Land Use Policy最新文献

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Building resilience in communities through integrating climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction policies in Nepal 通过整合尼泊尔的气候变化适应和减少灾害风险政策,建立社区的复原力
IF 6 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107471
Nabin Dhungana , Suraj Upadhaya , Man Bahadur Bishwakarma , Chiranjeewee Khadka , Hari Krishna Bhattarai , Chun-Hung Lee
{"title":"Building resilience in communities through integrating climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction policies in Nepal","authors":"Nabin Dhungana ,&nbsp;Suraj Upadhaya ,&nbsp;Man Bahadur Bishwakarma ,&nbsp;Chiranjeewee Khadka ,&nbsp;Hari Krishna Bhattarai ,&nbsp;Chun-Hung Lee","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107471","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107471","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Effective integration of climate change adaptation (CCA) and disaster risk reduction (DRR) can contribute to building community resilience. Despite shared objectives of reducing vulnerability and enhancing resilience, DRR and CCA efforts remain fragmented, limiting their effectiveness. This study examines the integration of CCA and DRR policies and practices in Nepal, focusing on the Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA) and Local Disaster Risk Management Plan (LDRMP) and their framework. Using a mixed-method approach, this study identifies challenges, opportunities, and entry points for the integration of CCA and DRR. There is poor community awareness of LAPAs and LDRMPs, but potential for improvement. The results also highlight overlapping methodologies, tools, and stakeholders in LAPA and LDRMP, indicating opportunities for synergies in planning, resource allocation, and implementation. A proposed framework for integration emphasizes community-driven approaches, policy coherence, and stakeholder coordination. This integration is crucial for achieving resilient development, reducing duplication, and comprehensively addressing climate-induced and disaster risks at local levels.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107471"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142990219","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Rainfall shocks and land conflicts: Evidence from rural Uganda and Kenya 降雨冲击和土地冲突:来自乌干达和肯尼亚农村的证据
IF 6 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107476
Rayner Tabetando , Francisco M.P. Mugizi , Djomo Choumbou Raoul Fani
{"title":"Rainfall shocks and land conflicts: Evidence from rural Uganda and Kenya","authors":"Rayner Tabetando ,&nbsp;Francisco M.P. Mugizi ,&nbsp;Djomo Choumbou Raoul Fani","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107476","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107476","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the impact of negative rainfall shocks on farmland conflicts among smallholder households in Kenya and Uganda. By matching farm-level data with rainfall shocks data constructed from high-resolution precipitation data, the study provides estimates on the incidence of land conflicts. Using fixed effect models, the results indicate that communities in both Kenya and Uganda that have experienced negative rainfall shocks have a land conflict incidence that is at least 4 percentage points higher compared to those that have not experienced such shocks. In both Kenya and Uganda, further analysis reveals that the incidence of land inheritance conflict is at least 1.1 percentage points higher in communities that are prone to negative rainfall shocks compared to those that have not experienced such shocks. Although both countries show significantly lower levels of land conflicts on registered (titled) parcels, land registration does not seem to reduce the incidence of land conflicts in communities that are prone to negative rainfall shocks. Therefore, we recommend implementing measures to manage rainfall variability—such as improved irrigation systems or drought-resistant crops—communities may experience less pressure on resources, thus reducing the likelihood of conflicts arising from land scarcity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107476"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142990218","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Property valuation principles – How policy changes can be detrimental to urban development 物业估价原则-政策变化如何损害城市发展
IF 6 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2025-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107474
Aneta Chmielewska , Marek Walacik , Richard Grover
{"title":"Property valuation principles – How policy changes can be detrimental to urban development","authors":"Aneta Chmielewska ,&nbsp;Marek Walacik ,&nbsp;Richard Grover","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107474","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107474","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Local government units rely primarily on their own revenues for financing, with sources varying in fiscal efficiency and functions. Key among these are local fees and property taxes, crucial for municipal income in most developed economies. In regions without ad valorem taxes, alternatives like betterment levies on changes in real estate structures are used. Property valuation principles, which define the scope and methods, are critical and often impact urban development. This article investigates how legal adjustments in property valuation for betterment levies affect municipal revenues and urban development policies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107474"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142990220","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The coupling development of energy-economy-environment from the perspective of rural households: Insights into preventing returning to poverty
IF 6 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2025-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107469
Xin Cheng , Ziyi Yu , Jingyue Gao , Li Chen , Yaru Jiang , Yanting Liu , Yan Dai , Jia Chen , Chaofan Wang , Chenfeng Wang , Yongjie Zheng , Huimin Zhou , Guangjie Liu , Jiaxuan Deng , Zhiju Xie
