Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health最新文献

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Gram-Negative Colonization and Bacterial Translocation Drive Neonatal Sepsis in the Indian Setting. 印度新生儿败血症的革兰氏阴性菌定植和细菌迁移驱动因素
IF 3.8 4区 医学
Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health Pub Date : 2024-09-30 DOI: 10.1007/s44197-024-00303-8
Faiza Iqbal, Apurv Barche, Padmaja A Shenoy, Leslie Edward S Lewis, Jayashree Purkayastha, K E Vandana
{"title":"Gram-Negative Colonization and Bacterial Translocation Drive Neonatal Sepsis in the Indian Setting.","authors":"Faiza Iqbal, Apurv Barche, Padmaja A Shenoy, Leslie Edward S Lewis, Jayashree Purkayastha, K E Vandana","doi":"10.1007/s44197-024-00303-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s44197-024-00303-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The gut microbiota, comprising billions of microorganisms, plays a pivotal role in health and disease. This study aims to investigate the effect of sepsis on gut microbiome of neonates admitted to the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A prospective cohort study was carried out in the NICU of tertiary care hospital in Karnataka, India, from January 2021 to September 2023. Preterm neonates with birth weight < 1500 g and gestational age < 37 weeks were recruited, excluding those with congenital gastrointestinal anomalies, necrotizing enterocolitis, or blood culture-negative infections. The study population was divided into three groups: healthy neonates (Group A), neonates with drug-sensitive GNB sepsis (Group B), and neonates with pan drug-resistant GNB sepsis (Group C). Stool samples were collected aseptically, snapped in liquid nitrogen, and stored at -80⁰C for extraction of DNA and microbiome analysis.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The gut microbiota of healthy neonates (Group A) was dominated by Proteobacteria (24.04%), Actinobacteria (27.13%), Firmicutes (12.74%), and Bacteroidetes (3%). Predominant genera included Bifidobacterium (55.17%), Enterobacter (12.55%), Enterococcus (50.69%), Streptococcus (7.92%), and Bacteroides (3.58%).Groups B and C, the microbiota exhibited higher Proteobacteria abundance (57.16% and 66.58%, respectively) and reduced diversity of beneficial bacteria. Notably, the presence of sepsis was associated with an increase in pathogenic bacteria and a decrease in beneficial commensal bacteria.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Neonates with sepsis exhibited significant gut microbiome dysbiosis, characterized by increased Proteobacteria and reduced beneficial bacteria diversity. These findings highlight the potential of microbiome profiling as a diagnostic tool and underscore the importance of gut microbiota modulation in managing neonatal sepsis.</p>","PeriodicalId":15796,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142348021","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prevalence of Functional Difficulty Among School-Aged Children and Effect on School Enrolment in Rural Southern India: A Cross-Sectional Analysis. 印度南部农村地区学龄儿童功能性障碍的普遍性及其对入学率的影响:一项横断面分析。
IF 3.8 4区 医学
Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1007/s44197-024-00293-7
Bobeena Rachel Chandy, Calum Davey, William E Oswald, Saravanakumar Puthupalayam Kaliappan, Kumudha Aruldas, Lena Morgon Banks, Smitha Jasper, Guru Nagarajan, Sean Galagan, David S Kennedy, Judd L Walson, Beena Koshy, Sitara S R Ajjampur, Hannah Kuper
{"title":"Prevalence of Functional Difficulty Among School-Aged Children and Effect on School Enrolment in Rural Southern India: A Cross-Sectional Analysis.","authors":"Bobeena Rachel Chandy, Calum Davey, William E Oswald, Saravanakumar Puthupalayam Kaliappan, Kumudha Aruldas, Lena Morgon Banks, Smitha Jasper, Guru Nagarajan, Sean Galagan, David S Kennedy, Judd L Walson, Beena Koshy, Sitara S R Ajjampur, Hannah Kuper","doi":"10.1007/s44197-024-00293-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44197-024-00293-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Despite the large number of children in India, there is little information on the impact of children's disability on school enrolment, and how this differs by population. We estimated the prevalence of childhood disability in two sites in Tamil Nadu, southern India, and the effect of functional difficulty on school enrolment. We used a parent-reported survey containing the UNICEF-Washington Group questions to identify children aged 5 to 17 years with functional difficulty during a census conducted for an ongoing trial. We estimated pooled- and gender-specific prevalence of functional difficulty among 29,044 children. We fitted regression models to identify subgroups