{"title":"Los jóvenes ninis en el Ecuador","authors":"K. Buitrón, Verónica Jami, Y. Méndez","doi":"10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6800","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6800","url":null,"abstract":"Los “ninis” hacen referencia al grupo de jóvenes entre 15 y 24 años que ni estudian ni trabajan. Factores individuales, como el ingreso familiar y la educación, incidirían en la formación de los jóvenes ninis. En este artículo se analizan las características de los jóvenes ninis ecuatorianos y se determinan los factores que aumentan la probabilidad de que un joven no estudie ni trabaje. Para esto, modelos logit son estimados a partir de la Encuesta de Condiciones de Vida del 2014. Los resultados sugieren que los jóvenes de familias de baja renta, las mujeres, los jóvenes que habitan en el área urbana y los pertenecientes a las minorías étnicas son más propensos a convertirse en un nini.","PeriodicalId":34973,"journal":{"name":"Revista de Economia del Rosario","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-06-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43048688","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"¿Ha crecido la clase media en el Ecuador? Un análisis mediante índices de polarización del ingreso para el periodo 2007-2014","authors":"Esteban Cabrera Cevallos, Edwin Buenaño","doi":"10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6802","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6802","url":null,"abstract":"En este artículo se cuantifica la evolución de la clase media en el Ecuador entre el 2007 y el 2014, mediante el cálculo de índices de polarización y bipolarización del ingreso. Los resultados muestran que durante el periodo de análisis la polarización disminuyó de manera constante, debido a un desplazamiento homogéneo de los hogares de clases más bajas hacia clases más altas, lo que se traduce en un incremento de la clase media, cuantificada como proporción de la población total.","PeriodicalId":34973,"journal":{"name":"Revista de Economia del Rosario","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-06-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42157557","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Elasticidades de la demanda mundial de lácteos argentinos y su posicionamiento competitivo","authors":"R. Arancibia","doi":"10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6457","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6457","url":null,"abstract":"The aim of this paper is to determine world demand for the main dairy products exported by Argentina vis-a-vis its competitors. Based on the Armington approach, a theoretical model is presented to study the import demand of major importing countries of Argentine milk powder and cheeses as a function of its relative price, extending the traditional homothetic ces specification to a non-homothetic version. For empirical implementation, an econometric specification for panel data is proposed. The model is estimated using filtered fixed effects and random effects models, with an ar(1) structure for idiosyncratic errors. Within the parameters of demand estimates, the elasticity of substitution is estimated as are own-price and cross-price elasticities. Such measures provide valuable information for understanding the response of the global demand to different policy measures or exogenous shocks that could alter the relative Argentine prices paid by importers, and therefore analyze the competitive position of Argentina in some international markets.","PeriodicalId":34973,"journal":{"name":"Revista de Economia del Rosario","volume":"20 1","pages":"275-306"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-02-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41592484","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hernán Rincón-Castro, Norberto Rodríguez-Niño, John David Castro-Pantoja
{"title":"Perturbaciones macroeconómicas, movimientos de la tasa de cambio y transmisión sobre precios","authors":"Hernán Rincón-Castro, Norberto Rodríguez-Niño, John David Castro-Pantoja","doi":"10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6455","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6455","url":null,"abstract":"A literatura que tem estudado a transmissao dos movimentos da taxa de câmbio sobre os precos -exchange rate pass-through- assume que aqueles sao exogenos as perturbacoes que impactam a economia. Este suposto tem sido reavaliado a partir de modelos macroeconomicos modernos, que mostram que ditos movimentos sao endogenos. Baseado neste resultado, o presente documento mostra evidencia que efetivamente o grau de transmissao depende da natureza da perturbacao que origine o movimento cambiario, e dizer, que a transmissao e perturbacao-dependente (shock-dependent).","PeriodicalId":34973,"journal":{"name":"Revista de Economia del Rosario","volume":"20 1","pages":"213-241"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-02-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44922433","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Externalidades en el desempeño académico de la provisión de incentivos: evidencia del programa Ser Pilo Paga","authors":"Sergio Arango","doi":"10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6454","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6454","url":null,"abstract":"Em outubro de 2014 o governo colombiano anunciou a provisao de dez mil bolsas a estudantes de baixos recursos para estudar em instituicoes de educacao superior. Neste trabalho, estima-se o efeito de ser elegivel pelo programa em escolas com e sem beneficiarios do programa apos da primeira onda de incentivos, sobre o resultado do exame Saber 11 dos estudantes que apresentaram a prova no ano 2015. Usando um modelo de diferencas em diferencas se encontra que os estudantes elegiveis em escolas com beneficiarios aumentaram a sua pontuacao global do exame e a sua pontuacao em leitura em 0,03 desvio-padrao. Em escolas sem beneficiarios, ser elegivel representou um aumento de 0,09 desvio-padrao na pontuacao global do exame e em matematicas, enquanto que na leitura o aumento foi de 0,08 desvio-padrao. Estes resultados sugerem a existencia de externalidades nos estudantes de escolas que nao obtiveram beneficiarios do programa na primeira entrega de incentivos.","PeriodicalId":34973,"journal":{"name":"Revista de Economia del