Chao Zhang, Yadong Zhang, Hongyan Dui, Shaoping Wang, M. Tomovic
{"title":"Component Maintenance Strategies and Risk Analysis for Random Shock Effects Considering Maintenance Costs","authors":"Chao Zhang, Yadong Zhang, Hongyan Dui, Shaoping Wang, M. Tomovic","doi":"10.17531/ein/162011","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17531/ein/162011","url":null,"abstract":"Maintenance can improve a system’s reliability in a long operation period or when a component has failed. The reliability modeling method that uses the stochastic process degradation model to describe the system degradation process has been widely used. However, the existing reliability models established using stochastic processes only consider the internal degradation process, and do not fully consider the impact of external random shocks on their reliability modeling. Furthermore, the existing theory of importance does not consider the actual factors of maintenance cost. In this paper, based on the reliability modeling of random processes, the degradation rate under the influence of random shocks is introduced into the time scale function to solve the impact of random shocks on product reliability, and two cost importance measures are proposed to guide the maintenance selection of the components under limited resources in the system.Finally, a subsystem of an aircraft hydraulic system is analyzed to verify the proposed method’s performance.","PeriodicalId":335030,"journal":{"name":"Eksploatacja i Niezawodność – Maintenance and Reliability","volume":"25 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134009758","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Reliability analysis method of coupling optimal importance sampling density and multi-fidelity Kriging model","authors":"Jiayu Xie, Zongrui Tian, Pengpeng Zhi, Yadong Zhao","doi":"10.17531/ein/161893","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17531/ein/161893","url":null,"abstract":"The commonly used reliability analysis approaches for Kriging-based\u0000models are usually conducted based on high-fidelity Kriging models.\u0000However, high-fidelity surrogate models are commonly costly.\u0000Therefore, in order to balance the calculation expense and calculation\u0000time of the surrogate model, this paper proposes a multi-fidelity Kriging\u0000model reliability analysis approach with coupled optimal important\u0000sampling density (OISD+MFK). First, the MEI learning function is\u0000proposed considering the training sample distance, model computation\u0000cost, expected improvement function, and model relevance. Second, a\u0000dynamic stopping condition is proposed that takes into account the\u0000failure probability estimation error. Finally, the optimal importance\u0000sampling density is incorporated into the reliability analysis process,\u0000which can effectively reduce failure probability estimation error. The\u0000results of the study show that the approach proposed in this paper can\u0000reduce the calculation cost while outputting relatively accurate failure\u0000probability evaluation results.","PeriodicalId":335030,"journal":{"name":"Eksploatacja i Niezawodność – Maintenance and Reliability","volume":"30 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122786132","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Semi-Markov approach for reliability modelling of light utility vehicles","authors":"Mateusz Oszczypała, J. Ziółkowski, J. Małachowski","doi":"10.17531/ein/161859","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17531/ein/161859","url":null,"abstract":"Vehicles are important elements of military transport systems. Semi-Markov processes, owing to the generic assumption form, are a useful tool for modelling the operation process of numerous technical objects and systems. The suggested approach is an extension of existing stochastic methods employed for a wide spectrum of technical objects; however, research on light utility vehicles complements the subject gap in the scientific literature. This research paper discusses a 3-state semi-Markov model implemented for the purposes of developing reliability analyses. Based on an empirical course of the operation process, model was validated in terms of determining the conditional probabilities of interstate transitions for an embedded Markov chain, as well as parameters of time distribution functions. The Laplace transform was used to determine the reliability function, failure probability density function, failure intensity, and expected time to failure. Readiness index values were calculated based on ergodic probabilities.","PeriodicalId":335030,"journal":{"name":"Eksploatacja i Niezawodność – Maintenance and Reliability","volume":"93 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121869672","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jacek Kukulski, Konrad Lewczuk, Ignacy Góra, M. Wasiak
