{"title":"Research of Neural Network Ensemble Forecasting Based on Genetic Algorithm to Optimize the Combination Weights Dynamically","authors":"Wang Le","doi":"10.1109/CICED.2018.8592340","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/CICED.2018.8592340","url":null,"abstract":"In order to further improve the accuracy of short-term load forecasting, normalized the weather and holidays data, the paper respectively uses three methods of Radial Basis Function, General Regression Neural Network and Probabilistic Neural Network to do modeling and forecasting, and do neural network ensemble forecasting based on genetic algorithm. By using the right combination of genetic algorithm to dynamically optimize the value of that time by optimizing the weights, the results show that, the resulting prediction accuracy by optimizing the combination of more than a single method to predict has been significantly improved. Through the two-week data to predict load, show that the method has prediction accuracy, stable performance, high precision and good practicality.","PeriodicalId":142885,"journal":{"name":"2018 China International Conference on Electricity Distribution (CICED)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123124586","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Liu Chenyi, Xie Lei, Hu Shuilian, Zhous Hengdong, Fan Xiaobo
{"title":"Research of Comprehensive Application of Intelligent Low-Voltage Power Distribution Units in Improving Power Quality","authors":"Liu Chenyi, Xie Lei, Hu Shuilian, Zhous Hengdong, Fan Xiaobo","doi":"10.1109/CICED.2018.8592208","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/CICED.2018.8592208","url":null,"abstract":"As the issue of power quality becomes increasingly prominent in recent years, this paper has made a focused research on how to coordinate, control and operate several intelligent low-voltage power distribution equipments including reactive power compensation device, active power filter (APF), low-voltage three-phase load balancing equipment and pressure regulator and offered a technical plan for improving power quality. As per on-site trial operation, a systematic evaluation of effects of this intelligent coordination and control system on improving power quality is made.","PeriodicalId":142885,"journal":{"name":"2018 China International Conference on Electricity Distribution (CICED)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125723312","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Zhang Na, Ji Xing, Liu Xinglong, Song Zhuoran, Panxiao, D. Xiaoyu, Liu Gang, Meng Xiangyu
{"title":"Monthly Unit Commitment for Systems with Wind Power Considering Short-term Scheduling Benefits","authors":"Zhang Na, Ji Xing, Liu Xinglong, Song Zhuoran, Panxiao, D. Xiaoyu, Liu Gang, Meng Xiangyu","doi":"10.1109/CICED.2018.8592338","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/CICED.2018.8592338","url":null,"abstract":"Wind power penetration in many countries has been increasing rapidly in recent years. Additional energy saving can be obtained by considering wind power with more proper approach in system scheduling and dispatching. Considering wind power output in mid-long term planning coordinated with short-term scheduling can further reduce the fuel consumption by optimizing resource distribution. Wind speed and wind power cannot be predicted more than one week earlier according to the present technology, which means the mid-long term unit commitment considering wind power output much differs from the traditional one and the short-term unit commitment considering wind power. A dynamic clustering idea is presented which determines the commitment plan of some part of conventional units in the mid-long term planning and determines that of the rest units in the short-term planning. It is based on the advantages of the two scheduling periods that mid-long term planning is more conducive to optimize resource distribution and reduce the total start-up costs, whereas short term planning contribute to reduce the load rate and reserve requirement due to the significant reduction in the uncertainty of wind power output. A two-stage monthly unit commitment model considering short term scheduling for systems with wind power integration is developed to minimize the expected monthly total costs. The effective decision variables contain the group of each conventional unit belongs to and the commitment variables of the units belonging to the monthly optimizing group. Simulation results on the revised IEEE-118 bus system verified the proposed method.","PeriodicalId":142885,"journal":{"name":"2018 China International Conference on Electricity Distribution (CICED)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114139206","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"An Optimizing Power System Dispatch with An Extra EV Load Using PLEXOS Appoach","authors":"Zhebin Sun, Chenxu Zhao, Zhihai Yan","doi":"10.1109/CICED.2018.8592362","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/CICED.2018.8592362","url":null,"abstract":"The vehicles powered by electricity are quickly developed to meet the reduction in greenhouse gas emissions. Although electrical vehicle (EV) dose produce less carbon emissions and the less fossil fuel are consumed compared with traditional vehicles, the electricity should be supplied to EV battery charging where excess emissions would be produced from power generation. In this work, we try to optimize the power dispatch for the extra electronic vehicle loading exemplified by the Ireland's electricity market in 2020 with a commercial PLEXOS software. We have investigated