{"title":"The coupling development of energy-economy-environment from the perspective of rural households: Insights into preventing returning to poverty","authors":"Xin Cheng ,&nbsp;Ziyi Yu ,&nbsp;Jingyue Gao ,&nbsp;Li Chen ,&nbsp;Yaru Jiang ,&nbsp;Yanting Liu ,&nbsp;Yan Dai ,&nbsp;Jia Chen ,&nbsp;Chaofan Wang ,&nbsp;Chenfeng Wang ,&nbsp;Yongjie Zheng ,&nbsp;Huimin Zhou ,&nbsp;Guangjie Liu ,&nbsp;Jiaxuan Deng ,&nbsp;Zhiju Xie","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107469","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107469","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Interactions among energy, economic, and environmental systems are acknowledged, yet research on the coupling of these systems in rural areas remains limited. This study reveals the coupling development of energy-economy-environment (3E) systems from the perspective of rural households based on 1251 household questionnaires in 52 villages in China, using the dual cut-off method and coupling coordination degree model. The results indicate that: (1) The coupling and coordination of 3E systems in rural areas have gradually improved over time. However, each region in rural China is in a different stage of economic development and has a distinct energy consumption structure. (2) The key influencing factors of the 3E systems are power supply stability, years of schooling, and environmental conditions. (3) The coordinated development of 3E systems could effectively mitigate the risk of returning to poverty. This study offers valuable insights for enhancing rural revitalization and facilitating the modernization process of agriculture and rural regions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107469"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143097215","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Nature-based solutions and urban planning in the Global South: Challenge orientations, typologies, and viability for cities 全球南部地区基于自然的解决方案和城市规划:城市的挑战方向、类型和可行性
IF 6 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2025-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107439
Anna Giulia Castaldo , Margherita Gori Nocentini , Fabiano Lemes de Oliveira , Israa H. Mahmoud
{"title":"Nature-based solutions and urban planning in the Global South: Challenge orientations, typologies, and viability for cities","authors":"Anna Giulia Castaldo ,&nbsp;Margherita Gori Nocentini ,&nbsp;Fabiano Lemes de Oliveira ,&nbsp;Israa H. Mahmoud","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107439","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107439","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Urban Nature-based Solutions (NBS) are increasingly employed in research and practice to address the pressing environmental, social and economic challenges affecting cities. Nonetheless, there is a noticeable lack of an overview of the scholarship on the use of NBS in the Global South (GS) focusing especially on urban contexts, even though GS cities face unique socio-ecological challenges that could be addressed with NBS, as cost-effective and sustainable alternatives to grey infrastructural interventions. Through a systematic literature review, this article aims to examine the extent to which NBS are discussed in academic literature regarding the GS. The results show that NBS in the GS are mobilised especially to address two cross-cutting issues: rapid urbanization and informal settlements, and the impacts of climate change. NBS actions are explored both to incorporate nature into the urban environment and to \"re-naturalise\" existing urban areas. Water-related NBS types are the most numerous, and some research gaps highlighted are the need to further explore NBS for food safety and the lack of sufficient emphasis on reducing the Urban Heat Island effect (UHI), emphasising the importance of considering the social and economic context for the inclusion of NBS in the urban policy agenda. In terms of challenges related to the implementation and the mainstreaming of NBS adoption in urban agendas, the research highlights the problems of awareness, information accessibility, and financial sustainability. Finally, the review also raises the question of the involvement of external actors, while stressing the need to balance this involvement to avoid undermining local institutional capacity and public sector participation in the planning and implementation of NBS.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107439"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142990221","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evolution of rural human-earth system in midstream of China’s Yellow River and its implications for land use planning: A study of Lingbao County, Henan Province
IF 6 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2025-01-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107475
Yu Zhao , Yuheng Li , Yansui Liu , Xuefeng Yuan
{"title":"Evolution of rural human-earth system in midstream of China’s Yellow River and its implications for land use planning: A study of Lingbao County, Henan Province","authors":"Yu Zhao ,&nbsp;Yuheng Li ,&nbsp;Yansui Liu ,&nbsp;Xuefeng Yuan","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107475","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107475","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Human-Earth relations, particularly in rural areas of China, have been significantly transformed due to the unprecedented rate of urbanization and industrialization. Rural Human-Earth System (RHES) offers a comprehensive framework to better understand this changing relationship in rural areas. Exploring the differentiation and evolution of RHES, especially via systematic methodology, is crucial for category-based and region-specific practice of China’s rural revitalization strategies. Taking Lingbao, a representative region in the midstream of the Yellow River Basin, this study employed multi-source geographical data to identify the differentiation of RHES at the finer scale. Additionally, this research developed a random forest model to simulate the evolution and transformation of Lingbao’s RHES from 2000 to 2020. The results showed that Lingbao’s RHES could be classified into four subsystems–ecological (ECS), agricultural (AGS), rural-town (RTS), and urban-town (UTS)–exhibiting significant spatial heterogeneity. During the study period, the