Journal of Earth System Science最新文献

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Assessing land use land cover change using remote sensing and GIS techniques: A case study of Kashmir Valley 利用遥感和地理信息系统技术评估土地利用和土地覆被的变化:克什米尔山谷案例研究
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学
Journal of Earth System Science Pub Date : 2024-08-31 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02369-1
Injila Hamid, Lateef Ahmad Dar, Bertug Akintug
{"title":"Assessing land use land cover change using remote sensing and GIS techniques: A case study of Kashmir Valley","authors":"Injila Hamid, Lateef Ahmad Dar, Bertug Akintug","doi":"10.1007/s12040-024-02369-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-024-02369-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Land use land cover (LULC) changes hugely influence the ecological balance of an ecosystem, which adversely affects the inhabitants, making them more vulnerable to natural calamities. The LULC change studies are therefore carried out to analyze the impact of these changes on the overall ecology of an area and are very helpful in policy framing and proper management of the available natural resources. In this study, changes in the land use and land cover for a three-decade period spanning from 1992 to 2020 have been monitored in the valley of Kashmir using remotely sensed satellite data obtained from USGS/NASA’s Landsat repository. Considerable changes in the LULC patterns were observed with a significant reduction in the area covered by water (18.21%), forest (13.56%), snow/glacial cover (29.32%) and agriculture (22.37%) during the past three decades. Concurrently, expansion in the land covered by urban areas (22.33%), barren land (37.32%), plantation (14.53%) and marshes (13.21%) were noted. The calculated Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI) confirmed an overall reduction of 51.1% in the water and glacial cover of the study area. Significant changes in the form of forest, water and glacial cover transforming into urban, marshy and barren areas can be largely accredited to increased human interference that may have serious repercussions on the environment.</p>","PeriodicalId":15609,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Earth System Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142195841","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Role of planetary boundary layer physics in urban-scale WRF model for predicting the heat waves over tropical city Bhubaneswar 城市尺度 WRF 模型中行星边界层物理学在预测热带城市布巴内斯瓦尔上空热浪中的作用
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学
Journal of Earth System Science Pub Date : 2024-08-31 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02384-2
Narayana Reddy Karrevula, Alugula Boyaj, P Sinha, Raghu Nadimpalli, U C Mohanty, Sahidul Islam, Akshara Kaginalkar, V Vinoj
{"title":"Role of planetary boundary layer physics in urban-scale WRF model for predicting the heat waves over tropical city Bhubaneswar","authors":"Narayana Reddy Karrevula, Alugula Boyaj, P Sinha, Raghu Nadimpalli, U C Mohanty, Sahidul Islam, Akshara Kaginalkar, V Vinoj","doi":"10.1007/s12040-024-02384-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-024-02384-2","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Heat waves (HWs) are currently one of the most dangerous natural catastrophes both globally and in India, particularly upsurged in urban areas. Bhubaneswar, the capital city of Odisha in India, experiences heatwaves (HWs) each year from the pre-monsoon season to the onset of the summer monsoon. The manifest increase in intensity and frequency of HWs over Bhubaneswar leads to a higher death toll, and increasing vulnerability demands accurate prediction in advance over HWs-prone zones. Numerical weather prediction models are capable of predicting these HWs, subject to the customization of suitable physical parameterization schemes. In this context, the role of five planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes such as Yonsei University (YSU), Asymmetric Convection Model version 2 (ACM2), Medium Range Forecast (MRF), Mellor–Yamada–Janjic (MYJ), and Bougeault Lacarrere (BouLac) are assessed in predicting six HW events over Bhubaneswar city using a very high-resolution (500 m horizontal resolution) Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model. The model simulated results are verified against the Indian Monsoon Data Assimilation and Analysis (IMDAA) reanalysis of high-resolution gridded hourly datasets. The performance of the PBL schemes varies with the meteorological parameters that have a physical relationship with HWs. The composite of statistical analysis shows that the ACM2 scheme performs better for the maximum temperature with lesser root mean square error (RMSE) by 1.67°C. The BouLac shows a lesser RMSE of 1.25°C for the early morning temperature. ACM2 and BouLac schemes have replicated the zonal (meridional) wind with an RMSE of 1.47 and 1.79 m/s (2.86 and 2.81 m/s), respectively. Both the BouLac and ACM2 performed well in representing PBL height and relative humidity. The aggregated rank analysis reveals that BouLac and ACM2 are suitable for the prediction of HW over Bhubaneswar city. The city is underwarming during the HW period, and the UHI is about 0.77°C. PBL schemes are overestimating the UHI, and a possible reason might be representations in fluxes and land-atmosphere interactions. The spatial and temporal distribution of energy fluxes simulates the same over built-up areas irrespective of the PBL schemes used in the WRF model.