{"title":"Do ICTs promote the renewable energy consumption? The moderating effects of economic growth and structural transformation in Africa","authors":"Ariel Herbert Fambeu , Patricia Tchawa Yomi","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100563","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100563","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In light of the challenges posed by depleting energy resources and environmental degradation, the effective use of renewable energy is becoming ever more crucial. This study mainly investigates the role of ICT as a driver of renewable energy consumption in Africa. Furthermore, the study aims to emphasize the moderating effects of economic growth and structural transformation. To achieve this, the study employs the Augmented Mean Group (AMG) estimator on a panel of 45 African countries over the period 2000–2019. The findings show that internet and ICT service export promotes the use of renewable energy consumption, suggesting that the African nations examined have realized improvements in their energy mix as a result of ICT development. The moderating effects reveal that upgrading the energy consumption structure affected by digitalization is more significant in countries with high economic growth and more service-oriented. Our findings lead to a discussion of policy implications in relation to sustainable development goals (SDG).</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 100563"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142661107","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The impact of the belt and road initiative on international consumption risk sharing: A difference-in-differences analysis","authors":"Cheng Zhou","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100562","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100562","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the impact of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) on consumption risk sharing among participating countries. Utilizing a difference-in-differences model within the context of international consumption risk sharing, we analyze data from 2002 to 2022 for 64 BRI countries. Our empirical findings indicate a significant reduction in consumption risk sharing attributable to the BRI. Further subgroup analysis reveals that the BRI hinders consumption risk sharing particularly among countries along the Land Silk Road, especially those bordering China. Key contributing factors include increased tariffs, heightened foreign investment, rising employment rates, increased resident income, and a diversified range of consumer products. These factors exacerbate the BRI's adverse effects on consumption risk sharing in comparison to countries with lower levels of these variables. Our findings suggest that the Initiative has an uneven impact on the mechanisms affecting countries along its route.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"181 ","pages":"Article 100562"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142701434","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pierre Cotterlaz , Guillaume Gaulier , Aude Sztulman , Deniz Ünal
{"title":"Broadening the definition of healthcare products in global trade: Insights from a new classification","authors":"Pierre Cotterlaz , Guillaume Gaulier , Aude Sztulman , Deniz Ünal","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100561","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100561","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>International trade in healthcare products took off during the 2000s, paralleling the peak of hyper-globalisation. Two decades later, the Covid-19 pandemic highlighted the importance of health security for governments. This crisis brought issues of industrial sovereignty to the forefront and exposed vulnerabilities within global production networks. However, the intricate web of global value chains has compromised the traceability of these essential goods. Additionally, the classification of healthcare products across multiple industries in standard trade and production nomenclatures complicates their identification and further obscures the analysis. In this paper, we systematically identify products that address the needs of national health systems and gather them into a single industry grouping to evaluate the scale and trends in trade. This healthcare industry grouping, encompassing a broad array of products—medicinal products and their compounds, medical technology equipment, and small medical materials— has demonstrated the highest relative growth among all industry groupings since 2000. Our study provides a detailed examination of the nature of global trade in the healthcare industry grouping and its five branches, categorized by production stage (intermediate and final) and quality/price range. We analyze the positioning of advanced economies in comparison to the rest of the world and offer insights into the geographical and geopolitical breakdowns of healthcare industry trade, both within and between country blocs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 100561"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142660904","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"This is going to hurt: Weather anomalies, supply chain pressures and inflation","authors":"Serhan Cevik , Gyowon Gwon","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100560","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100560","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As climate change accelerates, the frequency and severity of extreme weather events are expected to worsen and have greater adverse consequences for ecosystems, physical infrastructure, and economic activity across the world. This paper investigates how weather anomalies affect global supply chains and inflation dynamics. Using monthly data for six large and well-diversified economies (China, the Euro area, Japan, Korea, the United Kingdom, and the United States) over the period 1997–2021, we implement a structural vector autoregressive model and document that weather anomalies could disrupt supply chains and subsequently lead to inflationary pressures. Our results—based on the monthly data and robust to alternative estimation methodologies—show that these effects vary across countries, depending on the severity of weather shocks and vulnerability to supply chain disruptions. The impact of weather shocks on supply chains and inflation dynamics is likely to become more pronounced with accelerating climate change that can have heterogeneous effects. These findings have important policy implications. Central bankers should consider the impact of weather anomalies on supply chains and inflation dynamics to prevent entrenching second-round effects and de-anchoring of inflation expectations. More directly, however, governments can invest more for climate change adaptation to strengthen critical infrastructure and thereby minimize supply chain disruptions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 100560"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142573186","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ibrahim D. Raheem , Sara le Roux , Mobeen Ur Rehman
