, corrective management practices, such as regulations on fertilizer usage, should be implemented. However, these measures often entail economic consequences that impact farmers’ income, and thus should be properly assessed. Within this context, an integrated framework combining the environmental and economic assessment of fertilization restrictions through multi-criteria decision analysis is presented in an effort to efficiently manage groundwater nitrate contamination in rural areas. For this task, various scenarios involving reductions (10%, 20%, 30%, 40% and 50%) in fertilizer application were investigated, evaluated and ranked in order to determine the most suitable option. The environmental assessment considered occurrences of nitrates in groundwater, with a specific emphasis on nitrate concentrations in water-supply wells, as obtained by a nitrate fate and transport model, while the economic analysis focused on the losses experienced by farmers due to the reduced fertilizer usage. Our case-study implementation showed that a 30% reduction in fertilization is the most appropriate option for the area being studied, highlighting the importance of adopting such an approach when confronted with conflicting outcomes among alternatives.","PeriodicalId":37372,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology","volume":"34 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-01-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139387092","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Analysis of Anomalies Due to the ENSO and Long-Term Changes in Extreme Precipitation Indices Using Data from Ground Stations 利用地面站数据分析厄尔尼诺/南方涛动引起的异常现象和极端降水指数的长期变化
IF 3.2
Hydrology Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology11010007
Luis Alberto Vargas-León, Juan Diego Giraldo-Osorio
{"title":"Analysis of Anomalies Due to the ENSO and Long-Term Changes in Extreme Precipitation Indices Using Data from Ground Stations","authors":"Luis Alberto Vargas-León, Juan Diego Giraldo-Osorio","doi":"10.3390/hydrology11010007","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology11010007","url":null,"abstract":"In this work, the influence of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the Extreme Precipitation Indices (EPIs) was analyzed, and these ENSO-forced anomalies were compared with the long-term change in the EPIs. The annual time series of the EPIs were built from 880 precipitation stations that contained daily records between 1979 and 2022. These daily time series were filled, then the eleven (11) annual time series of the EPIs were built. To calculate ENSO-driven anomalies, the several phases of the phenomenon were considered (i.e., warm phase or El Niño years, cold phase or La Niña years, and normal or neutral years). For a particular EPI, the values calculated for the extreme phases of the ENSO were grouped, and these groups were compared with the group made up of the EPI values for the neutral years. To calculate the long-term change, two periods (1979–1996 and 2004–2021) were considered to group the EPI values. Maps showing the magnitude and significance of the assessed change/anomaly were constructed. The results allowed us to identify that the EPIs are generally “wetter” (i.e., higher extreme precipitation, longer wet periods, shorter dry periods, etc.) during La Niña hydrological years, while the opposite changes are observed during El Niño years. Furthermore, ENSO-induced anomalies are more important than the long-term changes.","PeriodicalId":37372,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology","volume":"34 14","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139129494","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assessing the Performance of a Citizen Science Based Water Quality Monitoring Program for Nitrates Using Test Strips Implemented in the Medjerda Hydrosystem in Northern Tunisia 评估基于公民科学的水质监测计划在突尼斯北部梅杰尔达水系使用试纸监测硝酸盐的效果
IF 3.2
Hydrology Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology11010006
S. Chaabane, K. Riahi, Slaheddine Khlifi, Emna Slama, M. Vanclooster
{"title":"Assessing the Performance of a Citizen Science Based Water Quality Monitoring Program for Nitrates Using Test Strips Implemented in the Medjerda Hydrosystem in Northern Tunisia","authors":"S. Chaabane, K. Riahi, Slaheddine Khlifi, Emna Slama, M. Vanclooster","doi":"10.3390/hydrology11010006","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology11010006","url":null,"abstract":"Recent technological progress in water management of hydrosystems has been made to deploy efficient and effective water quality monitoring systems (WQMS). Among these, a citizen science (CS)-based water quality monitoring (WQM) program using test strips is considered as a smart tool that may aid in the production of reliable, continuous, and comprehensive data on the water quality resources of hydrosystems over a broad range of spatial and temporal scales. In this case study, the objective is to evaluate the performance of a CS-based WQM for nitrates assessment using test water quality strips for the Medjerda watershed in Northern Tunisia. Overall, 137 samples were collected from 24 sampling sites and were analyzed by 33 participants. Citizens involved in the program were regrouped in five citizen types according to their socio-economic characteristics. Statistical tests, analysis of variance (ANOVA) and multiple correspondence analyses (MCA) were achieved to survey the goodness of fit of CS as a contribution to data collection in terms of the socio-economic profile of the participant. The results show that this tool could be reliable for obtaining the levels of nitrate in water samples. Water quality test trips can conveniently be used by citizens for WQM of nitrates when they are rigorously following the manufacturer’s instructions. Additional efforts in communication and training could help to improve the performance of this CS-WQM program for nitrate in the Medjerda watershed.","PeriodicalId":37372,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology","volume":"63 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139125169","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Human Activities Increased Microplastics Contamination in the Himalaya Mountains 人类活动增加了喜马拉雅山脉的微塑料污染
