{"title":"Foreign direct investment and the gender wage gap: Evidence from China","authors":"Xinxin Ma","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100642","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100642","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using national survey data from the Chinese Household Income Project and regional official data, this study examines the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) on the gender wage gap in China from 2002 to 2018. Four findings emerge. First, FDI, measured as working in foreign-invested enterprises (FIE) and regional FDI rate, significantly increases the wage level. Second, the gender difference in wage return to FIE differs by industrial sector: It is significant in the service sector while insignificant in the manufacturing sector. Third, the decomposition results indicate that both gender differences in FIE employment (endowment effect) and wage return to FIE (price effect) widen the wage gap, while both effects of regional FDI reduce the wage gap. Lastly, both the endowment and price effects of regional FDI contribute to reducing the wage gap in each ownership sector, while the price effect is greatest for FIEs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"184 ","pages":"Article 100642"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145227496","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Devasmita Jena , Uzair Muzaffar , Rahul Nath Choudhury
{"title":"Weaning Away from China – Trade and Welfare Implications","authors":"Devasmita Jena , Uzair Muzaffar , Rahul Nath Choudhury","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100643","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100643","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Over the past years, import dependency on China has deepened and expanded globally. Incidents such as supply chain disruptions during COVID19, due to over-dependence on a single supply source, and countries' heavy reliance on Chinese imports—often termed the “China shock”—have raised global concerns and prompted efforts to reduce dependence on China. The attempt at weaning off started in 2018 when the US imposed additional tariffs on its imports from China. Gradually, the process of decoupling from China was adopted by other economies. Despite these motivations, data show that nations continue to depend increasingly on Chinese imports. In this study, we empirically quantify trade dependence on China and estimate the costs associated with reducing such dependence using a structural gravity model of trade. We find that lowering dependence on Chinese imports reduces countries' propensity to export. Furthermore, general equilibrium counterfactual simulations show that if the US progressively reduces its import dependency on China, the welfare loss will be greater for the US than for China. The rest of the world will also suffer welfare losses as a result of US actions to restrict Chinese imports.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"184 ","pages":"Article 100643"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145106040","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Denis N. Yuni , Hela Mzoughi , Ilyes Abid , Christian Urom
{"title":"Systemic financial stress and the returns and volatility of ESG-themed assets","authors":"Denis N. Yuni , Hela Mzoughi , Ilyes Abid , Christian Urom","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100639","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100639","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>A firm’s negative environmental performance directly affects its financial outcomes, such as returns and stock price volatility. Consequently, the role of investors’ attitudes toward environmentally responsible investment in shaping growth dynamics has recently occupied center stage in research and policy debates. This paper quantifies the financial relevance of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) assets by rigorously assessing the dynamic interactions of returns and volatility between the global financial stress index and various ESG-themed assets. We study how periods of financial turbulence impact performance and resilience narratives of these investments. Given the inherently dynamic nature of these interactions, we identify distinct spillover effects by estimating a Time-varying Parameter Vector Autoregression model using a high-frequency, decade-long sample (February 28, 2014 to March 06, 2024), which covers multiple crisis periods including the COVID-19 pandemic and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Gaza wars. Our findings reveal that volatility connectedness peaked during the COVID-19 pandemic and was weakest during the Israel-Gaza war. While short-term developments dominate return connectedness, volatility connectedness is consistently driven by long-term factors. In terms of return connectedness, financial stress is found to be a net transmitter of shocks to the ESG market in the short term, while in terms of volatility connectedness, it is also a net transmitter of shocks except during war periods. Across ESG markets and at both frequencies, the global ESG index emerged as the primary source of return and volatility connectedness, whereas the Asia-Pacific ESG market was the main recipient of shocks. Our results can guide investors, policy makers, and companies in adopting and promoting specific ESG practices, ultimately fostering a more resilient and sustainable global economy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"184 ","pages":"Article 100639"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145106039","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Nonlinearities and state-dependence in the monetary transmission mechanism: Evidence from a commodity-dependent economy","authors":"Gan-Ochir Doojav , Arman Juragat","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100640","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100640","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the nonlinearity and state-dependence of the monetary policy transmission mechanism in Mongolia—a commodity-dependent developing economy—using local projection methods. Our empirical analysis yields several novel findings. First, transmission lags vary with economic conditions, being longer during recessions compared to expansions. Second, the effectiveness of monetary policy in stimulating GDP is enhanced during recessions, periods of monetary loosening, and high inflation regimes, whereas its capacity to control inflation is reduced during expansions. Monetary policy pass-through to bank interest rates is more pronounced in periods combining recession and monetary tightening. Third, expansionary monetary policy shocks have stronger effects, leading to a depreciation of the real effective exchange rate and sharp declines in bank interest rates. These findings are robust across various model specifications, highlighting the importance of accounting for economic states when assessing the effectiveness of monetary policy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"184 ","pages":"Article 100640"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145060677","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Linking international financial inflows and access to drinking water, sanitation and hygiene in schools","authors":"Brice Kamguia , Sosson Tadadjeu","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100641","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100641","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Improving access to drinking water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) is a sustainable development objective with significant implications for economic growth and human capital development. Access to these basic services is even more important in the school context, as it guarantees better health and improves children's educational performance. This study analyses for the first time the effect of international financial inflows on access to WASH in schools, using panel data from 50 developing countries over the period 2010–2022. The empirical results show that, while foreign direct investment (FDI) and remittances improve access to WASH in schools at the national level, official development assistance exerts a negative effect. This result holds for both primary and secondary schools. The findings further indicate that above a certain threshold, official development assistance improves access to WASH, while FDI reduces it. Overall, this study underscores the crucial role of international financial inflows in expanding access to WASH in schools in developing countries.