the effects of the EV load on the SEM (Single Electricity Market) with the four different scenarios including peak, off-peak, stochastic, and EPRI, respectively. The simulative model was used to optimize the dispatch of a generation and supply energy for a specified demand load. It was confirmed the EV charging at the peak time presented the highest increasing in the systematic marginal price, generation costs and total C02 emissions. The off-peak charging is more beneficial than other charging modes that would contribute 1.54% renewable energy penetration and supply to the 200% emissions reduction target. The present work may provide a new idea and technological approach for the sectional dispatch of the power grid and optimizing EV load in the future.","PeriodicalId":142885,"journal":{"name":"2018 China International Conference on Electricity Distribution (CICED)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114238161","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Comparison of Virtual and Conventional Synchronous Generators Based on a Modularized Analysis Tool","authors":"Jia-Yang Ruan, R. Cai, Xing Huang, Hailian Xie","doi":"10.1109/CICED.2018.8592294","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/CICED.2018.8592294","url":null,"abstract":"It is questionable that if virtual and conventional synchronous generators could provide identical dynamic support to the power system. In order to summarize the difference, this paper introduces a MIMO-based analysis tool for modelling power systems integrated by conventional or power-electronic interfaced generators. The scalable tool is used to test modelling accuracy of individual generators using dynamic simulation. For small-signal stability analysis, the tool does linearization based on MIMO models, and then couple all generators/loads though the passive network, with the network transient included. During transient stability analysis, VSG's ability to emulate SG's dynamic responses depends on whether the converter has a strong overloading limit, and the current control loop is tuned fast. In practice this could be hard to realize, considering that the converter's current limit is slightly higher than 1.0, and thus the current controller tends to be easily saturated during voltage sags, and the VSG could enter constant-power mode. During small disturbances, VSG could have a low-frequency inertia response similar to SG, yet it can introduce new oscillation modes, depending on the control parameter configuration. Due to lack of stator-flux transient modelling, the high-frequency oscillation of VSG is evidently deviated from that of SG.","PeriodicalId":142885,"journal":{"name":"2018 China International Conference on Electricity Distribution (CICED)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115249247","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jufang Yu, H. Hou, Shiwen Yu, Hao Geng, Yong Huang, Enze Zhou, Tong Wang
{"title":"An Overview of Transmission Line Trip Risk Assessment Under Typhoon Disaster","authors":"Jufang Yu, H. Hou, Shiwen Yu, Hao Geng, Yong Huang, Enze Zhou, Tong Wang","doi":"10.1109/CICED.2018.8592064","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/CICED.2018.8592064","url":null,"abstract":"The power systems in all parts of the world are suffering from the plaguing of the wind disaster, and many coastal cities are suffering from serious typhoons. The trip fault of the power transmission line caused by the typhoon has occurred frequently, so the risk assessment of the transmission line under typhoon disaster is increasingly important. This paper summarizes some typical cases of typhoon around the world, and concludes the main reasons for the trip of transmission lines, including windage yaw, floater, tower damage, broken line, lightning stroke and so on. In view of the reasons of the trip, the Monte Carlo method, fuzzy mathematical model, machine learning algorithm, probability model, regulation method and improved electrical geometry model are introduced. The model and so on are applied to the risk assessment method and model of transmission line trip, and the preventive measures for transmission line failure under typhoon disaster are put forward. By summarizing the relevant literature on the risk assessment of power system at home and abroad, the existing literature on the risk assessment of power system in bad weather is more, but the research on the risk assessment of transmission line trip under typhoon disaster is less. Finally, this paper looks forward the development prospect of the risk assessment of transmission line trip under typhoon disaster.","PeriodicalId":142885,"journal":{"name":"2018 China International Conference on Electricity Distribution (CICED)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121002184","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Load Cluster Management Considering Response Uncertainty","authors":"Wei Zeng, Minjie Sun, Bo Chen, Wei He, Yangqi Huang, Kansheng Yu","doi":"10.1109/CICED.2018.8592587","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/CICED.2018.8592587","url":null,"abstract":"The elastic load on demand side can change with the fluctuation electricity price, so it could be modeled as the adjustable load cluster and involved into power dispatching with traditional generation unit, which can improve the flexibility of the power system. Due to the influence of various factors, such as the response to electricity price is not timely, signal transmission delay, the user's habits is difficult to be changed, and the response amount and expected value always exist in a certain