</p>","PeriodicalId":15609,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Earth System Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142195842","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Application of DFN approach for the selection of maximized penetration rate model of TBM in hard rock 应用 DFN 方法选择硬岩中隧道掘进机的最大贯入率模型
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学
Journal of Earth System Science Pub Date : 2024-08-31 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02376-2
Enayatallah Emami Meybodi, Syed Khaliq Hussain
{"title":"Application of DFN approach for the selection of maximized penetration rate model of TBM in hard rock","authors":"Enayatallah Emami Meybodi, Syed Khaliq Hussain","doi":"10.1007/s12040-024-02376-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-024-02376-2","url":null,"abstract":"<h3 data-test=\"abstract-sub-heading\">Abstract</h3><p>Various models have been proposed to estimate the TBM penetration rate. Generally, the input parameters of these models can be divided into two categories: Machine parameters and geological engineering parameters. The engineering geological parameters will significantly influence the penetration rate if the machine operational parameters are kept within a reasonable near-optimal range. However, while some performance prediction models can be used for many common project settings, they have lower accuracy in certain applications. This study compared the observed penetration rate of a hard rock TBM with those predicted by MCSM, Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), Farrokh–Rostami, and Ramezanzadeh’s models in the Kerman water tunnel (KWT). Next, joint survey data are collected from the different zones of the KWT. For this purpose, a 3D discrete fracture network (DFN) model code was generated in Mathematica<sup>©</sup> version 13. The joint data’s orientation, persistence, and spacing were used to develop a 3D-DFN model for estimating the blockiness rate (BR) index. The BR index is the actual joint intensity in 2D (P<sub>21</sub>) and 3D (P<sub>32</sub>). In this study, the BR index is the newest rock mass parameter introduced and used to predict the penetration rate of TBM. This index can serve as a rock mass parameter that provides excellent and realistic results for predicting penetration rate (PR). The corresponding determination coefficient values of the PR with P<sub>32</sub> and P<sub>21</sub> are <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> = 0.96 and <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> = 0.98, respectively, and with CIA and UCS, are <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> = 0.42 and <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> = 0.49, respectively. Furthermore, using the DFN model showed its potential to be an accurate and reliable method for the overall estimation of the <i>in-situ</i> rock mass fragmentation, which highly controls the penetration rate of TBM.</p><h3 data-test=\"abstract-sub-heading\">Research Highlights</h3><ul>\u0000<li>\u0000<p>The penetration rate of a hard rock TBM was compared with the NTNU, MCSM, Farrokh-Rostami, and Ramezanzadeh predictive models in the Kerman water tunnel (KWT).</p>\u0000</li>\u0000<li>\u0000<p>A 3D-Discrete fracture network (DFN) model code was generated.</p>\u0000</li>\u0000<li>\u0000<p>Four different zones of KWT were studied to discriminate rock mass parameters or intact rock parameters that affect the penetration rate of TBM.</p>\u0000</li>\u0000<li>\u0000<p>The BR index is the newest rock mass parameter that has been introduced and used to predict the penetration rate of TBM.</p>\u0000</li>\u0000<li>\u0000<p>The Blockiness Rate (BR) index as rock mass parameters has verified that it highly influences the penetration rate of TBM.</p>\u0000</li>\u0000</ul>","PeriodicalId":15609,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Earth System Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142195926","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Longitudinal variations in equatorial electrojet and its influence on equatorial ionization anomaly characteristics during geomagnetic calm time (2011–2013) 地磁平静期(2011-2013 年)赤道电喷的纵向变化及其对赤道电离异常特征的影响
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学
Journal of Earth System Science Pub Date : 2024-08-31 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02383-3
Alemayehu Mengesha Cherkos, Melessew Nigussie
