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Y-STR Haplotypic Polymorphisms for the Hakka Population in West China and Phylogenic Comparison with Other Chinese Populations 中国西部客家人群Y-STR单倍型多态性及其与中国其他人群的系统发育比较
4区 生物学
Human Biology Pub Date : 2022-09-23 DOI: 10.1353/hub.2017.0109
Mengnan Liu, Chang-Xiu Peng, Dan-Lu Song, H. Jin, Xingjuan Zheng, Guangyao Fan
{"title":"Y-STR Haplotypic Polymorphisms for the Hakka Population in West China and Phylogenic Comparison with Other Chinese Populations","authors":"Mengnan Liu, Chang-Xiu Peng, Dan-Lu Song, H. Jin, Xingjuan Zheng, Guangyao Fan","doi":"10.1353/hub.2017.0109","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1353/hub.2017.0109","url":null,"abstract":"The Hakka, who have undergone a series of great migrations, are usually identified with people who speak the Hakka language or share at least same Hakka ancestry. As the largest Hakka dialect island in West China, the Dongshan region was closely linked with the great migration wave of Hakka. However, the paternal genetic profiles of Dongshan Hakka have never been revealed. In the present study, 41 Y-chromosomal short tandem repeat (Y-STR) loci included in the SureID PathFinder Plus Kit were analyzed in 353 unrelated male individuals (171 Hakka and 182 Han) of Sichuan Province, China. By analyzing 166 different haplotypes among Dongshan Hakka and 176 different haplotypes among Sichuan Han males, haplotype diversity was calculated as 0.9997, with a discrimination capacity of 0.9708, for the Hakka population, and 0.9996 and 0.9670 for the Sichuan Han population, respectively. Most of the Y-STR loci were highly informative in both populations except DYS645. The genetic relationships were evaluated by comparing the Hakka population with 11 other groups that are relevant to Hakka migration routes. The results of the multidimensional scaling plot and phylogenetic tree indicate that the Dongshan Hakka population was closely related to Han nationalities from Anhui, Jiangxi, and Fujian Provinces.","PeriodicalId":13053,"journal":{"name":"Human Biology","volume":"15 1","pages":"-"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"87787046","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Genetic Relationships between Mesoamerican Ancient Populations and with American Greater Southwest and Caribbean Populations Close to Mesoamerican Borders 中美洲古代人群与靠近中美洲边界的美国大西南和加勒比人群的遗传关系
4区 生物学
Human Biology Pub Date : 2022-08-19 DOI: 10.1353/hub.2017.0108
A. González-Oliver, Ernesto Garfias-Morales, M. Bravo-Lopez, María Isabel De La Cruz-Laina
{"title":"Genetic Relationships between Mesoamerican Ancient Populations and with American Greater Southwest and Caribbean Populations Close to Mesoamerican Borders","authors":"A. González-Oliver, Ernesto Garfias-Morales, M. Bravo-Lopez, María Isabel De La Cruz-Laina","doi":"10.1353/hub.2017.0108","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1353/hub.2017.0108","url":null,"abstract":"Mesoamerica is a cultural and geographic region with a northern boundary adjacent to the American Greater Southwest and a southeastern boundary that includes the Maya area, which is adjacent to the Caribbean. These regions are of interest to analyze genetic structure, ancestry, and gene flow between the ancient populations. We identified the mitochondrial DNA haplogroups and haplotypes in 19 colonial and 10 pre-Columbian Maya from Xcaret and 6 Paquimé individuals. We analyzed our data together with 603 ancient individuals and with 95 colonial and 502 pre-Columbian individuals. The results show clear genetic differences among Mesoamerica, American Greater Southwest, and Caribbean regions. High frequency of haplogroup A in Paquimé and Mine Canyon and the distribution of its haplotypes in the networks suggest these populations are probably genetically related with both Mesoamerican and the American Greater Southwest populations. The genetic structure of the Maya is due to common ancestry, and it was maintained by geographic isolation and gene flow mostly between Mayan populations. The Spanish conquest did not change this structure in the Maya from Xcaret, Quintana Roo. Although populations from Central Mexico are not genetically homogeneous, they are clearly different from Maya. Teotihuacan and Cholula were contemporary cities that allied to control the region, but they show genetic differences that could be related to a distant common ancestry; they probably descended from the same group but separated very early, before their arrival in Central Mexico.","PeriodicalId":13053,"journal":{"name":"Human Biology","volume":"4 1","pages":"-"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"83659221","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
A Distinctive Pattern of Diversity for the TAS2R38 Gene in North Africa 北非TAS2R38基因的独特多样性模式
4区 生物学
Human Biology Pub Date : 2022-03-12 DOI: 10.1353/hub.2017.0106
