Global Environmental Change最新文献

{"title":"The environmental and socioeconomic impacts of the Italian National Parks: Time and spillover effects across different geographical contexts","authors":"Riccardo D'Alberto ,&nbsp;Matteo Zavalloni ,&nbsp;Francesco Pagliacci","doi":"10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102838","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102838","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Protected Areas such as national parks are increasingly implemented to achieve the long-term conservation of nature and the provision of ecosystem services, hence preventing biodiversity loss. We study the environmental and socioeconomic impacts generated by eight Italian National Parks. We estimate the impacts i) on the short and medium term, ii) on the local population and on the neighboring areas (i.e., their spillovers), and iii) differentiating the analysis by the macro-geographical context in which National Parks are embedded (i.e., north, center, and south of Italy). The analysis is based on the combination of the Propensity Score Matching with the Doubly Robust Difference-in-Differences estimator. We find that the National Parks have a positive and increasing-over-time impact on the share of forested areas. Moreover, from the socioeconomic point of view, their impact has been positive on the number of local units, workers employed (especially in the tourism sector), and the number of incoming work commuters, but negative on the number of agricultural holdings. However, these results depend on the geographical contexts, i.e., most of the positive socioeconomic impacts are in the north. Finally, we find (positive) spillover in terms of forested areas, but non-significant socioeconomic ones.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":328,"journal":{"name":"Global Environmental Change","volume":"86 ","pages":"Article 102838"},"PeriodicalIF":8.9,"publicationDate":"2024-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378024000426/pdfft?md5=8fc951baca8c7d9d3342e60b6012c59b&pid=1-s2.0-S0959378024000426-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140547166","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Automatic deforestation driver attribution using deep learning on satellite imagery","authors":"Neel Ramachandran ,&nbsp;Jeremy Irvin ,&nbsp;Hao Sheng ,&nbsp;Sonja Johnson-Yu ,&nbsp;Kyle Story ,&nbsp;Rose Rustowicz ,&nbsp;Andrew Y. Ng ,&nbsp;Kemen Austin","doi":"10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102843","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102843","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Deforestation is a leading contributor to greenhouse gas emissions globally. Understanding the direct drivers of forest loss is essential for developing targeted forest conservation and management policies. However, this data is hard to collect at scale due to the complexity of forest loss drivers and expertise required for accurately identifying them. To address this challenge, we developed a deep learning model called ForestNet which uses publicly available satellite imagery to automatically classify the drivers of primary forest loss. We validated ForestNet on a test set of expert-annotated forest loss events and showed that ForestNet achieved high performance across four major driver classes. We used ForestNet to identify these drivers on over 2 million forest loss events in Indonesia between 2012 and 2019, with significant improvement in spatial and temporal resolution over previously available data. We found that plantations and smallholder agriculture were the primary direct drivers of deforestation in Indonesia during this period, accounting for 64 % of total forest loss. Deforestation has decreased steadily since 2012 after increasing steadily from 2001 to 2009 and peaking from 2009 to 2012, trends that we found are primarily due to changes in plantation-driven deforestation. Our approach can serve as a general framework for scalably attributing deforestation to specific drivers and can be extended to other regions of interest, providing a flexible and cost-effective way for countries to regularly monitor, understand, and address their unique and dynamic drivers of deforestation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":328,"journal":{"name":"Global Environmental Change","volume":"86 ","pages":"Article 102843"},"PeriodicalIF":8.9,"publicationDate":"2024-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140547167","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Developing action competence for sustainability – Do school experiences in influencing society matter?","authors":"Ane Eir Torsdottir ,&nbsp;Daniel Olsson ,&nbsp;Astrid Tonette Sinnes","doi":"10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102840","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102840","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In terms of developing students’ action competence when it comes to sustainability, the research literature highlights the importance of sustainability action taking in education for sustainable development. However, few studies have statistically investigated the relation between sustainability action taking and students’ action competence. Recognising the importance of action taking in education for sustainable development, this study investigates school experiences in influencing society as one important aspect of sustainability teaching and learning that promotes students’ action competence. We surveyed 902 students across three upper secondary schools situated within the same county municipality in Norway. One instrument measured the students’ school experiences in influencing society, and another assessed the students’ self-perceived action competence defined as i) knowledge of action possibilities, ii) confidence in one’s own influence, and ii) willingness to act. A structural equation model showed that school experiences in influencing society have a positive relation with all the action competence factors, supporting previous research that highlights the importance of taking action with regard to sustainability as a part of education for sustainable development. The findings indicate that providing students with opportunities to influence society can foster their development of action competence for sustainability.