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2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)最新文献

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Forecasting hourly electricity prices for bidding optimization 预测每小时电价以优化竞价
2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2015-05-19 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2015.7216636
Gro Klaboe
{"title":"Forecasting hourly electricity prices for bidding optimization","authors":"Gro Klaboe","doi":"10.1109/EEM.2015.7216636","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EEM.2015.7216636","url":null,"abstract":"This paper presents a model for the prediction of hourly day-ahead prices in the Nordic electricity market. The aim is to make a model suited for scenario generation for stochastic optimization of bids for a hydro power producer. Hourly prices are estimated through panel data methodology, and the analysis shows that most external explanation factors should have hour-specific coefficients.","PeriodicalId":252103,"journal":{"name":"2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)","volume":"42 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126123056","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Economic evaluation of generation and storage solutions in low voltage end user installations 低压终端用户装置中发电和存储解决方案的经济评估
2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2015-05-19 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2015.7216625
R. Soares, J. Saraiva
{"title":"Economic evaluation of generation and storage solutions in low voltage end user installations","authors":"R. Soares, J. Saraiva","doi":"10.1109/EEM.2015.7216625","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EEM.2015.7216625","url":null,"abstract":"Storage technologies are expected to assume an increasing relevance in the next few years, given the widespread number of available options, the possible applications and the reduction of investment costs. Therefore and apart from the well-known hydro pumping stations, the installation of storage is being considered as an increasingly viable option namely in distribution networks and also in end user installations. This paper reviews the recently passed Portuguese legislation on self-consumption and details a model to evaluate the economic interest of installing batteries together with PV panels according to several possible business models. The simulations suggest that the tariffs currently applied and the investment costs turn these options still not attractive so that a final simulation was developed to evaluate the break even value of the tariffs to turn the investments on storage paid in a reasonable horizon.","PeriodicalId":252103,"journal":{"name":"2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)","volume":"12 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115109486","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
The impact of energy policy 2030 on the edge countries. Case study for Poland 2030年能源政策对边缘国家的影响。波兰案例研究
2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2015-05-19 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2015.7216619
Wojciech Lyzwa, M. Wierzbowski, B. Olek, F. Stuchala, W. Mielczarski
{"title":"The impact of energy policy 2030 on the edge countries. Case study for Poland","authors":"Wojciech Lyzwa, M. Wierzbowski, B. Olek, F. Stuchala, W. Mielczarski","doi":"10.1109/EEM.2015.7216619","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EEM.2015.7216619","url":null,"abstract":"The decision of the European Union to tighten climate policy has introduced new goals for the energy supply industry. The emission of CO2 is to be reduced by 43% from 2005 levels. Additionally, the share of renewables in the total energy consumption should reached 27% in 2030. Such new targets will have significant impact on power production technologies, in particular in the edge countries where the electricity production is based on fossil fuels. This paper deals with the optimization of electricity production, taking into account the need to balance the demand for power and energy, and the fulfilment of climate policy goals. The presented methodologies for Energy Mix optimization are illustrated by the case study for Poland, an economy in which nearly 90% of electricity production is based on coal. Such economies have to undertake the largest transformation to follow the European climate policy targets. The impact on residential customers and energy intensive industries is also discussed.","PeriodicalId":252103,"journal":{"name":"2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)","volume":"39 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127259329","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Energy-only markets with deferrable demand 具有可延迟需求的纯能源市场
2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2015-05-19 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2015.7216609
A. Papavasiliou, Y. Smeers