Soufia Mourali-Chebil, Sarra Elkamel, S. Boussetta, A. Pakstis, K. Kidd, A. Benammar-Elgaaied, L. Cherni
{"title":"A Distinctive Pattern of Diversity for the TAS2R38 Gene in North Africa","authors":"Soufia Mourali-Chebil, Sarra Elkamel, S. Boussetta, A. Pakstis, K. Kidd, A. Benammar-Elgaaied, L. Cherni","doi":"10.1353/hub.2017.0106","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1353/hub.2017.0106","url":null,"abstract":"The TAS2R38 gene is involved in bitter taste perception. This study documents the distinctive diversity patterns in northern Africa of functional single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) rs713598 and rs1726866 at the TAS2R38 locus and places those patterns in the context of global TAS2R38 diversity. Data previously genotyped with TaqMan assay were analyzed for rs713598 and rs1726866 for 375 unrelated subjects (305 Tunisians from seven locations: Mahdia, Sousse, Kesra, Nebeur, Kairouan, Smar, and Kerkennah; plus 70 Libyans). Data were analyzed to present haplotypes and genotypes before comparison with data from worldwide populations. This study provides information about TAS2R38 diversity in a part of the world that is relatively understudied. Considering the two SNPs rs713598 and rs1726866, the CA nucleotide haplotype leading to the PV amino acid haplotype is extremely rare almost everywhere, but it is relatively frequent (between 6% and 10%) in northern Africa, where it coexists with the globally common amino acid haplotypes PA, AA, and AV. Given its higher frequency in North Africa, the authors propose the CA nucleotide haplotype as a biogeographic marker for forensic purposes.","PeriodicalId":13053,"journal":{"name":"Human Biology","volume":"7 1","pages":"-"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"86060695","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prior Probabilities and the Age Threshold Problem: First and Second Molar Development 先验概率和年龄阈值问题:第一和第二摩尔发展
4区 生物学
Human Biology Pub Date : 2021-11-26 DOI: 10.13110/humanbiology.93.1.02
L. Konigsberg, S. Frankenberg, Valerie Sgheiza, H. Liversidge
{"title":"Prior Probabilities and the Age Threshold Problem: First and Second Molar Development","authors":"L. Konigsberg, S. Frankenberg, Valerie Sgheiza, H. Liversidge","doi":"10.13110/humanbiology.93.1.02","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.13110/humanbiology.93.1.02","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT Dental development has been used to assess whether an individual may be below or above an age that serves as a legal threshold. This study used development of the first and second mandibular molars from a large sample of individuals (N = 2,676) to examine the age threshold for minimum age of criminal responsibility. A bivariate ordered probit model was applied to dental scores following the Moorrees et al. (1963) system, with the addition of a crypt-absent/present stage. Then a 10-fold cross-validation within each of the sexes showed that the bivariate models produce unbiased estimates of age but are heteroskedastic (with increasing spread of the estimates against actual age). To address the age threshold problem, a normal prior centered on the threshold is assumed, and the product of the prior and the likelihood is integrated up to the age threshold and again starting at the age threshold. The ratio of these two integrals is a Bayes factor, which because the prior is symmetric around the threshold, can also be interpreted as the posterior odds that an individual is over versus under the age threshold. It was necessary to assume an unreasonably high standard deviation of age in the prior to achieve posterior odds that were well above “evens.” These results indicate that dental developmental evidence from the first and second molars is of limited use in examining the question of whether an individual is below or over the minimum age of criminal responsibility. As the third molar is more variable in its development than the first two molars, the question of dental evidence regarding the age of majority (generally 18 years) remains problematic.","PeriodicalId":13053,"journal":{"name":"Human Biology","volume":"214 1","pages":"51 - 63"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73575487","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Perceptions of Race and Ancestry in Teaching, Research, and Public Engagement in Biological Anthropology 生物人类学在教学、研究和公众参与中的种族和祖先观念
4区 生物学
Human Biology Pub Date : 2021-11-26 DOI: 10.1353/hub.2017.0097
Donovan Adams, M. Pilloud
