Nature Sustainability最新文献_第4页

Intensification of climate change impacts on agriculture in the Cerrado due to deforestation 由于森林砍伐，气候变化对塞拉多农业的影响加剧

IF 25.7 1区环境科学与生态学

Nature Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-12-06 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01475-8

Argemiro Teixeira Leite-Filho, Britaldo Silveira Soares-Filho, Ubirajara Oliveira, Michael Coe

{"title":"Intensification of climate change impacts on agriculture in the Cerrado due to deforestation","authors":"Argemiro Teixeira Leite-Filho, Britaldo Silveira Soares-Filho, Ubirajara Oliveira, Michael Coe","doi":"10.1038/s41893-024-01475-8","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41893-024-01475-8","url":null,"abstract":"Deforestation not only contributes to global warming but also induces changes in the regional climates that impact agriculture. Here, we analyse the effects of deforestation-induced climate change on the soy–maize double cropping of the Cerrado biome. Since the 1980s, there has been an average delay of 36 days in the start of the agricultural rainy season, a 36.7% reduction in total rainfall over the period and a 1.5 °C rise in the temperature in the biome. Of the 8.1 million ha of soy–maize double cropping, 99% experienced delays in the agricultural rainy season and 61% faced reduced rainfall. Those changes have contributed to more frequent and severe soybean and maize crop shortfalls. Delays in the onset of the agricultural rainy season, reductions in rainfall and increases in maximum air temperatures occur more frequently in areas with extensive native vegetation loss. To sustain agricultural productivity in the Cerrado, it is crucial to conserve and restore its native vegetation. Deforestation has the potential to alter regional precipitation cycles. In the Cerrado biome, clearing of native vegetation has led to shortfalls of staple crops due to a delayed agricultural rainy season.","PeriodicalId":19056,"journal":{"name":"Nature Sustainability","volume":"8 1","pages":"34-43"},"PeriodicalIF":25.7,"publicationDate":"2024-12-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143121538","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Efficacy of mitigation strategies for aquifer sustainability under climate change 气候变化下缓解战略对含水层可持续性的效力

IF 25.7 1区环境科学与生态学

Nature Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-12-06 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01477-6

Chetan Sharma, Hakan Başağaoğlu, Icen Yoosefdoost, Adrienne Wootten, Debarati Chakraborty-Reddy, F. Paul Bertetti, Ali Mirchi, Debaditya Chakraborty

{"title":"Efficacy of mitigation strategies for aquifer sustainability under climate change","authors":"Chetan Sharma, Hakan Başağaoğlu, Icen Yoosefdoost, Adrienne Wootten, Debarati Chakraborty-Reddy, F. Paul Bertetti, Ali Mirchi, Debaditya Chakraborty","doi":"10.1038/s41893-024-01477-6","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41893-024-01477-6","url":null,"abstract":"Groundwater systems play a pivotal role in ensuring food and water security while maintaining vital ecosystem functions. The depletion of numerous global aquifers, however, raises concerns regarding the sustainability of groundwater withdrawals and environmental flows. Despite efforts to mitigate this decline, there remains a striking gap in proving the effectiveness of these measures. Our research focuses on the karstic Edwards Aquifer system in Texas to assess how effectively current mitigation strategies are protecting groundwater levels and spring flows, which are essential for biodiversity and water security. Using counterfactual artificial intelligence, we address the critical question: ‘What would have happened and may happen in the absence of the mitigation measures?’. This approach offers deep insights into both historical impacts and future projections under intermediate- and high-emission climate scenarios. By simulating what might have happened and could happen in the future without these mitigation measures, our approach provides a robust analysis of the real-world benefits of groundwater management strategies, highlighting their role in enhancing climate resilience and ensuring the sustainability of aquifers. Mitigation policy is critical for counteracting aquifer depletion, but measuring its success can be difficult. A counterfactual approach employing artificial intelligence can provide novel insights into the efficacy of mitigation policies.","PeriodicalId":19056,"journal":{"name":"Nature Sustainability","volume":"8 1","pages":"44-53"},"PeriodicalIF":25.7,"publicationDate":"2024-12-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-024-01477-6.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143121574","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

City–company collaboration towards aligned science-based target setting 城市-公司合作，以科学为基础的目标设定

IF 25.7 1区环境科学与生态学

Nature Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-12-04 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01473-w

Şiir Kılkış, Anders Bjørn, Xuemei Bai, Jianguo Liu, Gail Whiteman, Beatrice Crona, Lauren Seaby Andersen, Syezlin Hasan, Varsha Vijay, Oscar Sabag