with higher rates of functional difficulty and the effect of functional difficulty on reported school enrolment. We estimated the modification of the effect of functional difficulty by age, gender, socioeconomic status, household education, and sub-site, on additive and multiplicative scales. We found of 29,044 children, 299 (1.0%) had any functional difficulty, equal among boys and girls. Being understood (0.5%) and walking (0.4%) were the most common difficulties. Functional difficulty was strongly associated with non-enrolment in school (Prevalence ratio [PR] 4.59, 95% CI: 3.87, 5.43) after adjusting for age, gender, and site. We show scale-dependent differences between age and socioeconomic groups in the effect of functional difficulty on enrolment. This study shows that at least one in a hundred children in this region have severe functional difficulties and nearly half of these children are not enrolled in school, highlighting the need for further efforts and evidence-based interventions to increase school enrolment among these groups.</p>","PeriodicalId":15796,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142288997","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prevalence and Trends of Not Receiving a Dose of DPT-Containing Vaccine Among Children 12-35 Months: An Analysis of 81 Low- And Middle-Income Countries. 12-35 个月儿童未接种含白喉、百日咳和破伤风三联疫苗的流行率和趋势:对 81 个中低收入国家的分析。
IF 3.8 4区 医学
Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1007/s44197-024-00294-6
Omar Karlsson, Sunil Rajpal, Mira Johri, Rockli Kim, S V Subramanian
{"title":"Prevalence and Trends of Not Receiving a Dose of DPT-Containing Vaccine Among Children 12-35 Months: An Analysis of 81 Low- And Middle-Income Countries.","authors":"Omar Karlsson, Sunil Rajpal, Mira Johri, Rockli Kim, S V Subramanian","doi":"10.1007/s44197-024-00294-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s44197-024-00294-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Not receiving a DPT-containing vaccine in early childhood indicates an absence of routine immunization, which puts children at an elevated risk of mortality, morbidity, and worse human development over the life course. We estimated the percentage of children 12-35 months who did not receive a dose of DPT-containing vaccine (termed zero-dose children) using household surveys from 81 low- and middle-income countries conducted between 2014 and 2023. For 68 countries with more than one survey (with the earlier survey conducted 2000-2013), we estimated the average annual percentage point change in prevalence of zero-dose children between the earliest and latest surveys. We also explored the association of zero-dose prevalence with postneonatal and child mortality, health expenditure, and Gavi-eligibility. Overall, 16% of children in our pooled sample had not received a dose of DPT-containing vaccine. There was a 0.8% point decline in zero-dose prevalence per year on average across the period studied. A single percentage point average annual decline in zero-dose prevalence was associated with an average annual decrease of 1.4 deaths in the postneonatal and childhood period per 1000 live births. Gavi-eligible countries had a much faster decline in zero-dose prevalence than other countries. Large gains have been made in reducing the percentage of children who did not receive a DPT-containing vaccine. Efforts to reduce the number of zero-dose children should focus on countries with high prevalence to achieve the Immunization Agenda 2030. Healthcare spending could be prioritized so that the prevalence of zero-dose children is reduced.</p>","PeriodicalId":15796,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142288932","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Triglyceride-Glucose Index as Predictor for Hypertension, CHD and STROKE Risk among Non-Diabetic Patients: A NHANES Cross-Sectional Study 2001-2020. 甘油三酯-葡萄糖指数作为非糖尿病患者高血压、心脏病和脑梗塞风险的预测指标:2001-2020 年 NHANES 横断面研究》。
IF 3.8 4区 医学
Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health Pub Date : 2024-09-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1007/s44197-024-00269-7
Bisher Sawaf, Sarya Swed, Hidar Alibrahim, Haidara Bohsas, Tirth Dave, Mohamad Nour Nasif, Wael Hafez, Fatema Ali Asgar Tashrifwala, Yazan Khair Eldien Jabban, Safwan Al-Rassas, Heba Haj Saleh, Abdul Rehman Zia Zaidi, Baraa Alghalyini, Shaymaa Abdelmaboud Mohamed, Waleed Farouk Mohamed, Amr Farwati, Mohammed Najdat Seijari, Naim Battikh, Basma Elnagar, Seema Iqbal, Karla Robles-Velasco, Ivan Cherrez-Ojeda