{"title":"Perceptions of Race and Ancestry in Teaching, Research, and Public Engagement in Biological Anthropology","authors":"Donovan Adams, M. Pilloud","doi":"10.1353/hub.2017.0097","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1353/hub.2017.0097","url":null,"abstract":"abstract:The concept of race has a complex history in the field of biological anthropology. Despite increased recognition of the racist origins of the discipline, there remains little agreement about what the concept means, how it is used, or how it is discussed. This study presents the results of a survey of biological anthropologists to investigate the relationship of biological anthropologists with race and ancestry. The survey focuses on the areas of research, public engagement, and teaching as related to these concepts. Results indicate that a large majority of biological anthropologists agree that race (as a social not biological concept) is separate from ancestry. The majority of respondents agreed that ancestry categories should be based on geography (e.g., Asian, European, and African), and more anthropologists thought the terms “Hispanic” and “Latino” were inappropriate ancestry categories. While most respondents felt that discussions of these terms were not matters of “political correctness,” nearly a quarter of respondents suggested that concerns over the moral and ethical implications of research (e.g., photos, terminology, and ancestry) result in the silencing of anthropological research. Overwhelmingly, respondents felt that anthropologists have a responsibility to ensure the avoidance of misappropriation of their work by race science and by white nationalists/supremacists. Some differences in survey responses were found relating to respondents’ subdiscipline, educational level, location, age, self-identified racial/ethnic categories, and gender. In regard to teaching, survey results indicate that these concepts are minimally covered in university classrooms. When taught, topics focus on the colonialist/racist history of anthropology, the presence of white privilege/supremacy, and racism. Based on the results of this survey, the authors argue for greater public engagement on these concepts, a standardized system of teaching race and ancestry, and a disciplinary conversation about practice and terminology. In this way, biological anthropologists can best place themselves to combat racism in a socially responsible way.","PeriodicalId":13053,"journal":{"name":"Human Biology","volume":"9 1","pages":"32 - 9"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"81652134","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Comparing Genetic Variation among Latin American Immigrants: Implications for Forensic Casework in the Arizona- and Texas-Mexico Borderlands 比较拉丁美洲移民的遗传变异:对亚利桑那州和德克萨斯州-墨西哥边境地区法医案件工作的影响
4区 生物学
Human Biology Pub Date : 2021-11-11 DOI: 10.13110/humanbiology.93.1.03
Brian New, Bridget F. B. Algee‐Hewitt, Katherine Spradley, Lars Fehren-Schmitz, Cris C. Hughes, B. Anderson, M. E. Jasinski, Joanna Arciszewska, G. Zielińska, Maria Szargut, A. Ossowski, M. K. Spradley, Cris E. Hughes, Sandra Cytacka
{"title":"Comparing Genetic Variation among Latin American Immigrants: Implications for Forensic Casework in the Arizona- and Texas-Mexico Borderlands","authors":"Brian New, Bridget F. B. Algee‐Hewitt, Katherine Spradley, Lars Fehren-Schmitz, Cris C. Hughes, B. Anderson, M. E. Jasinski, Joanna Arciszewska, G. Zielińska, Maria Szargut, A. Ossowski, M. K. Spradley, Cris E. Hughes, Sandra Cytacka","doi":"10.13110/humanbiology.93.1.03","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.13110/humanbiology.93.1.03","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT The humanitarian crisis on the US-Mexico border is a long-standing and evolving crisis in which nearly 8,000 deaths have been reported in the last two decades. These deaths are largely distributed across the Arizona-Mexico and Texas-Mexico border regions, where demographic trends for immigrants attempting to cross into the United States have shifted dramatically. The demographic change and volume of immigrants seeking shelter in the United States present new challenges for the forensic practitioners entrusted with the identification of individuals who lose their lives during the final segment of their journey. Within this border context, this study investigated how genetic variation inferred from forensically significant microsatellites can provide valuable information on regions of origin for unidentified remains at the group level. To explore how to mobilize these genetic data to inform identification strategies, the authors conducted a comparative genetic analysis of identified and unidentified immigrant cases from the Arizona- and Texas-Mexico contexts, as well as 27 other Latin American groups. Allele frequencies were utilized to calculate FST, and relationships were visually depicted in a multidimensional scaling plot. A Spearman correlation coefficient analysis assessed the strength and significance of population relationships, and an agglomerative clustering analysis assessed population clusters. Results indicate that Arizona-Mexico immigrants have the strongest relationship (>80%) with groups from El Salvador, Guatemala, Mexico, and an indigenous group from southern Mexico. Texas-Mexico immigrants have the strongest relationships (>80%) with groups from Belize, Colombia, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and Nicaragua. These findings agree with, and are discussed in comparison with, previously reported demographic trends, population genetics research, and population history analyses. The authors emphasize the utility and necessity of coupling genetic variation research with a nuanced anthropological perspective for identification processes in the US-Mexico border context.","PeriodicalId":13053,"journal":{"name":"Human Biology","volume":"14 1","pages":"33 - 50"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90177841","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Changing the Landscape of Identity in Forensic Anthropology 改变法医人类学的身份景观
