Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems最新文献

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A Simple Multiscale Intermediate Coupled Stochastic Model for El Niño Diversity and Complexity El Niño多样性和复杂性的简单多尺度中间耦合随机模型
IF 6.8 2区 地球科学
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems Pub Date : 2023-04-11 DOI: 10.1029/2022MS003469
Nan Chen, Xianghui Fang
{"title":"A Simple Multiscale Intermediate Coupled Stochastic Model for El Niño Diversity and Complexity","authors":"Nan Chen,&nbsp;Xianghui Fang","doi":"10.1029/2022MS003469","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003469","url":null,"abstract":"<p>El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most prominent interannual climate variability in the tropics and exhibits diverse features in spatiotemporal patterns. This paper develops a simple multiscale intermediate coupled stochastic model to capture the ENSO diversity and complexity. The model starts with a deterministic and linear coupled interannual atmosphere, ocean, and sea surface temperature (SST) system. It can generate two dominant linear solutions representing the eastern Pacific (EP) and the central Pacific (CP) El Niños, respectively. In addition to adopting a stochastic model for characterizing the intraseasonal wind bursts, another simple stochastic process is developed to describe the decadal variation of the background Walker circulation. The latter links the two dominant modes in a simple nonlinear fashion and advances the modulation of the strength and occurrence frequency of the EP and the CP events. Finally, cubic nonlinear damping is adopted to parameterize the relationship between subsurface temperatures and thermocline depth. The model succeeds in reproducing the spatiotemporal dynamical evolution of different types of ENSO events. It also accurately recovers the strongly non-Gaussian probability density function, the seasonal phase locking, the power spectrum, and the temporal autocorrelation function of the SST anomalies in all the three Niño regions (3, 3.4, and 4) across the equatorial Pacific. Furthermore, both the composites of the SST anomalies for various ENSO events and the strength-location bivariate distribution of equatorial Pacific SST maxima for the El Niño events from the model simulation highly resemble those from the observations.</p>","PeriodicalId":14881,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems","volume":"15 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.8,"publicationDate":"2023-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2022MS003469","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"6183885","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
The June 2012 North American Derecho: A Testbed for Evaluating Regional and Global Climate Modeling Systems at Cloud-Resolving Scales 2012年6月北美Derecho:在云分辨尺度上评估区域和全球气候模拟系统的测试平台
IF 6.8 2区 地球科学
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems Pub Date : 2023-04-07 DOI: 10.1029/2022MS003358
W. Liu, P. A. Ullrich, J. Li, C. Zarzycki, P. M. Caldwell, L. R. Leung, Y. Qian
{"title":"The June 2012 North American Derecho: A Testbed for Evaluating Regional and Global Climate Modeling Systems at Cloud-Resolving Scales","authors":"W. Liu,&nbsp;P. A. Ullrich,&nbsp;J. Li,&nbsp;C. Zarzycki,&nbsp;P. M. Caldwell,&nbsp;L. R. Leung,&nbsp;Y. Qian","doi":"10.1029/2022MS003358","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003358","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In this paper, we introduce a testbed for evaluating and comparing climate modeling systems at cloud resolving scales using hindcasts of the June 2012 North American derecho. To demonstrate its utility for model intercomparison, the testbed is applied to two models: the regionally-refined Simple Cloud-Resolving E3SM Atmosphere Model (SCREAM) at 6.5, 3.25 and 1.625 km grid spacing and the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model with 3.2 and 1.6 km grid spacing. We find the simulation results to be highly sensitive to the initial conditions (ICs), initialization time, and model configurations, with ICs from the Rapid Refresh producing the best simulation. Significant improvement is identified in both models as horizontal grid spacing is refined. While a propagation delay of approximately 2 hr is found in both models, SCREAM at 1.625 km simulates the observed bow echo structure of the derecho well and predicts strong surface gusts that exceed 30 m/s. In comparison, WRF has difficulty producing surface wind over 25 m/s, with wind gusts in WRF 42%–46% lower than in SCREAM. However, WRF has a lower bias in simulating cloud top temperature and extent, but overestimates precipitation intensity. Both models reproduce the observed outgoing longwave radiation spatial patterns well (Pearson correlation &gt;0.88), but, compared with NEXRAD observations, simulate generally larger areas of composite radar reflectivity &gt;40 dBZ and underestimate the precipitating area by ∼47%.</p>","PeriodicalId":14881,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems","volume":"15 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.8,"publicationDate":"2023-04-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2022MS003358","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"6162034","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