Rosario","volume":"20 1","pages":"175-212"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-02-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43748184","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Efectos de cambios regulatorios sobre el desempeño del pool eléctrico español entre 2004 y 2006","authors":"J. Rendón, Jhonny Moncada Mesa","doi":"10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6456","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6456","url":null,"abstract":"This paper examines the relation between the Gap of the marginal price in the Spanish electricity market and other variables, the industrial organization of this market, and key regulatory changes affecting the market. We estimate a panel model with a large time series dimension in a small cross section of firms. We find that, due to high market concentration, the biggest firms are pivotal in the determination of market prices, distorting them and distancing them from competitive prices. The regulatory changes implemented did not have their intended effects, but rather created more distortions and perverse incentives in the market.","PeriodicalId":34973,"journal":{"name":"Revista de Economia del Rosario","volume":"20 1","pages":"243-273"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-02-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48439120","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Los albores de la economía en Colombia","authors":"Á. Montenegro","doi":"10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6458","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6458","url":null,"abstract":"La Economia, como tema de catedra universitaria y area del saber, parece haberse consolidado durante el siglo xviii en Europa, cuando era conocida como economia politica. El termino ‘economia’ solo se popularizo hacia 1900. El London School of Economics, quiza la primera escuela de economia en el mundo, se fundo en 1895. En Colombia comenzaron a dictarse algunas catedras de economia politica desde el siglo xix en las universidades del Rosario, Nacional y Externado. Sin embargo, no se encuentra suficiente evidencia historica para precisar la institucion que ofrecio la primera carrera formal de economia en el pais; esta podria estar entre la Universidad Javeriana, la Universidad Nacional y la Escuela Nacional de Comercio.","PeriodicalId":34973,"journal":{"name":"Revista de Economia del Rosario","volume":"20 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-02-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49303615","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"¿Una brecha que se amplía? Un análisis de la brecha de género en las pruebas de salida del colegio en Colombia","authors":"Luz Karime Abadia, Gloria L. Bernal","doi":"10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6144","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6144","url":null,"abstract":"In this article, we provide evidence that girls underperform boys with similar characteristics on the Colombian high school exit examination. Using the quantile regression technique, we find a significant gender gap favoring boys, which widens along the distribution. The Juhn-Murphy-Pierce decomposition shows that personal, family, and school characteristics explain a small part of the gap whereas differences in returns play an important role. In addition, we show that the observed gap differs significantly by administrative regions, suggesting that specific characteristics of each region could be influencing girls’ performance.","PeriodicalId":34973,"journal":{"name":"Revista de Economia del Rosario","volume":"20 1","pages":"5-31"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"66177248","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"El turismo de cruceros en Uruguay: determinantes socioeconómicos y comportamentales del gasto en los puertos de desembarco","authors":"Alicia Bellani, J. G. Brida, Bibiana Lanzilotta","doi":"10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6149","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6149","url":null,"abstract":"In Uruguay, as in other Latin American countries, cruise tourism has increase its importance as a source of foreign exchange. In order to contribute to the planning of tourism programs and intensify this trend, this paper analyses the socioeconomic, satisfaction and behavioural determinants of cruise passengers at landing ports. Results from Heckman’s selection models applied on surveys from 2010 to 2014 show that only a few characteristics determine the level of spending: the Brazilian nationality, travel in groups, visiting Montevideo and being satisfied with the trip. This pattern has not had significant variations in the period.","PeriodicalId":34973,"journal":{"name":"Revista de Economia del Rosario","volume":"20 1","pages":"71-95"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42374353","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Alberto Muñoz-Santiago, Jaime Urquijo-Vanstrahlengs, Aníbal Castro-Otero, Jahir Lombana
{"title":"Pronóstico del precio de la energía en Colombia utilizando modelos ARIMA con IGARCH","authors":"Alberto Muñoz-Santiago, Jaime Urquijo-Vanstrahlengs, Aníbal Castro-Otero, Jahir Lombana","doi":"10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6152","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12804/REVISTAS.UROSARIO.EDU.CO/ECONOMIA/A.6152","url":null,"abstract":"The price of energy in the stock market is one of the most volatile commodities in world markets, making its estimate a challenge for the different factors involved: composition of the generating capacity, climate, oil prices, correlation between energy demand and gdp, among others, provoking price volatility in the stock market. The objective is to show the arima model with igarch that better predicts the price of energy in Colombia. It is concluded that if the studied variables have characteristics such as: abrupt behavior in short periods of time, asymmetry in distribution and does not meet with assumptions of stationarity, it is preferable to apply arch, garch and its different derivations to better cover heteroskedasticity.","PeriodicalId":34973,"journal":{"name":"Revista de Economia del Rosario","volume":"20 1","pages":"127-159"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45633783","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}