IF 3.2
Hydrology Pub Date : 2023-12-29 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology11010004
Bangshuai Han, Moayad Yacoub, Aihua Li, Kirsten Nicholson, Joshua Gruver, Klaus Neumann, Subodh Sharma
{"title":"Human Activities Increased Microplastics Contamination in the Himalaya Mountains","authors":"Bangshuai Han, Moayad Yacoub, Aihua Li, Kirsten Nicholson, Joshua Gruver, Klaus Neumann, Subodh Sharma","doi":"10.3390/hydrology11010004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology11010004","url":null,"abstract":"Microplastic pollution is an emerging environmental concern, and has been found in remote regions, including the high Himalaya mountains. However, the abundance and sources of microplastics in the region are not well documented. This research investigated the abundance, types, and potential sources of microplastics in the Sagarmatha National Park (SNP), a rural and sparsely populated region of Nepal on the southern side of the Himalaya mountains. Water samples were collected from streams and tributaries in SNP in May of 2022. The average microplastic concentration among all samples was 2.0 ± 1.7 pieces/L, similar to that of water samples collected in other high mountain areas and is in the lower range of that found in water samples across the globe. Microplastic abundance is higher in water samples collected near settlements than in streams far from human settlements, indicating the impact of human activities. The presence of microplastics in all samples, including headwaters immediately beneath glaciers, illustrates the widespread distribution of microplastics and suggests the potential for airborne sources. While the concentration of microplastics does not change dramatically from upstream tributaries to downstream rivers, the total load of microplastics increases due to higher discharge downstream. This research demonstrates the anthropogenic and air-borne influences on microplastics contamination on the southern side of the Himalayan range and contributes to filling the data gaps towards a better understanding of the global fate and transport of microplastics.","PeriodicalId":37372,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology","volume":" 32","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2023-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139142387","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Spatial Estimation of Snow Water Equivalent for Glaciers and Seasonal Snow in Iceland Using Remote Sensing Snow Cover and Albedo 利用遥感雪盖和反照率对冰岛冰川和季节性积雪的雪水当量进行空间估算
IF 3.2
Hydrology Pub Date : 2023-12-26 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology11010003
Andri Gunnarsson, S. Gardarsson
{"title":"Spatial Estimation of Snow Water Equivalent for Glaciers and Seasonal Snow in Iceland Using Remote Sensing Snow Cover and Albedo","authors":"Andri Gunnarsson, S. Gardarsson","doi":"10.3390/hydrology11010003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology11010003","url":null,"abstract":"Efficient water resource management in glacier- and snow-dominated basins requires accurate estimates of the snow water equivalent (SWE) in late winter and spring and melt onset timing and intensity. To understand the high spatio-temporal variability of snow and glacier ablation, a spatially distributed energy balance model combining satellite-based retrievals of albedo and snow cover was applied. Incoming short-wave energy, contributing to daily estimates of melt energy, was constrained by remotely sensed surface albedo for snow-covered surfaces. Fractional snow cover was used for non-glaciated areas, as it provides estimates of snow cover for each pixel to better constrain snow melt. Thus, available daily estimates of melt energy in a given area were the product of the possible melt energy and the fractional snow cover of the area or pixel for non-glaciated areas. This provided daily estimates of melt water to determine seasonal snow and glacier ablation in Iceland for the period 2000–2019. Observations from snow pits on land and glacier summer mass balance were used for evaluation, and observations from land and glacier-based automatic weather stations were used to evaluate model inputs for the energy balance model. The results show that the interannual SWE variability was generally high both for seasonal snow and glaciers. For seasonal snow, the largest SWE (>1000 mm) was found in mountainous and alpine areas close to the coast, notably in the East- and Westfjords, Tröllaskaga, and in the vicinity of glacier margins. Lower SWE values were observed in the central highlands, flatter inland areas, and at lower elevations. For glaciers, more SWE (glacier ablation) was associated with lower glacier elevations while less melt was observed at higher elevations. For the impurity-rich bare-ice areas that are exposed annually, observed SWE was more than 3000 mm.","PeriodicalId":37372,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology","volume":"69 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2023-12-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139157207","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Investigating Uncertainty of Future Predictions of Temperature and Precipitation in The Kerman Plain under Climate Change Impacts 调查气候变化影响下克曼平原未来气温和降水预测的不确定性
IF 3.2
Hydrology Pub Date : 2023-12-25 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology11010002