The Impact of a Land-Sea Contrast on Convective Aggregation in Radiative-Convective Equilibrium 海陆对比对辐射对流平衡中对流聚集的影响
IF 6.8 2区 地球科学
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems Pub Date : 2023-04-07 DOI: 10.1029/2022MS003249
Beth Dingley, Guy Dagan, Philip Stier, Ross Herbert
{"title":"The Impact of a Land-Sea Contrast on Convective Aggregation in Radiative-Convective Equilibrium","authors":"Beth Dingley,&nbsp;Guy Dagan,&nbsp;Philip Stier,&nbsp;Ross Herbert","doi":"10.1029/2022MS003249","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003249","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Convective aggregation is an important atmospheric phenomenon which frequently occurs in idealized models in radiative-convective equilibrium (RCE), where the effects of land, rotation, sea surface temperature gradients, and the diurnal cycle are often removed. This aggregation is often triggered and maintained by self-generated radiatively driven circulations, for which longwave feedbacks are essential. Many questions remain over how important the driving processes of aggregation in idealized models are in the real atmosphere. We approach this question by adding a continentally sized, idealized tropical rainforest island into an RCE model to investigate how land-sea contrasts impact convective aggregation and its mechanisms. We show that convection preferentially forms over the island persistently in our simulation. This is forced by a large-scale, thermally driven circulation. First, a sea-breeze circulation is triggered by the land-sea thermal contrast, driven by surface sensible heating. This sea-breeze circulation triggers convection which then generates longwave heating anomalies. Through mechanism denial tests we find that removing the longwave feedbacks reduces the large-scale effects of aggregation but does not prevent aggregation from occurring, and thus we highlight there must be another process aiding the aggregation of convection. We also show, by varying the island size, that the aggregated convective cluster appears to have a maximum spatial extent of (10,000 km). These results highlight that the mechanisms of idealized aggregation remain relevant when land is included in the model, and therefore these mechanisms could help us understand convective organization in the real world.</p>","PeriodicalId":14881,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems","volume":"15 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.8,"publicationDate":"2023-04-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2022MS003249","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"6162033","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Neural-Network Parameterization of Subgrid Momentum Transport in the Atmosphere 大气亚网格动量输运的神经网络参数化
IF 6.8 2区 地球科学
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems Pub Date : 2023-04-06 DOI: 10.1029/2023MS003606
Janni Yuval, Paul A. O’Gorman
{"title":"Neural-Network Parameterization of Subgrid Momentum Transport in the Atmosphere","authors":"Janni Yuval,&nbsp;Paul A. O’Gorman","doi":"10.1029/2023MS003606","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003606","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Attempts to use machine learning to develop atmospheric parameterizations have mainly focused on subgrid effects on temperature and moisture, but subgrid momentum transport is also important in simulations of the atmospheric circulation. Here, we use neural networks to develop a subgrid momentum transport parameterization that learns from coarse-grained output of a high-resolution atmospheric simulation in an idealized aquaplanet domain. We show that substantial subgrid momentum transport occurs due to convection. The neural-network parameterization has skill in predicting momentum fluxes associated with convection, although its skill for subgrid momentum fluxes is lower compared to subgrid energy and moisture fluxes. The parameterization conserves momentum, and when implemented in the same atmospheric model at coarse resolution it leads to stable simulations and tends to reduce wind biases, although it over-corrects for one configuration tested. Overall, our results show that it is challenging to predict subgrid momentum fluxes and that machine-learning momentum parameterization gives promising results.</p>","PeriodicalId":14881,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems","volume":"15 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.8,"publicationDate":"2023-04-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2023MS003606","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"6107660","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Rare Event Simulation of Extreme European Winter Rainfall in an Intermediate Complexity Climate Model 中等复杂气候模式下欧洲极端冬季降水的罕见事件模拟