4区 生物学
Human Biology Pub Date : 2021-11-11 DOI: 10.13110/humanbiology.93.1.04
Brian New, Bridget F. B. Algee‐Hewitt
{"title":"Changing the Landscape of Identity in Forensic Anthropology","authors":"Brian New, Bridget F. B. Algee‐Hewitt","doi":"10.13110/humanbiology.93.1.04","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.13110/humanbiology.93.1.04","url":null,"abstract":"[...]the authors suggest continued exploration of the topic and deep integration of broad anthropological methodologies that consider population-specific contributors to body composition, such as socioeconomic status, and incorporate growth patterns. The authors demonstrate the investigative potential of genetic population data for persons whose communities of origin are unknown, arguing that mobilizing the breadth of genetic data available to forensic investigators, in tandem with multiple modes of analysis, provides an additional tool to help caseworkers refine their investigation. [...]Taylor et al. and Adams and Pilloud anchor this collection in the often underserved social side of forensic anthropology.","PeriodicalId":13053,"journal":{"name":"Human Biology","volume":"51 1","pages":"5 - 7"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80730656","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Reconstruction of Femur Length Using Epiphyseal and Diaphyseal Diameters in Contemporary Egyptian Sample, with Application to Ancient Egyptians. 利用现代埃及人股骨骨骺和骨干直径重建股骨长度,并应用于古埃及人。
4区 生物学
Human Biology Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.13110/humanbiology.92.4.03
MennattAllah Hassan Attia, Fatma Mohamed Magdy Badr El-Dine, Nancy Mohamed Aly El-Sekily
{"title":"Reconstruction of Femur Length Using Epiphyseal and Diaphyseal Diameters in Contemporary Egyptian Sample, with Application to Ancient Egyptians.","authors":"MennattAllah Hassan Attia,&nbsp;Fatma Mohamed Magdy Badr El-Dine,&nbsp;Nancy Mohamed Aly El-Sekily","doi":"10.13110/humanbiology.92.4.03","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.13110/humanbiology.92.4.03","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Inferences in bioarchaeology and forensic contexts require mathematical stature estimation using long bone lengths. This study aimed to identify predictors of femur length (FL) from epiphyseal and diaphyseal width measurements that are not bound to assumptions of sex or laterality. To compute linear regression models, both standard and new measurements around the diaphyseal dominant nutrient foramina (NF) were collected on modern femora (<i>n</i> = 64) from the unidentified skeletal collection housed at Alexandria University. Four equations were then validated on an ancient Egyptian sample (<i>n</i> = 73) from the Goldman Osteometric Data Set to evaluate the effect of sex subdivision on the accuracy of FL and indirect stature estimations using Raxter's formulas. Most of models reflected significant positive association (<i>r</i> > 0.60) between width variables and FL. Oddly, the distance from the proximal end to the NF correlated weakly with FL (<i>r</i> = 0.34). The stepwise selected equations preferred measurements around NF to midshaft, with the anteroposterior diameter included in the proximal fragment model (<i>r</i> = 0.77), and circumference in diaphyseal fragment model (<i>r</i> = 0.62). Tested equations performed consistently on the ancient Egyptian sample. Measurements from the femoral proximal fragment are more reliable predictors than those from the distal fragment, with the exception of femur neck diameter. However, distal epicondylar breadth is a better predictor of FL in females than in males. Indirect stature estimation showed a reasonable degree of accuracy in both sexes. These models can be applied successfully in contemporary and ancient Egyptian fragmentary remains; however, due to larger size of femora from the Old Kingdom sample, they would be most applicable to individuals from later dynasties.</p>","PeriodicalId":13053,"journal":{"name":"Human Biology","volume":"92 4","pages":"229-245"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39530929","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A New Theoretical Approach to Ancestry Estimation as Applied to Human Crania 一种应用于人类颅骨的祖先估计新理论方法