M. Goodarzi, Mahnaz Heydaripour, Vahid Jamali, Maryam Sabaghzadeh, M. Niazkar
{"title":"Investigating Uncertainty of Future Predictions of Temperature and Precipitation in The Kerman Plain under Climate Change Impacts","authors":"M. Goodarzi, Mahnaz Heydaripour, Vahid Jamali, Maryam Sabaghzadeh, M. Niazkar","doi":"10.3390/hydrology11010002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology11010002","url":null,"abstract":"Climate change affects hydroclimatic variables, and assessing the uncertainty in future predictions is crucial. This study aims to explore variations in temperature and precipitation in the Kerman Plain under climate change impacts between 2023 and 2054. For this purpose, two climate models, MRI-ESM-2 and BCC-CSM2-MR, were used to simulate precipitation and temperature under two different scenarios. The Mann–Kendall test was employed to analyze the annual time series in the future period. The results indicated an increase in the average temperature of about 1.5 degrees Celsius based on both scenarios in the coming years. Furthermore, an average annual increase of 6.37 mm of precipitation was predicted under the SSP585 scenario. Meanwhile, under the SSP585 scenario, an increase was estimated using the MRI-ESM-2 model, and a decrease was predicted with the BCC-CSM2-MR model. The Mann–Kendall test revealed a downward trend in the BCC-CSM2-MR model under both scenarios and an upward trend in the MRI-ESM-2 model under both scenarios. The bootstrap method and the R-factor index were exploited in this study with a 95% confidence interval to estimate the uncertainty of the predicted data. The results demonstrated that the predicted precipitation is more uncertain than the temperature. Finally, it is postulated that the obtained results provide necessary information for water resource management under a changing climate in the study area.","PeriodicalId":37372,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology","volume":"1 7","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2023-12-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139157968","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Potential of Isotopic Tracers for Precise and Environmentally Clean Stream Discharge Measurements 同位素示踪剂在精确和环境清洁的溪流排放测量中的潜力
IF 3.2
Hydrology Pub Date : 2023-12-23 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology11010001
Antoine Picard, Florent Barbecot, Gérard Bardoux, Pierre Agrinier, Marina Gillon, J. C. Corcho Alvarado, Vincent Schneider, J. Hélie, Frédérick de Oliveira
{"title":"The Potential of Isotopic Tracers for Precise and Environmentally Clean Stream Discharge Measurements","authors":"Antoine Picard, Florent Barbecot, Gérard Bardoux, Pierre Agrinier, Marina Gillon, J. C. Corcho Alvarado, Vincent Schneider, J. Hélie, Frédérick de Oliveira","doi":"10.3390/hydrology11010001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology11010001","url":null,"abstract":"Accurate discharge measurement is mandatory for any hydrological study. While the “velocity” measurement method is adapted to laminar flows, the “dilution” method is more appropriate for turbulent streams. As most low-gradient streams worldwide are neither laminar nor turbulent, a methodological gap appears. In this study, we demonstrate that the application of the “dilution” method to a low-gradient small stream gives very satisfactory results in addition to revealing surface/subsurface processes. A variety of chemical and isotopic tracers were injected into the stream (anions, fluorescent dyes, and chloride and hydrogen isotopes). We report the first use of 37Cl for stream discharge measurement and show that 37Cl and 2H can be reliably used as quantitative tracers. Discharge uncertainty calculations show that deuterium is the most accurate tracer method used. We also compare the differences in the tailing part of the restitution curves of tracers and investigate the role of transient surface and hyporheic zones in solute transport in light of a simple transport modelling approach. We conclude that isotopic tracers can be used as “environmentally friendly” tracers for discrete stream discharge measurements and that the application of multi-tracers tests in rivers opens the path to a better understanding of surface–subsurface interaction processes.","PeriodicalId":37372,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology","volume":"10 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2023-12-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139163058","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluating the Benefits of Flood Warnings in the Management of an Urban Flood-Prone Polder Area 评估洪水预警对管理城市洪水易发围垦区的益处
IF 3.2
Hydrology Pub Date : 2023-12-13 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology10120238
Felipe Duque, Greg O’Donnell, Yanli Liu, Mingming Song, E. O'Connell
{"title":"Evaluating the Benefits of Flood Warnings in the Management of an Urban Flood-Prone Polder Area","authors":"Felipe Duque, Greg O’Donnell, Yanli Liu, Mingming Song, E. O'Connell","doi":"10.3390/hydrology10120238","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology10120238","url":null,"abstract":"Polders are low-lying areas located in deltas, surrounded by embankments to prevent flooding (river or tidal floods). They rely on pumping systems to remove water from the inner rivers (artificial rivers inside the polder area) to the outer rivers, especially during storms. Urbanized polders are especially vulnerable to pluvial flooding if the drainage, storage, and pumping capacity of the polder is inadequate. In this paper, a Monte Carlo (MC) framework is proposed to evaluate the benefits of rainfall threshold-based flood warnings when mitigating pluvial flooding in an urban flood-prone polder area based on 24 h forecasts. The framework computes