Socio-economic Planning Sciences最新文献_第10页

Impact of political relationships on virtual land flow from China's food trade 政治关系对中国粮食贸易虚拟土地流动的影响

IF 6.2 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102085

Guohua Ni , Man Teng , Bin Su , Zhenling Chen

{"title":"Impact of political relationships on virtual land flow from China's food trade","authors":"Guohua Ni , Man Teng , Bin Su , Zhenling Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102085","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102085","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The increasing backlash against globalization has shifted public opinion towards being against trade. This situation puts food trade, which is resources constrained and susceptible to political relations, into a complex dilemma. Due to the concerns on agricultural endowments, food trade needs to be considered with strategic interests because of its sensitivity and fragility. Using virtual land as a measurement to analyse the resource flows behind the food trade can provide an objective perspective on what extent a country depends on the trade. Overlaying worldwide trade disputes and political interventions, establishing solid trade relationships is increasingly becoming urgent. This study uses an extended gravity model, assesses the virtual land traded by China with 10 species over 20 years, and provides insights on establishing politics-oriented trade relationships, further testing how this political mechanism works in the food trade. The results demonstrate that memorandums of understanding are the fundamental institutional layer to guarantee trading activities and promote smooth transactions for both sides; state visits are determinable factors in establishing bilateral relationships and it significantly promote upper-middle income countries, which crucially impacts the trading system. As those endeavors undertaken by executive departments are often ignored, more attention should be paid to them during interactive stages. Political relations show differences in food trade among different countries and varieties. The promoting effect of political relations is stronger in middle and high-income countries, and the impact on Russia and Ukraine is more significant than others. Compared within varieties, foreign state visits and endeavor presents more positive on pork.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102085"},"PeriodicalIF":6.2,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142418684","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Adaptable solutions for retail supply chain resilience in the post-COVID-19 era 后 COVID-19 时代零售供应链复原力的适应性解决方案

IF 6.2 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102090

Ifeyinwa Juliet Orji , Chukwuebuka Martinjoe U-Dominic

{"title":"Adaptable solutions for retail supply chain resilience in the post-COVID-19 era","authors":"Ifeyinwa Juliet Orji , Chukwuebuka Martinjoe U-Dominic","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102090","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102090","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Faced with globalization and unpredictable disruptions, firms aspire to achieve resilience and sustainable recovery of their supply chain (SC) networks. However, Nigerian retail firms are faced with challenges that deter resilience in their SCs under disruptions, and to date, literature is currently non-existent that analyzes these challenges and proposes strategies for their mitigation. This study, therefore aims to identify and analyze the degree of significance of the challenges to SC resilience in Nigerian retail firms under disruptions, as well as propose strategies to mitigate them for enhancing retail SC resilience under potential disruption risks in the post COVID-19 era. Nineteen challenges were identified and categorized into three contexts namely operational-level, macro-level and internal-level. Then, a methodology based on integrating decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory with the Shannon entropy concept and simple additive weighting was proposed to aid in the study analysis. Results indicate that the operational-level context is most significant and ranks highest in deterring SC resilience in Nigerian retail firms under disruptions. Specifically, 'limited credit facility' is the highest ranked challenge, followed by 'lack of Omni channel fulfilment capabilities', 'delivery irregularities', ‘workers’ high welfare package’ and 'lack of supplier collaboration’. Besides, 'incentivisation' mitigates these challenges the most and is strongest linked to build retail SC resilience, followed by 'digitalization' and ‘SC localisation'. Implications are highlighted from the results for retail SC resilience in the post-COVID-19 era.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102090"},"PeriodicalIF":6.2,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142418686","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Towards spatially disaggregated cocaine supply chain modeling 建立按空间分类的可卡因供应链模型

IF 6.2 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102086

Nicholas R. Magliocca , Ridvan Aksu , Kendra McSweeney , Hashir Tanveer , Kevin M. Curtin , Burcu Keskin