{"title":"Longitudinal variations in equatorial electrojet and its influence on equatorial ionization anomaly characteristics during geomagnetic calm time (2011–2013)","authors":"Alemayehu Mengesha Cherkos, Melessew Nigussie","doi":"10.1007/s12040-024-02383-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-024-02383-3","url":null,"abstract":"<h3 data-test=\"abstract-sub-heading\">Abstract</h3><p>Equatorial longitudinal ionospheric variations are influenced by various physical processes, including the east–west directed electric field (equatorial electrojet, EEJ). However, the specific impact of EEJ variability on the total electron content (TEC) variations in different longitudinal sectors has not been thoroughly explored. Therefore, this study focuses on investigating the longitudinal changes in the EEJ and how they affect the daily patterns of the equatorial ionization anomaly (EIA) on geomagnetic calm time from 2011 to 2013. EEJ was estimated using pairs of magnetometer observations across eight sectors globally, while Global Positioning System (GPS) TEC data were collected from three stations at the southern/northern crests and trough locations within the longitudinal sector. The study presents seasonal variations in EIA TEC during different seasons alongside longitudinal variations of EEJ in both the southern/northern hemispheres. Statistical analysis reveals that the southern/northern equatorial ionospheric anomaly (EIA) crests exhibit positive correlations with the peaks of EEJ in all regions, indicating that the variations in EIA strength align with those of EEJ. The seasonal mean EEJ and EIA crests are most pronounced during equinox seasonal months over the Southeast Asian, Peruvian, and Philippine regions in the investigation period. In these regions, the correlation coefficients for the TEC near the northern crests are relatively higher than those for the southern crests, while the southern crest shows slightly higher values across the Pacific, Indian, Brazilian, and West African regions. Notably, the correlation between an integrated EEJ and the strength of EIA is stronger than that with the day maximum EEJ. The study also presents the seasonal characteristics of EEJ and EIA, with counter electrojets (CEJ) occurrences occurring more observable in Brazil and Africa. However, in most equinoctial seasons, the highest TEC peak close to the EIA crest is observed in these sectors.</p><h3 data-test=\"abstract-sub-heading\">Research Highlights</h3><ul>\u0000<li>\u0000<p>The northern/southern TEC of EIA crests exhibit variations that correlate with the variations in EEJ.</p>\u0000</li>\u0000<li>\u0000<p>TEC of EIA strength variations align with those in EEJ during different seasons.</p>\u0000</li>\u0000<li>\u0000<p>The correlation coefficients between EIA and EEJ exhibit high values across all sectors during the moderate year of 2011.</p>\u0000</li>\u0000</ul>","PeriodicalId":15609,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Earth System Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142195844","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Petrography, geochemistry and petrogenesis of calc-alkaline granitoids from the Mercara Shear Zone (MSZ), southwest of West Dharwar Craton, India: Indication of continental arc magmatism and deep-crustal melting 印度西达尔瓦克拉通西南部梅尔卡拉剪切带(MSZ)钙碱性花岗岩的岩石学、地球化学和岩石成因:大陆弧岩浆活动和深地壳熔融的迹象
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学
Journal of Earth System Science Pub Date : 2024-08-31 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02381-5
Prantick Santra, Rigzin Norboo, Anindya Bhattacharya
{"title":"Petrography, geochemistry and petrogenesis of calc-alkaline granitoids from the Mercara Shear Zone (MSZ), southwest of West Dharwar Craton, India: Indication of continental arc magmatism and deep-crustal melting","authors":"Prantick Santra, Rigzin Norboo, Anindya Bhattacharya","doi":"10.1007/s12040-024-02381-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-024-02381-5","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The Mercara Shear Zone (MSZ) is an intensely deformed, curvilinear, mylonitised zone juxtaposed between the Western Dharwar Craton (WDC) and the Coorg Block (CB). In the vicinity of Madikeri town, the MSZ exposes many bands and enclaves of granulite-grade meta-supracrustals and mafic granulites hosted within charnockite or felsic orthogneiss (retrogressed charnockite). Subsequently, the area is intruded by a suite of granitoids along the mid-axis of the shear zone, showing no signature of metamorphism. Views on the origin and timing of the formation of the granulite-grade rocks of the MSZ are not streamlined, and the unmetamorphosed suite of granitoids has not been studied in detail in light of the evolution of the terrain. The field relationship, petrography and bulk rock geochemistry of the suite of unmetamorphosed granitoids from the MSZ were carried out to address this issue. Petrological and geochemical data indicate an I-type affinity of the granitoids. Trace and rare earth element (REE) patterns suggest a magmatic arc setting. The rocks are calc-alkaline, and the REE pattern is fractionated, enriched in Ba, Sr, and depleted in high field strength elements like Nb, Ta, and Ti with almost no significant negative Eu anomaly. These characteristics indicate the dominance of crustal involvement over the mantle in the generation of melt. Studied samples show ‘adakite-like’ geochemical characteristics (high Sr/Y, La/Yb) but are not the product of typical slab melting. The present study indicates that the granitoids were derived from a thick crustal source by partial melting in an oxidized condition (<i>f</i>O<sub>2</sub> between NNO and HM buffer) at 941–985°C and 10–12.5 kbar pressure (corresponding to 30–40 km depth).