{"title":"Oil shocks and the Islamic financial market: Evidence from a causality-in-quantile approach","authors":"Ibrahim D. Raheem , Sara le Roux , Mobeen Ur Rehman","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100559","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100559","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the nonlinear relationship between Islamic stock indices and oil shocks. Nonlinearity is viewed from the prism of nonparametric causality-in-quantile, and oil price is decomposed into demand, supply, and risk. The objective of this study is to examine the causality between sectoral Islamic stocks and oil shocks. Using a dataset for ten sectoral Islamic stock indices, we show that causality between the variables of interest is heterogenous across (i) measures of shocks (i.e., demand, supply, or risk), (ii) types of the sector (i.e., the ten sectors), (iii) state of the market (bear, normal, bull) and (iv) model specifications (mean vs. variance equation). We find that for the US, sectoral returns, demand and risk shocks affect Industrial, Information Technology, and ESG sectors across all quantiles, while supply shocks cause changes across normal market conditions. The US healthcare sector remains insensitive and the communications sector is affected only across extreme quantiles. Each oil shock exhibits a significant causal effect on Asian Pacific and Emerging Islamic markets consistently across all quantiles. Developed and European Islamic markets remain sensitive to risk-related shocks. Policy implications of these results are discussed.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 100559"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142660974","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Trade Policy Ppace, Aid for Trade and, Intra-African and External African Manufactured Exports","authors":"Sèna Kimm Gnangnon","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100558","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100558","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Boosting intra-African manufactured exports is a critical objective of African leaders. The present analysis examines whether trade policy space and Aid for Trade (AfT) flows can contribute to achieving this objective. The analysis covers an unbalanced sample of 36 African countries over the period from 2004 to 2020, and uses estimators that allow obtaining the short-term (i.e., within-country effect) and long-term (i.e., between-country effect) effects of each regressor. The estimators are the combination of the feasible generalized least squares estimator on the one hand, and the Seemingly Unrelated Regression on the other hand, in the context of a hybrid model. The findings indicate that both trade policy space and AfT flows can help promote - including in a complementary way - African manufactured exports, especially intra-African manufactured exports. In this regard, trade policy space and AfT flows are instrumental in meeting African leaders’ objectives of promoting intra-African trade. The implications of the findings are discussed.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 100558"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142526833","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Quality and trade with many countries and industries","authors":"P.M. Picard , A. Tampieri","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100557","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100557","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates a trade model with horizontal and vertical product differentiations, many goods and many countries. It studies the impact of productivity, population changes and trade costs on the quality composition of exports. The analysis embeds within the same tractable model a series of empirical results, including Linder hypothesis and high-income countries’ specialization in high quality good production. It also shows that high-quality goods exhibiting a high degree of differentiation are traded only by high-income countries.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 100557"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142526832","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Better two eyes than one: A synthesis classification of exchange rate regimes","authors":"Cécile Couharde , Carl Grekou","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100556","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100556","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper proposes a new <em>de facto</em> classification of exchange rate regimes, the synthesis classification. This framework offers several advantages over existing <em>de facto</em> classifications. First, it provides a unified framework that integrates the most divergent classifications, the <em>RR</em> and <em>LYS</em> classifications, not only achieving broader coverage but also encompassing a wide spectrum of exchange regimes. Second, it fits better with the historical developments of exchange rate regimes in the post-Bretton Woods era. Among others, it brings a nuanced perspective on the so-called hollowing-out hypothesis by showing that the evolution of <em>de facto</em> regimes —especially in emerging economies since the late 1990s— has essentially involved a shift toward more tightly “managed” intermediate regimes, rather than a move away from them. As an illustration of the insightfulness of our classification, we empirically revisit the relationship between currency crises and exchange rate regimes. Our classification not only associates a higher probability of currency crisis with both intermediate and floating regimes, but also shows better statistical performances in predicting currency crises compared to other classifications.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 100556"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142526830","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Shots, sympathy, and societal support: How conflict intensity translates into cooperative behaviour towards the displaced","authors":"Reinhard A. Weisser","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100555","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100555","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Severe shocks, such as natural disasters or major conflicts, can trigger substantial international support in the immediate aftermath. The continuation of support depends on the level of attention in the public discourse. Whereas general attention will inevitably decline with time, a resurgence of fighting could rekindle societal support abroad. Based on daily news coverage relating to 39 European countries, the emergence of such an offsetting effect is evaluated by introducing the concept of conflict pressure to quantify indirect conflict exposure. Societies not directly involved in a major conflict are found to respond to conflict escalation nevertheless: Across all stakeholder groups, attention dedicated to refugees increases temporarily, irrespective of actual support requirements. Providing additional material support to displaced individuals for a prolonged time, in turn, is mostly within the purview of governmental actors and, surprisingly, those from the economy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 100555"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142526831","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Walid Mensi , Khamis Hamed Al-Yahyaee , Xuan Vinh Vo , Sang Hoon Kang
{"title":"COVID-19 and time-frequency spillovers between oil and sectoral stocks and portfolio implications: Evidence from China and US economies","authors":"Walid Mensi , Khamis Hamed Al-Yahyaee , Xuan Vinh Vo , Sang Hoon Kang","doi":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100554","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100554","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the volatility spillovers and the time-frequency dependence between crude oil and stock sectors in the U.S. and China using both wavelet coherence and asymmetric BEKK GARCH models. This study also investigates the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on spillover effects and portfolio management. The results reveal strong positive co-movements between WTI oil and US sector stock returns at medium and low frequencies particularly in 2020Q1. We find significant long-term co-movements between oil and Chinese sector stock returns (64–128 days). Furthermore, the findings reveal a significant and asymmetric volatility transmission between oil and sector stocks in both the US and Chinese economies. The evidence of spillovers is more pronounced during the COVID-19 period. It is recommended that equity investors should hold more stocks than oil assets to minimize risk without reducing the expected return. Finally, hedging with oil is expensive for U.S. sectors during the pandemic but inexpensive for Chinese sectors.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13794,"journal":{"name":"International Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 100554"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142441272","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}