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":328,"journal":{"name":"Global Environmental Change","volume":"86 ","pages":"Article 102840"},"PeriodicalIF":8.9,"publicationDate":"2024-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095937802400044X/pdfft?md5=2d206a6fa5faedca9f47f162aa88f7f8&pid=1-s2.0-S095937802400044X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140543019","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Assessing the social and environmental impacts of critical mineral supply chains for the energy transition in Europe","authors":"Etienne Berthet ,&nbsp;Julien Lavalley ,&nbsp;Candy Anquetil-Deck ,&nbsp;Fernanda Ballesteros ,&nbsp;Konstantin Stadler ,&nbsp;Ugur Soytas ,&nbsp;Michael Hauschild ,&nbsp;Alexis Laurent","doi":"10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102841","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102841","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Advanced technologies are inherently dependent on critical minerals and their related metals. The mining extraction of these critical minerals leads to significant social and environmental impacts that extend beyond the regions where those advanced technologies are ultimately used. This study explores the global socio-environmental challenges arising from the European Climate Law's aim for net-zero greenhouse emissions by 2050, focusing on the EU's consumption of critical minerals. Developing a novel methodology based on Multi-Regional Input-Output (MRIO) model, enriched with detailed mineral production data from specific ore-to-mineral ratios and socio-environmental information, this work assesses the impacts of the EU's mineral consumption within its energy transition framework. This innovative approach extends beyond ore extraction to encompass all stages of the supply chain. Key findings indicate that the continental Europe accounts for 60% of the EU's ore extraction footprint, yet only 35% of the mineral footprint for the 34 analyzed critical minerals. In contrast, Africa's and South America's shares are 12% and 29%, respectively, markedly higher than attributed in previous studies. The study highlights challenges in securing these minerals, including potential usage conflicts and increased mining in water-scarce basins within Australia, Kazakhstan, South Africa, and Chile, hence exacerbating environmental and community issues. Furthermore, the research suggests that achieving the EU's climate goals could expose between 15 and 89,000 African miners to increased modern slavery vulnerabilities by 2040. However, adherence to the EU Green Deal principles could mitigate these risks and recommendations are proposed, including diversifying mineral supply chains, establishing partnerships with countries that maintain high socio-environmental standards, and adopting circular economy paradigms and innovative solutions. This study advocates its new methodological development to build comprehensive strategies balancing climate goals with the global socio-environmental effects of critical mineral extraction, especially in developing countries.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":328,"journal":{"name":"Global Environmental Change","volume":"86 ","pages":"Article 102841"},"PeriodicalIF":8.9,"publicationDate":"2024-04-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378024000451/pdfft?md5=d898109a275e8b66caf26b17f512db82&pid=1-s2.0-S0959378024000451-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140542648","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Prospects for a sustainable and climate-resilient African economy post-COVID-19","authors":"Godwell Nhamo ,&nbsp;Lazarus Chapungu","doi":"10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102836","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102836","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study assesses the potential for establishing a sustainable and climate-resilient African economy, post-COVID-19, focusing on Kenya, South Africa, Rwanda, and Zimbabwe. Utilising the United Nation's Climate-Positive Action Framework, document analysis, and a systematic literature review, it examines these nations' investment in climate action. Findings reveal a decrease in climate funding during the pandemic, with notable gaps in climate finance, including reallocations away from climate-related ministries and delays in project implementation. This decline in climate action poses risks to sustainability and climate resilience. To mitigate these risks, the study emphasizes the need for frameworks to mobilize external and domestic resources for climate action. Despite ongoing challenges posed by COVID-19, proactive measures are essential to maintain focus on climate action.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":328,"journal":{"name":"Global Environmental Change","volume":"86 ","pages":"Article 102836"},"PeriodicalIF":8.9,"publicationDate":"2024-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378024000402/pdfft?md5=822cc02016d21738b7e14df0334951f0&pid=1-s2.0-S0959378024000402-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140309733","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Corrigendum to “Making sense of the politics in the climate change loss & damage debate” [Glob. Environ. Chang. (2020) 102133]","authors":"E. Calliari ,&nbsp;O. Serdeczny ,&nbsp;L. Vanhala","doi":"10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102823","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102823","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":328,"journal":{"name":"Global Environmental Change","volume":"86 ","pages":"Article 102823"},"PeriodicalIF":8.9,"publicationDate":"2024-03-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095937802400027X/pdfft?md5=7e6af7f849c406e19aa782477c1f542a&pid=1-s2.0-S095937802400027X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140290758","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Assessing the supply risks of critical metals in China's low-carbon energy transition","authors":"Pengfei Yuan ,&nbsp;Dan Li ,&nbsp;Kuishuang Feng ,&nbsp;Heming Wang ,&nbsp;Peng Wang ,&nbsp;Jiashuo Li","doi":"10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102825","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102825","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The unprecedented low-carbon energy transition has heightened concerns about the security of critical metals (CMs) supplies that are essential for