</p>","PeriodicalId":15609,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Earth System Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142195843","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Biogeochemical evidence of the Oligocene and late Miocene–Pleistocene climatic variability from two deep sediment cores of the South China Sea 从南中国海的两个深层沉积物岩芯看渐新世和中新世晚期-始新世气候变异的生物地球化学证据
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学
Journal of Earth System Science Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02372-6
P Duraimaran, Devleena Mani, Rajeev Yadav, Dhananjay K Pandey, P B Ramamurthy, Waseem Raza, E V S S K Babu
{"title":"Biogeochemical evidence of the Oligocene and late Miocene–Pleistocene climatic variability from two deep sediment cores of the South China Sea","authors":"P Duraimaran, Devleena Mani, Rajeev Yadav, Dhananjay K Pandey, P B Ramamurthy, Waseem Raza, E V S S K Babu","doi":"10.1007/s12040-024-02372-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-024-02372-6","url":null,"abstract":"<h3 data-test=\"abstract-sub-heading\">Abstract</h3><p>Organic geochemical and stable isotope records of Oligocene and late Miocene–Pliocene sediments from IODP hole U1501C and Pliocene–Pleistocene sediments from U1499A of South China Sea (SCS) were studied to investigate clock sources of organic matter and carbonates and their spatiotemporal variations with East Asian climatic variability. Geochemical data was constrained using shipboard information. CaCO<sub>3</sub> and total organic carbon contents (wt%) varied between 1.32 to 56.52 and 0.12 to 1.13, respectively. δ<sup>13</sup>C<sub>carb</sub>, δ<sup>18</sup>O<sub>carb</sub> and δ<sup>13</sup>C<sub>org</sub> ranged from −4.89 to 1.98‰, −5.54 to 1.96‰, and −24.66 to −28.13‰, respectively. Contributions from mixed sources of carbon were observed in the Oligocene, while the late Miocene–Pleistocene exhibited terrestrial dominance. Early Oligocene carbonate, low and higher TOC are attributed to the opening of SCS, increased terrigenous input, and prevalence of cooler climate. Stable isotopes suggest the expansion of the marine environment and the probable dawning of the East Asian Winter Monsoon (EAWM) during the Oligocene. The late Oligocene marked a transition to a warmer climate. The strengthening of EAWM since the late Miocene is indicated by moderate organic carbon and high carbonates with enriched isotopes. Glacial low sea levels and higher terrestrial inputs increased TOC, while dissolution affected late Plio–early Pleistocene carbonates. Higher carbonates and productivity since the mid-Pleistocene were influenced by alternate weakening and strengthening of EAWM.</p><h3 data-test=\"abstract-sub-heading\">Research highlights</h3><ul>\u0000<li>\u0000<p>Organic matter, carbonates, C and O isotopes from Oligocene and late Miocene–Pleistocene sediments, northern SCS.</p>\u0000</li>\u0000<li>\u0000<p>Productivity in the South China Sea fluctuated, being low during the Oligocene, with a subsequent increase since the late Miocene.</p>\u0000</li>\u0000<li>\u0000<p>δ<sup>13</sup>C<sub>org</sub> and δ<sup>13</sup>C<sub>carb</sub> indicate cold climatic conditions and probable winter monsoon signatures since the early Oligocene, transitioning to warmer conditions during the late Oligocene.</p>\u0000</li>\u0000<li>\u0000<p>During the late Miocene (~8–5.6 Ma), deep-water circulation and intensified winter monsoons led to higher productivity.</p>\u0000</li>\u0000<li>\u0000<p>Pliocene sediments (since ~5.6 Ma) showed signs of climatic cooling, sea level fluctuations, and enhanced winter monsoons with carbonate dilution.</p>\u0000</li>\u0000<li>\u0000<p>The Plio-Pleistocene period witnessed glacial and interglacial cycles reflecting changing monsoon intensities.</p>\u0000</li>\u0000</ul>","PeriodicalId":15609,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Earth System Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142195885","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A seismic source characterization model of multi-station based on graph neural network 基于图神经网络的多台站震源特征模型
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学
Journal of Earth System Science Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02395-z
Hongbin Qiu, Yongsheng Ma, Yong Lu, Gaochuan Liu, Yongming Huang
