Structural Safety最新文献

{"title":"Corrigendum to “Evaluating the importance of spatial variability of corrosion initiation parameters for the risk-based maintenance of reinforced concrete marine structures” [Struct. Saf. 114 (2025) 102568]","authors":"Romain Clerc , Charbel-Pierre El-Soueidy , Franck Schoefs","doi":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102618","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102618","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":21978,"journal":{"name":"Structural Safety","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 102618"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144242447","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Reliability-based vulnerability assessment of steel truss bridge components","authors":"Santiago López ,&nbsp;Brais Barros ,&nbsp;Manuel Buitrago ,&nbsp;Jose M. Adam ,&nbsp;Belen Riveiro","doi":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102623","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102623","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Bridges are among the most vulnerable and expensive assets of transportation networks. The failure of a bridge component can lead to catastrophic consequences for the entire structure. Therefore, vulnerability assessments have gained prominence to ensure their structural safety. However, as bridges age, performing a reliable assessment becomes increasingly challenging. This paper proposed a framework for the component-based vulnerability assessment of steel truss bridges. An index (SoD) that quantifies the State of Demand of each structural element is proposed. The level of vulnerability of all bridge elements is evaluated through a FEM-based approach that considers the uncertainty of the variables affecting the structural behaviour. The proposed framework has been tested in a real steel truss bridge located in Galicia, Spain. The framework finally integrates finite element modelling, uncertainty quantification and propagation, and probabilistic tools into a systematic approach for evaluating the component-level vulnerability of steel truss bridges. The outputs can be used to optimise inspection routines, reduce costs, and support the decision of authorities regarding bridge safety, monitoring, and maintenance. This work breaks new ground in the practical application of new knowledge, as the methodology could be further automated, simplifying engineering efforts and supporting bridge management entities to improve the bridge’s structural safety.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":21978,"journal":{"name":"Structural Safety","volume":"117 ","pages":"Article 102623"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144222169","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Analytical solution of the generalized density evolution equation for stochastic systems: Euler-Bernoulli beam under noisy excitations and nonlinear vibration of Kirchhoff plate","authors":"Yongfeng Zhou ,&nbsp;Jie Li","doi":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102619","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102619","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The Generalized Density Evolution Equation (GDEE) describes the evolution of probability densities driven by physical processes. The numerical solution of the GDEE, implemented through a fully developed computational framework, is referred to as the Probability Density Evolution Method (PDEM). However, the absence of analytical solutions presents challenges for error calibration in numerical methods. In this study, analytical solutions of the GDEE are derived, focusing primarily on stochastic dynamic systems. The forced vibration of an Euler-Bernoulli beam subjected to random excitations is first analyzed, yielding analytical solutions for mid-span displacement response. For lower dimensional scenarios, two cases are examined: random harmonic loading and random step loading, both involving uncertainties in structural parameters. Results reveal that the corresponding displacement responses are non-Gaussian and non-stationary random processes. For higher dimensional scenarios, additional noise excitation is considered. By employing the Stochastic Harmonic Function (SHF) representation, noise excitation is effectively approximated as a superposition of finite random harmonic loads. Analytical derivations demonstrate that the SHF representation gradually converges toward the actual noise as the expansion terms increase. Furthermore, to illustrate the versatility of the developed analytical method, a nonlinear free vibration analysis of a Kirchhoff plate without external excitations is presented, showcasing its applicability to broader structural dynamic problems. These analytical solutions provide valuable benchmarks for further in-depth research into the PDEM, especially for the calibration of numerical methods.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":21978,"journal":{"name":"Structural Safety","volume":"117 ","pages":"Article 102619"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144262721","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Failure probability estimate of corroded reinforced concrete structures based on sparse representation of steel weight loss distributions","authors":"Siyi Jia ,&nbsp;Mitsuyoshi Akiyama ,&nbsp;Dan M. Frangopol ,&nbsp;Zhejun Xu","doi":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102622","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102622","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Uncertainties associated with the non-uniform spatial distribution of steel weight loss (SWL) should be considered appropriately when estimating the load-bearing capacity loss of corroded reinforced concrete (RC) structures. Addressing these uncertainties necessitates a probabilistic analysis using high-dimensional SWL data, which can lead to inaccurate condition assessments for corroded RC structures. This paper presents a dimension-reduction approach for SWL distribution based on the K-means singular vector decomposition (K-SVD) algorithm, which enforces a sparse representation of SWL distributions using a combination of non-standard distribution features learned from experimental SWL data. The K-SVD algorithm involves an iterative two-stage supervised learning process. In the dictionary learning stage, K-SVD identifies non-standard distribution features tailored to the localized characteristics of SWL data, based on which the orthogonal matching pursuit (OMP) algorithm is employed in the coding learning stage to derive a sparse representation of SWL distributions. The efficacy of K-SVD is evaluated using 83 experimental samples of SWL distributions. The results reveal that the K-SVD algorithm can derive a sparse representation of SWL distribution while preserving the distribution details of SWL. With just 15 learned non-standard distribution features, K-SVD achieves the same accuracy in reconstructing 168-dimensional SWL distribution data as the baseline Karhunen-Loève OMP (KL-OMP) method, which uses 75 standard features. Subsequently, the sparse representation is used to compute the flexural failure probability of corroded RC beams, for which a Kriging surrogate model is constructed. The results show that the sparse representation significantly enhances the accuracy of the Kriging surrogate model and improves the computational stability of the flexural failure probabilities, which is crucial for accurately assessing the condition of corroded RC structures.