外国直接投资与产出波动关系:一个全球分析

IF 1.1 Q4 BUSINESS
Aisha Tauqir, Muhammad Tariq Majeed, Sadaf Kashif
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引用次数: 1

摘要

产出增长的波动仍然是全球真正关注的问题,因为它对增长、贫困和福利产生有害影响。在产出波动领域,FDI的作用及其一致性尤为重要,值得考虑。本文使用1971-2017年141个世界经济体的面板数据集,研究了外国直接投资流入对产出增长波动性的作用,特别是其不稳定性。本研究采用了混合普通最小二乘(POLS)、LS固定效应(FE)、LS随机效应(RE)、两阶段最小二乘(2SLS)和广义矩量法(GMM)等多种估计技术。研究结果表明,FDI是降低波动的因素,而FDI的不确定性增加了产出波动。在政策方面,本研究建议的政策不仅要鼓励外国直接投资流入,而且要确保流入更加一致和稳定。我们的结果与上述各种估计技术和灵敏度分析相对应,具有鲁棒性。JEL代码:C23, E32, F21
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Foreign Direct Investment and Output Volatility Nexus: A Global Analysis
Volatility in output growth remains a genuine concern around the globe because of its detrimental effects on growth, poverty and welfare. In the realm of output volatility, the role of FDI and its consistency is particularly important and worth considering. This article examines the role of FDI inflows and specifically the instability in it on output growth volatility using a panel dataset of 141 world economies for the period 1971–2017. The study employs a variety of estimation techniques like pooled ordinary least squares (POLS), LS fixed effects (FE), LS random effects (RE), two stage least squares (2SLS) and generalised methods of moments (GMM). Findings of the study suggest that FDI acts as the volatility reducing factor, whereas uncertainty in it increases output volatility. On the policy front, this study recommends policies that not only encourage FDI inflows but also ensure the inflows to be more consistent and stable. Our results are robust corresponding to various above-mentioned estimation techniques and sensitivity analysis. JEL Codes: C23, E32, F21
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
23.10%
发文量
37
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