Foreign Trade Review最新文献_第9页

The Determinants of Vietnam’s Information and Communication Technologies Exports to the European Union 越南向欧盟出口信息和通信技术的决定因素

IF 1.3

Foreign Trade Review Pub Date : 2022-01-14 DOI: 10.1177/00157325211057977

Phan Thanh Hoan, Duong Thi Dieu My

引用次数: 0

The Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic on the Global Supply Chain Operations: A System Dynamics Approach COVID-19大流行对全球供应链运营的影响:系统动力学方法

IF 1.3

Foreign Trade Review Pub Date : 2022-01-14 DOI: 10.1177/00157325211060932

M. H. Heidary

引用次数: 7

Does International Fragmentation of Production and Global Value Chains Participation Affect the Long-run Economic Growth? 国际生产碎片化和全球价值链参与是否影响长期经济增长?

IF 1.3

Foreign Trade Review Pub Date : 2022-01-12 DOI: 10.1177/00157325211050448

Camila do Carmo Hermida, A. M. A. D. Santos, M. Bittencourt

{"title":"Does International Fragmentation of Production and Global Value Chains Participation Affect the Long-run Economic Growth?","authors":"Camila do Carmo Hermida, A. M. A. D. Santos, M. Bittencourt","doi":"10.1177/00157325211050448","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00157325211050448","url":null,"abstract":"This article aims to investigate whether the international fragmentation of production and the global value chains (hereafter GVCs) participation affects the economic growth for a set of 40 advanced and emerging economies. It considers four aspects related to the type of participation and position in GVCs captured by different value-added measures: (a) vertical specialisation index; (b) GVC participation index; (c) GVC position index in low-tech sectors; and (d) GVC position index in high-tech sectors. A panel autoregressive distributed lag (PARDL) model is pioneeringly employed to capture the long-term relationship between economic growth and our four measures for annual value-added data from 1995 to 2011, provided by the World Input–Output Tables (WIOT). The main long-run results indicate that (a) higher levels of international fragmentation of production and GVCs’ participation ensure higher GDP per capita growth rates; (b) the fragmentation and GVCs’ participation are more important to GDP growth than the gross exports as a percentage of GDP; (c) GVCs’ participation index, which considers both the ‘forward’ and ‘backward’ participation, is less important than the vertical specialisation, measured by the foreign intermediate imports; and (d the countries engaged in upstream positions in low-technology GVCs were positively and significantly benefitted in terms of growth. JEL Codes: F14, F43","PeriodicalId":29933,"journal":{"name":"Foreign Trade Review","volume":"125 1","pages":"367 - 389"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2022-01-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78319653","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 5

Turkish Exports Before and After the 2001 Financial Crisis: A Panel Gravity Model 2001年金融危机前后土耳其出口:一个面板重力模型

IF 1.3

Foreign Trade Review Pub Date : 2021-12-25 DOI: 10.1177/00157325211047001

Semih Karacan, Özgen Korkmaz

{"title":"Turkish Exports Before and After the 2001 Financial Crisis: A Panel Gravity Model","authors":"Semih Karacan, Özgen Korkmaz","doi":"10.1177/00157325211047001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00157325211047001","url":null,"abstract":"Turkey was subjected to a number of financial shocks after the liberalisation movements in the 1980s. The most devastating of them was the consecutive political and financial crises in late 2000 and early 2001. The absence of political stability and depreciated Turkish Lira devastated the markets. The Turkish government immediately acted against the collapsed economic system and introduced a radical Economic Stability Programme under the supervision of Kemal Dervis¸. The programme has restructured the banking and financial system and improved economic discipline. In this study, we aim to investigate the impacts of the 2001 crisis and the structural changes on Turkish exports. To this end, we estimate a one-way gravity model, using panel data belonging to Turkish exports to 135 World Trade Organization (WTO) member countries, over the period between 1981 and 2015. The augmented model controls for the inter/intra-industry exports, competitiveness, trade agreements, trade unions and additional demographics. We utilised Poisson pseudo-maximum-likelihood (PPML) estimator to account for unobservable time-invariant effects, zero trade, possible heteroscedasticity, and cross-correlation. The results reveals that Turkey has become a free market economy after the liberalisation movements in the early 1980s, and its exports are determined by the same indicators that affect other similar economies; on the other hand, the 2001 crisis has an immediate positive effect on exports through weak Turkish Lira, but this effect turns to negative in the following year. In addition, we find that structural changes in the economic system has a significant effect on exports and help to mitigate the trade-distorting effects of the global financial crisis in 2008. JEL Codes: C33, F13, F14","PeriodicalId":29933,"journal":{"name":"Foreign Trade Review","volume":"24 4-5 1","pages":"27 - 40"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2021-12-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77819734","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

The India–EU FTA and Its Potential Impact on India’s Dairy Sector: A Quantitative Analysis 印度-欧盟自由贸易协定及其对印度乳制品行业的潜在影响:定量分析