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":21978,"journal":{"name":"Structural Safety","volume":"117 ","pages":"Article 102622"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144241153","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Modeling probabilistic micro-scale wind field for risk forecasts of power transmission systems during tropical cyclones","authors":"Xiubing Huang,&nbsp;Naiyu Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102620","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102620","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Tropical cyclones (TCs) pose significant risks to power transmission systems, causing extensive damage, widespread outages and severe socio-economic impacts. While reliable risk forecasting of these systems during TCs hinges on accurate wind predictions, operational numerical weather prediction (NWP) models struggle to deliver unbiased, high-resolution probabilistic wind-field forecasts necessary for infrastructure risk projections. This study introduces the Probabilistic Micro-Scale Wind-Field model (ProbMicro-WF) designed to enhance real-time hazard modeling for power system risk forecasts during TC evolution. This model improves NWP wind forecast by achieving the following: 1) probabilistic calibration and bias correction for NWP wind forecasts, leveraging historical TC observational data to improve prediction accuracy at high wind speeds; 2) terrain-modified statistical downscaling that translates mesoscale forecasts to micro-scale wind fields, capturing localized wind dynamics critical for tower- and transmission line-specific risk evaluation; and 3) a spatiotemporal stochastic model that preserves wind-field correlation structures, mitigating systemic underestimation of risk variance across geographically dispersed infrastructure during TC evolution. Finally, the ProbMicro-WF model is applied to the power transmission system in Zhejiang Province, China (105,500 km²) during Super Typhoon Lekima in 2019, highlighting its capability to simulate spatially coherent, high-resolution wind fields, enabling robust pre-event mitigation and real-time grid management in TC-prone regions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":21978,"journal":{"name":"Structural Safety","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 102620"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144195770","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Optimizing uncertainty estimation in Enhanced Monte Carlo methods","authors":"Konstantinos N. Anyfantis","doi":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102617","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102617","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The probability of failure serves as a key metric in a structural reliability analysis, but its accurate estimation remains computationally demanding, particularly for low-probability failure events. The Enhanced Monte Carlo (EMC) method has been developed in order to alleviate from inefficiencies due to the high number of required simulations. Recent advancements integrate Machine Learning techniques with the EMC to further accelerate the estimation process. However, a critical limitation of EMC lies in its fitted confidence interval (CI) estimation, which tends to overestimate uncertainty, leading to unnecessary computational overhead. This study proposes a new prescriptive CI formulation constructed from the method’s hyperparameters, offering a more accurate and computationally efficient approach to uncertainty quantification. The method is general and can be applied to any reliability problem that can be described by a probability curve. The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated through a benchmark reliability problem and a real-world marine structural application. The results indicate significant improvements in efficiency without compromising accuracy, paving the way for enhanced structural reliability assessments.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":21978,"journal":{"name":"Structural Safety","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 102617"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144134106","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Improved variance estimation for subset simulation by accounting for the correlation between Markov chains","authors":"Qingqing Miao,&nbsp;Ying Min Low","doi":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102606","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102606","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Subset simulation (SS) is a popular structural reliability analysis method, especially for problems characterized by low failure probabilities and high-dimensional complexities. Unlike most variance reduction methods, SS obviates the need for prior domain information, making it versatile across diverse applications. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are required for sampling from an unknown conditional distribution, resulting in correlated samples. There is plenty of literature on SS in several aspects, such as the improvement of MCMC algorithms, and combining SS with other techniques. However, one aspect that appears to be neglected concerns the variance estimation crucial for assessing the accuracy of the probability estimate. To date, most studies on SS still rely on the conventional variance estimation method, which only considers the correlation within a Markov chain (intrachain) but neglects the correlation across separate chains (interchain) and different subset levels (interlevel). This study aims to improve understanding of this topic and develop a more accurate variance estimation method for SS. An investigation based on multiple independent SS runs reveal that the intrachain, interchain and interlevel correlations are all important. Subsequently, a new variance estimation method is proposed to account for the intrachain and interchain correlations. The proposed method is easy to apply, has small sampling uncertainty and only utilizes samples from a single SS run. Results indicate a notable improvement in accuracy compared to the conventional method.