Socio-economic Planning Sciences最新文献_第9页

The risk impacts of global natural and technological disasters 全球自然和技术灾害的风险影响

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101653

Guoqiang Shen , Long Zhou , Xianwu Xue , Yu Zhou

{"title":"The risk impacts of global natural and technological disasters","authors":"Guoqiang Shen , Long Zhou , Xianwu Xue , Yu Zhou","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101653","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101653","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This research develops an expected risk model and estimates risk impacts of single or multiple disasters in terms of human fatality, injury, affected, and economic damage for nearly 200 nations. Both natural hazards, including geophysical, meteorological, hydrological, and technological disasters, such as industrial, transport, and structural, are considered. Relevant measures of expected risk, such as standard deviation, coefficient of variance, range, and rank are also calculated to assess a country's overall risk. Social-economic-physical factors from the World Development Index developed by the United Nations (UN) are then regressed with occurrences and risks of natural and tech disasters to seek plausible associations. The results show that (1) the model performs reasonably well in fitting observed and modeled risks and risk impacts, relatively better for natural disaster and affected people and economic damage; (2) while natural disasters are far more risky than tech ones in total risk impacts; specific risks for subgroups of natural or tech disasters vary widely in magnitude and by country; (3) high natural and/or tech risks concentrate in a small number of countries, such as China, India, Bangladesh in Asia; U.S., Mexico, Canada in North America; Turkey, Russia, France, Germany in Europe, and Algeria, Egypt, and Ethiopia in Africa, which are relatively large in population, fast in development, or advanced in industrialization; yet (4) high risk deviations per unit risk impacts reveal that many small, developing, and tech backward countries need to prepare even more for both natural and tech disasters. Finally, (5) while many country-level development factors, together with disaster occurrence, are statistically significant, only some can provide weak predictability of disaster risk impacts under robust regression. The research findings provide useful risk references to countries for resilient national policies for disaster preparation, mitigation, and recovery.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 101653"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44842720","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Improved strategy management for WDNs: Integrated prioritization SWOT QSPM (IPSQ) method – Application to passive defense 改进wdn的战略管理:综合优先排序SWOT QSPM (IPSQ)方法-应用于被动防御

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101663

Kamran Mohammadi

{"title":"Improved strategy management for WDNs: Integrated prioritization SWOT QSPM (IPSQ) method – Application to passive defense","authors":"Kamran Mohammadi","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101663","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101663","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Drinking WDNs are one of the most significant infrastructures of the sustainable society. It will suffer damage during the operation, occurrences of inevitable disasters, terrorist attacks or war. Therefore, in this research, an improved strategy management approach for passive defense is presented that is called the Integrated Prioritization SWOT QSPM or IPSQ method. The clustering of the weights of affecting factors is determined using the ELECTRE TRI model, based on specific criteria. These weights are allocated according to the user's personal preferences, previously. The performance of proposed method was investigated. The necessary information was gathered and, a hydraulic analysis was conducted using WaterGEMS. The SWOT matrix is performed and top strategies shaped. Next, the priorities were illustrated using QSPM analysis. The results showed IPSQ method successfully headed us to planning priorities with least user interference and prevent possible mistakes. Clustering and prioritization processors can be linked to strategy management techniques simply and usefully. Outputs of hydraulic analysis are exceedingly useful to make best decisions for WDN. Government financial support for the implementation of online security and monitoring facilities (WO1 with STAS = 4.61), is known as the first priority of strategy for passive defense of the studied WDN.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 101663"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44554618","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Operational planning of vehicles for rescue and relief operations considering the unavailability of the relocated vehicles 考虑到搬迁车辆的不可用性，救援和救济行动车辆的运营规划

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101652

Leilanaz Akbari , Ahmad Kazemi , Majid Salari

引用次数: 1

A location-routing model for free-floating shared bike collection considering manual gathering and truck transportation 考虑人工集运和卡车运输的自由浮动共享单车集运位置路径模型

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101667

Xiaozhou He, Qingyi Wang

引用次数: 0

A composite indicator of social inclusion for EU based on the inverted BoD model 基于逆BoD模型的欧盟社会包容综合指标

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101654

Giannis Karagiannis, Panagiotis Ravanos

引用次数: 0

Does the opening of high-speed rail enhance urban entrepreneurial activity? Evidence from China 高铁的开通是否促进了城市创业活动？来自中国的证据

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101604

Xiujuan Lan , Zheneng Hu , Chuanhao Wen

{"title":"Does the opening of high-speed rail enhance urban entrepreneurial activity? Evidence from China","authors":"Xiujuan Lan , Zheneng Hu , Chuanhao Wen","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101604","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101604","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Entrepreneurship plays a critical role in contributing to the realization of full employment in all countries around the world. By improving the efficiency of the flow of production factors, high-speed rail (HSR) has an important impact on regional economic development. However, little is known about whether HSR has improved urban entrepreneurial activity. This paper takes the opening of HSR as a quasi-natural experiment and constructs a difference-in-differences (DID) model, using panel data on 284 prefecture-level cities in China for the period from 2005 to 2019, to systematically evaluate the impact of HSR openings on urban entrepreneurial activity. We find that the opening of HSR has increased the urban entrepreneurial activity, and that this effect is more obvious in cities at high administrative levels, with locational advantages, and highly developed economies, including service industries. HSR can enhance urban entrepreneurial activity by improving the level of talent aggregation and venture capital. These findings provide fresh perspectives on the connection between HSR and urban entrepreneurial activity.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 101604"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41622804","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 2