IF 1.3

Foreign Trade Review Pub Date : 2021-12-06 DOI: 10.1177/00157325211050763

Anwesha Basu

引用次数: 2

A Dependent Economy Model of Employment, Real Exchange Rate and Debt Dynamics: Towards an Understanding of Pandemic Crisis 就业、实际汇率和债务动态的依赖经济模型:对流行病危机的理解

IF 1.3

Foreign Trade Review Pub Date : 2021-11-13 DOI: 10.1177/00157325211048018

Moumita Basu, Rilina Basu, Ranjanendra Narayan Nag

{"title":"A Dependent Economy Model of Employment, Real Exchange Rate and Debt Dynamics: Towards an Understanding of Pandemic Crisis","authors":"Moumita Basu, Rilina Basu, Ranjanendra Narayan Nag","doi":"10.1177/00157325211048018","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00157325211048018","url":null,"abstract":"Given the unforeseen and uncertain circumstances during the pandemic, the role of government expenditure becomes extremely relevant in sustaining lives and livelihoods of the masses. This brings forth public sector deficit as a key issue of macroeconomic policy debate. This article aims at investigating the effects of an unanticipated adverse shock like COVID-19, on the real value of public debt, in a small open economy, consisting of traded and non-traded sectors, along with proposed management of such crisis with fiscal and monetary expansion. The results of policy-induced and exogenous shocks depend on the difference in the speeds of adjustments in real exchange rate, interest rate and real value of debt, and the associated multitudes of cross effects. While an unanticipated adverse shock like COVID-19 causes contraction of both traded and non-traded sectors and reduces consumption expenditure, investment expenditure and level of employment and real value of aggregate income in the short run, fiscal expansion causes higher real value of debt and lower real exchange rate. JEL Codes: E12, E62, H63","PeriodicalId":29933,"journal":{"name":"Foreign Trade Review","volume":"137 1","pages":"85 - 113"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2021-11-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"74010100","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 3

Productive Contribution of Public Spending and Human Capital in Developing Countries Revisited: The Role of Trade Openness 重新审视发展中国家公共支出和人力资本的生产性贡献:贸易开放的作用

IF 1.3

Foreign Trade Review Pub Date : 2021-11-13 DOI: 10.1177/00157325211045471

Thanh Dinh Su, C. Nguyen

引用次数: 3

Book review: Rajib Bhattacharyya (Ed.), The Gains and Pains of Integration and Trade Liberalization: Lessons from Emerging Economies 书评:拉吉布·巴塔查里亚主编，《一体化与贸易自由化的得失:来自新兴经济体的教训》

IF 1.3

Foreign Trade Review Pub Date : 2021-11-01 DOI: 10.1177/00157325211031073

Ranajoy Bhattacharyya

引用次数: 0

Foreign Direct Investment and Output Volatility Nexus: A Global Analysis 外国直接投资与产出波动关系:一个全球分析

IF 1.3

Foreign Trade Review Pub Date : 2021-10-31 DOI: 10.1177/00157325211042107

Aisha Tauqir, Muhammad Tariq Majeed, Sadaf Kashif

引用次数: 1

Isolating China: Deglobalisation and its Impact on Global Value Chains 孤立中国:去全球化及其对全球价值链的影响

IF 1.3

Foreign Trade Review Pub Date : 2021-10-28 DOI: 10.1177/00157325211045463

B. Gopalakrishnan, Sumathi Chakravarthy, Tavishi Tewary, Vranda Jain

{"title":"Isolating China: Deglobalisation and its Impact on Global Value Chains","authors":"B. Gopalakrishnan, Sumathi Chakravarthy, Tavishi Tewary, Vranda Jain","doi":"10.1177/00157325211045463","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00157325211045463","url":null,"abstract":"As global value chains (GVCs) account for 80% of global trade, the revival of protectionism, amidst the looming trade tensions between United States and other trading partners, particularly China will dampen the international input–output relations. By using a multi-regional and multi-sectoral dynamic computable general equilibrium model, this study analyses China driven GVCs. The study explores the impact of tariff change on China and its major trading partners on economic variables like consumption, investment, government expenditure, exports and imports and sectors like electronic goods, coal, crude oil and machine equipment for the five-year period, that is, 2021–2025. GTAP 10 database has been used. The findings of the study suggest that although China’s dominance may diminish, yet it would continue to be one of the prominent players in GVC. Further, based on the results, the global economy can look forward to fragmented and locally oriented supply chains. At the sectoral level, the shorter supply chains would lead a further disjoint global trade system with a wider range of suppliers for similar products and hence increased regionalisation of production. JEL Codes: F10, F17, F60, F16, D58","PeriodicalId":29933,"journal":{"name":"Foreign Trade Review","volume":"12 1","pages":"390 - 407"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2021-10-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80441649","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 4