4区 生物学
Human Biology Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.13110/humanbiology.93.2.03
Michael W. Kenyhercz
{"title":"A New Theoretical Approach to Ancestry Estimation as Applied to Human Crania","authors":"Michael W. Kenyhercz","doi":"10.13110/humanbiology.93.2.03","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.13110/humanbiology.93.2.03","url":null,"abstract":"Since Frank Livingstone proposed the idea that there are no races, only clines, in 1962, little has changed in how anthropologists study and, ultimately, estimate ancestry. How we talk about the study of human variation may have changed—shifting away from “racial” labels and toward those of supposed ancestral origins—but the methods we use to label and analyze groups, however termed, have remained the same. The author suggests a new theoretical approach to ancestry estimation that does not rely on group labels, using the Howells Craniometric Data Set as an example. In the suggested workflow, the data structures itself into natural clusters, referred to as “morphogroups,” without relying on a group label. Each morphogroup is explored for subgroups, and the process is repeated until no further distinctions can be made. At each level an individual is compared to the morphogroup in a descriptive manner, focusing on similarities and differences. Lastly, a multi-iteration classification procedure, using random forest modeling, classifies by morphogroup. In this test, hierarchical clustering identifies the optimal number of natural clusters within the data, and principal components analysis is used to explore morphogroups. (The author provides a markdown file of all code used, at https://rpubs.com/kenyhercz2/717620.) Using this suggested workflow, the author identifies three main morphogroups in the Howells data set, each with different numbers of subclusters ranging from 0 to 8. Morphogroup correct classifications are typically in the mid-90% range, and the accompanying sex estimations, between 93% and 100% correct. The author emphasizes that this is but one of myriad ways ancestry could be estimated. Human variation and identity are not static, and we should help one another rethink and redefine what is possible for our field.","PeriodicalId":13053,"journal":{"name":"Human Biology","volume":"46 1","pages":"-"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78896894","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prior Probabilities and the Age Threshold Problem: First and Second Molar Development 先验概率和年龄阈值问题:第一和第二摩尔发展
4区 生物学
Human Biology Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.1353/hub.2017.0099
L. Konigsberg, S. Frankenberg, Valerie Sgheiza, Helen Liversidge
{"title":"Prior Probabilities and the Age Threshold Problem: First and Second Molar Development","authors":"L. Konigsberg, S. Frankenberg, Valerie Sgheiza, Helen Liversidge","doi":"10.1353/hub.2017.0099","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1353/hub.2017.0099","url":null,"abstract":"Dental development has been used to assess whether an individual may be below or above an age that serves as a legal threshold. This study used development of the first and second mandibular molars from a large sample of individuals (N = 2,676) to examine the age threshold for minimum age of criminal responsibility. A bivariate ordered probit model was applied to dental scores following the Moorrees et al. (1963) system, with the addition of a crypt-absent/present stage. Then a 10-fold cross-validation within each of the sexes showed that the bivariate models produce unbiased estimates of age but are heteroskedastic (with increasing spread of the estimates against actual age). To address the age threshold problem, a normal prior centered on the threshold is assumed, and the product of the prior and the likelihood is integrated up to the age threshold and again starting at the age threshold. The ratio of these two integrals is a Bayes factor, which because the prior is symmetric around the threshold, can also be interpreted as the posterior odds that an individual is over versus under the age threshold. It was necessary to assume an unreasonably high standard deviation of age in the prior to achieve posterior odds that were well above “evens.” These results indicate that dental developmental evidence from the first and second molars is of limited use in examining the question of whether an individual is below or over the minimum age of criminal responsibility. As the third molar is more variable in its development than the first two molars, the question of dental evidence regarding the age of majority (generally 18 years) remains problematic.","PeriodicalId":13053,"journal":{"name":"Human Biology","volume":"113 1","pages":"-"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85381702","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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