{"title":"An adaptive state-space model for predicting remaining useful life of planetary gearbox","authors":"Xianglong Ni, Xin Zhang, Fucheng Sun, Jinsong Zhao, Jianmin Zhao","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2016.7819823","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2016.7819823","url":null,"abstract":"State-space model is often used to estimate system degradation. However, the state-space model is usually only one observation equation in existing research, and it only applies to one observation indicator. This paper puts forward an adaptive state-space model, which can be applied to multiple observation indicators. The modeling method and parameter estimation approach of adaptive state-space model are studied. In order to show that the proposed model is better than traditional state-space model, planetary gearbox remaining useful life (RUL) estimation based on adaptive state-space model is carried out.","PeriodicalId":202597,"journal":{"name":"2016 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-Chengdu)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115634873","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The safety assessment process of carrier aircraft's control system","authors":"Binghao Hu, Q. Liang, D. Zhong, Hao Wang","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2016.7819867","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2016.7819867","url":null,"abstract":"Carrier aircraft's control system is the core system of carrier aircraft, the existing military standards such as MIL-STD-882E fail to provide specific or sufficient division of safety sessions for the development cycle of such systems and don't specify the kind of safety analysis using, which allows the carrier aircraft's control system safety analysis can't be fully carried out. Therefore, it's the urgent need to put forward a set of safety assessment process for the carrier aircraft's control system. Firstly, This article which submits a detailed work phases of the safety assessment process for carrier aircraft's control system, divides the process into preliminary hazard list and function hazard assessment, preliminary system safety assessment, subsystem system safety assessment, System safety verification corresponding to its four development stages; Secondly, there have many different safety analysis methods which decided by the characteristic of each working stage, such as Fault Tree Analysis and Failure modes and Effects Analysis to analysis component failure, Common Cause Analysis to analysis coupled dangerous, and analysis method for the interactive danger of carrier aircraft's control system is System Control Hazard Analysis; Finally it put forward a comprehensive safety assessment process of carrier aircraft's control system. Safety assessment process proposed this article can guarantee that the safety analysis work of carrier aircraft carries out smoothly.","PeriodicalId":202597,"journal":{"name":"2016 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-Chengdu)","volume":"7 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125135979","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The moment-independence importance measure for fuzzy failure criterion and its Kriging solution","authors":"Guijie Li, C. Xie, F. Wei","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2016.7819898","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2016.7819898","url":null,"abstract":"For analyzing the effects of the uncertainties of the fuzzy failure criterion and the input variables on fuzzy failure probability, the moment-independence importance measure (MIIM) model on the fuzzy failure probability for the fuzzy state structural system is proposed. Firstly, according to the fuzzy random theory, the fuzzy failure criterion is transformed into the equivalent additional random variable of the structural system, whose the probability density function (PDF) and cumulative distribution function (CDF) are obtained by analyzing the membership of the fuzzy failure criterion. Secondly, the equivalent performance function after introducing additional random variable is established. The difference between the conditional fuzzy failure probability and unconditional one is employed to define a moment-independent measure index in this paper. Through establishing surrogate model of equivalent performance function using kriging method, the kriging-based method is established to estimate the define MIIM index, which can reduce the computational cost effectively. An engineering example is used to demonstrate the feasibility and rationality of the proposed importance measure model and the efficient and precision of the kriging solution.","PeriodicalId":202597,"journal":{"name":"2016 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-Chengdu)","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122455951","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Dependence analysis of planetary gearbox vibration marginals","authors":"Libin Liu, M. Zuo, Xihui Liang","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2016.7819881","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2016.7819881","url":null,"abstract":"Time-frequency distribution (TFD) methods have been widely used for planetary gearbox fault detection. The aim of TFD is to represent a signal by a joint energy distribution in the time-frequency domain. Positivity is one of the most important properties for TFDs. Copula-based positive TFD construction methods utilize the time marginal, the frequency marginal and the dependence structure between the marginals. In this study, the dependence between the time marginal and the frequency marginal is studied explicitly by numerical and graphical rank-based statistics. Rank-based statistics are invariant with monotone transformations of the marginal distributions. This study demonstrates that the dependence does exist between the time marginal and the frequency marginal. The findings build one theoretical foundation for further study on copula-based TFD construction for one planetary gearbox vibration. Moreover, the results show that with the increase of the gearbox degradation, the Kendall's Tau's absolute value increases as well. This indicates that the more severe the fault is, the stronger the dependence would be.","PeriodicalId":202597,"journal":{"name":"2016 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-Chengdu)","volume":"252 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122819432","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A GKPCA-NHSMM based methodology for accurate RUL prognostics of nonlinear mechanical system with multistate deterioration","authors":"Gaige Chen, Jinglong Chen, Y. Zi","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2016.7819782","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2016.7819782","url":null,"abstract":"Remaining useful life (RUL) prognostics is a core problem in prognostics and health management (PHM). Accurate RUL prediction is crucial not only to the verification of mission goals but also to failure prevention and maintenance decision in a more effective and efficient manner. However, the substantial nonlinearity is one of most important challenges in deterioration modeling and RUL estimation of nonlinear mechanical system. An interesting contribution is the improvement of RUL prediction accuracy by the use of both greedy kernel principal components analysis (GKPCA) for dimensional reduction to extract feature from multi dimension data set of monitored nonlinear mechanical system and nonhomogeneous hidden semi-Markov model (NHSMM) to model the multistate deterioration process. A case study with the data set from turbofan engines is analyzed using the methodology, and by comparing the prediction accuracy with the previously linear PCA-NHSMM's, the result verifies the