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":21978,"journal":{"name":"Structural Safety","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 102606"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143928318","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Optimal redundancy allocation and quality control in structural systems","authors":"André T. Beck,&nbsp;Lucas A. Rodrigues da Silva,&nbsp;Luis G.L. Costa,&nbsp;Jochen Köhler","doi":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102603","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102603","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Reliability-Based and Risk-Based design optimization are popular research topics nowadays. Yet, not many studies have addressed the progressive collapse, the optimal robustness nor the optimal redundancy of structural systems. By way of fundamental examples, it is shown herein that redundancy is of little benefit, unless the structural system is exposed to external ‘shocks’. These ‘shocks’ are abnormal loading events; unanticipated failure modes; gross errors in design, construction or operation; operational abuse; and other factors that have historically contributed to observed structural collapses. Shocks may lead to structural damage or complete loss of structural members. The effect of such shocks on system reliability is generically represented by a member damage probability. This is a hazard-imposed damage probability, which is shown to be the key factor justifying the additional spending on structural redundancy. In structural reliability theory, it is understood that quality control should handle gross errors and their impacts; yet, it is shown herein that optimal redundancy is related to the frequency of inspections. The study reveals an intricate interaction between optimal redundancy and optimal quality control by way of inspections, challenging the separation between structural reliability theory and quality control in safety management.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":21978,"journal":{"name":"Structural Safety","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 102603"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-04-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144115715","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Structural reliability analysis using gradient-enhanced physics-informed neural network and probability density evolution method","authors":"Zidong Xu,&nbsp;Hao Wang,&nbsp;Kaiyong Zhao,&nbsp;Han Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102604","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102604","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In past decade, probability density evolution method (PDEM) has become one of the most popular approaches to conduct overall structural reliability analysis (SRA). The main procedure of the PDEM-based SRA lies in solving the generalized probability density evolution equation (GDEE) related to virtual stochastic process (VSP). Common methods for GDEE solving are highly sensitive to the choice of solving parameters, which may affect the accuracy, efficiency and stability of the solution. Recently, physics-informed neural network (PINN) and its extended form have successfully utilized to solve differential equations in different fields. With this in view, the gradient-enhanced PINN (gPINN) are utilized to solve the GDEE of the VSP for SRA, which leads to an improved approach, termed as evolutionary probability density (EPD)-gPINN model. Specifically, the normalized GDEE and the additional gradient residual equations are derived as the physical loss. Meanwhile, to offer sufficient supervised training data, an easy-to-operate data augmentation procedure is established. Numerical examples are posed for validating the validity of the proposed framework. Parametric analysis is conducted to investigate the influence of the network parameters to the predictive performance. Results indicate that using proper weight of the gradient loss, the proposed framework can efficiently conduct the SRA, whose predictive performance outperforms PINN.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":21978,"journal":{"name":"Structural Safety","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 102604"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-04-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143902246","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Modeling the spatial corrosion of strand and FE-based Monte Carlo simulation for structural performance assessment of deteriorated PC beams","authors":"Taotao Wu ,&nbsp;Mitsuyoshi Akiyama ,&nbsp;De-Cheng Feng ,&nbsp;Sopokhem Lim ,&nbsp;Dan M. Frangopol ,&nbsp;Zhejun Xu","doi":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102605","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.strusafe.2025.102605","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Structural performance assessments of corroded prestressed concrete (PC) beams using numerical models that account for spatial corrosion distribution and are validated against experimental results remain limited compared to those of reinforced concrete (RC) beams. This study proposes a probabilistic analysis method to evaluate the structural performance of corroded PC beams, incorporating the spatial corrosion distribution of strands and wires. The method is further applied to compare the structural performance of corroded PC and RC beams. Three finite element (FE) models are developed and compared for their accuracy in predicting the structural behavior of PC beams: (a) using the mean steel weight loss of the strand, (b) incorporating the spatial corrosion distribution of the strand, and (c) considering the spatial corrosion distribution of the six outer wires. The model incorporating the spatial corrosion distribution of the six outer wires achieves the highest accuracy, as it effectively simulates the first wire breakage that governs the flexural load-bearing and deflection ductility capacities of PC beams. The probabilistic distribution parameters representing the spatial variability of corrosion are derived from experimental data. Using this distribution, Monte Carlo simulation-based spatial corrosion samples are integrated into the most accurate FE model to obtain the probability density functions (PDFs) of corroded PC beams. The results indicate that PC beams with the same total steel weight loss can exhibit significantly different flexural load-bearing and deflection ductility capacities due to spatial variability, underscoring the importance of a probabilistic assessment. Furthermore, the PDFs of PC members are shifted to the left compared to those of RC members with the same degree of corrosion. Notably, early wire breakage results in lower mean values and standard deviations for the deflection ductility of corroded PC beams compared to RC beams.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":21978,"journal":{"name":"Structural Safety","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 102605"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-04-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143924023","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}