{"title":"City–company collaboration towards aligned science-based target setting","authors":"Şiir Kılkış, Anders Bjørn, Xuemei Bai, Jianguo Liu, Gail Whiteman, Beatrice Crona, Lauren Seaby Andersen, Syezlin Hasan, Varsha Vijay, Oscar Sabag","doi":"10.1038/s41893-024-01473-w","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41893-024-01473-w","url":null,"abstract":"Cities and companies have great potential to reduce pressures on Earth system boundaries. Science-based target setting has emerged as a powerful tool to help achieve the potential, but its uptake has been limited. Moreover, cities and companies usually develop their targets separately, even though many are co-located. Focusing on the top 200 cities and 500 companies by greenhouse gas emissions, we analyse the current state and potential of adopting science-based targets for climate. Of these key actors, 110 cities with existing net-zero targets and 22 companies with existing science-based targets could together eliminate up to 3.41 GtCO2e of annual emissions. We argue that this reduction potential could increase by as much as 67% (to 5.70 GtCO2e) if the cities and companies that already have targets bring their co-located counterparts on board to keep abreast of their ambitions. Using freshwater as another example, we discuss entry points for addressing interrelated Earth system boundaries through city–company collaborations. Our findings elucidate previously untapped potentials that could accelerate transformations for operating within Earth system boundaries. Many of the world’s largest cities and leading companies have separately adopted targets for emissions and water-use reductions. This study examines how co-location and collaboration could enhance efforts to stay within Earth system boundaries.","PeriodicalId":19056,"journal":{"name":"Nature Sustainability","volume":"8 1","pages":"54-65"},"PeriodicalIF":25.7,"publicationDate":"2024-12-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-024-01473-w.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143121633","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Progress towards sustainable agriculture hampered by siloed scientific discourses 孤立的科学论述阻碍了可持续农业的进展

IF 25.7 1区环境科学与生态学

Nature Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-12-02 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01474-9

Klara Fischer, Giulia Vico, Helena Röcklinsberg, Hans Liljenström, Riccardo Bommarco

{"title":"Progress towards sustainable agriculture hampered by siloed scientific discourses","authors":"Klara Fischer, Giulia Vico, Helena Röcklinsberg, Hans Liljenström, Riccardo Bommarco","doi":"10.1038/s41893-024-01474-9","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41893-024-01474-9","url":null,"abstract":"There is no consensus in society on how to achieve sustainability. Scientists’ limited experience in reflecting on their guiding assumptions, combined with a tendency to inflate their own research findings, hinders interdisciplinary dialogue and limits the usefulness of science. Through bibliometrics and discourse analysis, we analysed highly cited articles on agroecology and sustainable intensification. In broad terms, agroecology prioritizes diversity while sidelining productivity and adheres to relational epistemology, while sustainable intensification emphasizes boosting crop production while reducing environmental impact within a reductionist epistemology. Both discourses claim to have the solution to agricultural sustainability but are largely inexplicit about their guiding assumptions and their own limitations, and rarely engage with research in the other discourse. Interdisciplinary dialogue based on transparent and self-critical reflection on the assumptions and limitations of research could increase the relevance of science in societal dialogues about alternative pathways towards sustainable agriculture. Two major discourses for agricultural sustainability, agroecology and sustainable intensification, have produced extensive research bases, but do not engage or overlap with each other. This analysis examines how these ‘silos’ may hamper further research.","PeriodicalId":19056,"journal":{"name":"Nature Sustainability","volume":"8 1","pages":"66-74"},"PeriodicalIF":25.7,"publicationDate":"2024-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-024-01474-9.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143121568","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Global evidence of human well-being and biodiversity impacts of natural climate solutions 自然气候解决方案对人类福祉和生物多样性影响的全球证据

IF 25.7 1区环境科学与生态学

Nature Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-12-02 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01454-z

Charlotte H. Chang, James T. Erbaugh, Paola Fajardo, Luci Lu, István Molnár, Dávid Papp, Brian E. Robinson, Kemen G. Austin, Miguel Castro, Samantha H. Cheng, Susan Cook-Patton, Peter W. Ellis, Teevrat Garg, Jacob P. Hochard, Timm Kroeger, Robert I. McDonald, Erin E. Poor, Lindsey S. Smart, Andrew R. Tilman, Preston Welker, Stephen A. Wood, Yuta J. Masuda