metrics that give the potential waterlogging duration, maximum inundated area, and pump operation costs by considering the full range of potential storms. The benefits of flood warnings are evaluated by comparing the values of these metrics across different scenarios: the no-warning, perfect, deterministic, and probabilistic forecast scenarios. Probabilistic forecasts are represented using the concept of “predictive uncertainty” (PU). A polder area located in Nanjing was chosen for the case study. The results show a trade-off between the metrics that represent the waterlogging and the pumping costs, and that probabilistic forecasts of rainfall can considerably enhance these metrics. The results can be used to design a rainfall threshold-based flood early warning system (FEWS) for a polder area and/or evaluate its benefits.","PeriodicalId":37372,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology","volume":"33 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2023-12-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139003316","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Groundwater Recharge Potentiality Mapping in Wadi Qena, Eastern Desert Basins of Egypt for Sustainable Agriculture Base Using Geomatics Approaches 利用地理信息学方法绘制埃及东部沙漠盆地 Wadi Qena 的地下水补给潜力图,促进可持续农业基础建设
IF 3.2
Hydrology Pub Date : 2023-12-12 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology10120237
Hanaa Megahed, A. Farrag, Amira A. Mohamed, Paola D’Antonio, A. Scopa, Mohamed A. E. AbdelRahman
{"title":"Groundwater Recharge Potentiality Mapping in Wadi Qena, Eastern Desert Basins of Egypt for Sustainable Agriculture Base Using Geomatics Approaches","authors":"Hanaa Megahed, A. Farrag, Amira A. Mohamed, Paola D’Antonio, A. Scopa, Mohamed A. E. AbdelRahman","doi":"10.3390/hydrology10120237","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology10120237","url":null,"abstract":"In arid and hyper-arid areas, groundwater is a precious and rare resource. The need for water supply has grown over the past few decades as a result of population growth, urbanization, and agricultural endeavors. This research aims to locate groundwater recharge potential zones (GWPZs) using multi-criteria evaluation (MCE) in the Wadi Qena Basin, Eastern Desert of Egypt, which represents one of the most promising valleys on which the government depends for land reclamations and developments. These approaches have been used to integrate and delineate the locations of high groundwater recharge and the potential of the Quaternary aquifer in the Wadi Qena basin. After allocating weight factors to identify features in each case based on infiltration, land use/land cover, slope, geology, topology, soil, drainage density, lineament density, rainfall, flow accumulation, and flow direction, these thematic maps were combined. The results of the GIS modeling led to the division of the area’s groundwater recharge potential into five groups, ranging from very high (in the western part) to very low (in the eastern part of the basin). The zones with the best prospects for groundwater exploration turned out to be the alluvial and flood plains, with their thick strata of sand and gravel. The groundwater recharge potential map was validated using data from the field and earlier investigations. The promising recharging areas show high suitability for soil cultivation. The results overall reveal that RS and GIS methodologies offer insightful instruments for more precise assessment, planning, and monitoring of water resources in arid regions and anywhere with similar setups for groundwater prospecting and management.","PeriodicalId":37372,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology","volume":"17 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2023-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139009501","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modeling and Simulating Rainfall and Temperature Using Rotated Bivariate Copulas 使用旋转双变量 Copulas 对降雨和气温进行建模和模拟
IF 3.2
Hydrology Pub Date : 2023-12-12 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology10120236
Giovanni De Luca, Giorgia Rivieccio
{"title":"Modeling and Simulating Rainfall and Temperature Using Rotated Bivariate Copulas","authors":"Giovanni De Luca, Giorgia Rivieccio","doi":"10.3390/hydrology10120236","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology10120236","url":null,"abstract":"Climate change is a significant environmental challenge that affects water resources, agriculture, health, and other aspects of human life. Bivariate modeling is a statistical method used to analyze the relationship between variables such as rainfall and temperature. The Pearson correlation coefficient, Kendall’s tau, or Spearman’s rank correlation are some measures used for bivariate modeling. However, copula functions can describe the dependence structure between two or more variables and can be effectively used to describe the relationship between rainfall and temperature. Despite the literature on bivariate modeling of rainfalls and temperature being extensive, finding flexible and sophisticated bivariate models is sometimes difficult. In this paper, we use rotated copula functions that can arrange any type of dependence that is empirically detected, especially negative dependence. The methodology is applied to an Italian municipality’s bivariate daily time series of rainfall and temperature. The estimated rotated copula is significant and, therefore, can be used for simulating the effects of extreme events.","PeriodicalId":37372,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology","volume":"53 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2023-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139007014","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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