{"title":"Unit Rayleigh Half-Normal Distribution: Bayesian and Non-Bayesian Inference, Regression Model for Bounded Response Data and Application","authors":"Mahmoud M. El-Awady, Ahmed T. Ramadan","doi":"10.1007/s40745-025-00645-5","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40745-025-00645-5","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper introduces a novel one-parameter bounded distribution, called the Unit Rayleigh Half-Normal (URHN) distribution, designed for modeling data on the unit interval (0,1), which frequently arises in many fields such as economics, actuarial science, and medicine. We examine the structural properties of the URHN distribution and derive its key statistical and reliability characteristics. Parameter estimation is carried out using a Bayesian method via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), along with other standard techniques, including maximum likelihood, maximum product spacing, and least squares methods. The performance of these estimation methods is evaluated through simulation studies. To broaden the scope of the URHN distribution, we introduce a regression model by reparameterizing it in terms of its mean, enabling the incorporation of covariates for modeling bounded response variables. The practical utility of the proposed model is demonstrated using data representing the percentage of educational attainment in countries of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), which is one of the indicators within the education dimension of the Better Life Index (BLI). We examine the relationship between educational attainment and three explanatory indicators: homicide rate, housing expenditure, and labor market insecurity. The results indicate that only labor market insecurity has a statistically significant effect on educational attainment. With its theoretical foundation, modeling flexibility, and empirical effectiveness, the URHN model emerges as a competitive alternative to established bounded distributions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":36280,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Data Science","volume":"13 6","pages":"1467 - 1500"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149230696","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"An Innovative and Effective Deep Learning Architecture for Risk and Survival Rate Prediction of Triple Negative Breast Cancer Using Modified Optimization Strategy","authors":"Sakunthala Kovelakonda, Ramakrishna Murty Malla","doi":"10.1007/s40745-025-00642-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40745-025-00642-8","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The prognosis of various malignant tumors, including breast cancer, can be effectively assessed using peripheral hematologic parameters obtained from patients. However, their significance is not examined across diverse breast cancer molecular subtypes. Detecting Triple-Negative Breast Cancer (TNBC) remains challenging because of its invasive nature, poor prognosis ability and high risk of distant metastasis. Immunohistochemistry (IHC) biomarker expression, clinical findings of the patients and morphological features derived from histopathology assessment are important for estimating the survival rate of breast cancer patients and are considered as significant components in diagnosis and prognosis. Recently, a two-step procedure has been suggested for diagnosing TNBC, including medical imaging and IHC, although this method can be time-consuming and operator-dependent. Therefore, the diagnostic efficiency of TNBC needs to be enhanced by adopting rapid and advanced technologies. In this research work, a new deep learning-based framework for TNBC detection and survival prediction is presented. At first, the required images to perform TNBC detection are collected from available databases. These images are used for the TNBC prediction process through Attention-embedded Adaptive Efficient Net, where several parameters are tuned using the Modified Mountaineering Team-Based Optimization to improve the TNBC detection and prediction effectiveness. Then, the risk and survival rate prediction is carried out by the Cascaded Artificial Neural Network, and the predicted survival rate is obtained. The proposed system has the potential to significantly improve the prediction of TNBC disease-affected outcomes. Finally, different experiments are carried out in developed TNBC detection and prediction models and also the effectiveness of the proposed scheme is contrasted with several baseline models to prove its enhanced performance.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":36280,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Data Science","volume":"13 6","pages":"1433 - 1466"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149230695","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Power Grid Engineering Knowledge Graph and Physical Elements Alignment Algorithm Designs","authors":"Minghong Liu, Muze Du, Wenxin Mu","doi":"10.1007/s40745-025-00650-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40745-025-00650-8","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Traditional feasibility evaluation of power grid engineering projects primarily focuses on either individual or overall evaluations. The existing approach overlooks the identification and assessment of cluster projects spanning the feasibility and implementation phases, resulting in resource wastage and schedule stagnation throughout the project management lifecycle. To address this issue, this study proposes a methodology based on knowledge graphs to align the physical elements of completed projects and those under feasibility study. This paper (i) defines the Power Grid Engineering Knowledge Graph from the perspective of physical elements (PGKG), (ii) extracts information on physical elements from feasibility study reports and constructs the initial topology of physical element nodes, and (iii) designs two physical element alignment algorithms for node - structure and node - line alignment. Finally, the two algorithms are tested on the constructed PGKG, and ablation experiments are conducted to verify their effectiveness and rationality. This paper offers a reliable method for constructing the power grid engineering knowledge graph and a physical element alignment method to tackle the problems of information deficiency and misalignment of spatio - temporal information in power grid engineering knowledge graphs.