{"title":"A seismic source characterization model of multi-station based on graph neural network","authors":"Hongbin Qiu, Yongsheng Ma, Yong Lu, Gaochuan Liu, Yongming Huang","doi":"10.1007/s12040-024-02395-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-024-02395-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Seismic source characterization is a crucial part of earthquake early warning. With the increasing seismic stations and collected data, some deep learning methods are gradually introduced and perform well in earthquake magnitude evaluation and localization. However, how to handle the sparse and non-European multi-stations is still a problem in earthquake multi-station models. This paper designs a multi-station model based on a graph neural network to accomplish seismic source characterization. The model applies the methods of graph theory to represent earthquake data as graph structure and innovatively adds the earthquake phase picks into the edges of the graph. This method mines the potential information among multi-stations effectively. The proposed methods improve the predicting precision and perform better in real-time performance than the compared models.</p>","PeriodicalId":15609,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Earth System Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142195845","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The return period and probabilities of earthquakes occurrence in North-East, India (Eastern-Himalayas) and its vicinity inferred from Gutenberg–Richter relation 根据古腾堡-里克特关系推断的印度东北部(东喜马拉雅山)及其附近地区地震的重现期和发生概率
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学
Journal of Earth System Science Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02375-3
Timangshu Chetia, Bijit Kumar Choudhury, Ashim Gogoi, Namrata Saikia
{"title":"The return period and probabilities of earthquakes occurrence in North-East, India (Eastern-Himalayas) and its vicinity inferred from Gutenberg–Richter relation","authors":"Timangshu Chetia, Bijit Kumar Choudhury, Ashim Gogoi, Namrata Saikia","doi":"10.1007/s12040-024-02375-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-024-02375-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p>North-Eastern (NE), India and its adjoining region is one of the sixth most seismically active regions of the world. In the present investigation, the return period of earthquake and probability of occurrence inferred from Gutenberg–Richter (GR) relation was estimated for NE, India region and its vicinity. When we consider the entire NE, India region and its vicinity, it evidently suggested that the return period of earthquakes of 7 ≤ Mw ≤ 8.6 is short, which ranges from 32.73 to 162.59 years. It was observed that the earthquake occurrence from infinitesimally short interval t~0 for Mw~3.6–4 is embedded with 100% probability. The earthquakes of Mw~4.1–5.3 reach 100% in 10 years. Similarly, Mw~5.4–5.7 reaches to 100% in 20 years. Likewise, Mw~5.8–5.9, 6.0–6.1 and 6.2 reach ~100% in 30, 40 and 50 years, respectively. For large earthquakes of Mw~7.0–8.0, the probability of occurrence reaches &gt;80% in 100 years. This observation strongly indicates that the likelihood of earthquakes occurring in the north-eastern region of India and its surrounding areas tends to increase over time. Further, the region was divided into four zones, namely Block I (26.5–28.5ºN; 89–95ºE), Block II (26.5–28.5ºN; 95–97.5ºE), Block III (23–26.5ºN; 93–97.5ºE) and Block IV (23–26.5ºN; 89–93ºE) based on seismicity and the major tectonic domains of the region. In terms of return period based on GR-relation and stochastic observations, we may conclude that the risk associated with occurrence of earthquake is highest in Block IV, followed by Block III, Block I and Block II respectively. Further, a comparison of the probabilities of earthquake return period considering seismogenic depths along with hypocentral depth data for different blocks was investigated for a comprehensive understanding of seismic occurrences over time. However, overall, the patterns and trends observed remain consistent, emphasizing the seismic activity within each block and its associated return periods. The stochastic observations and findings are elaborately accentuated in the article.</p>","PeriodicalId":15609,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Earth System Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142195886","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evidence of water percolation in granitoid basement in Koyna seismogenic zone: Implications for reservoir triggered seismicity 科伊纳地震带花岗岩基底渗水的证据:储层引发地震的影响
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学
Journal of Earth System Science Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02380-6
Kunal Modak