{"title":"Triglyceride-Glucose Index as Predictor for Hypertension, CHD and STROKE Risk among Non-Diabetic Patients: A NHANES Cross-Sectional Study 2001-2020.","authors":"Bisher Sawaf, Sarya Swed, Hidar Alibrahim, Haidara Bohsas, Tirth Dave, Mohamad Nour Nasif, Wael Hafez, Fatema Ali Asgar Tashrifwala, Yazan Khair Eldien Jabban, Safwan Al-Rassas, Heba Haj Saleh, Abdul Rehman Zia Zaidi, Baraa Alghalyini, Shaymaa Abdelmaboud Mohamed, Waleed Farouk Mohamed, Amr Farwati, Mohammed Najdat Seijari, Naim Battikh, Basma Elnagar, Seema Iqbal, Karla Robles-Velasco, Ivan Cherrez-Ojeda","doi":"10.1007/s44197-024-00269-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44197-024-00269-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading cause of global mortality. Early intervention and prevention of CVD depend on accurately predicting the risk of CVD. This study aimed to investigate the association between the TyG index and the risk of coronary heart disease (CHD), congestive heart failure (CHF), heart attack (HA), stroke, and hypertension (HTN) among patients without diabetes in the United States.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>In this retrospective, cross-sectional study, we used data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2001 to 2020. We conducted several regression analysis models and calculated the sensitivity and specificity of (TyG) index for predicting the onset of CHD, CHF, HA, stroke, and HTN.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 10,937 individuals without diabetes participated in our study. Individuals with a TyG index greater than 8.96 displayed significant increasing in various parameters, including BMI, systolic/diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, LDL, and Apo-B levels (p < 0.001). Almost all regression models ensured that a higher TyGI value was associated with higher odds of having CHD, CHF, HA, stroke, and HTN, which patients with a TyGI value higher than 8.96 have odds ratios of 2.24-5.58 for CHD, 1.68-4.42 for stroke, 2.45-3.77 for HA and 1.75-3.93 for HTN comparing than patients with a TyGI value lower than 8.11 (p-value < 0.05).We evaluated the predictive value of the TyG index for each endpoint, obtaining the following area under the curve (AUC) values: 54.75% for CHF (95% CI: 0.542-0.614), 52.32% for stroke (95% CI: 0.529-0.584), 55.67% for HA (95% CI: 0.595-0.646), 55.59% for HTN (95% CI: 0.574-0.597), and 50.31% for CHD (95% CI: 0.592-0.646).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The TyG index showed a strong correlation with cardiovascular risk factors in individuals without diabetes, however it was a poor predictor of almost studied cardiovascular diseases.</p>","PeriodicalId":15796,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11442902/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141492237","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Increasing Detection of Legionnaires' Disease in a Large Italian Hospital in the Period 2016-2023. 2016-2023 年间意大利一家大型医院军团病的检测率不断上升。
IF 3.8 4区 医学
Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health Pub Date : 2024-09-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.1007/s44197-024-00276-8
Marilena La Sorda, Flavio De Maio, Maria Scaturro, Barbara Fiori, Giulia Santarelli, Jessica Iera, Fabiola Mancini, Brunella Posteraro, Maria Luisa Ricci, Maurizio Sanguinetti
{"title":"Increasing Detection of Legionnaires' Disease in a Large Italian Hospital in the Period 2016-2023.","authors":"Marilena La Sorda, Flavio De Maio, Maria Scaturro, Barbara Fiori, Giulia Santarelli, Jessica Iera, Fabiola Mancini, Brunella Posteraro, Maria Luisa Ricci, Maurizio Sanguinetti","doi":"10.1007/s44197-024-00276-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44197-024-00276-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The pandemic marked the beginning of an era of dynamic and rapid changes in the diagnosis of respiratory infections. Herein we describe Legionnaires' disease trend in the years 2016-2023 in a large Italian hospital showing how improvements in diagnostic algorithms impact on its detection.</p>","PeriodicalId":15796,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11442907/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141633679","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prevalence and Regional Distribution of Beta-Hemoglobin Variants in Saudi Arabia: Insights from the National Premarital Screening Program". 沙特阿拉伯β-血红蛋白变异体的流行率和地区分布:全国婚前筛查计划的启示"。
IF 3.8 4区 医学
Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health Pub Date : 2024-09-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-29 DOI: 10.1007/s44197-024-00281-x
Mansour Aljabry, Suha Sulimani, Ghazi Alotaibi, Hassan Aljabri, Shaker Alomary, Omar Aljabri, Maha Sallam, Abdulrahman Alsultan