{"title":"Energy-only markets with deferrable demand","authors":"A. Papavasiliou, Y. Smeers","doi":"10.1109/EEM.2015.7216609","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EEM.2015.7216609","url":null,"abstract":"In addition to its adverse impacts on power system operations, the large-scale integration of renewable energy sources presents market design challenges as it exacerbates the missing money problem by moving value from energy to capacity markets. Energy-only markets have been touted as a mechanism for alleviating the missing money problem, although demand response is widely recognized as the ultimate solution. In this paper we analyze the benefits of demand response and an energy-only market design on short-term operations and long-term investment, as well as the result of overlapping an energy-only market design in a market with active demand response. We use a multi-stage stochastic program to characterize the real-time and long-term market equilibrium, and a multi-stage stochastic unit commitment model followed by a real-time market to analyze the impact of operating reserve demand curves on day-ahead markets. Our model is applied on a case study of wind and demand response integration in Germany.","PeriodicalId":252103,"journal":{"name":"2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)","volume":"10 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126560374","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Evaluation of simplified flexibility evaluation tools using a unit commitment model 使用单元承诺模型的简化灵活性评估工具的评估
2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2015-05-19 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2015.7216757
S. Quoilin, W. Nijs, I. González, A. Zucker, C. Thiel
{"title":"Evaluation of simplified flexibility evaluation tools using a unit commitment model","authors":"S. Quoilin, W. Nijs, I. González, A. Zucker, C. Thiel","doi":"10.1109/EEM.2015.7216757","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EEM.2015.7216757","url":null,"abstract":"Different tools and methods have been proposed in the literature to assess the required flexibility resources and needs in a particular grid or geographical area. However, few of them are readily usable in long term energy planning models because they require small time steps and detailed data. In this paper, two candidate methods to address the flexibility issues in such models are evaluated. A unit commitment model developed at the JRC, DispaSET 2.0, is used as a test case for the different simplified flexibility assessment tools. The modelled geographical area is Belgium, using historical data for the demand and VRE curves and their day-ahead forecast. Different VRE penetration scenarios are simulated to evaluate the flexibility of the power system. The simplified assessment tools are then run with the same inputs. Results indicate significant discrepancies between the detailed Unit Commitment model and the simplified tools. The underlying reasons are described and suggestions are formulated to improve their accuracy.","PeriodicalId":252103,"journal":{"name":"2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)","volume":"60 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126495500","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 11
Toward a model for the Swedish-Norwegian electricity certificate market 走向瑞典-挪威电力证书市场的模式
2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2015-05-19 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2015.7216751
Magne Hustveit, Jens Sveen Frogner, Stein-Erik Fleten
{"title":"Toward a model for the Swedish-Norwegian electricity certificate market","authors":"Magne Hustveit, Jens Sveen Frogner, Stein-Erik Fleten","doi":"10.1109/EEM.2015.7216751","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EEM.2015.7216751","url":null,"abstract":"This paper explores the Swedish-Norwegian market for electricity certificates, which is a support scheme for investments in renewable electricity production. Producers investing in new renewable capacity receive certificates based on their actual production. Retailers of electricity are required to buy certificates for a proportion of their total sales. If a retailers obligation is not met, a penalty fee is imposed. The certificates are traded both bilaterally and as a financial instrument on the Nasdaq Commodity Exchange. The design and potential success of this multistate support mechanism will be of great interest to policy makers and green investors. The dynamic equilibrium model of Coulon, Khazaei, Powell (2014) is adapted to the Swedish market. It is found to replicate historical long-term trends and price levels well. Sensitivity analyses show that the key drivers of certificate prices are the penalty levels and the discount rate. Further it is shown that a higher rate of certificate price feedback on the investment rate dampens the price fluctuations around the trend line. The rate of feedback is uncertain, but is assessed to be larger than zero.","PeriodicalId":252103,"journal":{"name":"2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)","volume":"71 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126504898","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
A stochastic programming model for the tertiary control of microgrids 微电网三级控制的随机规划模型
2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2015-05-19 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2015.7216761
L. Citores, C. Corchero, F. Heredia
{"title":"A stochastic programming model for the tertiary control of microgrids","authors":"L. Citores, C. Corchero, F. Heredia","doi":"10.1109/EEM.2015.7216761","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EEM.2015.7216761","url":null,"abstract":"In this work a scenario-based two-stage stochastic programming model is proposed to solve a microgrid's tertiary control optimization problem taking into account some renewable energy resource's uncertainty as well as uncertain energy deviation prices in the electricity market. Scenario generation methods for wind speed realizations are also studied. Results show that the introduction of stochastic programming represents a significant improvement over a deterministic model.","PeriodicalId":252103,"journal":{"name":"2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131907582","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
