Nature Sustainability最新文献

{"title":"Preparing for disasters","authors":"","doi":"10.1038/s41893-026-01956-y","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41893-026-01956-y","url":null,"abstract":"The impacts of extreme natural events are dramatic for both people and physical infrastructure. More can and should be done to contain the damage and prevent loss of life.","PeriodicalId":19056,"journal":{"name":"Nature Sustainability","volume":"9 10","pages":"1473-1473"},"PeriodicalIF":32.1,"publicationDate":"2026-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.comhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-026-01956-y.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149214714","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Beyond resilience in a changing Himalaya","authors":"Muhammad Sajjad","doi":"10.1038/s41893-026-01958-w","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41893-026-01958-w","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19056,"journal":{"name":"Nature Sustainability","volume":"9 10","pages":"1476-1476"},"PeriodicalIF":32.1,"publicationDate":"2026-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149214675","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Count what can be lost at once","authors":"Zaheer Allam, Rushaa Badaloo, Borhan Sepehri, Ali Cheshmehzangi","doi":"10.1038/s41893-026-01957-x","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41893-026-01957-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19056,"journal":{"name":"Nature Sustainability","volume":"9 10","pages":"1475-1475"},"PeriodicalIF":32.1,"publicationDate":"2026-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149214746","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Himalayan hazards to high-mountain hydropower","authors":"Wolfgang Schwanghart, Ankit Agarwal, Oliver Korup","doi":"10.1038/s41893-026-01955-z","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41893-026-01955-z","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19056,"journal":{"name":"Nature Sustainability","volume":"9 10","pages":"1474-1474"},"PeriodicalIF":32.1,"publicationDate":"2026-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149214737","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Integrating shipping growth and ballast water management to assess invasive species risks","authors":"Zhaojun Wang, Zhe Dong, Sarah A. Bailey","doi":"10.1038/s41893-026-01891-y","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41893-026-01891-y","url":null,"abstract":"Maritime trade supports global economic development, but it also links distant marine ecosystems and can move organisms beyond their native ranges. A major pathway is ballast water, seawater carried by ships for stability and released during cargo operations. These discharges may contain viable organisms that can establish as non-indigenous species, with consequences for biodiversity, ecosystem services and coastal economies. International ballast water regulation has therefore required treatment systems that filter, disinfect or otherwise inactivate organisms before discharge. Yet the protection delivered by these systems may be challenged by future growth in shipping and by variation in treatment performance across vessel operations and environmental conditions. Here we assess whether ballast water management can keep pace with projected changes in maritime activity. We combine machine learning projections of shipping under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways with a global introduction-risk model that explicitly represents compliance and treatment efficacy. We show that, even with widespread ballast water treatment, projected shipping growth can substantially increase future introduction risk unless treatment systems achieve consistently high efficacy. Across Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, future risk ranges from 94% to 900% of the 2018 baseline, depending on shipping growth trajectories, ballast water management efficacy and compliance. These results indicate that technology adoption alone may be insufficient to counteract the ecological consequences of expanding maritime trade. More adaptive ballast water governance, improved compliance and sustained optimization of treatment performance will be needed to reduce future biological invasion risks in a rapidly intensifying global shipping system. Maritime shipping is a leading vector for marine bioinvasions, and ballast water regulations now apply to all international ships. A study now shows that growth in shipping traffic could amplify the global invasion risk to 94–900% of the 2018 baseline by 2100, even under widespread treatment compliance.","PeriodicalId":19056,"journal":{"name":"Nature Sustainability","volume":"9 8","pages":"1171-1179"},"PeriodicalIF":32.1,"publicationDate":"2026-08-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148785266","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Beyond the engine room","authors":"","doi":"10.1038/s41893-026-01919-3","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41893-026-01919-3","url":null,"abstract":"Technological progress can help address the environmental impacts of shipping, but implementing solutions remains slow and problematic. Understanding shipping as a complex physical, economic and governance system is the key to accelerating a sustainable transition.","PeriodicalId":19056,"journal":{"name":"Nature Sustainability","volume":"9 8","pages":"1129-1129"},"PeriodicalIF":32.1,"publicationDate":"2026-08-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.comhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-026-01919-3.