{"title":"Economic freedom and people at risk of poverty in selected Eurozone countries","authors":"Liotti Giorgio","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100551","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100551","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper investigates whether higher economic freedom and/or lower government intervention in the economy contribute to poverty reduction. Connecting the percentage of people at risk of poverty with the economic freedom index elaborated by the Fraser Institute, and focusing on 12 Eurozone countries in the period between 2000 and 2019, it appears that both higher economic freedom and a lower level of government intervention in the economy (mostly lower spending in government consumption, investment and transfers and subsidies) are associated with an increase in poverty, which stands in contrast to the predictions of neoliberal economic theory.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 100551"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S211070172400074X/pdfft?md5=8af2dda4054bcbb8eb39496372fd3f78&pid=1-s2.0-S211070172400074X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142271026","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Financial resilience, growth and risk sharing in the EU","authors":"Eleonora Cavallaro , Ilaria Villani","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100550","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100550","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We build a financial resilience index capturing the structure and stability features of financial systems and benchmark EU financial systems against their ability to enhance stable growth and international risk sharing. The index comprises financial openness, market orientation, equity deepening, maturity structure, and institutional soundness. Our results show that: (i) EU financial systems are highly heterogeneous and converge to a clustered pattern; (ii) the index is highly significant in growth regressions, suggesting that financial structure and institutional soundness are key to enduring growth; (iii) the heterogeneity of EU financial systems has implications for the vulnerability to domestic output shocks: the risk-sharing mechanism is more effective in the market-based and institutionally sound economies that group in the top financial clusters, whereas unsmoothed consumption is higher in economies belonging to the low-resilience clusters, especially in the aftermath of the global financial crisis, when the credit channel is significantly downsized.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 100550"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2110701724000738/pdfft?md5=c856d6134bee24e36eaff332329b7690&pid=1-s2.0-S2110701724000738-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142271025","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Ensuring farm minimum prices: Economic impacts of trade vs competition policies","authors":"Alexandre Gohin , Alan Matthews","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100549","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100549","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>French and European farmers vigorously protest in early 2024 against perceived poor economic conditions, increased paperwork burden as well as stringent environmental constraints. The initial policy responses by both national and EU authorities failed to completely calm them, leading the French president Emmanuel Macron to surprisingly propose minimum farm prices. This paper develops an original computable general equilibrium model framework to assess two policy options to reach these minimum prices for livestock industries. The first relies on trade policy instruments and the second on a new competition policy with price discrimination and motivated by the Egalim laws. We find that the first option is unlikely to support French and European farm and food incomes, particularly if third countries reply with similar trade instruments. By contrast, the price discrimination option can support farm incomes, but partly at the expense of the domestic consumption of livestock products.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 100549"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142157995","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Diversification in sight? A macroeconomic assessment of Saudi Arabia’s vision 2030","authors":"Flavien Moreau, Zamid Aligishiev","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100538","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100538","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Saudi Arabia, currently the world’s largest oil exporter, embarked since 2021 on a large-scale National Investment Strategy (NIS) designed to lift potential GDP growth by diversifying the economy. This article describes the strategy and is the first paper that quantifies its impact on growth using a dynamic general equilibrium model. It also decomposes this impact into two main channels: the direct impact of the investment push and the impact of complementary reforms. We find that the overall strategy – when supported by appropriate fiscal measures, labor supply reform, and higher public sector efficiency – could boost potential non-oil growth by 4.8 percentage points to about 8.8 percent in the medium term. We also assess the growth dividends of a wider range of alternative scenarios around the NIS baseline.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 100538"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142322261","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"International trade and wage inequality: Evidence from Brazil","authors":"Lucas Squarize Chagas , Vinicios P. Sant’Anna","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100536","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100536","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We study the effect of the bilateral trade integration with China on wage inequality in Brazil. Previous studies have documented the contribution of trade opening to the decline in inequality since the 1990s, driven primarily by cross-firm pay differences. We find a sharper reduction in wage inequality over the 2000s, parallel to China’s accession to the WTO. Our analysis of the China shock suggests that some firms are harmed by import competition, especially those in the High-Tech Manufacturing sector, while others profit from increased exports and cheaper inputs. We rationalize these patterns by extending the theoretical framework of Helpman et al. (2017) to include sector heterogeneity in trade exposure and firm-level selection into imports. Our model indicates that the rise of China led to a reduction in cross-firm wage inequality in Brazil by about 5%.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 100536"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142076138","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"What a difference an OFDI makes. Firm-level evidence from the EU","authors":"Koray Aktaş , Valeria Gattai , Piergiovanna Natale","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100537","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100537","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Using a large panel of European firms covering the years 2007–2015, this study investigates the effects of outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) on performance. Controlling for self-selection through propensity score matching techniques at baseline in a two-way fixed effect difference-in-differences framework, we determine that OFDI firms exhibit higher productivity, value-added, sales, and profit compared with non-OFDI firms. Heterogeneity analysis by destination reveals that the highest performance premia accrue to firms that invested in non-European Union (EU) countries, developed economies and technology-advanced hosts. Heterogeneity analysis by ownership structure shows that OFDI established via joint-venture or wholly owned enterprises have similar, positive performance premia. Furthermore, investing abroad entails no reduction in the parent companies’ number of employees. Finally, we document an increase in research and development expenditure for OFDI firms at both intensive and extensive margins, indicating a potential driver of the observed performance premia.