clean energy technologies. As the world's largest consumer and importer, China’s CMs supply may face significant challenges due to geopolitical uncertainties, price volatility, and other dynamics. Here, we introduce a risk-modeling framework to holistically gauge the multifaceted supply risks for 30 CMs embedded in clean energy technology spanning from 2008 to 2020. Our analysis indicates that approximately one-third of CMs supplies grapple with elevated risk, and half of these CMs are associated with electric vehicle manufacturing. These risks stem mainly from significant disruption potential (e.g., lithium and palladium) and substantial import reliance (e.g., nickel and niobium). Although China's overall CMs supply risk has remained relatively stable, the nation has grown increasingly susceptible to disruptions, especially with the surge in clean energy initiatives and associated price hikes. Our detailed analysis of the risk comparison reveals that China's supply risk for nine metals (e.g., copper and chromium) exceeds that of other countries that consume large amounts of CMs. Therefore, by adopting focused strategies related to metals, both governments and industries could benefit from global partnerships, strategic stockpiling, early warning mechanisms and sustainable supply chain management, paving the way for a smooth low-carbon energy transition for China.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":328,"journal":{"name":"Global Environmental Change","volume":"86 ","pages":"Article 102825"},"PeriodicalIF":8.9,"publicationDate":"2024-03-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140134536","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Warming-and-wetting trend over the China’s drylands: Observational evidence and future projection","authors":"Boyang Li ,&nbsp;Dongwei Liu ,&nbsp;Entao Yu ,&nbsp;Lixin Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102826","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102826","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>A recent “warming-and-wetting” trend over China’s drylands has raised widespread attention in the scientific community. Based on the observations and model projections of temperature and precipitation, this study shows that the warming and regional wetting trend in China’s drylands is becoming stronger. Over the past 60 years, the temperature in China's drylands has increased at a rate of 0.34 °C/10a, much higher than that in China (0.29 °C/10a) and globally (0.22 °C/10a). The wetting trend has been primarily apparent in the western part since the 1980s, particularly in the mountainous areas. In the northeast edge of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, the wetting rate exceeded 30 mm/10a. The possible cause of the increase of precipitation in China's drylands may be the higher convective precipitation, also concentrating in the mountainous areas. Model projections show weak and strong warming in the future under the RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively. Precipitation will increase slightly in the mid-21st century and then decrease slowly until the end of the 21st century under the RCP2.6 scenario. In comparison, under the RCP8.5 scenario, it will increase by 15–25% at the end of the 21st century.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":328,"journal":{"name":"Global Environmental Change","volume":"86 ","pages":"Article 102826"},"PeriodicalIF":8.9,"publicationDate":"2024-03-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095937802400030X/pdfft?md5=377ce30a2c4ff29085877957fb589710&pid=1-s2.0-S095937802400030X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140096298","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Corrigendum to “Scaling Indigenous-led natural resource management” [Glob. Environ. Chang. 84 (2024) 102799]","authors":"Arundhati Jagadish ,&nbsp;Anna Freni-Sterrantino ,&nbsp;Yifan He ,&nbsp;Tanya O' Garra ,&nbsp;Lisa Gecchele ,&nbsp;Sangeeta Mangubhai ,&nbsp;Hugh Govan ,&nbsp;Alifereti Tawake ,&nbsp;Margaret Tabunakawai Vakalalabure ,&nbsp;Michael B. Mascia ,&nbsp;Morena Mills","doi":"10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102824","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102824","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":328,"journal":{"name":"Global Environmental Change","volume":"86 ","pages":"Article 102824"},"PeriodicalIF":8.9,"publicationDate":"2024-03-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378024000281/pdfft?md5=f393f4e6cebc7f0fdaa8974d43d58c73&pid=1-s2.0-S0959378024000281-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140052624","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Experience with extreme weather events increases willingness-to-pay for climate mitigation policy","authors":"Rachelle K. Gould ,&nbsp;Trisha R. Shrum ,&nbsp;Donna Ramirez Harrington ,&nbsp;Virginia Iglesias","doi":"10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102795","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102795","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We explore how extreme event experience relates to climate policy support in the U.S. We add three important yet uncommon elements to this field: we verify self-reports of extreme event experience with actual weather data; we use a willingness-to-pay measure to assess behavioral intention; and we analyze which types of extreme events have stronger impacts on WTP. People who self-report extreme weather events are willing to pay approximately $112/year more for climate mitigation policy than those who do not; people for whom those self-reports match recorded data are willing to pay $106 or $71 more (controlling for climate beliefs and political ideology and depending on how unverified reporters are treated). Wildfires have the strongest influence on WTP. Though our results show that political ideology correlates more strongly with policy support than does extreme event experience, extreme event experience exhibits a robust correlation with policy support, and could result in a minimum of billions of dollars of support annually for clean-energy policy alone.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":328,"journal":{"name":"Global Environmental Change","volume":"85 ","pages":"Article 102795"},"PeriodicalIF":8.9,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139923741","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}