proportions of the ECS, RTS, and UTS increased by 2.98 %, 2.92 %, and 0.46 % respectively, whereas that of the AGS decreased by 6.36 %. Moreover, the proportion of AGS transforming to RTS increased consistently and became the dominant trajectory in 2010, surpassing the traditional AGS-to-ECS conversion pattern. The AGS served as a critical spatial carrier for RHES transformation, owing to its malleability and vulnerability. The evolution of these subsystems follows an “imbalance-coordination” cycle, driven by spatial optimization and self-organization processes. These findings help to design more targeted land use planning and to provide crucial insights for implementing differentiated rural revitalization strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107475"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143097214","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Explanation of land-use system evolution: Modes, trends, and mechanisms
IF 6 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2025-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107470
Guipeng Zhou , Hualou Long
{"title":"Explanation of land-use system evolution: Modes, trends, and mechanisms","authors":"Guipeng Zhou ,&nbsp;Hualou Long","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107470","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107470","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Deepening the theoretical discussion of land-use systems (LUSs) supports land system science and regional sustainable development. This research discusses the demand-driven mode and spatial development mode of the evolution of LUS; further, it explores the underlying trends of the evolution of LUS, analyzes the links and cross-scale interactions between the evolution and transformation of LUS, and presents an empirical study on Shuangda Village, Guangxi, China. The following conclusions have been obtained: (1) \"Benefits demands – internal-external interaction – structural evolution – functional development\" represents the demand-driven mode of the evolution and growth of LUS. While theoretically, this mode can run in an infinite loop, in reality, regional LUS and its corresponding social system will develop into a steady-state phase. (2) \"Extensive expansion – internal densification – scale breakthrough\" represents the mode of spatial development and expansion of LUS. The key clue to the formation of this mode lies in \"benefits demands\". If LUS can achieve a \"scale breakthrough\", a higher-level \"extensive expansion\" development will be initiated. (3) The evolutions of LUSs follow two underlying trends: integration and decoupling. Spatial and functional differentiation is the process of promoting the integration or decoupling of LUSs. The integration of multiple LUSs is a process of their synergy, differentiation, and division of labor. The decoupling of LUS represents the local redifferentiation and redivision of labor under the background of local independence and overall de-synergization of the LUS. (4) There is a \"quantitative change – qualitative change\" link between the evolution and transformation of LUS, which runs through the cross-scale or multi-scales. The \"benefits demands\" is the main line running through the evolution and transformation of LUS at all scales. The smaller the spatial scale and scope of the observation unit, the easier it is to accelerate the overall velocity of the evolution and transformation of LUS. Cross-scale interactions between the evolution and transformation of LUS can guide the regional division of labor, improve the regional supply-demand circulation, and unlock development opportunities and benefits. (5) The development process of Shuangda Village verifies the theory of this research. The trend of the LUS of Shuangda Village to integrate with the larger-scale LUS of the outside world is being strengthened. While Shuangda Village has achieved progress in land-use transformation and rural revitalization, it also faces difficulties.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107470"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143098303","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Drivers of reforestation across land-use sectors in the state of São Paulo, Brazil 巴西圣保罗州土地利用部门重新造林的驱动因素
IF 6 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2025-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107477
A.S. Duden , P.A. Verweij , A.C. Martensen , R.W. Verburg
{"title":"Drivers of reforestation across land-use sectors in the state of São Paulo, Brazil","authors":"A.S. Duden ,&nbsp;P.A. Verweij ,&nbsp;A.C. Martensen ,&nbsp;R.W. Verburg","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107477","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107477","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Upscaling reforestation efforts is essential to meet ambitious global reforestation targets, requiring a clear understanding of the drivers and facilitating factors of forest gain, which may vary across land-use sectors. We analyse drivers of forest area change across various land-use sectors in the Atlantic Forest of São Paulo state, Brazil, to identify the Forest Transition pathway that best explains reforestation patterns. Using multiple regression, we found that reforestation is preferentially more likely to occur on mixed farming land and less likely on land used for cash crop production. Between 1990 and 2020, gross forest area change was about 10 times greater than net forest area change. Considerable overlap exists between the drivers and facilitating factors of both reforestation and deforestation, suggesting a mix of more dynamic (with higher forest area gains and losses) and more stable landscapes in São Paulo’s Atlantic Forest. However, many drivers and facilitating factors are uniquely tied to reforestation in specific land-use types. Reforestation does not fit neatly into a single Forest Transition pathway, but we can identify different pathways by considering the land-use type that was replaced. Reforestation on mixed farming land, which accounts for 77 % of reforestation events, shows a strong connection to the Forest Policy pathway. If different land uses follow distinct Forest Transition pathways, a one-size-fits-all approach may be ineffective for scaling up reforestation. Our findings indicate that ( various pathways provide opportunities to target specific land-use sectors for reforestation scaling. Recognising the differences in reforestation drivers across sectors is a key step towards aligning policy incentives with these drivers effectively.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107477"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142990222","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Socio-economic impacts, challenges, and strategies for whole-region comprehensive land consolidation in China