IF 6.8 2区 地球科学
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems Pub Date : 2023-04-04 DOI: 10.1029/2022MS003537
Jeroen Wouters, Reinhard K. H. Schiemann, Len C. Shaffrey
{"title":"Rare Event Simulation of Extreme European Winter Rainfall in an Intermediate Complexity Climate Model","authors":"Jeroen Wouters,&nbsp;Reinhard K. H. Schiemann,&nbsp;Len C. Shaffrey","doi":"10.1029/2022MS003537","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003537","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We test the application of a rare event simulation (RES) algorithm to accelerate the sampling of extreme winter rainfall over Europe in a climate model. The genealogical particle analysis algorithm, an ensemble method that interrupts the simulation at intermediate times to clone realizations in which an extreme event is developing, is applied to the intermediate complexity general circulation model PlaSim. We show that the algorithm strongly reduces the numerical effort required to estimate probabilities of extremes, demonstrating the potential of RES of seasonal precipitation extremes.</p>","PeriodicalId":14881,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems","volume":"15 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.8,"publicationDate":"2023-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2022MS003537","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"6057667","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Quantifying Parametric Uncertainty Effects on Tropical Cloud Fraction in an AGCM 量化参数不确定性对AGCM热带云分数的影响
IF 6.8 2区 地球科学
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems Pub Date : 2023-04-03 DOI: 10.1029/2022MS003221
Feng Xie, Lijuan Li, Ye Pu, Bin Wang, Wei Xue, Xuexing Qiu, Gen Wang
{"title":"Quantifying Parametric Uncertainty Effects on Tropical Cloud Fraction in an AGCM","authors":"Feng Xie,&nbsp;Lijuan Li,&nbsp;Ye Pu,&nbsp;Bin Wang,&nbsp;Wei Xue,&nbsp;Xuexing Qiu,&nbsp;Gen Wang","doi":"10.1029/2022MS003221","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003221","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The underestimation of cloud fraction, especially the low stratus cloud (LSC) fraction over the eastern oceans, remains a problem in most atmospheric global climate models. This study investigated potential improvements through perturbing nine moist physical parameters, using uniform sampling and Latin hypercube sampling methods, and quantified the parametric uncertainty and effects of non-linear interaction between parameters on the tropical cloud fraction in the Grid-Point Atmospheric Model of the Institute of Atmospheric Physics/State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, version 2. Results showed that the uncertainty ranges of the tropical total cloud fraction and LSC associated with multiple-parameter perturbation were larger than those from any single-parameter perturbation. The total cloud fraction was significantly improved with multiple-parameter perturbation and the LSC also increased notably when using parameter values optimized for the total cloud fraction because of the indirect parametric effect on lower-tropospheric stability. Non-linear effects between parameters on simulating LSC were much stronger than those on simulating the total cloud fraction. Furthermore, the non-linear interaction reduced large values of total cloud fraction but had a strong incremental effect on large values of LSC over the southeast Pacific. The findings demonstrate the feasibility of improving the simulation of LSC over the eastern oceans by tuning moist parameters, and provide further insight into the non-linear effects between parameters on the simulation of cloud fraction.</p>","PeriodicalId":14881,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems","volume":"15 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.8,"publicationDate":"2023-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2022MS003221","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"5676212","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
On the Combination of Physical Parameterization Schemes for Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Forecasts in the Context of Uncertainty 不确定条件下热带气旋路径与强度预报的物理参数化方案组合研究
IF 6.8 2区 地球科学
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems Pub Date : 2023-04-03 DOI: 10.1029/2022MS003381
Xuan Wang, Zhe-Min Tan