{"title":"Prevalence and Regional Distribution of Beta-Hemoglobin Variants in Saudi Arabia: Insights from the National Premarital Screening Program\".","authors":"Mansour Aljabry, Suha Sulimani, Ghazi Alotaibi, Hassan Aljabri, Shaker Alomary, Omar Aljabri, Maha Sallam, Abdulrahman Alsultan","doi":"10.1007/s44197-024-00281-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44197-024-00281-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Hemoglobinopathies are among the most prevalent inherited disorders globally, with carrier prevalence varying significantly across regions. In Saudi Arabia, high rates of consanguineous marriages amplify the risk of these disorders.</p><p><strong>Aim: </strong>This study aims to assess the burden of hemoglobinopathies by evaluating the prevalence and regional distribution of beta-hemoglobin variants, including rare variants, among couples participating in the national premarital screening program.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data were collected from the premarital genetic screening program and entered into the SEHA platform, covering the 13 administrative regions of Saudi Arabia. Blood samples underwent various screening tests for infectious and genetic diseases. Hemoglobin electrophoresis samples were analyzed using capillary electrophoresis, High-Performance Liquid Chromatography (HPLC), or a combination of both methods.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>From 2011 to 2018, 1,871,184 individuals were included in the study, with 49.8% male and 50.2% female. The average age was 30.2 years. Hemoglobin S (HbS) was identified in 88,431 individuals (4.7% of the tested population and 78.5% of abnormal screening results), primarily as a sickle cell trait. β-thalassemia was the second most common disorder, identified in 22,420 individuals (1.2% of the population and 19.9% of hemoglobin disorders). HbC and HbD were each detected in 0.04% of cases, while HbO-Arab was identified in 0.007% and HbG in 0.006%. Hemoglobin E and hemoglobin Lepore were found to be extremely rare.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The study demonstrates regional variation in the prevalence of hemoglobin genetic variants in Saudi Arabia. To effectively mitigate this risk, it is imperative to strengthen public education and awareness, particularly focusing on genetic screening and counseling.</p>","PeriodicalId":15796,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11442792/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141788226","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Smoking Cessation and Utilization of Cessation Assistance in 13 low- and middle-income countries - changes between Two Survey Rounds of Global Adult Tobacco Surveys, 2009-2021. 13 个中低收入国家的戒烟率和戒烟援助利用率--2009-2021 年两轮全球成人烟草调查之间的变化。
IF 3.8 4区 医学
Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health Pub Date : 2024-09-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1007/s44197-024-00283-9
Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Lai Pei Kuan
{"title":"Smoking Cessation and Utilization of Cessation Assistance in 13 low- and middle-income countries - changes between Two Survey Rounds of Global Adult Tobacco Surveys, 2009-2021.","authors":"Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Lai Pei Kuan","doi":"10.1007/s44197-024-00283-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44197-024-00283-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Monitoring changes in cessation behaviors and cessation assistance is critical for policymaking.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analyzed two rounds (2009-2014 and 2015-2021) of Global Adult Tobacco Surveys in 13 countries. We estimated the quit ratio, quit attempt, and utilization of cessation assistance. The availability of cessation services was obtained from World Health Organization reports. We calculated absolute and relative changes in quit ratio, quit attempt, and cessation assistance. We assessed socio-economic determinants of cessation behaviors by binary logistic regression analyses on pooled data.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In all countries during both rounds smoking prevalence was 7.6-33.8%, the quit ratio was 0.15-0.54%, and the quit attempt was 17.7-52.8%. Quit ratio improved in Indonesia by 100% but declined in Turkey by 56%. Quit attempts increased in Indonesia (31.9%), Mexico (16.9%) and China (15.9%) but decreased in Turkey (140.4%), Vietnam (43.1%), and Romania (62.4%). In both rounds, using at least one method was 12.5-99.8% while the WHO-recommended method was 4.1-88.4%. In both rounds \"try to quit without any assistance\" and \"other methods\" were the most frequently reported cessation assistance. Nicotine replacement therapy (0.2-25.3%) was frequently used as recommended cessation assistance. Nicotine replacement therapy was available in most countries but not quitline and support services.