range of deviation. In this paper, the value at risk (VaR) is used to measure the risk loss caused by the uncertainty of the load cluster response, then VaR is introduced as a loss measure to participate in the optimization of the power dispatching model and establish a joint scheduling model. Through the actual example analysis, the results show that, due to the risk loss of the adjustable load cluster is considered, the risk loss caused by uncertainty response is reduced. The research has practical application prospect to the implementation of DSM projects.","PeriodicalId":142885,"journal":{"name":"2018 China International Conference on Electricity Distribution (CICED)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121675286","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Study on Rise of Transient Ground Potential Caused by Switching and Closing Operation in 330kV GIS Substation","authors":"Lin Cheng, Yong Zhu, Chuanshen Wang, Wenbo Han, Cheng Zhang, Yingying Wang, Ting Ren, Xiang Liu, Dongxin Hao, Yue Tong, Yang Shen, Yifeng Liang","doi":"10.1109/CICED.2018.8592047","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/CICED.2018.8592047","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, a model of the 330kV GIS substation shell in transient state is established, a simulation calculation about transient enclosure voltage (TEV) generated during switching of disconnector is carried out, and the TEV waveforms and spectral distributions were obtained throughout the shell. The simulation results are compared with the actual experimental data of the substation, and on the basis of verifying the correctness of the simulation calculation, the possible hazards caused by transient elevation of potential to ground are analyzed. The study shows that the maximum value of TEV always appears on the shell of the bushing, which can reach tens kV voltage level and contain complex frequency. At the same time, the transient potential difference between the grounding wire and the grounding terminal of the control room is up to 1000V.","PeriodicalId":142885,"journal":{"name":"2018 China International Conference on Electricity Distribution (CICED)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123879565","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Reliability Evaluation of Distribution System Considering Temporal Fluctuation Characteristics of Distributed Energy Sources","authors":"Bo Wang, Wei Guo, Liwei Qiao, Ziqing Zou, Dechun Zang, Yiqing Zhang","doi":"10.1109/CICED.2018.8592430","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/CICED.2018.8592430","url":null,"abstract":"With the continuous development of the active distribution network, a large number of distributed energy access brings new challenges to the distribution network power supply reliability. It is particularly important to evaluate the distribution network power supply reliability after the distributed energy access. In this paper, a pseudo-sequential Monte Carlo simulation method is proposed to evaluate the reliability index of distribution network with fans, photovoltaic cells and batteries. The system state is sampled by non-sequential Monte Carlo method. Only the sequential Monte Carlo simulation of the fault process can quickly and accurately obtain the reliability index of the distribution network, which is suitable for large-scale networks after a large number of distributed energy access in the future. In the process of sequential simulation, micro-grid operation, distributed energy use strategy and optimal load shedding strategy are considered simultaneously. IEEE RBTS-BUS6 feeder 4 system simulation verifies the availability of the method and analyzes the impact of distributed energy access on the reliability index of distribution network.","PeriodicalId":142885,"journal":{"name":"2018 China International Conference on Electricity Distribution (CICED)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125168904","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Design of Power Supply State Monitoring System for Active Electronic Current Transformer","authors":"Xiong Jun-jun, H. Hua, Deng Xiao-pin, Hubei.","doi":"10.1109/CICED.2018.8592020","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/CICED.2018.8592020","url":null,"abstract":"This article designs a power supply status monitoring system in order to verify the reliability of the active electronic current transformer's power supply switching and monitor its power supply status. It is proposed that analyzing the merged unit IEC61850-9-2LE message to obtain primary current and analyzing the merger unit TCP/IP protocol to get the laser power and photo-voltaic cell output voltage. While using a high-power optical splitter to monitor the laser power output directly, thus enabling the active electronic current transformer power supply status monitoring according to its working principle. Through this monitoring system, a certain type of active electronic current transformer is energized state monitoring test verification; the monitoring data can display the current energy status in real time, and gives several common power supply failure alarms. Experiments show that the monitoring system can verify the reliability of power supply switching and realize the alarm of power supply status so as to improve the quality testing capability of active electronic current transformer.","PeriodicalId":142885,"journal":{"name":"2018 China International Conference on Electricity Distribution (CICED)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125299786","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}