{"title":"On the Combination of Physical Parameterization Schemes for Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Forecasts in the Context of Uncertainty","authors":"Xuan Wang,&nbsp;Zhe-Min Tan","doi":"10.1029/2022MS003381","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003381","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The selection of physical parameterization schemes for tropical cyclone (TC) forecasts has required a substantial amount of effort. In general, the evaluation of physical parameterization schemes and their combined performance was based solely on the deterministic forecast, which had inherent limitations in representing the overall performance of physical parameterization schemes due to the model uncertainty. This study introduces an uncertainty-informed framework of evaluating and selecting the combination of physical parameterization schemes for TC forecasts, based on the ensemble forecast that could include the model uncertainty roles. The performance ranking of the scheme combination based on the ensemble mean error is found to be distinct from that based on the deterministic forecast error. Moreover, differences in both ensemble mean errors and ensemble spreads for various scheme combinations highlight the importance of considering two metrics concurrently, that is, via the quality of the forecast distribution as a whole, to assess the forecast performance. Consequently, the ensemble Continuous Ranked Probability Score (eCRPS) is used to quantify the performance of the scheme combinations, and it is demonstrated that the performance is more comprehensive than that in the deterministic context. Finally, the well-performed scheme combination for the forecasts of six intense TCs is chosen from the evaluated schemes in the context of model uncertainty, based on the overall quality of TC track and intensity forecast distributions.</p>","PeriodicalId":14881,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems","volume":"15 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.8,"publicationDate":"2023-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2022MS003381","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"6042169","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Understanding Precipitation Bias Sensitivities in E3SM-Multi-Scale Modeling Framework From a Dilution Framework 从稀释框架理解e3sm -多尺度建模框架中的降水偏倚敏感性
IF 6.8 2区 地球科学
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems Pub Date : 2023-03-31 DOI: 10.1029/2022MS003460
Nana Liu, Michael S. Pritchard, Andrea M. Jenney, Walter M. Hannah
{"title":"Understanding Precipitation Bias Sensitivities in E3SM-Multi-Scale Modeling Framework From a Dilution Framework","authors":"Nana Liu,&nbsp;Michael S. Pritchard,&nbsp;Andrea M. Jenney,&nbsp;Walter M. Hannah","doi":"10.1029/2022MS003460","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003460","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We investigate a set of Energy Exascale Earth System Model Multi-scale modeling framework (MMF) (E3SM-MMF) simulations that vary the dimensionality and momentum transport configurations of the embedded cloud-resolving models (CRMs), including unusually ambitious 3D configurations. Issues endemic to all MMF simulations include too much Intertropical Convergence Zone rainfall and too little over the Amazon. Systematic MMF improvements include more on-equatorial rainfall across the Warm Pool. Interesting sensitivities to the CRM domain are found in the regional time-mean precipitation pattern over the tropics. The 2D E3SM-MMF produces an unrealistically rainy region over the northwestern tropical Pacific; this is reduced in computationally ambitious 3D configurations that use 1,024 embedded CRM grid columns per host cell. Trajectory analysis indicates that these regional improvements are associated with desirably fewer tropical cyclones and less extreme precipitation rates. To understand why and how the representation of precipitation improved in 3D, we propose a framework that dilution is stronger in 3D. This viewpoint is supported by multiple indirect lines of evidence, including a delayed moisture-precipitation pickup, smaller precipitation efficiency, and amplified convective mass flux profiles and more high clouds. We also demonstrate that the effects of varying embedded CRM dimensionality and momentum transport on precipitation can be identified during the first few simulated days, providing an opportunity for rapid model tuning without high computational cost. Meanwhile the results imply that other less computationally intensive ways to enhance dilution within MMF CRMs may also be strategic tuning targets.</p>","PeriodicalId":14881,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems","volume":"15 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.8,"publicationDate":"2023-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2022MS003460","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"6125071","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
What Controls the Mesoscale Variations in Water Isotopic Composition Within Tropical Cyclones and Squall Lines? Cloud Resolving Model Simulations in Radiative-Convective Equilibrium 是什么控制了热带气旋和飑线内水同位素组成的中尺度变化?辐射-对流平衡中的云分辨模式模拟
IF 6.8 2区 地球科学
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems Pub Date : 2023-03-30 DOI: 10.1029/2022MS003331
Camille Risi, Caroline Muller, Fran?oise Vimeux, Peter Blossey, Grégoire Védeau, Clarisse Dufaux, Sophie Abramian