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Limited progress was made in smoking cessation behaviors and cessation assistance in most countries. Health education to improve demand for smoking cessation and availability of evidence-based, low-cost smoking cessation assistance including quit-smoking may improve quit ratios in the population.</p>","PeriodicalId":15796,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11442961/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141916871","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of High Covid-19 Vaccination Rate in an Aging Population: Estimating Averted Hospitalizations and Deaths in the Basque Country, Spain Using Counterfactual Modeling. 高 Covid-19 疫苗接种率对老龄人口的影响:利用反事实模型估算西班牙巴斯克地区避免的住院和死亡人数。
IF 3.8 4区 医学
Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health Pub Date : 2024-09-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1007/s44197-024-00286-6
Carlo Delfin S Estadilla, Javier Mar, Oliver Ibarrondo, Nico Stollenwerk, Maíra Aguiar
{"title":"Impact of High Covid-19 Vaccination Rate in an Aging Population: Estimating Averted Hospitalizations and Deaths in the Basque Country, Spain Using Counterfactual Modeling.","authors":"Carlo Delfin S Estadilla, Javier Mar, Oliver Ibarrondo, Nico Stollenwerk, Maíra Aguiar","doi":"10.1007/s44197-024-00286-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44197-024-00286-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>COVID-19 vaccines have demonstrated significant efficacy in reducing severe symptoms and fatalities, although their effectiveness in preventing transmission varies depending on the population's age profile and the dominant variant. This study evaluates the impact of the COVID-19 vaccination campaign in the Basque Country region of Spain, which has the fourth highest proportion of elderly individuals worldwide. Using epidemiological data on hospitalizations, ICU admissions, fatalities, and vaccination coverage, we calibrated four versions of an ordinary differential equations model with varying assumptions on the age structure and transmission function. Counterfactual no-vaccine scenarios were simulated by setting the vaccination rate to zero while all other parameters were held constant. The initial vaccination rollout is estimated to have prevented 46,000 to 75,000 hospitalizations, 6,000 to 11,000 ICU admissions, and 15,000 to 24,000 deaths, reducing these outcomes by 73-86%. The most significant impact occurred during the third quarter of 2021, coinciding with the Delta variant's dominance and a vaccination rate exceeding 60%. Sensitivity analysis revealed that vaccination coverage had a more substantial effect on averted outcomes than vaccine efficacy. Overall, the vaccination campaign in the Basque Country significantly reduced severe COVID-19 outcomes, aligning with global estimates and demonstrating robustness across different modeling approaches.</p>","PeriodicalId":15796,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11442822/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142055783","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prevalence of Human Toxoplasmosis in Spain Throughout the Three Last Decades (1993-2023): A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. 西班牙近三十年(1993-2023 年)人类弓形虫病流行情况:系统回顾与元分析》。
IF 3.8 4区 医学
Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health Pub Date : 2024-09-01 Epub Date: 2024-06-12 DOI: 10.1007/s44197-024-00258-w
Mariola Miguel-Vicedo, Paula Cabello, M Carmen Ortega-Navas, David González-Barrio, Isabel Fuentes
{"title":"Prevalence of Human Toxoplasmosis in Spain Throughout the Three Last Decades (1993-2023): A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.","authors":"Mariola Miguel-Vicedo, Paula Cabello, M Carmen Ortega-Navas, David González-Barrio, Isabel Fuentes","doi":"10.1007/s44197-024-00258-w","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44197-024-00258-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Humans are infected by Toxoplasma gondii worldwide and its consequences may seriously affect an immune deprived population such as HIV and transplanted patients or pregnant women and foetuses. A deep knowledge of toxoplasmosis seroprevalence in Spain is needed in order to better shape health policies and educational programs. We present the results of the first systematic review and meta-analysis on the human prevalence for this disease in Spain. Databases (PubMed, Web of Science, SCOPUS and Teseo) were searched for relevant studies that were published between January 1993 and December 2023 and all