IF 6 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2025-01-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107461
Yang Zhou , Peixuan Li , Qi Zhang , Guoqiang Cheng
{"title":"Socio-economic impacts, challenges, and strategies for whole-region comprehensive land consolidation in China","authors":"Yang Zhou ,&nbsp;Peixuan Li ,&nbsp;Qi Zhang ,&nbsp;Guoqiang Cheng","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107461","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107461","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Amid increasingly complex challenges of unsustainable rural development, China introduced the whole-region comprehensive land consolidation (WCLC) policy in late 2019. The WCLC aims to address issues such as farmland fragmentation, inefficient construction land use, disorganized village layouts, and ecological degradation. Building on the WCLC socio-economic and ecological benefits analysis framework, this study takes Dudu village in central Anhui Province, China, as a case study to assess its socio-economic benefits through cost-benefit analysis. Results indicate that WCLC represents a progressive phase in land consolidation, integrating a bottom-up approach with extensive collaboration across departments and stakeholders. Despite its high cost, WCLC proves economically viable and yields substantial socio-economic benefits, including enhanced land utilization efficiency, reduced costs, increased gain yields, improved agricultural conditions, and strengthened community cohesion. WCLC has indeed played a significant role in optimizing rural production-living-ecological spaces. However, challenges persist, encompassing an inadequate and underdeveloped mechanism for diversified funding inputs, limited societal engagement, insufficient impetus from local governments for implementation, a lack of comprehensive systemic consideration, and the absence of well-defined performance evaluation criteria for the project. Addressing these issues through innovative policies and institutional reforms is essential to enhance WCLC's effectiveness, contributing to rural revitalization and sustainable development. These findings provide valuable insights for China and other nations seeking to refine land use policies for optimal resource allocation and regional sustainability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107461"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143098302","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Spatially explicit carbon emissions from land use change: Dynamics and scenario simulation in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration
IF 6 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2025-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107473
Yuanyuan Yang , Mingying Yang , Boxuan Zhao , Ziwen Lu , Xiao Sun , Zhengfeng Zhang
{"title":"Spatially explicit carbon emissions from land use change: Dynamics and scenario simulation in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration","authors":"Yuanyuan Yang ,&nbsp;Mingying Yang ,&nbsp;Boxuan Zhao ,&nbsp;Ziwen Lu ,&nbsp;Xiao Sun ,&nbsp;Zhengfeng Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107473","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107473","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Land use change is a critical enabler for climatic change and consequently becomes a key source of carbon emissions. It is pivotal to track changes in carbon emissions from diverse land uses and model their future patterns in a geographically explicit manner which could capture spatial configuration and temporal dynamics from fine-resolution analyses, particularly in urban agglomerations with intense human activities. Yet, spatially explicit land-use carbon emissions have been poorly investigated; especially, no existing research to our knowledge quantifies the carbon emissions from different construction land types and tracks their changes along the urban-rural gradients. To fill in this gap, we examined carbon emissions associated with land use change during 2000–2020 in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (abbreviated as BTH) region, China, and then simulated future carbon emissions by adopting the PLUS model to project land use patterns in 2035 under three scenarios, including business as usual (BAU), cropland protection and grain security (CPGS), and low-carbon ecological security (LCES) at a 1 km resolution. Results showed that regional carbon emissions rose first and then dropped with total increase of 11,047.29 × 10<sup>4</sup> t during 2000–2020, approximate 10 times as the increase in carbon absorption (1106.89 ×10<sup>4</sup> t), indicating a big challenge toward carbon neutrality. The expansion of industrial and mining land and urban construction land contributed the most to emissions. Besides, both intensities of carbon emission and absorption presented spatial differentiation across urban-rural gradients and as urbanization accelerated, both urban and urban-rural fringe areas are considered the priority regions for CO<sub>2</sub> reduction efforts. By 2035, the largest carbon emissions will occur in the BAU scenario, followed by the CPGS and LCES scenarios which will witness the positive change exceeding the negative change. These findings offer insights for optimizing territorial spatial pattern locally and provide spatially explicit information for implementing regional low-carbon policies around urban agglomerations worldwide.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107473"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143149158","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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