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":36280,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Data Science","volume":"12 6","pages":"2009 - 2039"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145537715","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A Personal Journey in Decision Sciences and Engineering Systems","authors":"James M. Tien","doi":"10.1007/s40745-025-00639-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40745-025-00639-3","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In retrospect and over the past eighty years, it appears that the author has tracked a somewhat consistent pattern in his educational, employment and investment pursuits - all centered on the theme of decision sciences and engineering systems (DSES). Indeed, the author’s papers, lectures, speeches, and range of academic and work activities have likewise tracked such a DSES theme. Since an early age, the author came to realize that his interest in mathematics served to help him make consistent sense of his decisions about life and his various pursuits; he further understood that life itself is intertwined in a number of different engineered systems, connected with and in support of each other. Certainly, each person adopts a somewhat different personal journey in their DSES quest; this paper, of course, documents the author’s own unique journey.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":36280,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Data Science","volume":"12 6","pages":"1851 - 1855"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s40745-025-00639-3.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145537723","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Mourad Messaadia, Mohammed Mispah Said Omar, Fouad Ben Abdelaziz
{"title":"Modeling Firm Growth Dynamics: The Role of Financing Strategies, Financial Management, and Managerial Skills through Multiagent Simulation","authors":"Mourad Messaadia, Mohammed Mispah Said Omar, Fouad Ben Abdelaziz","doi":"10.1007/s40745-025-00641-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40745-025-00641-9","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This article discusses the interconnectivity of financial management abilities, managerial abilities, and funding methods in propelling company growth and performance. This study mimics different financing options (debt, equity, internal capital, trade credit, and others) using Multi-Agent-Based Modeling (MABM) to examine their effects under dynamic market scenarios. The study shows that long-term growth and competitive resilience are facilitated by a balanced finance strategy supported by efficient financial management and effective leadership. The simulation shows how firms adjust to economic transformation and balance between risk and potential growth through various strategies. The results offer the efficacy with which MABM illustrates the complexity of financial strategy selection in uncertain markets and demonstrates emergent patterns in systemic risk, firm survival, and aggregate growth, yielding new insight into robust financing strategies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":36280,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Data Science","volume":"12 6","pages":"1825 - 1849"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145537719","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Digital Enlightenment, Digital Humanism, and Computer-supported Collaboration in Artificial Intelligence Era","authors":"George Metakides, Florin Gheorghe Filip","doi":"10.1007/s40745-025-00640-w","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40745-025-00640-w","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The paper addresses three concepts namely <i>enlightenment</i>, <i>humanism</i> and <i>collaboration</i> in the context of a human being’s quest for new knowledge and perennial values. Established relationships among people and their evolution are impacted by Artificial Intelligence associated with other main technology drivers of the digital transformation such as the Internet and Big Data analytics. The basic aspects that characterize the three above concepts are reviewed and a brief and up-to-date technical account of the Artificial Intelligence domain is provided together with the steps envisaged toward a trustworthy and anthropocentric schema. The current beneficial as well as detrimental impacts of the current usage of the Internet, Big Data and Artificial Intelligence are reviewed together with various opinions of influential scientists and industry leaders and the updated concepts of the enlightenment, humanism, and collaboration in the digital context are eventually presented.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":36280,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Data Science","volume":"12 6","pages":"1799 - 1823"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145537706","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A Data-Driven Approach to IoT Security: Detecting Cyber Attacks with AEInc-BGTO","authors":"Jeyalakshmi Shunmugiah, Sekar Sellappan, Karthikeyan Lakshmanan, Ravikumar Sethuraman","doi":"10.1007/s40745-025-00634-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40745-025-00634-8","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Cyberattacks on the Internet of Things have significantly raised due to the extensive adoption of smart devices and the multiple security flaws in networks. It is essential to identify and categorize malicious traffic to guarantee the security of these systems. Nonetheless, the earlier research has encountered obstacles such as limited characteristics, reduced effectiveness, irrelevant attributes, and complex computational tasks. This research proposes an innovative framework called the Attention Embedded Inception-based Bidirectional Gorilla Troop Optimization strategy, which is an emerging mechanism for detecting and classifying various kinds of attacks to ensure security in Internet of Things settings. Some preprocessing procedures are performed to improve the quality of received data and enhance information security. The feature extraction process is performed by Convolutional Block Attention Embedded InceptionV4, which is developed by integrating the Convolutional Block Attention Mechanism with InceptionV4. Moreover, the suggested Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory approach effectively categorizes and detects several types of attacks in IoT, and Gorilla Troops Optimization technique is implemented for fine-tuning model’s hyperparameters, thereby enhancing detection accuracy, and security rate. The proposed strategy is compared to previous attack detection mechanisms in terms of some common assessing metrics using five attack datasets, where it is obtained that the proposed strategy yields commendable findings. The proposed strategy achieves detection accuracy of 99.27% and security rate of 99.18%, which outperforms earlier assault detection techniques. Consequently, it is claimed that the proposed strategy is the most effective for several attack identification on secure Internet of Things.