Easy come, easy go: Short-term land-use dynamics vis à vis regional economic downturns 来得容易，去得容易：面对区域经济衰退的短期土地利用动态

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101603

Alessia D'Agata , Leonardo Salvatore Alaimo , Pavel Cudlín , Luca Salvati

{"title":"Easy come, easy go: Short-term land-use dynamics vis à vis regional economic downturns","authors":"Alessia D'Agata , Leonardo Salvatore Alaimo , Pavel Cudlín , Luca Salvati","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101603","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101603","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The present study postulates distinctive land-use dynamics along the economic cycle, and tests against diverging trends over time of urban and non-urban land-uses with characteristic economic potential. Short-term land-use changes over seven time windows encompassing the last three decades (1992–2020) were investigated in metropolitan Athens (Greece), a mono-centric region experiencing complex economic downturns. Based on diachronic land-use maps with homogeneous spatial resolution and nomenclature derived from ESA Climate Change Initiative (ESA-CCI), a change detection analysis was run considering mean patch size, distance from downtown, and specific entropy-based metrics of landscape diversification (Shannon-Wiener H’ diversity index and Pielou J evenness index). Results of a canonical correlation analysis document differential intensity and spatial direction of change during expansions and recessions associated with distinctive socio-demographic profiles. Metropolitan growth followed a radio-centric (land-saving) model during economic expansions with intense urbanization of fringe land. A more dispersed settlement model – reflecting urban sprawl – was associated with economic stagnations, involving land at progressively distant locations from downtown. Landscape diversification was higher under stagnations and lower during expansions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 101603"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45120890","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Evaluation of the treatment options for COVID-19 patients using generalized hesitant fuzzy- multi criteria decision making techniques 应用广义犹豫模糊多标准决策技术评价COVID-19患者的治疗方案

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101614

Sandip Nandi , Giuseppe Granata , Subrata Jana , Neha Ghorui , Sankar Prasad Mondal , Moumita Bhaumik

{"title":"Evaluation of the treatment options for COVID-19 patients using generalized hesitant fuzzy- multi criteria decision making techniques","authors":"Sandip Nandi , Giuseppe Granata , Subrata Jana , Neha Ghorui , Sankar Prasad Mondal , Moumita Bhaumik","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101614","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101614","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The breakout of the pandemic COVID-19 has affected numerous countries and territories worldwide. As COVID-19 specific medicines yet to be invented, at present the treatment is case specific, hence identification and evaluation of different prevalent treatment options based on various criteria and attributes are very important not only from the point of view of present pandemic but also for futuristic pandemic preparedness. The present study focuses on identifying, evaluation and ranking of treatment options using Multi Criteria Decision Making (MCDM). In this regard, the existing literature, doctors and scientist were interviewed to know the current treatment options in vogue and the scale of their importance with respect to the criteria. The criteria taken are side effect, regime cost, treatment duration, plasma stability, plasma turnover, time of suppression, ease of application, drug-drug interaction, compliance, fever, pneumonia, intensive care, organ failure, macrophage activation syndrome, hemophagocytic syndrome, pregnancy, kidney problem, age. This study extended Hesitant Fuzzy Set (HFS) to Generalized Hesitant Fuzzy Sets (GHFS). Generalized Hesitant Pentagonal Fuzzy Number (GHPFN) is developed. The properties of GHPFN are demonstrated. Two types of GHPFN has been described. The GHPFN (2nd type) along with MCDM tool Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) has been applied to rank the treatment options. The result of the study ranked ‘Hydroxychloroquine’ as the first alternative followed by, ‘Plasma Exchange’, ‘Tocilizumab’, ‘Remdesivir’ and ‘Favipravir’. To check the robustness and steadiness of the proposed methodology, comparative analysis and sensitivity analysis has been conducted.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 101614"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10241491/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9710770","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

A dual-clustering algorithm for a robust medical grid partition problem considering patient referral 考虑病人转诊的鲁棒医疗网格划分问题的双聚类算法

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101675

Yuchen Hao , Chuang Liu , Lugang Zhao , Weibo Liu

{"title":"A dual-clustering algorithm for a robust medical grid partition problem considering patient referral","authors":"Yuchen Hao , Chuang Liu , Lugang Zhao , Weibo Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101675","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101675","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The medical grid including hospitals at all levels is a new hierarchical diagnosis and treatment system. It is assumed to provide health services for residents in a certain area, allowing free referral of patients, so as to effectively utilize medical resources. Therefore, from the perspective of the government, the key issue is how to divide the medical grid in a robust and balanced manner. In this paper, various deterministic factors, such as hospital level, location and department, as well as uncertain factors, including patient distribution or population density, are considered in decision-making. To solve this problem, a dual-clustering algorithm based on K-means and K-medoids (DCKK) is developed with local search methods to minimize the average patient waiting and travelling time. The experimental results show that DCKK algorithm can generate better and more robust grid partition solutions than the existing mainstream algorithms in different scenarios. In addition, the rules between the number of medical grids and the number of patients, as well as the hospital sharing between medical grids, are also studied. Finally, a real medical grid partition case of Ji'nan, China, with forty hospitals in four urban areas, is studied, and five medical grids are recommended.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 101675"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43199303","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

A multiproduct gasoline supply chain with product standardization and postponement strategy 具有产品标准化和延期策略的多产品汽油供应链

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101620

Rafael Bernardo Carmona-Benítez, Héctor Cruz

引用次数: 0