{"title":"Methodological aspects of risk mapping in multimode transport systems","authors":"Jacek Kukulski, Konrad Lewczuk, Ignacy Góra, M. Wasiak","doi":"10.17531/ein.2023.1.19","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17531/ein.2023.1.19","url":null,"abstract":"Efficient transport solutions are based on multimodal systems, with the\u0000dominant role of rail and road transport in land versions of the systems\u0000and the connecting and directing part of intermodal terminals,\u0000transhipment terminals or warehouse centres. The implementation of\u0000transport processes is always associated with the risk of lack of\u0000timeliness (quality) or threats to people, equipment and cargo (safety)\u0000resulting from human, technical, organizational and global factors like\u0000pandemics or war. The article contains a risk mapping method in\u0000multimodal transport systems configured to estimate the risk of lowering\u0000the quality of logistics services (on-time deliveries, etc.). The method\u0000combines factors usually considered separately in studies on individual\u0000modes of transport. A formal notation of risk factors as a mathematical\u0000model was proposed, and a case study was provided to picture the\u0000implementation.","PeriodicalId":335030,"journal":{"name":"Eksploatacja i Niezawodność – Maintenance and Reliability","volume":"14 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-02-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129267252","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
M. Graba, A. Bieniek, K. Prażnowski, K. Hennek, J. Mamala, R. Burdzik, M. Śmieja
{"title":"Analysis of energy efficiency and dynamics during car acceleration","authors":"M. Graba, A. Bieniek, K. Prażnowski, K. Hennek, J. Mamala, R. Burdzik, M. Śmieja","doi":"10.17531/ein.2023.1.17","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17531/ein.2023.1.17","url":null,"abstract":"In this work, the authors focused on analyzing the energy efficiency and\u0000dynamics during car acceleration, featuring investigation of acceleration\u0000dynamics under various acceleration intensities. The tests were\u0000performed in the speed range between 45 km/h and 120 km/h, at a\u0000constant gear ratio. This enabled obtaining variable dynamic parameters\u0000of the acceleration process, ranging from about 0.1 to 1.4 m/s2\u0000, and\u0000recording variation in fuel consumption from 6.28 to 27.03 dm3\u0000/100km.\u0000The study focused on determining the relation between fuel\u0000consumption, energy efficiency and vehicle acceleration depending on\u0000the available drivetrain power. The relation between fuel consumption\u0000and vehicle acceleration was described by using the dynamic index. The\u0000proposed dynamic index takes into account the energy (from burned\u0000fuel) and vehicle acceleration intensity to obtain an objective metric for\u0000characterizing the acceleration process. The aforementioned index takes\u0000the form of the passenger car movement energy quality index and can be\u0000related to widely known physical properties, thus ensuring its\u0000universality. The index expresses the energy expenditure within the time\u0000needed to accelerate a vehicle weighing 1kg by a 1m distance. As\u0000opposed to other criteria that are applied to the assessment of passenger\u0000cars dynamics, the index shows a high determination coefficient R2 in\u0000excess of 0.99, and can be used as a universal metric to test other vehicle\u0000types.","PeriodicalId":335030,"journal":{"name":"Eksploatacja i Niezawodność – Maintenance and Reliability","volume":"51 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126679855","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Gu Dongwei, Ni Ruihua, Han Wenbo, Chen Guang, Jia Ligang
{"title":"Research on preventive maintenance strategy of Coating Machine based on\u0000dynamic failure rate","authors":"Gu Dongwei, Ni Ruihua, Han Wenbo, Chen Guang, Jia Ligang","doi":"10.17531/ein.2023.1.20","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17531/ein.2023.1.20","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, a dynamic preventive maintenance strategy is proposed for\u0000the problem of high maintenance cost rate due to excessive maintenance\u0000caused by unreasonable maintenance threshold setting when complex\u0000electromechanical equipment maintenance strategy is formulated.\u0000Increasing failure rate factor and decreasing service age factor are\u0000introduced to describe the evolution rules of failure rate during the\u0000maintenance of the coating machine, and the BP-LSTM (BP-Long Short\u0000Term Memory Network, BP-LSTM) model is combined to predict the\u0000failure rate of the coating machine. A Dynamic preventive maintenance\u0000Model (DM) that relies on dynamic failure rate thresholds to classify the\u0000three preventive maintenance modes of minor, medium and major\u0000repairs is constructed. A dynamic preventive maintenance strategy\u0000optimization process based on Genetic-Particle Swarm Optimization\u0000(GPSO) algorithm with the lowest cost rate per unit time in service phase\u0000is built to solve the difficult problem of dynamic failure rate threshold\u0000finding. Based on the historical operating data of the coating machine, a\u0000case study of the dynamic preventive maintenance strategy of the coating\u0000machine was conducted to verify the effectiveness of the model and the\u0000developed maintenance strategy proposed in this paper. The results show\u0000that the maintenance strategy developed in this paper can ensure better\u0000economy and applicability.","PeriodicalId":335030,"journal":{"name":"Eksploatacja i Niezawodność – Maintenance and Reliability","volume":"133 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"120989886","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}