{"title":"Global evidence of human well-being and biodiversity impacts of natural climate solutions","authors":"Charlotte H. Chang, James T. Erbaugh, Paola Fajardo, Luci Lu, István Molnár, Dávid Papp, Brian E. Robinson, Kemen G. Austin, Miguel Castro, Samantha H. Cheng, Susan Cook-Patton, Peter W. Ellis, Teevrat Garg, Jacob P. Hochard, Timm Kroeger, Robert I. McDonald, Erin E. Poor, Lindsey S. Smart, Andrew R. Tilman, Preston Welker, Stephen A. Wood, Yuta J. Masuda","doi":"10.1038/s41893-024-01454-z","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41893-024-01454-z","url":null,"abstract":"Natural climate solutions (NCS) play a critical role in climate change mitigation. NCS can generate win–win co-benefits for biodiversity and human well-being, but they can also involve trade-offs (co-impacts). However, the massive evidence base on NCS co-benefits and possible trade-offs is poorly understood. We employ large language models to assess over 2 million published journal articles, primarily written in English, finding 257,266 relevant studies on NCS co-impacts. Using machine learning methods to extract data (for example, study location, species and other key variables), we create a global evidence map on NCS co-impacts. We find that global evidence on NCS co-impacts has grown approximately tenfold in three decades, and some of the most abundant evidence relates to NCS that have lower mitigation potential. Studies often examine multiple NCS, indicating some natural complementarities. Finally, we identify countries with high carbon mitigation potential but a relatively weak body of evidence on NCS co-impacts. Through effective methods and systematic and representative data on NCS co-impacts, we provide timely insights to inform NCS-related research and action globally. Rich evidence of the potential co-benefits and trade-offs of natural climate solutions is available but remains poorly understood. Assessing the literature with machine learning methods, this study maps and analyses the growing evidence of trade-offs in natural climate solutions globally.","PeriodicalId":19056,"journal":{"name":"Nature Sustainability","volume":"8 1","pages":"75-85"},"PeriodicalIF":25.7,"publicationDate":"2024-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143121541","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Potential increase of neurotoxic mercury risk in global blue carbon nature-based solutions 全球基于自然的蓝碳解决方案中神经毒性汞风险的潜在增加

IF 25.7 1区环境科学与生态学

Nature Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-11-29 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01471-y

Zhijia Ci, Wenjie Shen, Baowei Chen, Yanbin Li, Yongguang Yin, Xiaoshan Zhang, Yong Cai

引用次数: 0

Mercury risk in blue carbon ecosystems 蓝碳生态系统中的汞风险

IF 25.7 1区环境科学与生态学

Nature Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-11-29 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01472-x

Zhijia Ci, Wenjie Shen, Baowei Chen, Yanbin Li, Yongguang Yin, Xiaoshan Zhang, Yong Cai

引用次数: 0

Nutrient recycling potential of excreta for global crop and grassland production 全球作物和草地生产排泄物养分循环潜力

IF 25.7 1区环境科学与生态学

Nature Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-11-26 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01467-8

Mariana Devault, Dominic Woolf, Johannes Lehmann

{"title":"Nutrient recycling potential of excreta for global crop and grassland production","authors":"Mariana Devault, Dominic Woolf, Johannes Lehmann","doi":"10.1038/s41893-024-01467-8","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41893-024-01467-8","url":null,"abstract":"Nutrient recycling from wastes to agriculture can contribute to food production by closing yield gaps, yet the global amount of poorly utilized nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P) and potassium (K) in excreta at a subnational scale has been insufficiently explored. The global amounts found in human excreta and poorly utilized livestock excreta represent 16% (±7%), 8% (±9%) and 14% (±6%) of crop and grassland N, P and K needs, respectively. National recycling of nutrients in poorly utilized excreta could reduce global net imports of mineral fertilizers by 41% N, 3% P and 36% K. In countries where nutrient supply through locally available livestock excreta and mineral fertilizers do not meet nutrient requirements by crops and grasslands, the recycling of poorly utilized excreta could reduce this difference by, on average, 20% N, 11% P and 13% K, therefore contributing to the move towards a circular economy between food consumption and agriculture. Human and livestock excreta are rich sources of important agricultural nutrients, but are currently poorly utilized. Recycling these resources can help close the gap where mineral fertilizers are insufficient.","PeriodicalId":19056,"journal":{"name":"Nature Sustainability","volume":"8 1","pages":"99-111"},"PeriodicalIF":25.7,"publicationDate":"2024-11-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143121640","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Realizing soil health for food security in Africa 实现非洲土壤健康，保障粮食安全

IF 25.7 1区环境科学与生态学

Nature Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-11-26 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01482-9

Sieg Snapp, Jordan Chamberlin, Leigh Winowiecki, Tilahun Amede, Ermias Aynekulu, Samuel Gameda, Jeffrey E. Herrick, Rattan Lal, Paswel Marenya, Latha Nagarajan, Zachary Stewart, Tor Vågen

引用次数: 0

Author Correction: An exploration of biodiversity limits to grazing ruminant milk and meat production 作者更正：对放牧反刍动物奶和肉生产的生物多样性限制的探索

IF 25.7 1区环境科学与生态学

Nature Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-11-25 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01498-1

Kajsa Resare Sahlin, Line J. Gordon, Regina Lindborg, Johannes Piipponen, Pierre Van Rysselberge, Julia Rouet-Leduc, Elin Röös

引用次数: 0