effectiveness (closer to actual RUL, earlier tracked health state, smaller boundary width) and efficiency(higher prognostics robustness) of the methodology.","PeriodicalId":202597,"journal":{"name":"2016 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-Chengdu)","volume":"61 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127685913","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Arc fault modeling and simulation in DC system based on Habedank model","authors":"Minghao Ju, Li Wang","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2016.7819827","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2016.7819827","url":null,"abstract":"Arc fault in DC system is an un-negligible hazard which should to be cut off immediately for system safety. In order to describe the character of the arc fault, an accurate arc model is in urgent need. This paper proposed a new method to confirm the parameters of Habedank model which used in DC system. The volt-ampere characteristics of arc from simulation and experiment are compared. Comparison shows that the method this paper proposed can simulate the characteristics of impedance of DC arc fault well.","PeriodicalId":202597,"journal":{"name":"2016 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-Chengdu)","volume":"77 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132246559","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jie Bian, Changqin Huo, Guang Tang, Jun Gao, Lisheng Lin
{"title":"Fault classification of rolling bearing based on LMD-sample entropy and LS-SVM","authors":"Jie Bian, Changqin Huo, Guang Tang, Jun Gao, Lisheng Lin","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2016.7819788","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2016.7819788","url":null,"abstract":"In view of the nonlinear and non-stationary characteristics of vibration signals for rolling bearings, a fault classification method of rolling bearing based on local mean decomposition (LMD)-sample entropy and Least Squares Support Vector Machines (LS-SVM) was proposed. LMD method was employed to decompose vibration signals of rolling bearings into several product function components, and sample entropy of the first few PF components containing main fault information was selected as the characteristic vectors. Then, LS-SVM was used to analyze and identify vibration signals of normal bearing, inner race faulty bearing and outer race faulty bearing. The results show that the method proposed in the paper can classify various states of rolling bearings effectively.","PeriodicalId":202597,"journal":{"name":"2016 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-Chengdu)","volume":"81 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114164172","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Research on health monitoring of LED lighting system","authors":"C. Ding, Tianyu Zhang","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2016.7819948","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2016.7819948","url":null,"abstract":"Intelligent monitoring is a useful method to improve the efficiency of maintenance and reduce running costs for the LED lighting system with scattered distribution and large quantity of LEDs. A simple and effective proposal is raised in this paper for LED health monitoring. Firstly, the relation curve between LED life and junction temperature is fitted out based on its parameters tested in factory. Then the relationship between junction temperature and input electric parameters is deduced by LED heating mechanism, and the mathematical model of about the two previous is established by applying BP neural network. Thus, based on the relationship between LED life and input electric parameters the intelligent monitoring system could be easy to construct. The health monitoring system is designed by applying Zigbee wireless technology, integrating the sampling circuit of the input electric parameters on LED driver, processing and analyzing the data which is sampled in the LED driver output side and then transmitted wirelessly to the PC. A principle prototype of the monitoring system is made to do experiments, and the experimental results have verified the validity and feasibility of the electric parameter sampling circuit and the ZigBee data transmission. It is proved that the method proposed can achieve the LED damage detection and predict the residual life through data analysis of input electric parameter.","PeriodicalId":202597,"journal":{"name":"2016 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-Chengdu)","volume":"66 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114488414","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Reliability data analysis of bogie components of high speed train","authors":"Ting Yun, Yong Qin, L. Jia, Yong Fu, Jinchu Zheng","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2016.7819892","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2016.7819892","url":null,"abstract":"A reliability model of components of bogie system including wheel and axle boxes device, suspension device, frame device, foundation brake device and driving device is proposed based on the real data of the CRH2 high speed train and the universal reliability model. Furthermore, Million kilometers' mean failure rate and mean distances between failures was computed. Reliability index of each component was analyzed. The reliability model parameters of each component were estimated using the maximum likelihood estimation method and the optimal failure distribution function was determined by A-D test method.","PeriodicalId":202597,"journal":{"name":"2016 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-Chengdu)","volume":"36 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114614618","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A degradation-modeling based prognostic approach for systems with switching operating process","authors":"Zhengxin Zhang, Changhua Hu, Xiaosheng Si, Shaohua Zhou","doi":"10.1109/PHM.2016.7819815","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM.2016.7819815","url":null,"abstract":"Degradation-modeling based prognostic approach has been proved as an effective alternative to the conventional lifetime-data dependent residual life prediction method, and thus draw much attention of both scholars and engineers in the field of reliability. The degradation process of a system is the result of interaction between its inner states and working environments. To provide a reasonable reference for the sequential decision making based on prognostic result, the influence of operation process has to been incorporated into degradation modeling and prognosis. Therefore, this paper concerns the residual life prediction issue for system experiencing switching operation process whose influence on the system's performance degradation includes both deterioration and shocks. Besides the fact that the concerned system exhibits different deteriorating rates in each operation state, the change of operation states introduces external stresses and causes mutation in performance of the system. Therefore, the operation process depicted through a continuous time Markov chain (CTMC) is incorporated into the system's degradation modeling, based on which the system's residual life distribution is derived approximately yet explicitly after it is defined under the concept of first hitting time (FHT). Such a residual lifetime distribution is quite desired in prognostics and health management, especially for cases where online updating is required. The proposed approach is illustrated and validated by a numerical study.","PeriodicalId":202597,"journal":{"name":"2016 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-Chengdu)","volume":"5 5","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"113932701","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}