{"title":"Towards spatially disaggregated cocaine supply chain modeling","authors":"Nicholas R. Magliocca , Ridvan Aksu , Kendra McSweeney , Hashir Tanveer , Kevin M. Curtin , Burcu Keskin","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102086","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102086","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Despite the global reach and economic scale of cocaine trafficking, our best geographic understanding of the global trade remains coarse. A more spatially disaggregated understanding of how the cocaine supply chain embeds across multiple locations is necessary for informing security policies and anticipating the spread and intensity of social and environmental harms associated with the cocaine trade. In this research, modeling methods used for legal supply chains are adapted to spatially disaggregate illicit supply chain flows. Profit and supply maximization model versions were compared to elucidate key decision parameters cocaine traffickers might be facing. Cocaine flows to EU+3 (Norway, Turkey, and United Kingdom) markets were estimated based on the smuggling capacity of major Central American ports and bilateral trade volumes of selected commodities most often seized with cocaine shipments. The resulting estimates of cocaine volumes diverted to EU+3 countries from Central America ranged between 938 and 1526 metric tons (MT). Generally, easier concealment and storage in Central America led to less volume supplied to the United States (US) and increased shipments to EU+3 markets. Importantly, the value of this modeling approach is not in the quantitative estimates produced, but in the methodological approach that provides the ability to rigorously ground <em>any</em> quantitative estimates of clandestine phenomenon in the best available data.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102086"},"PeriodicalIF":6.2,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142418753","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Integrating SEM, Wald test and ANOM to disentangle the effect of TMT functional background on strategic plans 整合 SEM、Wald 检验和 ANOM，析出 TMT 职能背景对战略计划的影响

IF 6.2 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102083

Fabrizia Sarto , Sara Saggese , Emmadonata Carbone , Pasquale Sarnacchiaro

{"title":"Integrating SEM, Wald test and ANOM to disentangle the effect of TMT functional background on strategic plans","authors":"Fabrizia Sarto , Sara Saggese , Emmadonata Carbone , Pasquale Sarnacchiaro","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102083","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102083","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Building on the upper echelon theory, this paper investigates the relationship between the functional background of the Top Management Team (TMT) and the strategic forward-looking disclosure in terms of both publication and quality of strategic plans. Specifically, it employs Structural Equation Modelling (SEM), along with the Wald test and Analysis of Means (ANOM), to disentangle the effects of the three specifications of functional background (i.e., output, throughput, and peripheral) on strategic plans. Analyzing a sample of 341 non-financial companies listed on the Milan Stock Exchange, the research assesses the quality of strategic plans through content analysis. The empirical evidence reveals that the TMT's functional background significantly influences the strategic forward-looking disclosure, with the peripheral functional background having the highest impact compared to the other specifications. This finding underscores the crucial role of managerial characteristics in enhancing the quality of strategic plans and suggests that firms should consider managers' functional expertise when making directors' appointments. In doing so, the paper not only contributes to theory and practice but also offers methodological advancements.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102083"},"PeriodicalIF":6.2,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142418687","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The economic impact of terrorism in South Asia 恐怖主义对南亚经济的影响

IF 6.2 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2024-09-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102084