{"title":"Evidence of water percolation in granitoid basement in Koyna seismogenic zone: Implications for reservoir triggered seismicity","authors":"Kunal Modak","doi":"10.1007/s12040-024-02380-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-024-02380-6","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;h3 data-test=\"abstract-sub-heading\"&gt;Abstract&lt;/h3&gt;&lt;p&gt;The Koyna region, located in Western India, is a region of recurrent triggered seismicity that started post-impoundment of the Koyna Dam in 1962. Though previous studies have established a relationship between recurrent seismicity and the water level of the Koyna reservoir, little is understood about the possible role of the reservoir water in triggering seismic activity in the region. In the present study, mesoscopic and micro-structural studies of core samples from the basement granitoids provide evidence of fracture networks for fluid percolation and chemical alteration at depth. Salient findings are as follows: (1) presence of brittle deformation features such as fault breccias, fractures, fracture networks, and faults, which can act as water pathways, (2) presence of a cataclastic zone that may act as an impermeable zone and thus prohibit percolation of water thereof, acting as a potential storage area for fluids, in turn promoting dissolution and alteration of minerals, (3) evidence of the presence of fluid such as Fe-staining along fractures and occurrences of secondary precipitation such as calcite, and silica, and alterations such as epidote, chlorite along fractures and networks of mineral veins of epidote and chlorite, (4) low values of Sr and Ba at depth constitute direct evidence of hydrous alteration, (5) presence of fractures and fracture networks in microscopic scale in the thin sections prepared from the apparently intact part of the core signify that fracture networks might be persistent at all depths although it may not appear in mesoscale. Together with the strong correlation between earthquake activity and water levels of the Koyna reservoir and confirmation of the extension of surface fissure and fracture zone to the basement granitoids as brought out by previous studies, the present study provides compelling evidence in support of the percolation of water to the seismogenic depths. So, the weakening of pre-existing fault planes due to the chemical effects of water and an increase in the pore pressure by water infiltration may increase instability that may lead to a movement along the pre-existing faults, and aid repeated seismic slips in the region.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;h3 data-test=\"abstract-sub-heading\"&gt;Research highlights&lt;/h3&gt;&lt;ul&gt;\u0000&lt;li&gt;\u0000&lt;p&gt;The article presents a comprehensive overview of the reservoir-triggered seismicity observed after the impoundment of the Koyna Dam. The study focuses on the role of subsurface infiltration of water from the reservoir to seismogenic depths that may help in facilitating short-term, low-magnitude earthquakes in the region. The design of the article is straightforward; it primarily focuses on reporting the meso- to microstructural observations that bear the evidence of fluid-induced physicochemical alterations of the basement rock, followed by a qualitative discussion on the role of the fluid that may have weakened the pre-existing deformation signatures","PeriodicalId":15609,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Earth System Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142195884","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Earthquake-induced deformation structures along Trans-Yamuna active fault system: Doon Valley, NW Himalaya 跨雅穆纳活动断层系统沿线的地震诱发变形结构:喜马拉雅西北部杜恩山谷
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学
Journal of Earth System Science Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02373-5
Rekha, Sumit K Ghosh
{"title":"Earthquake-induced deformation structures along Trans-Yamuna active fault system: Doon Valley, NW Himalaya","authors":"Rekha, Sumit K Ghosh","doi":"10.1007/s12040-024-02373-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-024-02373-5","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Due to continued continental convergence of Indian–Eurasian plates, the Himalayan region witnessed several high-magnitude earthquakes and is prone to major seismic events in future as well. Most of the countries with seismically active faults examine paleo seismic data in site specific as well as regional seismic hazard analyses. Hence, it is of great concern to find evidence for prehistoric earthquakes following the morphotectonic route and establish the recurrence intervals of potential earthquakes by characterising and dating large prehistoric events. The present study discusses the paleo seismicity and induced deformational features in the Trans-Yamuna region of the outer Northwest Himalaya by interpreting soft sediment deformation and paleo-liquefaction features. We targeted two sites along the Trans-Yamuna active fault system, which are located in the Sirmurital and Bharli villages; both of these locations are close to Doon Valley along the Main Boundary Thrust. Temporal distribution of paleo-liquefaction features evident major seismic events likely to occur during 16th and 19th centuries, which clearly indicates reactivation of faults in this hinterland region that could experience major rupture during the recurrence of large magnitude earthquake and therefore, constructional activities are a matter of great concern to design structures accordingly.</p>","PeriodicalId":15609,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Earth System Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142195887","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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