{"title":"What Controls the Mesoscale Variations in Water Isotopic Composition Within Tropical Cyclones and Squall Lines? Cloud Resolving Model Simulations in Radiative-Convective Equilibrium","authors":"Camille Risi,&nbsp;Caroline Muller,&nbsp;Fran?oise Vimeux,&nbsp;Peter Blossey,&nbsp;Grégoire Védeau,&nbsp;Clarisse Dufaux,&nbsp;Sophie Abramian","doi":"10.1029/2022MS003331","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003331","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Water isotopes are tracers of convective processes and are often used as proxies for past precipitation. These applications require a better understanding of the impact of convective processes on the isotopic composition of water vapor and precipitation. One way to advance this understanding is to analyze the isotopic mesoscale variations during organized convective systems such as tropical cyclones or squall lines. The goal of this study is to understand these isotopic mesoscale variations with particular attention to isotopic signals in near-surface vapor and precipitation that may be present in observations and in paleoclimate proxies. With this aim, we run cloud resolving model simulations in radiative-convective equilibrium in which rotation or wind shear is added, allowing us to simulate tropical cyclones or squall lines. The simulations capture the robust aspects of mesoscale isotopic variations in observed tropical cyclones and squall lines. We interpret these variations using a simple water budget model for the sub-cloud layer of different parts of the domain. We find that rain evaporation and rain-vapor diffusive exchanges are the main drivers of isotopic depletion within tropical cyclones and squall lines. Horizontal advection spreads isotopic anomalies, thus reshaping the mesoscale isotopic pattern. This study contributes to our understanding of mesoscale isotopic variability and provides physical arguments supporting the interpretation of paleoclimate isotopic archives in tropical regions in terms of past cyclonic activity.</p>","PeriodicalId":14881,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems","volume":"15 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.8,"publicationDate":"2023-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2022MS003331","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"5879909","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Representing Bidirectional Hydraulic Continuum Between the Stream and Hillslope in the National Water Model for Improved Streamflow Prediction 在国家水模型中表示河流与山坡之间的双向水力连续体以改进河流流量预测
IF 6.8 2区 地球科学
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI: 10.1029/2022MS003325
M. Hong, B. P. Mohanty
{"title":"Representing Bidirectional Hydraulic Continuum Between the Stream and Hillslope in the National Water Model for Improved Streamflow Prediction","authors":"M. Hong,&nbsp;B. P. Mohanty","doi":"10.1029/2022MS003325","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003325","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Although hydraulic groundwater (GW) theory has been recognized as a promising tool for understanding the role of the aquifer(s) in the surface-subsurface hydrologic cycle, the integrated modeling community still lacks a proper hydrologic structure to apply the well-studied theory to large-scale hydrologic predictions. This study aims to present a novel hydrologic structure that enables the Boussinesq equation-based depiction of the bidirectional stream-hillslope processes for applying hydraulic GW theory to large-scale model configurations. We integrated the BE3S's (Hong et al., 2020, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020wr027571) representation scheme of the catchment-scale stream-hillslope continuum into the National Water Model (NWM) and applied the modified NWM (i.e., the NWM-BE3S) to three major basins in Texas (i.e., the Trinity, Brazos, and Colorado River basins). Since the NWM currently relies on a single reservoir model for baseflow simulation, we used the Boussinesq aquifer as an alternative subsurface hydrology routine and evaluated its predictive skill and efficacy. We identified that the implemented Boussinesq aquifer(s) in the NWM-BE3S yielded noticeable improvements in predicting streamflow for aquifers that exhibited higher nonlinearities in the observed recessions. The varying degree of improvements in streamflow predictions per the recession nonlinearities demonstrated not only (a) the algorithmic enhancement of subsurface hydrology (physics) but also (b) the applicability of the Boussinesq theory-based depiction of the stream-hillslope two-way continuum. We diagnosed each stream's state based on the bidirectional stream-hillslope exchanges and identified the dominant processes (i.e., river infiltration or baseflow) that were represented spatially in the NWM-BE3S.</p>","PeriodicalId":14881,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems","volume":"15 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.8,"publicationDate":"2023-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2022MS003325","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"5851809","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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