Chang Meng, Noorulhaq Ghafoori

{"title":"The economic impact of terrorism in South Asia","authors":"Chang Meng, Noorulhaq Ghafoori","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102084","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102084","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the economic impact of terrorism in South Asia. The region is currently home to 123 active terrorist/insurgent groups and is accountable for over 27 % of recorded global terrorist attacks. The annual data from the six most-terror-affected South Asian countries (Afghanistan, Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka) during the US-led war on terror (2001 - 2022) is used. For econometric estimation, the five models: fixed-effect, generalized least squares (GLS), generalized estimating equation (GEE), quantile regression (QR), and panel-corrected standard errors (PCSE) are applied. Terror-related death (a proxy for human capital loss) and per capita income (a proxy for purchasing power) are considered to measure terrorism and its economic impact. In addition, four economic indicators (military expenditure, population, official development assistance (ODA), and USAID) and three institutional indicators (electoral democracy index, political violence index, and mobilization for autocracy index) are taken into account as control variables. The result suggests that every additional 886 terror-related human capital loss across the region significantly reduces the purchasing power of each South Asian person by at least 9.800 US dollars. Moreover, among the control variables, military expenditure, political violence, and mobilization for autocracy negatively affect per capita income, while electoral democracy, population, ODA, and USAID positively impact it. This study will also help understand the implications of the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) agenda and achieving specific targets such as SDG 8 (promoting economic growth) and SDG 16 (promoting just, peaceful, and inclusive societies) based on the most terror-affected region.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102084"},"PeriodicalIF":6.2,"publicationDate":"2024-09-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142418752","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Spatial analysis of technical efficiency in the provision of local public goods: The case of Chilean mining municipalities 提供地方公共产品的技术效率空间分析：智利采矿城市的案例

IF 6.2 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2024-09-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102075

Cristóbal Vásquez-Quezada , Mauricio Oyarzo

{"title":"Spatial analysis of technical efficiency in the provision of local public goods: The case of Chilean mining municipalities","authors":"Cristóbal Vásquez-Quezada , Mauricio Oyarzo","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102075","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102075","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Countries with intensive mineral extraction generate resource windfalls for municipalities to improve population's welfare in mining areas. However, this process may be inefficient due to negative incentives inherent in their administration, moving away from the actual objective of these resources. This study analyzes the level of technical efficiency over the provision of public goods, namely public education and well-being in Chilean municipalities using a panel approach. To study technical efficiency, data were obtained from the National System of Municipal Information and the National Socioeconomic Characterization Survey, between the years 2008–2019 for 342 Chilean municipalities. Stochastic Frontier Analysis in a panel context is employed to control for heteroskedasticity and unobserved heterogeneity. Chilean municipalities are ranked by technical efficiency in the provision of public goods and their persistence in space and time is examined. Two exogenous rules are used: mining municipalities and a classification of municipalities according to their capacity of provision. Similar localities are compared, and the effects of resource windfalls over efficiency are analyzed. The results reveal that technical efficiency is lower in mining areas with high persistence over the study period, providing evidence for the need to redesign the compensation mechanism derived from mining industry.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102075"},"PeriodicalIF":6.2,"publicationDate":"2024-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142358761","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Machine learning embedded hybrid MCDM model to mitigate decision uncertainty in transport safety planning for OAS countries 嵌入机器学习的混合 MCDM 模型，用于减少美洲国家组织国家运输安全规划中的决策不确定性

IF 6.2 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102082

Weijie Zhou , Hanrui Feng , Zeyu Guo , Huating Jia , Yue Li , Xinyue Luo , Siwei Ran , Hanming Zhang , Ziyu Zhou , Jiakai Yuan , Jiaxin Liu , Shijie Sun , Faan Chen

{"title":"Machine learning embedded hybrid MCDM model to mitigate decision uncertainty in transport safety planning for OAS countries","authors":"Weijie Zhou , Hanrui Feng , Zeyu Guo , Huating Jia , Yue Li , Xinyue Luo , Siwei Ran , Hanming Zhang , Ziyu Zhou , Jiakai Yuan , Jiaxin Liu , Shijie Sun , Faan Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102082","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102082","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Providing defensible decisions is a prerequisite for methodologies of multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) activities, and this is especially true for socio-economic analysis in public sector. This study proposes an all-in-one MCDM model with machine learning algorithms. The model integrates the method based on the removal effects of criteria (MEREC), combined compromise solution (CoCoSo), and density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN), i.e., MEREC–CoCoSo–DBSCAN. In particular, the uniform manifold approximation and projection (UMAP) is implanted in DBSCAN to reduce the data dimensionality, and the k-nearest neighbors (KNN) algorithm is embedded to determine the inflection points (<em>ɛ</em>) and <em>minPts</em> in the data. This counters the inherent model failure of DBSCAN in dealing with high-dimensional data and eliminates the requirement for manual intervention in the model procedure, thereby fully avoiding potential human error and automating the computing process. A case study on benchmarking transport safety systems for member countries of the Organization of American States (OAS) demonstrates the reliability, adaptability, and efficiency of the proposed model. It moreover reflects its feasibility in resolving real-life socio-economic issues by offering valuable insights and potential solutions in economic investment and funding allocation in regard to transport safety strategy. Overall, this study provides government officials, managers, and policymakers with a valuable tool for handling MCDM activities in socio-economic development with considerable practicality and credibility.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102082"},"PeriodicalIF":6.2,"publicationDate":"2024-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142418751","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Technical efficiency and managerial ability in two-stage production processes with undesirable products: A case on Asian banks 有不良产品的两阶段生产过程中的技术效率和管理能力：亚洲银行案例