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"184 ","pages":"Article 100641"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145227495","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Assessing the influence of three policies on Vietnam's economic development: Electricity infrastructure, globalization, and privatization","authors":"Gerard Sasges , Harutaka Takahashi","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100632","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100632","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study evaluates the contributions of three key policies—electricity infrastructure, globalization, and privatization—to Vietnam's economic development from 1980 to 2018. This period can be divided into two distinct phases: Period I (1980–1997) was characterized by high but unstable growth, while Period II (1998–2018) witnessed sustained high growth and improved stability. To assess the impact of these policies on GDP growth during both phases, impulse response and vector autoregression (VAR) analyses were conducted. Our results show that during Period I, globalization and energy infrastructure had immediate and substantial positive impacts on GDP growth but also contributed to growth rate instability. In Period II, power infrastructure and globalization continued to support GDP growth, though the effects were relatively minor. In contrast, privatization policies had a significant impact. They contributed to stable household consumption growth and enhanced the resilience of GDP growth to policy shocks, thus playing a key role in achieving the stable and high growth trajectory observed since 1998. While Vietnam's development path may appear unique from the standpoint of existing development theories, optimal growth theory offers a more suitable explanatory framework.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"184 ","pages":"Article 100632"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-08-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144988926","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Measuring public-private partnership efficiency: A sectoral analysis of electricity and ports","authors":"Ababacar Mbaye Sambe","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100630","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100630","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper aims to measure the role of public-private partnership (PPP) investments in the ports and electricity sectors in shifting the efficient production frontier, as well as their role in determining inefficiency in the electricity sector, using stochastic frontier analysis and fixed-effects estimation. It also examines the effect of the governance framework in influencing the efficiency of PPPs. The results show a positive contribution of sectoral PPPs to the shift of the efficient frontier. However, the contribution of PPPs in the ports sector (3%) is greater than that in the electricity sector (1%). In the electricity sector, PPPs, along with the governance framework—proxied by credit to the private sector and CPIA criterion 5 (financial sector development) —help reduce inefficiency. In contrast, CPIA criterion 13 (quality of budgetary and financial management) is associated with increased inefficiency. In the port sector, trade openness, exchange rate, and CPIA criterion 3 (debt policy) reduce inefficiency, whereas CPIA criterion 1 (monetary policy) contributes to increase the inefficient frontier.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"184 ","pages":"Article 100630"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145106038","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Firm exit, technology and trade: A sectoral perspective","authors":"Massimo Del Gatto , Mattia Peracchia","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100626","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100626","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We document the presence of wide differences in firm exit (through insolvency proceedings) rates across Italian manufacturing industries shedding light on the role played by technological and trade factors, with particular emphasis on sectoral dependence on imported inputs. Less productive (TFP) and less innovating (patent intensity) sectors, as well as sectors featuring a TFP distribution skewed towards low productivity firms, display higher exit rates. Notably, dependence on foreign inputs, especially technological inputs sourced from EU and China, is associated with lower exit rates, suggesting a resilience channel linked to GVC integration. In contrast, input reliance on Asian Tigers correlates with higher exit rates, possibly due to supply chain complexity and hyper-specialization. The input dependence effect persists when considered together with the technology variables and is mostly at work for firms under the median TFP level.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"183 ","pages":"Article 100626"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-08-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144890518","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Inflation diffusion through supply chains","authors":"Nuriye Melisa Bilgin","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100627","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100627","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study explores the relationship between supply chains and the propagation of producer price shocks. It contributes to the existing literature by identifying an inflation diffusion network that tracks how inflation shocks spread through input–output linkages in South Korea, with identification relying on variance decompositions of producer prices. The results reveal that industries transmitting inflation shocks are mainly located upstream within the input–output tables, while those receiving inflation shocks correspond to downstream sectors. When industrial policies target upstream industries in South Korea, the diffusion of price shocks is notably higher. To measure the extent of this propagation, this study employs regression analysis on each link in the inflation network and matching it with the corresponding link in the production network. The findings indicate that 15.4% of inflation is correlated with the underlying supply chains. This paper also demonstrates the robustness of the analysis by expanding the VAR decomposition to VARX, which accommodates variations in exchange rates and commodity prices.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"184 ","pages":"Article 100627"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144912237","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Measuring political leader's geopolitical risk perceptions","authors":"Asei Ito , Jaehwan Lim , Hongyong Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100631","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2025.100631","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Does a political leader's perception of geopolitical risk influence the real economy? If so, to what extent and through what mechanisms? Using local-language sources, we explore these questions by constructing a geopolitical risk index based on textual data from statements made by Chinese President Xi Jinping and examining its relationship to firms' investment behavior in China. The index shows notable spikes in April 2016, June 2018, and April 2022, corresponding to terrorist attacks in neighboring countries, U.S.-China tensions, and the Russia-Ukraine war. We find that an increase in the geopolitical risk index is associated with a decline in firms' investment rates. Specifically, a 100 % increase in the index leads to a 14.1 % reduction in investment. Notably, while firms with high effective interest rates and greater exposure to international trade are adversely affected by the geopolitical risk, politically connected firms are less affected, indicating their ability to mitigate its negative effects. Our findings advance the geopolitical risk literature by highlighting the role of political leaders' perceptions, utilizing local sources to measure this factor, and examining the moderating effect of political connections under geopolitical risks.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"183 ","pages":"Article 100631"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144890519","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}