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 100537"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S211070172400060X/pdfft?md5=ea6b8cdf03594d50da68eb6ac2b81f08&pid=1-s2.0-S211070172400060X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142129197","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Does immigration increase crime? The advantage of dynamic threshold models with finer geographic units","authors":"Akinori Tomohara","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100534","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100534","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study investigates whether immigration and crime rates are positively related, by applying dynamic panel threshold models to fine geographic units. This is distinct from previous studies, in which static and continuous models are applied to coarse geographic units. This analysis reveals that the immigration-crime relationship has structural breaks (or discontinuities). The favorable ethnic network externalities on crime emerge after the immigrant share reaches a certain level in the community. This analysis also shows that the immigration-crime relationship observed in fine geographic units disappears when coarsely classified units are used. If geographic aggregation obscures heterogeneity among cities, the immigration-crime relationship is underestimated. These results suggest the advantage of dynamic threshold models with fine geographic units compared to traditional static and continuous models with coarse geographic units when discussing the immigration-crime relationship.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 100534"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141840324","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Financial fragility, regime change, and monetary policy in an open economy – A model and empirical application to emerging market countries","authors":"Willi Semmler , Marieme Toure","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100532","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100532","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>July 20, 2023 (Revised April 15, 2024) The experiences of the 1997–98 Asian Financial Crisis and the 2008–09 Global Financial Crisis encouraged economists to develop new open-economy dynamic finance-macro models. Such models allow for nonlinearities -- to study the effects of contractionary currency devaluation -- in contrast to models of expansionary currency devaluation. The generic dynamic model of the finance-macro link in this paper includes the dynamics of the inflation rates, output gap, and financial variables (credit flows, risk premia, and exchange rates). The theoretical model with nonlinearities shows that there can be resilient or non-resilient outcomes of the dynamics. The level of resilience is however dependent on some empirical vulnerabilities. Relevant empirics show the risk premium is related not only to domestic real macro and financial variables, but also to the exchange rate and the foreign currency reserves. Econometrically, this paper explores the regime-dependent interaction of the output gap and financial variables in a two-regime non-linear Logistic Vector Smooth Transition Auto-Regressive (LVSTAR) model with a logistic-type transition function. This empirical study reveals that the financial variables of emerging economies show regime-dependent responses to external shocks. Therefore, a positive shock to the risk premia in a negative output gap regime entails an exchange rate depreciation, and accelerating contractions. Overall, however, a diversity of EM economies are examined in terms of their response to external shocks and their resilience levels. This research also has implications for international portfolio holdings.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 100532"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141851624","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"What is it good for? On the inflationary effects of military conflicts","authors":"Ulrich Eydam, Florian Leupold","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100535","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100535","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Military conflicts and wars affect the development of a country in various dimensions. Rising inflation rates are a potentially important economic effect associated with conflict. High inflation can undermine investment, weigh on private consumption, and threaten macroeconomic stability. Furthermore, these effects are not necessarily restricted to the locality of the conflict but can also spill over to other countries. Therefore, to understand how conflict affects the economy and to make a more comprehensive assessment of the costs of armed conflict, it is important to take inflationary effects into account. To disentangle the conflict-inflation nexus and to quantify this relationship, we conduct a panel analysis for 151 countries over the period 1950–2019. To capture indirect inflationary effects, we construct a distance-based spillover index. In general, the results of our analysis confirm a statistically significant positive direct association between conflicts and inflation rates. Furthermore, we document a statistically significant positive indirect association between conflicts and inflation rates in uninvolved countries. These findings are robust across various model specifications. Moreover, our results indicate that conflict-induced inflation is not driven solely by the increase in the money supply.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 100535"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141846968","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Intra-African migration and the real exchange rate","authors":"Morel Tien","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100526","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100526","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Africa’s openness to migration is strongly continental (about 80% of African migrants are settled in Africa). This paper explores how intra-continental migration impacts the real exchange rates of African economies. International migration may impact the real exchange rate through many pathways (demand-side and supply-side effects on prices, indirect effects through demography structure and remittances), thus leading to contradictory effects. Using a sample of 51 African countries over the period 1990–2019, econometric estimations show evidence that an increase in net intra-African migration exerts an appreciating effect on the real exchange rate of host countries. This finding holds when controlling for potential endogeneity using gravity-based instruments for migration.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 100526"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2110701724000490/pdfft?md5=01bf0cfd64ec28fe718c925356213289&pid=1-s2.0-S2110701724000490-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141838715","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}