IF 6.2 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102081

Alireza Amirteimoori , Gang Kou

引用次数: 0

A reassessment of graduation modeling for policy design 重新评估用于政策设计的毕业模型

IF 6.2 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102079

Matteo Corsi , Enrico di Bella , Luca Persico

{"title":"A reassessment of graduation modeling for policy design","authors":"Matteo Corsi , Enrico di Bella , Luca Persico","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102079","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102079","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>A vast and diverse literature estimates graduation chances using logistic models set in an arbitrary timeframe, where a graduation indicator is checked at a conventional point in time and associated with covariates measured at some date. Survival models emerged over time as a robust alternative, for being able to estimate time-to-degree and time-varying effects of predictors. This paper reconsiders the effectiveness of both modeling approaches in addressing policy-relevant questions, particularly in light of the increasingly automated and algorithm-based educational policies. We find that both methods exhibit blind spots and limitations, but that adopting a simple pragmatic approach logistic models can achieve a comparable level of effectiveness at depicting graduation dynamics while also being capable of answering questions that are problematic for survival models. We exploit a unique dataset and the nature of discrete-time survival models as combinations of logistic regressions run at different times to illustrate how arbitrary timeframes impact the estimates of a logistic model of graduation. Conversely, we illustrate how separately running and analyzing all the distinct logistic regressions provides insights that are unlikely to come from a survival model.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102079"},"PeriodicalIF":6.2,"publicationDate":"2024-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142418750","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

A PLS-Hierarchical Path Modeling approach to analyze and address gender equality in the EU countries 分析和解决欧盟国家性别平等问题的 PLS-Hierarchical Path Modeling 方法

IF 6.2 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2024-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102076

Rosanna Cataldo , Clelia Cascella , Maria Gabriella Grassia , Carlo Natale Lauro , Viktoriya Voytsekhovska

{"title":"A PLS-Hierarchical Path Modeling approach to analyze and address gender equality in the EU countries","authors":"Rosanna Cataldo , Clelia Cascella , Maria Gabriella Grassia , Carlo Natale Lauro , Viktoriya Voytsekhovska","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102076","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102076","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Gender equality, a multidimensional and complex phenomenon, is a hotly debated subject today, and its studio has grown enormously in recent years. After reviewing existing gender equality indices and identifying the methodological approaches used to develop them, the paper aims to show how a modeling approach can overcome some of the limitations of existing indices. Based on a conceptual framework developed by the European Institute for Gender Equality, we propose an alternative methodological approach for measuring gender equality. The paper aims to highlight the potential advantages of Partial Least Square - Path modeling and to show that it goes a step further compared to the European Gender Equality Index in that in addition to ranking countries, our approach allows (1) predicting the impact between dimensions and finding those that most effectively explain gender equality; and (2) supporting decisions to address gender equality. The use of the proposed model can help to understand the complexity of gender relations and facilitate comparisons across countries. At the end of the paper, we discuss other possible extensions of PLS-PM to study and address gender equality.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102076"},"PeriodicalIF":6.2,"publicationDate":"2024-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142359428","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0