population-based cross-sectional and longitudinal studies reporting the human seroprevalence in Spain were revised. Within the population analysed, our targeted groups were immunocompetent population, pregnant women and immunocompromised patients. Among 572 studies and 35 doctoral theses retrieved, 15 studies and three doctoral theses were included in the meta-analysis. A random effects model was used for the meta-analyses due to the high heterogeneity found between studies (I<sup>2</sup>: 99.97), since it is a statistically conservative model, in addition to allowing better external validity. The global pooled seroprevalence was 32.3% (95% CI 28.7-36.2%). Most of the studies carried out were in pregnant women and the meta-analysis reported that the pooled seroprevalence of toxoplasmosis in pregnant women in Spain was 24.4% (24,737/85,703, 95% CI 21.2-28.0%), based on the random effects model. It is recommended to continue monitoring the seroprevalence status of T. gondii in order to obtain essential guidelines for the prevention and control of the infection in the population.</p>","PeriodicalId":15796,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11444046/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141306107","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Improved Child Feces Management Mediates Reductions in Childhood Diarrhea from an On-Site Sanitation Intervention: Causal Mediation Analysis of a Cluster-Randomized Trial in Rural Bangladesh. 改善儿童粪便管理有助于通过现场卫生干预减少儿童腹泻:孟加拉国农村群组随机试验的因果中介分析》。
IF 3.8 4区 医学
Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health Pub Date : 2024-09-01 Epub Date: 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1007/s44197-024-00210-y
Jesse D Contreras, Mahfuza Islam, Andrew Mertens, Amy J Pickering, Benjamin F Arnold, Jade Benjamin-Chung, Alan E Hubbard, Mahbubur Rahman, Leanne Unicomb, Stephen P Luby, John M Colford, Ayse Ercumen
{"title":"Improved Child Feces Management Mediates Reductions in Childhood Diarrhea from an On-Site Sanitation Intervention: Causal Mediation Analysis of a Cluster-Randomized Trial in Rural Bangladesh.","authors":"Jesse D Contreras, Mahfuza Islam, Andrew Mertens, Amy J Pickering, Benjamin F Arnold, Jade Benjamin-Chung, Alan E Hubbard, Mahbubur Rahman, Leanne Unicomb, Stephen P Luby, John M Colford, Ayse Ercumen","doi":"10.1007/s44197-024-00210-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44197-024-00210-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The WASH benefits Bangladesh trial multi-component sanitation intervention reduced diarrheal disease among children < 5 years. Intervention components included latrine upgrades, child feces management tools, and behavioral promotion. It remains unclear which components most impacted diarrhea.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We conducted mediation analysis within a subset of households (n = 720) from the sanitation and control arms. Potential mediators were categorized into indicators of latrine quality, latrine use practices, and feces management practices. We estimated average causal mediation effects (ACME) as prevalence differences (PD), defined as the intervention's effect on diarrhea through its effect on the mediator.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The intervention improved all indicators compared to controls. We found significant mediation through multiple latrine use and feces management practice indicators. The strongest mediators during monsoon seasons were reduced open defecation among children aged < 3 and 3-8 years, and increased disposal of child feces into latrines. The strongest mediators during dry seasons were access to a flush/pour-flush latrine, reduced open defecation among children aged 3-8 years, and increased disposal of child feces into latrines. Individual mediation effects were small (PD = 0.5-2 percentage points) compared to the overall intervention effect but collectively describe significant mediation pathways.</p><p><strong>Discussion: </strong>The effect of the WASH Benefits Bangladesh sanitation intervention on diarrheal disease was mediated through improved child feces management and reduced child open defecation. Although the intervention significantly improved latrine quality, relatively high latrine quality at baseline may have limited benefits from additional improvements. Targeting safe child feces management may increase the health benefits of rural sanitation interventions.</p>","PeriodicalId":15796,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11444030/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140175012","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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