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":36280,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Data Science","volume":"13 5","pages":"1365 - 1399"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149098803","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Robust Estimation of Wild Blueberry Yield via Triple Integrated Machine Learning Techniques","authors":"Xiaoming Yang","doi":"10.1007/s40745-025-00638-4","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40745-025-00638-4","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Vaccinium angustifolium, commonly referred to as the wild blueberry, is a wild species native to North America and valued for both its taste and nutritional benefits. Packed with antioxidants, they further provide a variety of health benefits and help maintain biodiversity when grown within their natural habitats. Wild blueberries are considered a kind of “superfood” due to their power-packed nutrition. Wild blueberries are of crucial economic importance because they provide employment opportunities and open new markets for exportation. Machine Learning (ML) is used to model and analyze a number of parameters influencing crop production, and this makes it a major asset in the prediction of wild blueberry output. ML methods like Gaussian Process Regression Networks (GPR) Networks and Histogram Gradient Boosting Regression (HGBR) are used for this purpose. These models, in turn, predict wild blueberry production using the Marine Predators Algorithm (MPA) and Northern Goshawk Optimization (NGO). The corresponding models and optimizers are put into place to improve the accuracy of the results. Among them, HGNG is the best performer, with an R<sup>2</sup> of 0.996 in the remarkable training phase. After that, in this respect, HGMP performed well, which has an R<sup>2</sup> of 0.985 at this phase. Moreover, regarding wild blueberry yield forecasting, HGB did very well and had an R<sup>2</sup> of 0.976 during the training process.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":36280,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Data Science","volume":"13 1","pages":"215 - 239"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-08-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147340177","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Rasoul Amirzadeh, Dhananjay Thiruvady, Asef Nazari, Mong Shan Ee
{"title":"Dynamic Bayesian Networks for Predicting Cryptocurrency Price Directions: Uncovering Causal Relationships","authors":"Rasoul Amirzadeh, Dhananjay Thiruvady, Asef Nazari, Mong Shan Ee","doi":"10.1007/s40745-025-00637-5","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40745-025-00637-5","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Cryptocurrencies have gained widespread attention, particularly in finance and investment sectors. Despite their growing popularity, cryptocurrencies can be a high-risk investment due to their price volatility. The inherent volatility in cryptocurrency prices, coupled with the effects of external global economic factors, makes predicting their price movements challenging. To address this challenge, we propose a dynamic Bayesian network (DBN)-based approach to uncover potential causal relationships among various features including social media data, traditional financial market factors, and technical indicators. This study focuses on six major cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Binance Coin, Ethereum, Litecoin, Ripple, and Tether. The proposed model’s performance is compared to five baseline models of auto-regressive integrated moving average, support vector regression, long short-term memory, random forests, support vector machines, and a large language model. Results demonstrate that while DBN performance varies across cryptocurrencies, with some cryptocurrencies exhibiting higher predictive accuracy than others, the DBN significantly outperforms the baseline models.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":36280,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Data Science","volume":"13 6","pages":"1401 - 1431"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-08-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s40745-025-00637-5.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149230743","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Design of Facial Expression Recognition Technology Based on Image Processing in Affective Computing Interactive System","authors":"Li Xiaoshu, Ji Kang","doi":"10.1007/s40745-025-00636-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40745-025-00636-6","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Traditional emotion recognition systems suffer from some problems, such as single-modality dependence, sensitivity to environmental changes, poor real-time performance, and over-reliance on manual feature extraction, which greatly limit their accuracy and robustness. To address the aforementioned problems, this study integrates deep learning with multimodal information fusion methods to enhance the accuracy, real-time capabilities, and robustness of the affective computing interaction system. Facial images and depth information are high-definition cameras and Kinect depth cameras collect and perform image preprocessing is performed to establish a facial expression recognition model based on a convolutional neural network. The AffectNet dataset was used for training and verification. At the same time, voice and text modal data are fused. Multimodal feature fusion is performed using weighted averaging to further enhance the performance of emotion recognition. Finally, an affective computing interaction system is designed and real-time affective state recognition can be achieved, as well as personalized feedback and content recommendations. Experimental results prove that the proposed system is superior to the traditional single-modal systems and support vector machine-based methods with regard to emotion recognition accuracy, real-time responsiveness, stability, and anti-interference ability. With 1,000 pieces of data, the proposed system attained an accuracy of 97.3%, and even at 5,000 pieces of data, an accuracy of 90.6%, and there was no crash or performance degradation during 12 hours of continuous operation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":36280,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Data Science","volume":"13 2","pages":"355 - 374"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-08-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147606883","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}