The economic sustainability of renewable energies 可再生能源的经济可持续性
2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2015-05-19 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2015.7216642
Clementina Bruno, F. Erbetta, G. Fraquelli
{"title":"The economic sustainability of renewable energies","authors":"Clementina Bruno, F. Erbetta, G. Fraquelli","doi":"10.1109/EEM.2015.7216642","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EEM.2015.7216642","url":null,"abstract":"The transition toward a significant penetration of renewable sources in electricity generation, although desirable under an environmental viewpoint, is likely to be very costly due to the scarce adaptability to Renewable Energy (RE) sources characterized by relevant intermittency. In fact, generation from RE sources implies a change in the scheduling of the rest of generating facilities, which may affect operational costs of the power systems due to a more frequent cycling of thermal plants, i.e. a change in operating modes that occur in response to varying dispatching requirements. In this paper we investigate the effect on cost efficiency of energy operators as a consequence of the penetration of REs at the Country level using a two-step model based on Data Envelopment Analysis. The findings highlight a negative and significant impact of the index of penetration of REs on cost efficiency of firms involved in the production of programmable sources.","PeriodicalId":252103,"journal":{"name":"2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)","volume":"18 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134232190","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The efficiency of the regulation for horizontal mergers among electricity distribution operators in Norway 挪威配电运营商横向合并监管的效率
2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2015-05-19 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2015.7216685
Per J. Agrell, P. Bogetoft, Thor Erik Grammeltvedt
{"title":"The efficiency of the regulation for horizontal mergers among electricity distribution operators in Norway","authors":"Per J. Agrell, P. Bogetoft, Thor Erik Grammeltvedt","doi":"10.1109/EEM.2015.7216685","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EEM.2015.7216685","url":null,"abstract":"Merger analysis is usually drawing on concepts derived from competitive horizontal markets, such as market concentration, predatory foreclosure and economies of scale in marketing. In evaluating horizontal mergers among energy network operators, regulators must use different tools to evaluate the attractiveness of mergers. Norway is one country having implemented an ex ante regulation for mergers among electricity distribution operators (DSOs). We investigate whether the actual mergers of Norwegian DSOs in the period 1995-2004 can be rationalized as cost saving exercises or whether they should be interpreted in other ways. We use Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) to estimate the potential cost savings from mergers ex ante, and we decompose the gains into gains from learning best practice and from improving economies of scale and scope. Moreover, we compare the sources of post merger performance to identify plausible pre-merger motivations. We also discuss the possibility to gain from strategic gaming in the regulation. We compare the regulated revenues and the regulated efficiency improvement requirements before and after the mergers. We find limited potential cost gains ex ante but some improvement in allocative efficiency ex post. Moreover, merged companies show more rapid technological progress and catch up. We also find that the new companies face somewhat more favourable regulatory conditions, i.e. higher allowed revenues and fewer required efficiency improvements. The latter is the consequence of a flawed specification of the regulatory cost function at the time.","PeriodicalId":252103,"journal":{"name":"2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)","volume":"63 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130868146","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 14
Market equilibrium in the European electricity market. A methodology to reduce the network configurations 欧洲电力市场的市场均衡。一种减少网络配置的方法
2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2015-05-19 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2015.7216709
Guillermo Sanchez-Gonzalez, Antonio Bello, J. Reneses, A. Delgadillo
{"title":"Market equilibrium in the European electricity market. A methodology to reduce the network configurations","authors":"Guillermo Sanchez-Gonzalez, Antonio Bello, J. Reneses, A. Delgadillo","doi":"10.1109/EEM.2015.7216709","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EEM.2015.7216709","url":null,"abstract":"Market equilibrium models with conjectural variations have been used to planning generation in the medium term during the last years. When different countries or big markets try to function as unique markets equilibrium models encounter the problem of how to model the conjectures of the agents depending on the congestion of the different transmission network. This paper proposes a methodology to reduce the number of possible scenarios in the network. Then, a case of study applying the methodology to the Central Western Europe countries is presented.","PeriodicalId":252103,"journal":{"name":"2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)","volume":"23 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133701638","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
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