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148785271","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Black carbon emissions and climate impacts of cost-saving Arctic transit shipping through 2050","authors":"Wen Yi, Nikita Strelkovskii, Tingkun He, Weiwei Zhang, Xiaotong Wang, Elena Rovenskaya, Xueqing Wang, Yihang Gong, Zhenyu Luo, Kebin He, Huan Liu","doi":"10.1038/s41893-026-01877-w","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41893-026-01877-w","url":null,"abstract":"As climate change accelerates, emerging Arctic routes offer economic gains by shortening voyages but pose climate risks through black carbon deposition on snow and ice. Here we assess Arctic transit shipping at the global scale. Among 295 port pairs with reduced distance, only 249 achieve positive net economic benefits when accounting for fuel, transit, insurance, capital costs and turnover profits. By 2050, Arctic transit shipping could generate up to US$2.3 billion annually. Black carbon emissions are expected to reach 2,200 tons, with a regional maximum temperature response of 2.0–2.9 mK per US$1 billion of economic benefit. Rising fuel prices are expected to increase the economic attractiveness of Arctic transit shipping. Faster energy transitions could enable earlier decoupling of economic benefits from climate impacts, whereas slower transitions may require adjustments such as transit fees and insurance premiums to limit climate risks. Arctic transit routes offer economic gains from shorter voyages but increase regional black carbon deposition on snow and ice. A study now models the economic benefits and climate impacts of Arctic transit shipping through 2050, exploring the trade-offs of different policies.","PeriodicalId":19056,"journal":{"name":"Nature Sustainability","volume":"9 8","pages":"1243-1255"},"PeriodicalIF":32.1,"publicationDate":"2026-08-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148785283","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Phased fuel transition for low-carbon shipping","authors":"Chengjiang Li, Xiu Gu, Quande Qin, Wei Zhang, Guoteng Xu, Jing Yang, Kuishang Feng","doi":"10.1038/s41893-026-01907-7","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41893-026-01907-7","url":null,"abstract":"Along the Asia–Europe shipping corridor, biofuels offer the strongest near-term option, potentially cutting greenhouse gas emissions by 31–47%, while electrofuels become more competitive after 2040 under the International Maritime Organization Net-Zero Framework. Policymakers could therefore adopt a phased strategy that prioritizes biofuels now and prepares infrastructure for electrofuels after 2040, to avoid locking shipping into transitional fossil fuels.","PeriodicalId":19056,"journal":{"name":"Nature Sustainability","volume":"9 8","pages":"1139-1140"},"PeriodicalIF":32.1,"publicationDate":"2026-08-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.comhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-026-01907-7.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148785284","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"From corporate net-zero pledges to credible climate action","authors":"Ramana Gudipudi, Luis Costa, Ponraj Arumugam, Matthew Agarwala, Felix Creutzig, Jürgen P. Kropp","doi":"10.1038/s41893-026-01908-6","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41893-026-01908-6","url":null,"abstract":"Corporate net-zero pledges have proliferated, yet evidence increasingly suggests that most fall short of real-world impacts. This reflects not a lack of ambition but a lack of scientific foundations needed to ensure credibility and integrity in corporate climate action. This uncertainty underpins a trillion-dollar question: how capital and policy mechanisms can be directed towards actions that genuinely reduce emissions. A scientific infrastructure built around four interconnected research frontiers can close this gap, making corporate climate commitments credible, comparable and policy-relevant at scale. This could redirect trillions of dollars in investments towards genuine climate action. Although corporate net-zero pledges have become popular, evidence suggests they are not having real-world impacts, most probably because they lack a scientific foundation to ensure credibility and integrity. This Perspective presents a scientific framework to address the issue.","PeriodicalId":19056,"journal":{"name":"Nature Sustainability","volume":"9 10","pages":"1501-1511"},"PeriodicalIF":32.1,"publicationDate":"2026-07-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149214736","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Towards safe and just planetary boundaries for novel entities","authors":"Miriam L. Diamond, Anna Shalin, Lin Boynton, Andrew Hicks, Matthis H. Schäfer, Miguel van der Velden, Shengnan Wang, Lixi Wang, Huadong Xing, Derek C. G. Muir, Albert Norström, Fatima Denton, Johan Rockström, Zhanyun Wang","doi":"10.1038/s41893-026-01906-8","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41893-026-01906-8","url":null,"abstract":"The Planetary Boundaries framework shows that humanity is veering outside the conditions that safeguard the continued health and well-being of society. Setting safe and just limits for novel entities, specifically anthropogenic chemicals and materials, has been difficult because of their sheer number and diverse characteristics, hampering effective management. To inspire future work, we present a conceptual framework comprising three interconnected pillars, considering both well-known novel entities and ‘unknown knowns and known unknowns’. This framework is intended to assess boundaries and chart transformation pathways towards societal systems that benefit from novel entities while minimizing pressures on ecosystems and human health. The uncontrolled production and release of human-made substances, or novel entities, has substantial environmental consequences. Here the authors propose a framework for assessing the long-term safety and environmental impacts of these novel entities that accounts for their vast number, diversity and complex interactions.","PeriodicalId":19056,"journal":{"name":"Nature Sustainability","volume":"9 10","pages":"1491-1500"},"PeriodicalIF":32.1,"publicationDate":"2026-07-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149214717","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}